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OHIO

Ohio 59 at Western Michigan 14

WMU
2018 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2018 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:04 · Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 21 yds to the Ohio 7 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.5+29.80−29.8−59.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 98Home team on offense−38.0Score differential−25.3Garbage-time factor−8.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.6Pregame prior−2.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:18: Nathan Rourke run for 6 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +2.6 pts (now 58%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:26: Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 8 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +4.2 pts (now 63%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:16: Nathan Rourke run for 13 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +4.6 pts (now 83%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:01: Nathan Rourke pass complete to Adam Luehrman for 8 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +6.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:47: Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 10 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +3.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:10WMU 4th & 8 at OHIO 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    42.9%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:49WMU 4th & 2 at WMU 16, down 14
    Close callPunted · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:49WMU 4th & 12 at WMU 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:02OHIO 4th & 8 at WMU 22, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    73.9%−3.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:42OHIO 4th & 13 at WMU 13, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    86.6%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:01WMU 4th & 2 at WMU 43, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.3%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00OHIO 4th & 6 at OHIO 29, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:04WMU 4th & 6 at OHIO 28, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:50OHIO 4th & 6 at OHIO 28, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:14WMU 4th & 2 at WMU 28, down 45
    Close callPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00OHIO 4th & 7 at WMU 43, up 45
    Close callPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:49WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 26, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:45OHIO 4th & 3 at OHIO 42, up 45
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:31WMU 4th & 3 at WMU 24, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2OHIO made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 7:18OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:26OHIO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:16OHIO Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:01OHIO Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:47OHIO Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:50WMU Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:14OHIO Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:36WMU Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:49OHIO Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1MISSED FG
8 plays · 53 yds · 2:5044% → 45%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
43.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jayden Reed for 5 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
43.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 6 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+40
43.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 40 yds to the Ohio 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
43.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the Ohio 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 21
-1
43.9%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Kent Berger for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 22Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 8
OPP 22
0
44.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:10
4TH & 8
OPP 22
+39
44.9%
Gavin Peddie 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 4:5255% → 58%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
44.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 10 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
44.6%
Nathan Rourke run for 15 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
44.4%
Nathan Rourke run for 1 yd to the Ohio 48Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+7
44.4%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 7 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+4
44.4%
Nathan Rourke run for 4 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
44.4%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 15 yds to the WMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
44.7%
ROURKE, N. pass incomplete to BROWN, C., PENALTY WMU roughing passer (FRENCH, WESLEY) 13 yards to the WMU13, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
44.7%
Nathan Rourke run for 7 yds to the WMich 6Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 3
OPP 6
0
44.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the WMich 6Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+6
42.0%
Nathan Rourke run for 6 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3FUMBLE
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
42.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 8 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+5
43.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
43.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 19 Jamauri Bogan fumbled, recovered by Ohio Austin ConradSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4TD
3 plays · 19 yds · 1:3158% → 63%
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
41.6%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 10 yds to the WMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
41.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the WMich 8Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
37.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 8 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5PUNT TD
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3739% → 31%
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
39.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 10Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+6
39.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Drake Harris for 6 yds to the WMich 16Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 2
OWN 16
0
38.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:49
4TH & 2
OWN 16
+13
31.3%
Nick Mihalic punt blocked by DL Knock blocked by DL Knock Alvin Floyd return for 13 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
31.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 23Similar
Q1 2:49
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
31.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Justin TranquillSimilar
Q1 2:49
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
31.2%
ELEBY, KALEB pass complete to REED, JAYDEN for 27 yards to the 50 yardline (HAGAN, J.), PENALTY WMU illegal touching (REED, JAYDEN) 0 yards to the WMU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:49
