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NIU

Northern Illinois 36 at Akron 26

AKR
2018 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2018 · InfoCision Stadium
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Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.1AKR 17.7%Nick Gasser 25 yd FG GOODAWAY 27 - HOME 13 · Q3 7:16
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:16 · Nick Gasser 25 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 131Home team on offense−15.5Pregame prior−7.7Score differential−9.2Garbage-time factor−6.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 5:30: Andrew Gantz 30 yd FG GOOD — NIU win probability +5.1 pts (now 71%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:14: Spencer Tears run for 5 yds for a TD (Andrew Gantz KICK) — NIU win probability +7.6 pts (now 80%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:19: Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 13 yds for a TD (Nick Gasser KICK) — AKR win probability +15.4 pts (now 33%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:54: Alex Ramart pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 6 yds for a TD (Nick Gasser PAT BLOCKED) — AKR win probability +15.9 pts (now 51%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:05: Alex Ramart pass intercepted for a TD Jalen McKie return for 23 yds for a TD (Andrew Gantz KICK) — NIU win probability +25.1 pts (now 86%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 7 of 9NIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00AKR 4th & 7 at AKR 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:31AKR 4th & 18 at NIU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    35.5%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:31NIU 4th & 2 at NIU 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.3%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:54AKR 4th & 6 at NIU 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    29.7%−6.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:30NIU 4th & 9 at AKR 12, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    55.7%−5.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:30AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 34, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%−1.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:20AKR 4th & 12 at AKR 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−0.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:55NIU 4th & 18 at AKR 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%−2.6
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    72.6%−6.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:16AKR 4th & 8 at NIU 8, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−6.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:11NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 35, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.1%−1.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:54NIU 4th & 3 at NIU 43, up 3
    Close callPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.3%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00AKR 4th & 9 at AKR 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−2.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:31NIU 4th & 21 at AKR 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%−5.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    58.1%−2.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:00AKR 4th & 8 at AKR 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−1.0
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:56NIU 4th & 4 at AKR 19, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    93.3%−0.3
    77% to make
    Punt
    89.3%−4.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:53AKR 4th & 15 at AKR 23, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AKR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3NIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:27NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:10AKR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:11NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:14NIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:19AKR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:54AKR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    47.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:05NIU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
30.3%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 3 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
30.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 11 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
30.3%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+4
30.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Van Edwards Jr. for 4 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+3
30.3%
Kato Nelson run for 3 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+1
30.3%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd to the Akron 42Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
30.3%
Nick Gasser punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 2:4569% → 70%
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
31.5%
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the NoIll 16Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+13
31.6%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 13 yds to the NoIll 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
31.5%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Tre Harbison for 10 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
31.4%
D.J. Brown run for 13 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
31.3%
Tre Harbison run for 8 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+9
31.2%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 9 yds to the Akron 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
31.2%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 36Similar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+17
31.3%
Tre Harbison run for 17 yds to the Akron 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
30.4%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Corey Lersch for 19 yds for a TD AKRON Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3MISSED FG
7 plays · 43 yds · 1:5631% → 31%
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+51
31.0%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 51 yds to the NoIll 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
31.8%
AKRON Penalty, IP (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 29Similar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 15
OPP 29
0
31.6%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 15
OPP 29
-2
31.5%
Kato Nelson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 31Similar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 17
OPP 31
-1
31.2%
Kato Nelson sacked by Sutton Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 32Similar
