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WMU

Western Michigan 41 at Ball State 42

BALL
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 13, 2018 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:43 · Nick Mihalic punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+21.5+10.80−10.8−21.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 15Pregame prior−19.9Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Time remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 8:34: LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds for a TD (Kaleb Eleby pass to Giovanni Ricci for Two-Point Conversion) — WMU win probability +36.8 pts (now 59%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 5:36: Malik Dunner run for 12 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK) — BALL win probability +28.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 1:48: Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 9 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK) — WMU win probability +40.9 pts (now 61%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · OT 0:00: Drew Plitt pass complete to Kyle Schrank for 2 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK) — BALL win probability +17.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Kaleb Eleby run for 1 yd for a TD Timeout WESTRN MICHIGAN, clock 00:00 (Two-Point Conversion failed) — WMU win probability +12.8 pts (now 33%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 12:57BALL 4th & 13 at BALL 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:43WMU 4th & 12 at WMU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:16WMU 4th & 1 at BALL 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    61.2%−1.0
    79% to make
    Punt
    58.3%−3.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:32WMU 4th & 9 at BALL 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−1.8
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    41.4%−7.0
    average punt
  5. Q3 12:34WMU 4th & 1 at BALL 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    49.5%−3.8
    30% to make
    Punt
    50.3%−2.9
    average punt
  6. Q3 3:35WMU 4th & 3 at BALL 3, down 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.3%−1.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    15.4%−10.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:30BALL 4th & 7 at BALL 35, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%−2.0
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.0%
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:50WMU 4th & 8 at BALL 40, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    21.1%−1.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    21.4%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:06WMU 4th & 1 at BALL 1, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    16.3%−6.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    -1.2%−24.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:47BALL 4th & 14 at BALL 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−19.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:11WMU 4th & 10 at WMU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−3.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 7:33BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:16WMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:16WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:22BALL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:58BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:32BALL Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:34WMU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    41.5%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    41.8%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:36BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.4%−1.4
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:48WMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.1%−4.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:5329% → 30%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
28.7%
Malik Dunner run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 28Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+16
28.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 16 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
29.2%
Malik Dunner run for no gain to the BalSt 44Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-3
29.3%
Drew Plitt sacked by Corvin Moment for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 41Similar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 13
OWN 41
0
29.5%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q1 12:57
4TH & 13
OWN 41
+2
29.5%
Patrick LeCorre punt for 48 yds , Jayden Reed returns for 2 yds to the WMich 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:0270% → 69%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
29.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 8 yds to the WMich 21Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+5
29.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 5 yds to the WMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
30.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for 7 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
30.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the WMich 33Similar
Q1 10:58
3RD & 3
OWN 33
-5
30.4%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 28Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 8
OWN 28
-5
30.8%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 23Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 13
OWN 23
+1
31.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the WMich 24Similar
Q1 9:43
4TH & 12
OWN 24
0
31.4%
Nick Mihalic punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3TD
6 plays · 45 yds · 1:5732% → 35%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
31.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Keyan Williams for 3 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+7
32.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 7 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+16
32.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 16 yds to the WMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-3
32.5%
Malik Dunner run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 22Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 13
OPP 22
0
32.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for no gain to the WMich 22Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 13
OPP 22
+22
34.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 22 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4TD
15 plays · 86 yds · 7:0465% → 67%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
34.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+5
35.4%
BALL ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WMich 23Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+6
35.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 6 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
35.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+31
36.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for 31 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
35.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+3
35.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+4
36.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the BalSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
36.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the BalSt 24Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+6
36.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 6 yds to the BalSt 18Similar
Q1 1:39
3RD & 1
OPP 18
0
37.7%
Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the BalSt 18Similar
Q1 1:16
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+13
38.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 13 yds to the BalSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
37.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the BalSt 3Similar
Q1 0:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
32.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5INT
7 plays · 30 yds · 1:1136% → 37%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
36.3%
James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the BalSt 37Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+15
36.2%
Plitt, Drew pass incomplete to Lacanaria, Corey, PENALTY WESTMICH pass interference 15 yards to the WESTMICH48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BALLST.Similar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+20
