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CMU

Central Michigan 7 at Eastern Michigan 17

EMU
2018 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2018 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:10 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. SACK · Q2 0:07: Mike Danna 68 Yd Fumble Return (Ryan Tice Kick) — CMU win probability +7.0 pts (now 23%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:07: Kaden Keon kickoff for 60 yds for a touchback — CMU win probability +8.4 pts (now 31%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 8:50: Romello Ross run for 2 yds to the CMich 15 — CMU win probability +7.5 pts (now 34%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:18: Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 19 yds to the CMich 32 for a 1ST down — EMU win probability +6.0 pts (now 68%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:33: Blake Banham 7 Yd pass from Tyler Wiegers (Chad Ryland Kick) — EMU win probability +19.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9CMU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00CMU 4th & 3 at CMU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:59CMU 4th & 6 at CMU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:14EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:42EMU 4th & 2 at CMU 21, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.9%−0.2
    74% to make
    Punt
    80.3%−1.8
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:42CMU 4th & 16 at CMU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00EMU 4th & 17 at EMU 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−0.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:04CMU 4th & 10 at CMU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:13EMU 4th & 17 at EMU 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%−1.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:07CMU 4th & 4 at EMU 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    18.8%−0.8
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:39EMU 4th & 4 at CMU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    71.7%−0.2
    72% to make
    Punt
    65.2%−6.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:11CMU 4th & 8 at CMU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−1.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:50CMU 4th & 9 at CMU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−2.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:42EMU 4th & 6 at EMU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:39CMU 4th & 3 at CMU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−0.9
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:53EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%−3.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00CMU 4th & 12 at CMU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−4.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:40EMU 4th & 11 at EMU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−4.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:33CMU 4th & 5 at CMU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−1.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:47EMU 4th & 7 at CMU 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    85.3%−5.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:30EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 7:33EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−1.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.1%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Devon SpaldingSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
83.1%
Romello Ross run for 7 yds to the CMich 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
83.1%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Devon SpaldingSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
83.1%
Jack Sheldon punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2TD
4 plays · 88 yds · 1:4683% → 83%
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+10
82.9%
Mike Glass III run for 10 yds to the EMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+47
82.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Blake Banham for 47 yds to the CMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
82.9%
Blake Banham run for 5 yds to the CMich 26Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+26
83.1%
Shaq Vann 26 Yd Run (Chad Ryland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 1:3117% → 17%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.9%
Tony Poljan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
82.9%
Romello Ross run for 8 yds to the CMich 33Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
82.8%
Romello Ross run for 4 yds to the CMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
82.8%
Romello Ross run for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 33Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 14
OWN 33
0
82.9%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Romello RossSimilar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 14
OWN 33
+8
82.9%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Devon Spalding for 8 yds to the CMich 41Similar
Q1 10:59
4TH & 6
OWN 41
-2
82.8%
Jack Sheldon punt for 42 yds , Blake Banham returns for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
82.8%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the EMich 18Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
82.8%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 7
OWN 18
-3
82.7%
Mike Glass III run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 15Similar
Q1 10:14
4TH & 10
OWN 15
+25
82.6%
Jake Julien punt for 40 yds EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, CI (-15 Yards) to the EMich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5FUMBLE
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
82.2%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 45Similar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+9
82.4%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 9 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+4
82.2%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 4 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+5
82.2%
Tony Poljan pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 5 yds to the EMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
82.0%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 9 yds to the EMich 18Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+6
82.0%
Tony Poljan run for 6 yds to the EMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-3
82.0%
Tony Poljan sacked by Jeremiah Harris and CJ Hunt for a loss of 10 yards to the EMich 49 Tony Poljan fumbled, recovered by EMich Brody Hoying , return for 0 yards , return for 12 yds to the EMich 0 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Cameron Cole) to the EMich 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6MISSED FG
