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BUF

Buffalo 17 at Ohio 52

OHIO
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 14, 2018 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadBUF aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreBUF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:52 · A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Buff 28 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 15Home team on offense−0.7Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.4Blowout margin−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Pregame prior+7.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:35: Nathan Rourke run for 2 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +4.2 pts (now 65%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:02: Nathan Rourke pass complete to Jerome Buckner for 60 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +6.3 pts (now 71%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 10:29: Louie Zervos 22 yd FG GOOD — OHIO win probability +4.4 pts (now 79%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:53: A.J. Ouellette run for 8 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +6.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:44: A.J. Ouellette 8 Yd pass from Nathan Rourke (Louie Zervos Kick) — OHIO win probability +4.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 1 of 3BUF made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:52OHIO 4th & 1 at BUF 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    56.4%−0.4
    51% to make
    Punt
    56.3%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:21BUF 4th & 9 at BUF 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:29OHIO 4th & 3 at BUF 5, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.6%−0.9
    92% to make
    Punt
    66.0%−7.5
    average punt
  4. Q3 8:18BUF 4th & 8 at BUF 27, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  5. Q3 5:39BUF 4th & 9 at BUF 26, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  6. Q3 0:39OHIO 4th & 5 at BUF 44, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 7 of 7BUF made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:42BUF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:45OHIO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:35OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:02OHIO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:53OHIO Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:44OHIO Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:34OHIO Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:14BUF Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:36OHIO Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BUFDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:1042% → 43%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
58.3%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 8 yds to the Buff 33Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
58.3%
Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony JohnsonSimilar
Q1 14:12
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+48
58.3%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 48 yds to the Ohio 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
58.1%
Jaret Patterson run for 9 yds to the Ohio 10Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+6
58.1%
Jaret Patterson run for 6 yds to the Ohio 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
58.0%
Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony JohnsonSimilar
Q1 12:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
57.3%
Tyree Jackson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:4658% → 60%
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
57.5%
A.J. Ouellette run for 12 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+22
57.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 22 yds to the Buff 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
57.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 8 yds to the Buff 33Similar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 2
OPP 33
0
57.5%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+1
57.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Buff 32Similar
Q1 9:52
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+4
56.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Buff 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
57.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 8 yds to the Buff 20Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+6
57.0%
Maleek Irons run for 6 yds to the Buff 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
57.0%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+9
56.9%
Nathan Rourke run for 9 yds to the Buff 5Similar
Q1 7:19
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+3
56.4%
Maleek Irons run for 3 yds to the Buff 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
59.6%
Maleek Irons run for 2 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 3INT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2242% → 41%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
58.3%
Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony JohnsonSimilar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-5
58.3%
BUFFALO Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Buff 15Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+5
58.4%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 5 yds to the Buff 20Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
58.7%
Tyree Jackson pass intercepted Kylan Nelson return for no gain to the Ohio 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 3:2259% → 65%
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+31
58.5%
A.J. Ouellette run for 31 yds to the Buff 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
59.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 13 yds to the Buff 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
59.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Buff 21Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+5
60.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the Buff 16Similar
Q1 2:43
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+5
59.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Connor Brown for 5 yds to the Buff 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
60.3%
Nathan Rourke run for 9 yds to the Buff 2Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+2
64.6%
Nathan Rourke run for 2 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0737% → 36%
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
63.0%
Kevin Marks run for 5 yds to the Buff 30Similar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-4
62.7%
Kevin Marks run for a loss of 4 yards to the Buff 26Similar
Q1 0:32
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
63.8%
Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to George RushingSimilar
Q1 0:21
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
64.2%
Evan Finegan punt for 40 yds, downed at the Ohio 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6TD
4 plays · 66 yds · 1:1064% → 71%
Q1 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
64.0%
Maleek Irons run for 11 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
65.0%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Taylor Riggins for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 40Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 14
OWN 40
0
64.5%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Maleek IronsSimilar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 14
OWN 40
+60
70.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Jerome Buckner for 60 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 7INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:3731% → 30%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
69.5%
Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the Buff 24Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+1
69.7%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to Kevin Marks for 1 yd to the Buff 25Similar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+12
70.1%
Tyree Jackson pass intercepted Jarren Hampton return for 12 yds to the Buff 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8FG
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:3674% → 79%
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
73.7%
Maleek Irons run for 4 yds to the Buff 23Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+11
74.2%
Nathan Rourke run for 11 yds to the Buff 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
74.6%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+5
74.7%
Maleek Irons run for 5 yds to the Buff 7Similar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+2
75.0%
Maleek Irons run for 2 yds to the Buff 5Similar
Q2 10:29
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+22
79.4%
Louie Zervos 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 9FUMBLE
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:2023% → 21%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
77.0%
Kevin Marks run for 8 yds to the Buff 33Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-5
76.2%
BUFFALO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Buff 28Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+14
77.2%
Kevin Marks run for 14 yds to the Buff 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
77.4%
Theo Anderson run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 2
50
+2
76.9%
Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-11
76.7%
Jaret Patterson run for a loss of 11 yards to the Buff 41 Jaret Patterson fumbled, recovered by Buff Jaret PattersonSimilar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 21
OWN 41
+55
78.7%
Tyree Jackson run for 55 yds to the Ohio 4 Tyree Jackson fumbled, recovered by Ohio Javon HaganSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10TD
15 plays · 96 yds · 5:5781% → 93%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
81.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Ohio 7Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+6
81.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 6 yds to the Ohio 13Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 1
OWN 13
+2
82.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Ohio 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
82.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the Ohio 15Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+42
82.9%
Nathan Rourke run for 42 yds to the Buff 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