37.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 20 yds to the WMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-3
38.0%
Malik Dunner run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 31Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 13
OPP 31
-3
37.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Malik Dunner for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 34Similar
Q2 13:49
3RD & 16
OPP 34
+20
36.7%
Drew Plitt pass intercepted Juwan Dowels return for 20 yds to the WMich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 62 yds · 5:2465% → 72%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
34.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-10
34.2%
Bogan, Jamauri rush for 6 yards to the WESTMICH48, PENALTY WESTMICH holding 10 yards to the WESTMICH32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 16
OWN 32
+5
35.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+3
36.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 3 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q2 11:44
4TH & 8
OWN 40
+15
37.0%
BALL ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
34.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 11 yds to the BalSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
34.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+4
34.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the BalSt 26Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+18
34.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 18 yds to the BalSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
34.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 7 yds to the BalSt 1Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
34.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 2Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
28.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 7TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:2829% → 44%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
29.4%
James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the BalSt 21Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+5
29.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 5 yds to the BalSt 26Similar
Q2 7:09
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+6
29.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 6 yds to the BalSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
29.9%
James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+61
29.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 61 yds to the WMich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
33.1%
James Gilbert run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 7Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
33.1%
BALL ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 12Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+1
33.1%
Malik Dunner run for 1 yd to the WMich 11Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
43.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 11 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8FUMBLE
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:3662% → 62%
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
38.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 21Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+11
38.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for 11 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
37.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 27 LeVante Bellamy fumbled, recovered by BalSt Bryce CosbySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 9TD
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:2045% → 56%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
45.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 10 yds to the WMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
55.8%
James Gilbert run for 17 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10FG
12 plays · 71 yds · 2:1148% → 53%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
52.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jayden Reed for 14 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
52.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jayden ReedSimilar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+10
52.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 10 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
51.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for 16 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
49.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Drake Harris for 11 yds to the BalSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+19
47.8%
Chase Brown run for 19 yds to the BalSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
47.7%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the BalSt 13Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 8
OPP 13
-1
49.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 14Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 9
OPP 14
0
52.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+31
47.4%
Gavin Peddie 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
50.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:1152% → 53%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
48.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 8 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+16
46.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for 16 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
45.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the BalSt 46Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
45.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Giovanni RicciSimilar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+4
45.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q3 12:34
4TH & 1
OPP 42
-1
47.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 1:5352% → 70%
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+23
52.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 23 yds to the WMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
54.3%
Drew Plitt run for 8 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+3
54.7%
Malik Dunner run for 3 yds to the WMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
54.7%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WMich 18Similar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 5
OPP 18
0
54.9%
Drew Plitt run for no gain to the WMich 18Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+6
58.2%
James Gilbert run for 6 yds to the WMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
69.9%
James Gilbert run for 12 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14FG
15 plays · 72 yds · 6:5033% → 31%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
66.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 9 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
66.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q3 9:42
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
67.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
67.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 35Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+5
69.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 5 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q3 7:46
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+15
69.2%
Eleby, Kaleb pass incomplete to Harris, Drake, PENALTY BALLST pass interference 15 yards to the BALLST45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTMICH.Similar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
67.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 8 yds to the BalSt 37Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+8
67.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 8 yds to the BalSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
66.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jayden Reed for 8 yds to the BalSt 21Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+14
66.9%
Kaleb Eleby run for 7 yds to the BalSt 14 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, Personal Foul (7 Yards) to the BalSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
67.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the BalSt 4Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
68.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 5Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
71.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the BalSt 3Similar
Q3 3:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
68.6%
Gavin Peddie 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5276% → 75%
