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OHIO

Ohio 28 at Miami (OH) 30

M-OH
2018 · Week 11 · Nov 7, 2018 · Yager Stadium
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDSAFETYTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:33 · Kyle Kramer punt for 49 yds, downed at the Ohio 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 28Home team on offense+0.0Pregame prior−10.5Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Time remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:32: Gus Ragland pass complete to Luke Mayock for 12 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +8.9 pts (now 65%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:44: Alonzo Smith run for 8 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +16.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:32: Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 9 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +12.1 pts (now 18%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:14: Dylan Conner 28 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Louie Zervos Kick) — OHIO win probability +11.4 pts (now 17%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:24: Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 18 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +36.3 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 4 of 7OHIO made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 4:07OHIO 4th & 6 at OHIO 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:33M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:15OHIO 4th & 18 at OHIO 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−1.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:15OHIO 4th & 6 at OHIO 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:34M-OH 4th & 19 at M-OH 17, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−2.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:46OHIO 4th & 14 at M-OH 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−1.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    10.2%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:06OHIO 4th & 2 at M-OH 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    4.6%−0.7
    77% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−4.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:44M-OH 4th & 2 at M-OH 37, up 14
    Close callPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.0%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:03OHIO 4th & 7 at M-OH 11, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−8.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:14M-OH 4th & 10 at M-OH 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:12M-OH 4th & 11 at OHIO 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−1.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:40M-OH 4th & 3 at M-OH 37, up 9
    Close callPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.5%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:30M-OH 4th & 6 at OHIO 43, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    87.1%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%−2.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:11OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:16M-OH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:12M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:32M-OH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:44M-OH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:32OHIO Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:14OHIO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:24OHIO Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.0%−1.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 3:3463% → 63%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
37.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+4
37.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+58
37.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 58 yds to the MiaOh 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
37.5%
Maleek Irons run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
37.7%
Maleek Irons run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 3Similar
Q1 11:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
36.6%
Maleek Irons run for 3 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 2TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 2:3437% → 40%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
37.4%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 5 yds to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+1
37.4%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Alonzo Smith for 1 yd to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+33
37.4%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Andrew Homer for 33 yds to the Ohio 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
37.9%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Luke MayockSimilar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-1
37.9%
Kenny Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 20Similar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 11
OPP 20
+17
37.6%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Luke Mayock for 17 yds to the Ohio 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
40.4%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 3:5161% → 59%
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
39.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 13 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
39.2%
Nathan Rourke run for 5 yds to the Ohio 38Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+4
39.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+2
39.2%
Nathan Rourke run for 2 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
39.5%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+2
39.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
39.8%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:07
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
40.7%
Michael Farkas punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jack Sorenson at the MiaOh 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1741% → 41%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
40.8%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Nate Becker for 7 yds to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 3
OWN 14
-8
41.1%
Gus Ragland sacked by Evan Croutch for a loss of 8 yards to the MiaOh 14 MIAMI OH Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q1 2:40
3RD & 11
OWN 14
+4
40.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 4 yds to the MiaOh 18Similar
Q1 2:33
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
40.6%
Kyle Kramer punt for 49 yds, downed at the Ohio 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 2:1060% → 57%
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
40.5%
Nathan Rourke run for no gain to the Ohio 33Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
40.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 1 yd to the Ohio 34Similar
Q1 0:48
3RD & 9
OWN 34
-9
41.7%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Pasquale Calcagno for a loss of 9 yards to the Ohio 25Similar
Q1 0:15
4TH & 18
OWN 25
+3
42.6%
Michael Farkas punt for 49 yds , Jack Sorenson returns for 3 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6TD
13 plays · 71 yds · 3:4843% → 53%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
42.7%
Gus Ragland run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 2
OWN 37
0
43.8%
Kenny Young run for no gain to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+6
43.4%
Alonzo Smith run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
44.3%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 5 yds to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+7
44.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jaylon Bester for 7 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
45.3%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Luke MayockSimilar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
45.2%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+11
45.3%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 11 yds to the Ohio 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
46.3%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Nate BeckerSimilar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-5
46.2%
MIAMI OH Penalty, False Start (Tommy Doyle) to the Ohio 34Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 15
OPP 34
+18
45.3%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 18 yds to the Ohio 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
46.5%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Alonzo SmithSimilar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
52.7%
Kenny Young run for 16 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:3950% → 48%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
50.3%
Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 24Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
50.9%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
51.8%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:2852% → 65%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
52.0%
Gus Ragland sacked by Kent Berger for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 12
OWN 32
+7
52.5%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jalen Walker for 7 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+5
53.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 5 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+30
55.9%
Jaylon Bester run for 30 yds to the Ohio 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
56.8%
Jaylon Bester run for 1 yd to the Ohio 25Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
57.2%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Kenny YoungSimilar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+13
56.5%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 13 yds to the Ohio 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
65.3%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Luke Mayock for 12 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · 36 yds · 0:5937% → 36%
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
63.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
63.2%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 6 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+25
63.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 25 yds Isiah Cox fumbled, forced by Brad Koenig, recovered by MiaOh Myles Reid , return for 13 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 10TD
5 plays · 48 yds · 1:1667% → 85%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+19
67.0%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Nate Becker for 19 yds to the Ohio 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
67.3%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Kenny YoungSimilar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+21