Q1 7:31
4TH & 18
OPP 32
+49
30.8%
Nick Gasser 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
30.6%
Marcus Jones run for 2 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+4
30.6%
Marcus Childers run for 4 yds to the NoIll 38Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+2
30.4%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Marcus Jones for 2 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q1 7:31
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
30.7%
Matt Ference punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:5731% → 37%
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
31.2%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+4
31.1%
Kato Nelson run for 4 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+14
31.0%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jonah Morris for 14 yds to the Akron 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
31.7%
Deltron Sands run for no gain to the Akron 41Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+13
31.4%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 13 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+24
32.1%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 24 yds to the NoIll 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
37.1%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 22 yds for a TD (Nick Gasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:5965% → 70%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
35.3%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 15 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
34.6%
Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for 4 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+5
34.3%
D.J. Brown run for 5 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
34.4%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
34.1%
Tre Harbison run for 11 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
34.1%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 3 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+7
33.7%
Tre Harbison run for 7 yds to the Akron 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+18
33.7%
Tre Harbison run for 18 yds to the Akron 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
34.2%
Marcus Childers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+9
34.4%
CHILDERS, Marcu pass incomplete to TEARS, Spencer, PENALTY AKRON pass interference 9 yards to the AKRON2, 1ST DOWN NIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
29.6%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds for a TD (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7FG
12 plays · 65 yds · 5:1731% → 37%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
31.4%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
31.3%
Kato Nelson sacked by Josh Corcoran for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 22Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+45
30.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 45 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
33.7%
Kato Nelson sacked by Jack Heflin for a loss of 5 yards to the NoIll 38Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 15
OPP 38
-6
32.3%
EDWARDS, Van rush for 4 yards to the NIU34 (PUGH, Kyle;HUNT, Tifonte), PENALTY AKRON holding 6 yards to the NIU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 21
OPP 44
+1
32.2%
Kato Nelson run for 1 yd to the NoIll 43Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 20
OPP 43
+29
31.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 29 yds to the NoIll 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
33.7%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 4 yds to the NoIll 10Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+5
33.7%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 5 yds to the NoIll 5Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 1
OPP 5
-5
33.0%
Kato Nelson run for a loss of 5 yards to the NoIll 10Similar
Q2 8:54
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+27
36.6%
Nick Gasser 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 3:2465% → 71%
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
35.3%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 22 yds to the NoIll 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
33.9%
Marcus Jones run for 14 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
33.6%
D.J. Brown run for 6 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+5
32.9%
Marcus Jones run for 5 yds to the Akron 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
32.9%
Tre Harbison run for 6 yds to the Akron 22Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+9
32.9%
Tre Harbison run for 9 yds to the Akron 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-8
32.9%
Marcus Childers sacked by John Lako and Josh Ward for a loss of 8 yards to the Akron 21Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 18
OPP 21
0
33.3%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to D.J. BrownSimilar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 18
OPP 21
+9
34.5%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Marcus Jones for 9 yds to the Akron 12Similar
Q2 5:30
4TH & 9
OPP 12
+30
29.4%
Andrew Gantz 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
30.6%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 5 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
31.0%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 2 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
30.5%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 2 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q2 5:30
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
30.1%
Nick Gasser punt for 32 yds , Cole Tucker returns for 1 yd to the NoIll 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 1:2671% → 80%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
29.2%
Tre Harbison run for 6 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+12
28.3%
Tre Harbison run for 12 yds to the Akron 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
27.9%
Tre Harbison run for 15 yds to the Akron 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
27.7%
Tre Harbison run for 8 yds to the Akron 24Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+4
27.6%
Marcus Jones run for 4 yds to the Akron 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
27.6%
CHILDERS, Marcu pass incomplete to TEARS, Spencer, PENALTY AKRON pass interference 15 yards to the AKRON5, 1ST DOWN NIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
20.0%
Spencer Tears run for 5 yds for a TD (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:4621% → 20%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
21.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 15 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
22.4%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jonah Morris for 8 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+1