8 plays · 30 yds · 3:4883% → 82%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
83.0%
Mike Glass III run for 12 yds to the CMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
83.0%
Willie Parker run for no gain to the CMich 39Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
83.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 4 yds to the CMich 35Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+6
82.9%
Ian Eriksen run for 6 yds to the CMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
83.1%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+8
83.1%
Mike Glass III run for 8 yds to the CMich 21Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 2
OPP 21
0
82.9%
Ian Eriksen run for no gain to the CMich 21Similar
Q1 2:42
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+38
82.4%
Chad Ryland 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
82.1%
Tony Poljan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+8
82.1%
Romello Ross run for 8 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+2
82.1%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 2 yds to the CMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
81.9%
Tony Poljan pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 4 yds to the CMich 35Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 6
OWN 35
-10
81.8%
POLJAN, Tony rush for 1 yard to the CMU36, out-of-bounds (PICKETT, Jaylen), PENALTY CMU holding (RAIMANN, Bernhard) 10 yards to the CMU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 16
OWN 25
0
82.2%
Tony Poljan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 16
OWN 25
0
82.4%
Tony Poljan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:42
4TH & 16
OWN 25
+5
82.6%
Jack Sheldon punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 30 , Blake Banham returns for 5 yds to the EMich 30 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, IB (10 Yards) to the EMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:3382% → 81%
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
82.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Blake Banham for 12 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
82.6%
Mike Glass III run for 5 yds to the EMich 47 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the EMich 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 32
0
81.9%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Blake BanhamSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 32
+3
81.5%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 35
+1
81.2%
Jake Julien punt for 34 yds , Gage Kreski returns for 1 yd to the CMich 32 Gage Kreski fumbled, recovered by CMich Gage KreskiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:5819% → 17%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
81.3%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 27Similar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 15
OWN 27
0
81.5%
Romello Ross run for no gain to the CMich 27Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 15
OWN 27
+5
81.7%
Romello Ross run for 5 yds to the CMich 32Similar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
82.4%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Cameron ColeSimilar
Q2 13:04
4TH & 10
OWN 32
+4
82.6%
Jack Sheldon punt for 47 yds , Blake Banham returns for 4 yds to the EMich 36 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, IB (10 Yards) to the EMich 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:3182% → 81%
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
82.2%
Mike Glass III run for 2 yds to the EMich 17Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
82.2%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+11
81.8%
GLASS, Mike pass incomplete to DRUMMOND, Dylan, PENALTY CMU pass interference (CRAWFORD, Xavier) 11 yards to the EMU28, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
82.4%
Breck Turner run for no gain to the EMich 28Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-4
82.2%
Mike Glass III run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 24Similar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 14
OWN 24
-3
81.7%
Tyler Wiegers sacked by Mike Danna and Mitch Stanitzek for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 21Similar
Q2 11:13
4TH & 17
OWN 21
0
81.3%
Jake Julien punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 0:0018% → 19%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
81.6%
Romello Ross run for 6 yds to the CMich 38Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+3
80.8%
Tony Poljan run for 3 yds to the CMich 41Similar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
80.9%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Devon Spalding for 2 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
81.2%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Devon Spalding for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 42Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+4
81.4%
Romello Ross run for 4 yds to the CMich 46Similar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+9
81.3%
Tony Poljan pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 9 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
80.5%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Bernhard RaimannSimilar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
80.6%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Trevor Apsey, broken up by Kevin McGillSimilar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+6
81.3%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Kumehnnu Gwilly for 6 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q2 10:07
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
81.3%
Jack Sheldon punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12INT
14 plays · 59 yds · 3:1883% → 84%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
82.6%
Ian Eriksen run for no gain to the EMich 20Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
82.5%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Ian EriksenSimilar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+22
82.0%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Blake Banham for 22 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
83.5%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 5 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+2
83.6%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+16
83.2%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Isaac Holder for 16 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
84.4%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Line LatuSimilar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+5
