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KENT

Kent State 14 at Buffalo 48

BUF
2018 · Week 11 · Nov 6, 2018 · UB Stadium
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Win probability · BUF
modelBUF aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playBUF scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:17 · Derek Adams punt for 47 yds , K.J. Osborn returns for 15 yds to the Buff 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 86Home team on offense+26.1Pregame prior+20.8Score differential+21.6Blowout margin+10.3Garbage-time factor+5.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:46: Tyree Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK) — BUF win probability +0.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:46: Emmanuel Reed run for 2 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK) — BUF win probability +3.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:11: Kevin Marks run for 5 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson PAT BLOCKED) — BUF win probability +2.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:17: Jaret Patterson run for 21 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK) — BUF win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:42: Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 3 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK) — BUF win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BUF made the numbers' call on 6 of 8KENT made the numbers' call on 12 of 12
  1. Q1 14:30KENT 4th & 7 at KENT 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:46KENT 4th & 24 at KENT 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−0.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:15BUF 4th & 10 at KENT 33, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    87.7%
    49% to make
    Punt
    87.5%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:46KENT 4th & 1 at KENT 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.4%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:41KENT 4th & 8 at BUF 49, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:11BUF 4th & 3 at KENT 5, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.3%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    92.0%−0.3
    92% to make
    Punt
    89.7%−2.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:13KENT 4th & 6 at KENT 39, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:55BUF 4th & 3 at BUF 45, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.8%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:54KENT 4th & 8 at KENT 4, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:17KENT 4th & 20 at KENT 25, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:05BUF 4th & 6 at KENT 30, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00KENT 4th & 13 at KENT 22, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:42KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 25, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:58BUF 4th & 8 at BUF 49, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:05KENT 4th & 9 at KENT 21, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:03KENT 4th & 13 at KENT 22, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00BUF 4th & 11 at KENT 35, up 48
    Close callWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    45% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:51BUF 4th & 6 at BUF 21, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:46KENT 4th & 1 at BUF 47, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:10BUF 4th & 1 at KENT 44, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BUF made the numbers' call on 7 of 7KENT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:30BUF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:46BUF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:46BUF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:11BUF Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:17BUF Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:42BUF Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:03BUF Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:56KENT Touchdown, down 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:11KENT Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BUFDrive 1TD
3 plays · 71 yds · 0:3085% → 85%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
85.4%
Jaret Patterson run for 7 yds to the Buff 36Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+64
85.3%
Jaret Patterson run for 64 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
85.3%
Jo-El Shaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 24Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
85.3%
Woody Barrett run for 4 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q1 14:30
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
85.3%
Woody Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:30
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
85.3%
Derek Adams punt for 24 yds, downed at the Buff 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 3TD
9 plays · 52 yds · 3:1685% → 86%
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
85.3%
Tyree Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
85.3%
Jaret Patterson run for no gain to the Buff 48Similar
Q1 13:02
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+16
85.2%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to Charlie Jones for 16 yds to the KntSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
85.3%
Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+23
85.3%
Jaret Patterson run for 23 yds to the KntSt 11 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
85.3%
Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds to the KntSt 8Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+5
85.3%
Jaret Patterson run for 5 yds to the KntSt 3Similar
Q1 13:02
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+2
85.3%
Tyree Jackson run for 2 yds to the KntSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.2%
Tyree Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · -1 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
85.8%
Jo-El Shaw run for 3 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
85.8%
Jo-El Shaw run for 4 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
85.8%
Jo-El Shaw run for 6 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
85.7%
[SGUN], BARRETT, WOODY pass incomplete to DIXON, ANTWAN, PENALTY KENT holding (WASHINGTON, M.) 10 yards to the KENT28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 20
OWN 28
0
85.8%
Woody Barrett run for no gain to the KntSt 28Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 20
OWN 28
-8
85.8%
Antwan Dixon run for a loss of 8 yards to the KntSt 20Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 28
OWN 20
+4
85.9%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 4 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q1 9:46
4TH & 24
OWN 24
0
85.9%
Derek Adams punt for 25 yds , K.J. Osborn returns for no gain to the KntSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 5TD
7 plays · 49 yds · 2:2987% → 90%
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
87.0%
Emmanuel Reed run for 2 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+14
87.0%
Jaret Patterson run for 14 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
87.0%
Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Charlie JonesSimilar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
87.0%
Tyree Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
86.9%
Emmanuel Reed run for no gain to the KntSt 33Similar
Q1 6:15
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+31
86.6%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 31 yds to the KntSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.7%
Emmanuel Reed run for 2 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6PUNT
12 plays · 26 yds · 3:0511% → 10%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.5%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 5 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