23.0%
Kato Nelson run for 1 yd to the Akron 48Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 1
OWN 48
-11
21.8%
Kato Nelson sacked by Kyle Pugh and Jack Heflin for a loss of 11 yards to the Akron 37Similar
Q2 1:20
4TH & 12
OWN 37
0
20.3%
Nick Gasser punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12MISSED FG
13 plays · 43 yds · 1:1781% → 84%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
19.5%
Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for 5 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+7
19.5%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Dennis Robinson for 7 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
19.9%
Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for 5 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+8
19.7%
Marcus Childers run for 8 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
19.3%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Tre Harbison for 3 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+5
19.2%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Tre Harbison for 5 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+3
18.0%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Marcus Jones for 3 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
17.7%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Jauan Wesley, broken up by Denzel ButlerSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+7
17.8%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 7 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+48
16.1%
Andrew Gantz 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 3:0580% → 85%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
19.6%
Tre Harbison run for 23 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
18.5%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Jauan WesleySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+19
18.5%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 19 yds to the Akron 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
18.1%
D.J. Brown run for 2 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
18.1%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Mitchell BrinkmanSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+17
18.4%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Dennis Robinson for 17 yds to the Akron 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
18.1%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to D.J. BrownSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+1
18.1%
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the Akron 13Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 13
-9
18.4%
Marcus Childers sacked by Brian Bell for a loss of 9 yards to the Akron 22Similar
Q3 11:55
4TH & 18
OPP 22
+40
15.2%
Andrew Gantz 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14FG
17 plays · 67 yds · 4:3916% → 18%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
15.9%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Andre Williams, broken up by Antonio Jones-DavisSimilar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
15.7%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 8 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
16.5%
NELSON, Kato pass incomplete to STEWART, Nate, PENALTY NIU offside 5 yards to the AKRON38, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
16.8%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Newman Williams for 3 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+14
17.1%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 14 yds to the NoIll 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
17.6%
Van Edwards Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 46Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+6
17.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Deltron Sands for 6 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+15
17.4%
NELSON, Kato pass incomplete to MORRIS, Jonah, PENALTY NIU roughing passer 15 yards to the NIU25, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
18.2%
Deltron Sands run for 1 yd to the NoIll 24Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
18.2%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Andre WilliamsSimilar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+16
17.5%
Kato Nelson run for 16 yds to the NoIll 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
18.2%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Nate StewartSimilar
Q3 11:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
18.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 5 yds to the NoIll 3Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
17.9%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Jonah Morris, broken up by Jalen McKieSimilar
Q3 11:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
17.6%
AKRON Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 8Similar
Q3 7:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
17.7%
Nick Gasser 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
14.7%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+5
14.6%
Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+2
14.8%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q3 7:11
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
15.2%
Matt Ference punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Akron 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 1:1816% → 33%
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+20
15.8%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
18.4%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the NoIll 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
18.6%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Nate Stewart, broken up by Jalen EmbrySimilar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+5
18.4%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 5 yds to the NoIll 13Similar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
50
+17
17.4%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 2 yds to the AKRON 48 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+13
32.8%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 13 yds for a TD (Nick Gasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17FUMBLE
3 plays · -17 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
26.1%
Marcus Childers sacked by Walter Brady and Jamal Davis II for a loss of 9 yards to the NoIll 16Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 19
OWN 16
-8
27.0%
Marcus Childers run for a loss of 8 yards to the NoIll 8 Marcus Childers fumbled, recovered by Akron Davon'te JestSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18TD
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:3835% → 47%
Q3 3:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
34.8%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 2 yds to the NoIll 6Similar
Q3 2:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