84.3%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the CMich 30Similar
Q2 3:08
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+7
83.9%
Shaq Vann run for 7 yds to the CMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
84.5%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the CMich 20Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 7
OPP 20
-1
84.5%
Tyler Wiegers run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 21Similar
Q2 3:08
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+4
83.9%
Tyler Wiegers pass intercepted Malik Fountain return for 4 yds to the CMich 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
82.8%
Tony Poljan run for 5 yds to the CMich 24Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 5
OWN 24
0
82.6%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Julian Hicks, broken up by Jaylen PickettSimilar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+7
83.2%
Tony Poljan pass intercepted Kevin McGill return for 7 yds to the CMich 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14FUMBLE TD
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:3284% → 77%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
84.2%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Shaq Vann for 11 yds to the CMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+68
77.2%
Mike Danna 68 Yd Fumble Return (Ryan Tice Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
73.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16DOWNS
12 plays · 37 yds · 2:1475% → 72%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
74.6%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Bryce KempSimilar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
74.0%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Blake Banham for 3 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+8
73.5%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Bryce Kemp for 8 yds to the EASTMICH 46 for a 1ST down CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
75.3%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 3 yds to the CMich 43Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 7
OPP 43
-5
75.3%
WIEGERS, Tyler pass complete to DONNELLON, Jake for 9 yards to the CMU34 (ADESANYA, Sean), PENALTY EMU IT (DONNELLON, Jake) 5 yards to the CMU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+20
74.1%
Shaq Vann run for 20 yds to the CMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
75.8%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Arthur Jackson IIISimilar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+5
74.6%
Tyler Wiegers run for 5 yds to the CMich 23Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+1
73.7%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the CMich 22Similar
Q3 12:39
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+2
72.1%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Blake Banham for 2 yds Blake Banham fumbled, forced by Da'Quaun Jamison, recovered by EMich Blake BanhamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0033% → 30%
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
67.4%
Romello Ross run for 1 yd to the CMich 21Similar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+1
67.6%
Romello Ross run for 1 yd to the CMich 22Similar
Q3 11:11
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
68.7%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete, broken up by Turan RushSimilar
Q3 11:11
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+43
69.8%
Jack Sheldon punt for 39 yds , Blake Banham returns for 43 yds to the CMich 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18FUMBLE
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
73.9%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the CMich 17Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+4
73.9%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 4 yds Arthur Jackson III fumbled, forced by Sean Bunting, recovered by CMich Malik FountainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0034% → 32%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
66.4%
Romello Ross run for 2 yds to the CMich 15Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+1
66.6%
Romello Ross run for 1 yd to the CMich 16Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+10
67.8%
Tony Poljan run for 10 yds to the CMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
66.0%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 2 yds to the CMich 28Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+5
65.6%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Devon Spalding for 5 yds to the CMich 33Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 3
OWN 33
-6
65.3%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Romello Ross for a loss of 6 yards to the CMich 27Similar
Q3 8:50
4TH & 9
OWN 27
0
68.5%
Jack Sheldon punt for 40 yds, downed at the EMich 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
68.1%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 4 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+2
69.8%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 4
OWN 39
-2
69.0%
Tyler Wiegers run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 37Similar
Q3 5:42
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
66.6%
Jake Julien punt for 38 yds, downed at the CMich 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
62.6%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Hunter Buczkowski for 7 yds to the CMich 32Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
60.1%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Bernhard RaimannSimilar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
62.1%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Trevor ApseySimilar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+10
64.0%
Jack Sheldon punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 31 , Blake Banham returns for 10 yds to the EMich 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0066% → 63%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
66.4%
Willie Parker run for no gain to the EMich 31Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
66.0%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Blake Banham for 6 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q3 2:53
3RD & 4
OWN 37
-6
66.7%
Tyler Wiegers sacked by LaQuan Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the EMich 31Similar
Q3 2:53
4TH & 10
OWN 31
+3
63.2%
Jake Julien punt for 43 yds , Darius Bracy returns for 3 yds to the CMich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:5740% → 36%
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
60.1%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete, broken up by Maxx CrosbySimilar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