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
75.7%
James Gilbert run for 6 yds to the BalSt 38Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 4
OWN 38
-3
78.0%
James Gilbert run for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 35Similar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
76.0%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Riley MillerSimilar
Q3 2:30
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
74.8%
Patrick LeCorre punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jayden Reed at the WMich 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16DOWNS
15 plays · 64 yds · 7:0926% → 21%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
73.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+4
74.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q3 1:05
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+4
73.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
74.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Drake Harris for 15 yds to the BalSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
73.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jayden Reed for 9 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 1
OPP 33
-10
70.9%
Eleby, Kaleb pass incomplete to Hall, Jaylen, PENALTY WESTMICH holding 10 yards to the BALLST43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+3
74.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the BalSt 40Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
74.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the BalSt 40Similar
Q4 13:50
4TH & 8
OPP 40
+16
77.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 16 yds to the BalSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
72.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 5 yds to the BalSt 19Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+15
72.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 15 yds to the BalSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
73.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the BalSt 3Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
73.4%
Bogan, Jamauri rush for no gain to the BALLST3, PENALTY BALLST offside 2 yards to the BALLST1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
76.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the BalSt 1Similar
Q4 10:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
79.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 4 yards to the BalSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-3
84.1%
Drew Plitt pass intercepted Juwan Dowels return for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 40 yds · 1:1621% → 59%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
78.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 8 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+16
77.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 16 yds to the BalSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
77.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 7 yds to the BalSt 9Similar
Q4 8:54
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+7
77.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Drake Harris for 7 yds to the BalSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
40.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds for a TD (Kaleb Eleby pass to Giovanni Ricci for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 2:4154% → 90%
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
53.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 12 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
56.8%
Drew Plitt run for 1 yd to the BalSt 42Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+22
56.0%
Drew Plitt run for 22 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
59.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 11 yds to the WMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
61.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 5 yds to the WMich 20Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+6
61.2%
James Gilbert run for 6 yds to the WMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
61.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 2 yds to the WMich 12Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+12
90.2%
Malik Dunner run for 12 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:3716% → 61%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
83.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 17 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
81.4%
Kaleb Eleby run for 4 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+8
81.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 8 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
80.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jayden Reed for 14 yds to the BalSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
80.3%
Kaleb Eleby run for 6 yds to the BalSt 26Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+4
79.5%
Kaleb Eleby run for 4 yds to the BalSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+16
79.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 16 yds to the BalSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
80.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 9Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
39.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 9 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:3956% → 54%
Q4 1:26
2ND & 17
OWN 7
+19
55.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 19 yds to the BalSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
58.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 10 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-11
59.9%
Drew Plitt sacked by Eric Assoua for a loss of 11 yards to the BalSt 25Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 21
OWN 25
0
56.8%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 21
OWN 25
+7
54.7%
Drew Plitt run for 7 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q4 0:47
4TH & 14
OWN 32
0
54.2%
Patrick LeCorre punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jayden Reed at the WMich 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:3049% → 47%
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
50.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jayden ReedSimilar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+16
51.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 16 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
46.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
47.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to LeVante BellamySimilar
Q4 0:19
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
49.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to LeVante BellamySimilar
Q4 0:11
4TH & 10
OWN 42
+12
52.8%
Nick Mihalic punt for 51 yds , Corey Lacanaria returns for 12 yds to the BalSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
58.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 24TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 82%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+24
64.7%
Corey Lacanaria pass complete to Riley Miller for 24 yds to the WMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
64.7%
James Gilbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 2Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
82.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Kyle Schrank for 2 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 25TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0020% → 33%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
80.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for 9 yds to the BalSt 16Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 16
0
79.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the BalSt 16Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+13
83.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 13 yds to the BalSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
79.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the BalSt 1Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
66.6%
Kaleb Eleby run for 1 yd for a TD Timeout WESTRN MICHIGAN, clock 00:00 (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:48
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 9 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)
-40.9
TD · Q4 8:34
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds for a TD (Kaleb Eleby pass to Giovanni Ricci for Two-Point Conversion)
-36.8
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+33.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com