50.7%
Alex Ramart pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 6 yds for a TD (Nick Gasser PAT BLOCKED)Similar
Q3 2:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
46.6%
Jalen McKie return for defensive PATSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0063% → 64%
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
36.7%
Tre Harbison run for 6 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
Q3 2:54
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
35.1%
Marcus Childers run for 1 yd to the NoIll 32Similar
Q3 2:54
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
36.6%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Corey Lersch for 4 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
35.4%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q3 2:54
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+4
34.1%
Spencer Tears run for 4 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q3 2:54
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
34.4%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Spencer TearsSimilar
Q3 2:54
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
36.5%
Matt Ference punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0340% → 37%
Q3 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
39.6%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 2 yds to the Akron 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+11
39.4%
Alex Ramart pass complete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett for 11 yds to the Akron 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
40.3%
Alex Ramart pass incomplete to Kwadarrius SmithSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
40.1%
Deltron Sands run for 1 yd to the Akron 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 34
0
38.7%
Alex Ramart pass incomplete to Andre WilliamsSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 34
+41
37.1%
Nick Gasser punt for 41 yds , Cole Tucker returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21PUNT
12 plays · 32 yds · 0:0063% → 61%
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
37.2%
AKRON Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the NoIll 29Similar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 5
OWN 29
0
35.4%
Marcus Jones run for no gain to the NoIll 29Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+4
36.1%
Marcus Jones run for 4 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+22
36.2%
Marcus Jones run for 22 yds to the Akron 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
33.5%
D.J. Brown run for 4 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+1
33.4%
Marcus Jones run for 1 yd to the Akron 40Similar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+7
34.1%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Marcus Jones for 7 yds to the Akron 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
32.1%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to D.J. BrownSimilar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-15
32.2%
CHILDERS, Marcu pass complete to TEARS, Spencer for 2 yards to the AKRON31 (DAILEY, Darian), PENALTY NIU pass interference 15 yards to the AKRON48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 25
OPP 48
+12
35.3%
Marcus Childers run for 12 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 13
OPP 36
-8
35.6%
Marcus Childers sacked by Brennan Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the Akron 44Similar
Q4 13:31
4TH & 21
OPP 44
0
39.1%
Matt Ference punt for 30 yds, downed at the Akron 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+23
14.0%
Alex Ramart pass intercepted for a TD Jalen McKie return for 23 yds for a TD (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0015% → 13%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
14.7%
Deltron Sands run for 2 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
14.6%
Alex Ramart pass incomplete to Mykel Traylor-BennettSimilar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
13.8%
Alex Ramart pass incomplete to Jonah Morris, broken up by Kyle PughSimilar
Q4 9:00
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
12.7%
Nick Gasser punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 24DOWNS
15 plays · 63 yds · 6:0287% → 95%
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+10
13.2%
Marcus Jones run for 10 yds to the NoIll 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
13.0%
Marcus Jones run for 6 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+5
12.7%
Marcus Jones run for 5 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
12.0%
Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+6
11.9%
Marcus Childers run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
50
+14
11.7%
Marcus Childers run for 14 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
11.7%
Marcus Childers run for 7 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+1
11.5%
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the Akron 28Similar
Q4 7:58
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+3
12.1%
Marcus Jones run for 3 yds to the Akron 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
11.5%
Marcus Jones run for no gain to the Akron 25Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+6
11.6%
Marcus Jones run for 6 yds to the Akron 19Similar
Q4 2:03
3RD & 4
OPP 19
0
5.5%
Marcus Jones run for no gain to the Akron 19Similar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+1
4.8%
Spencer Tears run for 1 yd to the Akron 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 25INT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
4.3%
Alex Ramart pass incomplete to Jonah MorrisSimilar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+10
4.2%
Alex Ramart pass complete to Nate Stewart for 10 yds to the Akron 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
4.5%
Alex Ramart pass incomplete to Nate StewartSimilar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-5
4.2%
Alex Ramart sacked by Josh Corcoran for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 23 AKRON Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 15
OWN 23
0
4.1%
Alex Ramart pass incomplete to Andre WilliamsSimilar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 15
OWN 23
+2
3.9%
Alex Ramart pass intercepted Jalen McKie return for 2 yds to the Akron 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
4.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 34Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 12
OPP 34
-2
4.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:05
Alex Ramart pass intercepted for a TD Jalen McKie return for 23 yds for a TD (Andrew Gantz KICK)
-25.1
TD · Q3 2:54
Alex Ramart pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 6 yds for a TD (Nick Gasser PAT BLOCKED)
+15.9
TD · Q3 4:19
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 13 yds for a TD (Nick Gasser KICK)
+15.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com