61.2%
Kobe Lewis run for 5 yds to the CMich 34Similar
Q3 0:57
3RD & 5
OWN 34
-2
60.6%
Kobe Lewis run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 32Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 32
-5
63.0%
SHELDON, Jack punt 51 yards to the EMU17, downed, PENALTY CMU false start 5 yards to the CMU27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 27
+1
63.8%
Jack Sheldon punt for 40 yds , Blake Banham returns for 1 yd to the EMich 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0065% → 62%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
65.0%
Isaac Stiebeling run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 33Similar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 11
OWN 33
0
64.1%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Mathew SextonSimilar
Q4 14:40
3RD & 11
OWN 33
0
62.4%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Mathew Sexton, broken up by Sean BuntingSimilar
Q4 14:40
4TH & 11
OWN 33
0
61.5%
Jake Julien punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0041% → 38%
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
59.5%
Romello Ross run for 5 yds to the CMich 26Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 5
OWN 26
0
58.1%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Julian HicksSimilar
Q4 13:33
3RD & 5
OWN 26
-4
60.1%
Romello Ross run for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 26 Romello Ross fumbled, recovered by CMich Romello RossSimilar
Q4 13:33
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
62.4%
Jack Sheldon punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 26TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 4:4564% → 89%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
63.5%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 6 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 4
OWN 36
-4
66.1%
Tyler Wiegers run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 32Similar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+17
61.7%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 17 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+19
67.7%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 19 yds to the CMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
69.5%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds to the CMich 27Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+13
69.5%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Ian Eriksen for 13 yds to the CMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
69.5%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 4 yds to the CMich 10Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+3
69.5%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the CMich 7Similar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+7
89.0%
Blake Banham 7 Yd pass from Tyler Wiegers (Chad Ryland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 27FUMBLE
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:0015% → 13%
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
85.3%
Romello Ross run for 4 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-10
83.9%
Tony Poljan sacked by Jeremiah Harris and Ty Eddington for a loss of 10 yards to the CMich 19Similar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+7
86.7%
Tony Poljan sacked by Maxx Crosby for a loss of 7 yards to the CMich 7 Tony Poljan fumbled, recovered by EMich Jeremiah Harris , return for 0 yards , return for 7 yds to the CMich 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 28FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2891% → 93%
Q4 6:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
91.1%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 8Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
91.1%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Blake BanhamSimilar
Q4 6:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
90.5%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the CMich 7Similar
Q4 4:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+26
92.6%
Chad Ryland 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 29INT
11 plays · 30 yds · 0:008% → 10%
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
91.6%
Romello Ross run for 5 yds to the CMich 32Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 5
OWN 32
-8
90.4%
Austin Hergott sacked by Maxx Crosby for a loss of 8 yards to the CMich 24Similar
Q4 4:42
3RD & 13
OWN 24
0
92.7%
Austin Hergott pass incomplete to Cameron ColeSimilar
Q4 4:42
4TH & 13
OWN 24
+6
93.0%
HERGOTT, Austin pass incomplete to SULLIVAN, JaCorey, PENALTY EMU pass interference (CALHOUN, Vince) 6 yards to the CMU30, 1ST DOWN CMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
91.0%
Austin Hergott pass complete to Devon Spalding for 14 yds to the CMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
90.2%
HERGOTT, Austin pass complete to COLE, Cameron for 9 yards to the EMU47 (WILLIAMS, Ross), PENALTY CMU holding (FOLLMER, Nick) 10 yards to the CMU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 20
OWN 34
+8
92.1%
Austin Hergott pass complete to Devon Spalding for 8 yds to the CMich 42Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+15
91.0%
HERGOTT, Austin pass incomplete to HICKS, Julian, PENALTY EMU pass interference (McGILL, Kevin) 15 yards to the EMU43, 1ST DOWN CMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
89.7%
Austin Hergott pass incomplete to Drayton LawSimilar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
89.6%
Austin Hergott pass intercepted Vince Calhoun return for no gain to the EMich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 30END OF GAME
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:5894% → 97%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
94.4%
Isaac Stiebeling run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 15Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 12
OWN 15
-1
95.0%
Isaac Stiebeling pass complete to Mathew Sexton for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 14Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 13
OWN 14
+46
96.4%
Shaq Vann run for 46 yds to the CMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
96.9%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 42Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 12
OPP 42
-2
96.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 44Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 14
OPP 44
-2
96.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:33
Blake Banham 7 Yd pass from Tyler Wiegers (Chad Ryland Kick)
+19.5
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:07
Kaden Keon kickoff for 60 yds for a touchback
-8.4
KEY PLAY · Q3 8:50
Romello Ross run for 2 yds to the CMich 15
-7.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com