89.5%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 4 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
89.4%
Justin Rankin run for no gain to the KntSt 34Similar
Q1 3:46
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
89.5%
Justin Rankin run for 1 yd to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
89.4%
Justin Rankin run for 3 yds to the KntSt 38Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+11
89.4%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Adam Dulka for 11 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
89.3%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Adam DulkaSimilar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+1
89.4%
Justin Rankin run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 9
50
+1
89.5%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 1 yd to the Buff 49Similar
Q1 0:41
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
90.3%
Dustin Crum punt for no gain, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 7TD
9 plays · 51 yds · 2:2491% → 94%
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
91.1%
Tyree Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+12
91.0%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 12 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
91.2%
Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony JohnsonSimilar
Q1 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
91.2%
Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. OsbornSimilar
Q1 0:35
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+27
90.9%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to Charlie Jones for 27 yds to the KntSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
91.4%
Kevin Marks run for no gain to the KntSt 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+3
91.4%
Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the KntSt 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+4
91.1%
Kevin Marks run for 4 yds to the KntSt 5Similar
Q2 13:11
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+5
93.7%
Kevin Marks run for 5 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:585% → 5%
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
94.8%
Jo-El Shaw run for 8 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
94.5%
Woody Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
94.5%
Woody Barrett run for 1 yd to the KntSt 44Similar
Q2 12:13
4TH & 1
OWN 44
-5
95.4%
[SGUN], PENALTY KENT false start (MONNIN, NATHAN) 5 yards to the KENT39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:13
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+29
95.5%
Derek Adams punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 38 , K.J. Osborn returns for 29 yds to the Buff 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 9FUMBLE
11 plays · 60 yds · 5:5696% → 97%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
95.5%
Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds to the Buff 41Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+2
95.4%
Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the Buff 43Similar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+2
95.4%
Tyree Jackson run for 2 yds to the Buff 45Similar
Q2 11:55
4TH & 3
OWN 45
+4
95.1%
Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds to the Buff 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+18
95.5%
Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the BUFFALO 48 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, personal foul (KJ Sherald) to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
95.5%
Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 7
OPP 30
-1
95.5%
Kevin Marks run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 31Similar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+27
95.4%
Jaret Patterson run for 27 yds to the KntSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
95.5%
Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the KntSt 2Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
97.3%
Jaret Patterson run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 2 Jaret Patterson fumbled, recovered by KntSt Cepeda PhillipsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
97.6%
Woody Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 10
OWN 2
0
97.5%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Antwan Dixon KENT ST Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 10
OWN 2
+2
97.6%
Jo-El Shaw run for 2 yds to the KntSt 4Similar
Q2 5:54
4TH & 8
OWN 4
+16
97.6%
Derek Adams punt for 47 yds , K.J. Osborn returns for 16 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 11TD
5 plays · 35 yds · 2:3498% → 99%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
97.6%
Jaret Patterson run for 7 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+4
97.6%
Kevin Marks run for 4 yds to the KntSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
97.6%
Jaret Patterson run for no gain to the KntSt 24Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
97.6%
Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds to the KntSt 21Similar
Q2 2:17
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+21
98.5%
Jaret Patterson run for 21 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
98.8%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 2 yds to the KntSt 37Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
98.8%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q2 2:17
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-12
98.8%
Woody Barrett sacked by Justin Brandon for a loss of 12 yards to the KntSt 25Similar
Q2 2:17
4TH & 20
OWN 25
+15
98.9%
Derek Adams punt for 47 yds , K.J. Osborn returns for 15 yds to the Buff 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 30 yds · 1:0499% → 99%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
98.6%
Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Rodney Scott IIISimilar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+12
98.6%
Kevin Marks run for 12 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
98.6%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to Rodney Scott III for 11 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
98.6%
Tyree Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
98.6%
Tyree Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+4
98.6%
Kevin Marks run for 4 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+3
98.7%
Tyree Jackson run for 3 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Antwan DixonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.9%
Jo-El Shaw run for 3 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-6
98.9%
Woody Barrett sacked by Justin Brandon for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 22Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
98.9%
Derek Adams punt for 40 yds , K.J. Osborn returns for no gain to the Buff 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 15TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 3:5699% → 100%
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.0%
Emmanuel Reed run for 2 yds to the Buff 40Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+16
99.0%
Emmanuel Reed run for 16 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
99.0%
Theo Anderson run for 5 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+6
99.0%
Emmanuel Reed run for 6 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
99.0%
BUFFALO Penalty, false start (Kayode Awosika) to the KntSt 38Similar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 15
OPP 38
+11
99.0%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 11 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+24
99.0%
Emmanuel Reed run for 24 yds to the KntSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.5%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 3 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 0%
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Jo-El Shaw run for no gain to the KntSt 25Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:42