67.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 21 yds to the Ohio 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
68.1%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the Ohio 8Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
84.9%
Alonzo Smith run for 8 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 1:5118% → 16%
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
82.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 6 yds to the Ohio 20Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+4
82.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 4 yds to the Ohio 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
83.5%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 5
OWN 29
-1
83.3%
Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 28Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
83.3%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q2 1:15
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
83.7%
Michael Farkas punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jack Sorenson at the MiaOh 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:5388% → 88%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
87.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 22
-2
87.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13DOWNS
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:4488% → 88%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
88.4%
Kenny Young run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
88.9%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Kenny YoungSimilar
Q3 14:02
3RD & 9
OWN 27
0
88.7%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Luke MayockSimilar
Q3 13:46
4TH & 9
OWN 27
-10
87.9%
MIAMI OH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MiaOh 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14PUNT
1 play · -10 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q3 13:34
4TH & 19
OWN 17
+7
88.0%
Kyle Kramer punt for 48 yds , Kylan Nelson returns for 7 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:1413% → 11%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+21
86.9%
Nathan Rourke run for 21 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
86.7%
Nathan Rourke run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 7
OPP 34
-7
86.4%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Bart Baratti for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q3 11:54
3RD & 14
OPP 41
0
88.9%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q3 11:46
4TH & 14
OPP 41
0
89.1%
Michael Farkas punt for 38 yds, downed at the MiaOh 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16INT
11 plays · 50 yds · 5:2991% → 94%
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
90.6%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+5
90.8%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q3 10:48
3RD & 5
OWN 8
+10
90.9%
Alonzo Smith run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+17
91.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 17 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
92.6%
Kenny Young run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
92.8%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 2 yds to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+5
93.2%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+6
93.3%
Alonzo Smith run for 6 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
93.9%
Ragland, Gus pass sacked for loss of 1 yards to the OHIO42 (Baker, Cole), PENALTY MIAMIOH holding (Rigg, Jordan) 10 yards to the MIAMIOH49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 20
OWN 49
+4
93.8%
Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 16
OPP 47
+3
94.1%
Gus Ragland pass intercepted Jared Dorsa return for 3 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17TD
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:287% → 18%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
92.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 9 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+10
92.8%
Maleek Irons run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
93.3%
Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaOh 37 Nathan Rourke fumbled, recovered by OhioSimilar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 20
OPP 37
+12
94.4%
Nathan Rourke run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+6
94.5%
Nathan Rourke run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q3 3:06
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+10
94.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 10 yds to the MiaOh 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
94.4%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q3 2:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
94.4%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q3 2:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
82.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 9 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3989% → 90%
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
88.8%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+6
88.8%
Alonzo Smith run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q3 1:15
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+2
89.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 2 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q3 0:44
4TH & 2
OWN 37
+2
89.6%
Kyle Kramer punt for 36 yds , Kylan Nelson returns for 2 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19MISSED FG
6 plays · 60 yds · 1:2715% → 13%
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+46
85.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 46 yds to the MiaOh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
84.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
84.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
84.8%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
85.9%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q4 14:03
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+29
87.2%
Louie Zervos 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20PUNT TD
7 plays · 23 yds · 4:4191% → 83%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
91.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
91.8%
Alonzo Smith run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
92.8%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+6
93.0%
Kenny Young run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 3
50
-5
93.6%
MIAMI OH Penalty, False Start (Tommy Doyle) to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 8
OWN 45
-2
94.2%
Gus Ragland sacked by Evan Croutch for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q4 9:14
4TH & 10
OWN 43
+28
82.8%
Dylan Conner 28 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Louie Zervos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:4886% → 85%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-7
86.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Maurice Thomas for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 17
OWN 46
+6
86.2%
Alonzo Smith run for 6 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q4 7:22
3RD & 11
OPP 48
0
86.2%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Kenny YoungSimilar
Q4 7:12
4TH & 11
OPP 48
0
85.0%
Kyle Kramer punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22SF
3 plays · -1 yds · 1:0817% → 10%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
82.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Ohio 3Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+2
83.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 2 yds to the Ohio 5Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 6
OWN 5
-5
90.0%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Doug Costin for a loss of 5 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:5590% → 92%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
89.7%
Gus Ragland run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+1
90.0%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+4
90.3%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q4 4:40
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
92.1%
Kyle Kramer punt for 63 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 24TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:106% → 42%
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
94.1%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 13 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
93.5%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah CoxSimilar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+7
93.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 7 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q4 3:28
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+22
93.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 22 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+15
92.8%
Rourke, Nathan pass incomplete, PENALTY MIAMIOH personal foul 15 yards to the MIAMIOH20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIO.Similar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
94.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 18Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+18
57.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 18 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:4682% → 91%
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
81.6%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+2
84.5%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q4 1:17
3RD & 5
OPP 42
-1
88.0%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 43Similar
Q4 0:30
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
90.9%
Kyle Kramer punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Kylan Nelson at the Ohio 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 26Uncategorized
6 plays · 34 yds · 0:2615% → 17%
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
85.3%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Andrew MeyerSimilar
Q4 0:19
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+6
86.1%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 6 yds to the Ohio 17Similar
Q4 0:15
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+9
86.6%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 9 yds to the Ohio 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+19
85.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 19 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
82.8%
Quinton Maxwell pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:24
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 18 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)
-36.3
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+17.2
TD · Q2 3:44
Alonzo Smith run for 8 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)
+16.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com