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BALL

Ball State 14 at Ohio 52

OHIO
2018 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2018 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadBALL aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreBALL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:08 · Drew Plitt run for 5 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 152Home team on offense+35.7Score differential+31.0Pregame prior+2.3Blowout margin+18.9Garbage-time factor+7.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:54: Maleek Irons run for 6 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +5.3 pts (now 70%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:08: A.J. Ouellette run for 9 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +6.5 pts (now 77%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:23: Nathan Rourke run for 2 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +10.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:02: Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 21 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +6.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:42: Nathan Rourke run for 3 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +4.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 3 of 4BALL made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00BALL 4th & 1 at BALL 11, tied
    Close callPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:43OHIO 4th & 7 at OHIO 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 13:04BALL 4th & 20 at OHIO 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    23.7%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:50BALL 4th & 11 at BALL 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:54OHIO 4th & 5 at BALL 6, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.1%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    69.2%−2.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:02BALL 4th & 9 at BALL 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:15BALL 4th & 7 at BALL 23, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−1.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:42BALL 4th & 8 at BALL 27, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:42BALL 4th & 10 at BALL 20, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:04OHIO 4th & 10 at BALL 24, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:04BALL 4th & 20 at BALL 45, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:44OHIO 4th & 2 at BALL 25, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:08BALL 4th & 4 at OHIO 49, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 7 of 7BALL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:06BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:54OHIO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:08OHIO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:23OHIO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:02OHIO Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:42OHIO Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:15OHIO Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:47OHIO Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:53BALL Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+6
71.8%
James Gilbert run for 6 yds to the BalSt 8Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 8
+3
71.8%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the BalSt 11Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 11
0
71.8%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 11
+54
71.8%
Patrick LeCorre punt for 44 yds , Papi White returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 10 OHIO Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Ohio 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
71.6%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+3
71.6%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 3 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 7
OWN 37
0
71.6%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q1 13:43
4TH & 7
OWN 37
0
71.5%
Michael Farkas punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3PUNT
12 plays · 34 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
71.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to James Gilbert for 7 yds to the BalSt 27Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+3
71.4%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
71.4%
BALL ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 25Similar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+4
71.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 4 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+16
71.4%
James Gilbert run for 16 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
71.3%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+19
71.3%
Riley Neal run for 19 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
71.3%
HALL, Justin rush for 9 yards to the OHIO27 (NELSON, K.;HUDSON, J.), PENALTY BALL holding 10 yards to the OHIO46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 20
OPP 46
0
71.3%
Malik Dunner run for no gain to the Ohio 46Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 20
OPP 46
0
71.3%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 20
OPP 46
0
71.4%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q1 13:04
4TH & 20
OPP 46
0
71.5%
Patrick LeCorre punt for 29 yds, downed at the Ohio 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4INT
6 plays · 33 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
70.8%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+6
70.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 6 yds to the Ohio 23Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+4
70.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Ohio 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
70.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 9 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+14
71.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
50
+7
71.3%
Nathan Rourke pass intercepted Christian Albright return for 7 yds to the BalSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5TD
8 plays · 52 yds · 2:3431% → 35%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+32
69.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 32 yds to the Ohio 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
69.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 3 yds to the Ohio 17Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+3
69.1%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the Ohio 14Similar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+4
69.3%
Riley Neal run for 4 yds to the Ohio 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-3
69.1%
Riley Neal run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 13Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
-5
69.1%
BALL ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 18Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
0
69.3%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+18
65.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to Riley Miller for 18 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 4:0666% → 70%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
66.0%
Maleek Irons run for 6 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+7
66.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 7 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+37
66.6%
Nathan Rourke run for 37 yds to the BalSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
67.6%
Maleek Irons run for 9 yds to the BalSt 11Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+1
67.6%
Maleek Irons run for 1 yd to the BalSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
67.6%
Maleek Irons run for 6 yds to the BalSt 4Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
67.6%
Maleek Irons run for 3 yds to the BalSt 1Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
64.8%
OHIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 6Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
70.1%