84.0%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah CoxSimilar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+12
84.0%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 12 yds to the Buff 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
84.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Buff 30Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+8
84.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 8 yds to the Buff 22Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+5
84.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 5 yds to the Buff 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
85.7%
Maleek Irons run for 1 yd to the Buff 16Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+8
86.2%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 8 yds to the Buff 8Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+8
92.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 8 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 11END OF HALF
8 plays · 46 yds · 0:4211% → 12%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
89.1%
Jaret Patterson run for 14 yds to the Buff 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
89.1%
Tyree Jackson run for 11 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
88.0%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 9 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 1
OPP 35
0
87.1%
Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. OsbornSimilar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+12
87.7%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 12 yds to the Ohio 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+40
87.8%
Adam Mitcheson 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:0792% → 99%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.9%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Andrew MeyerSimilar
Q3 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
91.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 17 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
92.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 18 yds to the Buff 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
92.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for 6 yds to the Buff 34Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+10
93.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the Buff 34 for a 1ST down BUFFALO Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Buff 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
93.5%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Buff 21Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+9
93.8%
Nathan Rourke run for 9 yds to the Buff 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
94.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Buff 9Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+1
94.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Buff 8Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+8
98.8%
A.J. Ouellette 8 Yd pass from Nathan Rourke (Louie Zervos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:171% → 1%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Jaret Patterson run for no gain to the Buff 25Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.9%
Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the Buff 27Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
98.9%
Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. OsbornSimilar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+18
99.0%
Evan Finegan punt for 38 yds , DL Knock returns for 18 yds to the Buff 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14TD
5 plays · 47 yds · 1:3699% → 99%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
99.0%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 3 yds to the Buff 44Similar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
99.2%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+12
99.2%
Maleek Irons run for 12 yds to the Buff 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
99.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 5 yds to the Buff 27Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+27
99.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 27 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:511% → 1%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony JohnsonSimilar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.4%
Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd to the Buff 26Similar
Q3 5:48
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.5%
Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony JohnsonSimilar
Q3 5:39
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.5%
Evan Finegan punt for 47 yds , Kylan Nelson returns for no gain to the Ohio 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16INT
5 plays · 52 yds · 3:0099% → 100%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
99.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 6 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+42
99.4%
Maleek Irons run for 42 yds to the Buff 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
99.5%
Maleek Irons run for 1 yd to the Buff 24Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+3
99.5%
Maleek Irons run for 3 yds to the Buff 21Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+33
99.6%
Nathan Rourke pass intercepted Khalil Hodge return for 33 yds to the Buff 49 Khalil Hodge fumbled, recovered by Ohio Nathan RourkeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:35100% → 100%
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
99.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Buff 46Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+2
99.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Buff 44Similar
Q3 0:46
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
99.6%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:39
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
99.6%
Michael Farkas punt for 35 yds, fair catch by K.J. Osborn at the Buff 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 18TD
10 plays · 91 yds · 2:110% → 0%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
99.7%
Kevin Marks run for 7 yds to the Buff 16Similar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+6
99.8%
Kevin Marks run for 6 yds to the Buff 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
99.7%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to Charlie Jones for 12 yds to the Buff 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.7%
Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. OsbornSimilar
Q4 14:32
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+28
99.7%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 13 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, Personal Foul (Javon Hagan) to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
99.7%
Kevin Marks run for 2 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+15
99.8%
OHIO Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jalen Fox) to the Ohio 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
99.7%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 8 yds to the Ohio 13Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 2
OPP 13
0
99.7%
Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Antonio NunnSimilar
Q4 13:14
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+13
99.7%
Kevin Marks run for 13 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 4:24100% → 100%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
99.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 9 yds Papi White fumbled, recovered by OhioSimilar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+14
99.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 14 yds to the Buff 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 2 yds to the Buff 45Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+2
99.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Buff 43Similar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 6
OPP 43
-10
99.8%
OHIO Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Ohio 47Similar
Q4 10:02
3RD & 16
OWN 47
+22
99.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 22 yds to the Buff 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
99.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 33Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 12
OPP 33
+33
99.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for 33 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 20INT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:060% → 0%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Emmanuel Reed run for 2 yds to the Buff 27Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
Dominic Johnson pass complete to Charlie Jones for 4 yds to the Buff 31Similar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Dominic Johnson pass intercepted Tariq Drake return for no gain to the Ohio 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21Uncategorized
12 plays · 57 yds · 6:36100% → 100%
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
99.9%
David Burroughs run for 7 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+1
99.9%
David Burroughs run for 1 yd to the Ohio 46Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+6
99.9%
Quinton Maxwell run for 6 yds to the Buff 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Camryn SnowSimilar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
99.9%
Jake Neatherton run for 2 yds to the Buff 46Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+14
99.9%
Quinton Maxwell run for 14 yds to the Buff 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
100.0%
Jake Neatherton run for 6 yds to the Buff 26Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 4
OPP 23
-12
100.0%
Quinton Maxwell run for 3 yds to the Buff 23 OHIO Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Buff 38Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 16
OPP 38
+22
100.0%
Quinton Maxwell run for 22 yds to the Buff 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
100.0%
Jake Neatherton run for 2 yds to the Buff 14Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+6
100.0%
Jake Neatherton run for 6 yds to the Buff 8Similar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+3
100.0%
Jake Neatherton run for 3 yds to the Buff 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:53
A.J. Ouellette run for 8 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)
+6.4
TD · Q2 14:02
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Jerome Buckner for 60 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)
+6.3
FG · Q2 10:29
Louie Zervos 22 yd FG GOOD
+4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com