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoySimilar
Q3 9:42
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Derek Adams punt for 28 yds, downed at the Buff 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
99.6%
Theo Anderson run for 6 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 4
OPP 47
-5
99.6%
[SGUN], PENALTY UB false start (NUNN, Antonio) 5 yards to the UB48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+1
99.6%
Theo Anderson run for 1 yd to the Buff 49Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
99.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Zac LefebvreSimilar
Q3 8:58
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
99.5%
Evan Finegan punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
99.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Lon'kevious McFadden for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 19Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+2
99.7%
Jo-El Shaw run for 2 yds to the KntSt 21Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
99.7%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Lon'kevious McFaddenSimilar
Q3 7:05
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
99.7%
Derek Adams punt for 18 yds, downed at the KntSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 19TD
5 plays · 39 yds · 2:49100% → 100%
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
99.7%
Johnathan Hawkins run for 15 yds to the KntSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
99.7%
Emmanuel Reed run for 3 yds to the KntSt 21Similar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+3
99.7%
Emmanuel Reed run for 3 yds to the KntSt 18Similar
Q3 5:52
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+7
99.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Zac Lefebvre for 7 yds to the KntSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.8%
Theo Anderson run for 11 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.8%
Jo-El Shaw run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 22Similar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
99.8%
Dustin Crum run for no gain to the KntSt 22Similar
Q3 3:03
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
99.8%
Derek Adams punt for 12 yds, downed at the KntSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:40100% → 100%
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
99.8%
[SGUN], ANDERSON, Theo rush for 4 yards to the KENT30 (HICKS, DALTON), PENALTY UB holding (FUZAK, Jake) 10 yards to the KENT44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 20
OPP 44
+4
99.8%
Theo Anderson run for 4 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 16
OPP 40
+5
99.8%
Theo Anderson run for 5 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 35
0
99.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Zac LefebvreSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 35
+2
99.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Zac Lefebvre for 2 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22TD
16 plays · 67 yds · 4:530% → 0%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
99.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 5 yds to the KntSt 38Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 5
OWN 38
-1
99.9%
Jo-El Shaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 37Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+9
99.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 9 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Lon'kevious McFadden for 5 yds to the Buff 49Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+5
99.9%
Dustin Crum run for 5 yds to the Buff 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.9%
Jo-El Shaw run for 4 yds to the Buff 40Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+12
99.9%
Dustin Crum run for 12 yds to the Buff 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-4
99.8%
Jo-El Shaw run for a loss of 4 yards to the Buff 32Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 14
OPP 32
+3
99.9%
Dustin Crum run for 3 yds to the Buff 29Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 11
OPP 29
+11
99.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 11 yds to the Buff 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
99.8%
[SGUN], PENALTY KENT false start (PRICE, KAVIOUS) 5 yards to the UB23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+6
99.9%
Dustin Crum run for 6 yds to the Buff 17Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+13
99.8%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Raekwon James for 13 yds to the Buff 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
99.8%
Jo-El Shaw run for 1 yd to the Buff 3Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
99.8%
Jo-El Shaw run for 1 yd to the Buff 2Similar
Q4 9:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Dustin Crum run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
99.9%
Kyle Vantrease run for 4 yds to the Buff 21Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 6
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Theo Anderson run for no gain to the Buff 21Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 6
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Rodney Scott IIISimilar
Q4 9:51
4TH & 6
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Evan Finegan punt for 31 yds, downed at the KntSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 24TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:010% → 0%
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+19
99.9%
Dustin Crum run for 19 yds to the Buff 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Raekwon James for 3 yds to the Buff 30Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Dustin Crum run for no gain to the Buff 30Similar
Q4 8:12
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+12
99.9%
Dustin Crum run for 12 yds to the Buff 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
99.9%
Dustin Crum run for 7 yds to the Buff 11Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 3
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Myles Washington, broken up by Kadofi WrightSimilar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 11 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 25Uncategorized
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the Buff 29Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
99.9%
Dominic Johnson run for 1 yd to the Buff 30Similar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
99.9%
Dylan McDuffie run for 3 yds to the Buff 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Trey HarrellSimilar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+9
99.9%
Jo-El Shaw run for 9 yds to the Buff 47Similar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 1
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Jo-El Shaw run for no gain to the Buff 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 27DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Dylan McDuffie run for no gain to the Buff 47Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.9%
Dylan McDuffie run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 7
50
+6
99.9%
Dylan McDuffie run for 6 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q4 3:10
4TH & 1
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Dylan McDuffie run for no gain to the KntSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
100.0%
Jo-El Shaw run for 9 yds to the Buff 47Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+7
99.9%
Jo-El Shaw run for 7 yds to the Buff 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Jo-El Shaw run for no gain to the Buff 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 3:46
Emmanuel Reed run for 2 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK)
+3.1
TD · Q2 13:11
Kevin Marks run for 5 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson PAT BLOCKED)
+2.6
TD · Q1 9:46
Tyree Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK)
+0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com