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+7
31.2%
Nick Mihalic punt for 35 yds , Papi White returns for 7 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7MISSED FG
12 plays · 29 yds · 4:5472% → 73%
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
28.5%
Maleek Irons run for 4 yds to the WMich 47Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
28.5%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Andrew MeyerSimilar
Q1 1:56
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+12
28.8%
Maleek Irons run for 12 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
28.5%
Maleek Irons run for 4 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
-10
26.1%
ROURKE, N. rush for 7 yards to the WMU24 (MOMENT, CORVIN;TRANQUILL, J), PENALTY OHIO HL (LOWERY, J.) 10 yards to the WMU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 41
+17
26.4%
Nathan Rourke run for 17 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
27.2%
Nathan Rourke run for 4 yds to the WMich 20Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+3
27.2%
Maleek Irons run for 3 yds to the WMich 17Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 3
OPP 17
-5
27.7%
OHIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 22Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 8
OPP 22
0
27.8%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Andrew Meyer, broken up by Anton CurtisSimilar
Q2 12:02
4TH & 8
OPP 22
+39
26.9%
Louie Zervos 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8INT
8 plays · 10 yds · 1:3926% → 24%
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
25.9%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q2 12:02
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+5
25.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 5 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q2 12:02
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+2
26.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-15
26.1%
ELEBY, KALEB pass complete to HALL, JAYLEN for 21 yards to the OHIO47 (HUDSON, J.), PENALTY WMU pass interference (HALL, JAYLEN) 15 yards to the WMU17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 25
OWN 17
+9
24.4%
Chase Brown run for 9 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 16
OWN 26
+5
24.3%
ELEBY, KALEB pass complete to BROWN, CHASE for 4 yards to the WMU30 (CONNER, D.), PENALTY OHIO offside (LUEHRMAN, R.) 5 yards to the WMU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+1
24.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the WMich 32Similar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
24.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass intercepted Steven David return for no gain to the Ohio 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9TD
3 plays · 64 yds · 1:0478% → 83%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
22.4%
Maleek Irons run for 18 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+33
21.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 33 yds to the WMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
17.3%
Nathan Rourke run for 13 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11FG
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:2983% → 82%
Q2 7:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-22
17.2%
Papi White run for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 16 OHIO Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the WMich 31Similar
Q2 7:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 31
+7
17.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 7 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 24
+5
17.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the WMich 19Similar
Q2 7:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 19
+6
18.1%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 6 yds to the WMich 13Similar
Q2 4:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+30
17.8%
Louie Zervos 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13TD
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:4186% → 93%
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
14.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the WMich 8Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
7.4%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Adam Luehrman for 8 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
6.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+6
6.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 6 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q2 4:01
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
6.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Giovanni Ricci, broken up by Dylan ConnerSimilar
Q2 4:01
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+1
6.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the WMich 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15TD
6 plays · 44 yds · 1:5293% → 94%
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
6.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 14 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
6.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 13 yds to the WMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
6.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 6 yds to the WMich 11Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+1
6.7%
Nathan Rourke run for 1 yd to the WMich 10Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+10
6.1%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 10 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16FUMBLE
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:205% → 4%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+14
4.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 14 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
4.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 20 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-7
3.6%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Marlin Brooks for a loss of 7 yards to the Ohio 48 Kaleb Eleby fumbled, recovered by Ohio Will Evans , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · 15 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
5.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 15 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
4.9%
Maleek Irons run for 4 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
5.0%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Andrew Meyer, broken up by Juwan DowelsSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
5.2%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Connor BrownSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
6.0%
Michael Farkas punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jayden Reed at the WMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 5:144% → 2%
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
3.7%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+5
3.7%
BOGAN, JAMAURI rush for 2 yards to the WMU40 (EVANS, W.), PENALTY OHIO offside (LUEHRMAN, R.) 5 yards to the WMU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+6
3.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
3.9%
Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 9
50
+18
3.8%
Chase Brown run for 18 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
4.1%
Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Ohio 31Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+3
4.0%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q3 14:04
3RD & 6
OPP 28
0
3.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jayden ReedSimilar
Q3 14:04
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+21
3.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 21 yds to the Ohio 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
4.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the Ohio 7Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
4.7%
Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the Ohio 1Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0098% → 97%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
2.4%
Maleek Irons run for 1 yd to the Ohio 25Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+3
2.5%
Maleek Irons run for 3 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
2.5%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to DL Knock, broken up by A.J. ThomasSimilar
Q3 8:50
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
3.2%
Michael Farkas punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jayden Reed at the WMich 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21INT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
1.7%
Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+3
1.6%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+4
1.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass intercepted Kylan Nelson return for 4 yds to the WMich 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22TD
2 plays · 49 yds · 0:3099% → 99%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+32
1.5%
A.J. Ouellette run for 32 yds to the WMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
1.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 17 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
1.0%
Chase Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the WMich 16Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 14
OWN 16
0
1.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Drake HarrisSimilar
Q3 5:14
3RD & 14
OWN 16
+12
1.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Odell Miller for 12 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q3 5:14
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
1.0%
Nick Mihalic punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Kylan Nelson at the Ohio 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:3899% → 99%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
1.2%
David Burroughs run for 9 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+5
1.2%
David Burroughs run for 5 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
1.1%
David Burroughs run for 3 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+10
1.1%
David Burroughs run for 10 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
1.1%
Quinton Maxwell run for no gain to the WMich 46Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+8
1.1%
David Burroughs run for 8 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 38
0
0.7%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Cameron Odom, broken up by Juwan DowelsSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 38
-5
0.8%
OHIO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the WMich 43Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
0.8%
Michael Farkas punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 25TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:101% → 0%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
0.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jayden Reed for 8 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
0.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jayden ReedSimilar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+2
0.5%
Davon Tucker run for 2 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
0.5%
ELEBY, KALEB pass incomplete to ESKRIDGE, D, PENALTY OHIO pass interference (MOTLEY, I.) 15 yards to the WMU45, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
0.5%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the WMich 47Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 8
OWN 47
-5
0.5%
Chase Brown run for a loss of 5 yards to the WMich 42Similar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 13
OWN 42
+9
0.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 9 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q4 14:46
4TH & 4
OPP 49
+15
0.5%
ELEBY, KALEB pass incomplete to REED, JAYDEN, PENALTY OHIO roughing passer (COLEMAN, M.) 15 yards to the OHIO34, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
0.6%
Davon Tucker run for 8 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+26
0.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 26 yds for a TD, (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 26TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 3:47100% → 100%
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
50
+7
0.3%
O'Shaan Allison run for 7 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 3
OPP 43
0
0.3%
O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the WMich 43Similar
Q4 10:36
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+6
0.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for 6 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
0.2%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+15
0.2%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Isiah Cox for 15 yds to the WMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
0.2%
Quinton Maxwell run for 18 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
0.1%
Davon Tucker run for 5 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+4
0.1%
Davon Tucker run for 4 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q4 6:49
3RD & 1
OWN 31
0
0.1%
Davon Tucker run for no gain to the WMich 31Similar
Q4 6:49
4TH & 1
OWN 31
-5
0.1%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Giovanni Ricci) to the WMich 26Similar
Q4 6:49
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
0.1%
Nick Mihalic punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
0.2%
O'Shaan Allison run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 33Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+7
0.2%
O'Shaan Allison run for 7 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+2
0.2%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q4 4:45
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
0.2%
Michael Farkas punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jayden Reed at the WMich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
0.1%
Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 3
OWN 24
-5
0.1%
Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the WMich 29 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the WMich 19Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+4
0.1%
Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the WMich 23Similar
Q4 2:31
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+1
0.1%
Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the WMich 24Similar
Q4 2:31
4TH & 3
OWN 24
0
0.1%
Nick Mihalic punt for 42 yds, downed at the Ohio 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 30END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:01
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Adam Luehrman for 8 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)
-6.8
TD · Q2 7:16
Nathan Rourke run for 13 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)
-4.6
TD · Q1 4:26
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 8 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)
-4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com