Maleek Irons run for 6 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
67.8%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Riley MillerSimilar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-1
67.9%
Markice Hurt Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 21Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 11
OWN 21
0
68.5%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 11
OWN 21
0
68.9%
Patrick LeCorre punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8FG
9 plays · 54 yds · 3:5970% → 70%
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
69.6%
Nathan Rourke run for 8 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+4
70.0%
Maleek Irons run for 4 yds to the BalSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
70.2%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 8 yds to the BalSt 40Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+7
70.2%
Nathan Rourke run for 7 yds to the BalSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+22
70.5%
Maleek Irons run for 22 yds to the BalSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
70.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 5 yds to the BalSt 6Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 5
OPP 6
0
70.5%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 5
OPP 6
0
70.0%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q2 9:54
4TH & 5
OPP 6
+23
69.7%
Louie Zervos 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · 30 yds · 0:0031% → 32%
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+14
69.1%
James Gilbert run for 14 yds to the BalSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
68.9%
James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+12
68.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to Riley Miller for 12 yds Riley Miller fumbled, forced by Marlin Brooks, recovered by Ohio Dylan ConnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10TD
5 plays · 40 yds · 1:4671% → 77%
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
71.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 13 yds to the BalSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
71.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the BalSt 25Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
71.3%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+16
70.6%
Nathan Rourke run for 7 yds to the BalSt 18 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, personal foul (9 Yards) to the BalSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
77.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 9 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
75.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to James Gilbert for no gain to the BalSt 16Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+1
76.3%
James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the BalSt 17Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 9
OWN 17
0
76.8%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:02
4TH & 9
OWN 17
+6
77.2%
Patrick LeCorre punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 44 , Papi White returns for 6 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12TD
8 plays · 56 yds · 4:2577% → 88%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
77.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 7 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+5
77.5%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
77.6%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 10 yds to the BalSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
77.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 7 yds to the BalSt 27Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+9
77.6%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 9 yds to the BalSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
77.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 9 yds to the BalSt 9Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+7
77.6%
Maleek Irons run for 7 yds to the BalSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.0%
Nathan Rourke run for 2 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
85.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 3 yds to the BalSt 23Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
85.8%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Riley MillerSimilar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
86.0%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Riley MillerSimilar
Q2 1:15
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
86.1%
Patrick LeCorre punt for 37 yds, downed at the Ohio 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 0:2988% → 94%
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
88.0%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 8 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+7
88.1%
Nathan Rourke run for 7 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+24
88.2%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 24 yds to the BalSt 21 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
94.4%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 21 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 5:1294% → 99%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
94.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 9 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 1
OWN 35
0
94.1%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+6
94.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 6 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
94.2%
Maleek Irons run for 8 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+14
94.3%
Maleek Irons run for 14 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
94.3%
Maleek Irons run for 1 yd to the BalSt 36Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+23
94.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 23 yds to the BalSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
94.3%
Nathan Rourke run for 6 yds to the BalSt 7Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+4
94.3%
Maleek Irons run for 4 yds to the BalSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.2%
Nathan Rourke run for 3 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.1%
James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the BalSt 27Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.1%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Riley Miller, broken up by Jamal HudsonSimilar
Q3 9:42
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.1%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q3 9:42
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.1%
Patrick LeCorre punt for 33 yds, downed at the Ohio 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18TD
2 plays · 60 yds · 0:4599% → 99%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
99.4%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 16 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
99.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 44 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19INT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.4%
Malik Dunner run for 4 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-8
99.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Malik Dunner for a loss of 8 yards to the BalSt 21Similar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+16
99.4%
Drew Plitt pass intercepted Jared Dorsa return for 16 yds to the BalSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20TD
4 plays · 11 yds · 2:08100% → 100%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.5%
Quinton Maxwell run for no gain to the BalSt 11Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+3
99.5%
Maleek Irons run for 3 yds to the BalSt 8Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+7
99.5%
Maleek Irons run for 7 yds to the BalSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Maleek Irons run for 1 yd for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.7%
Markice Hurt Jr. run for 1 yd to the BalSt 21Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-1
99.7%
Markice Hurt Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 20Similar
Q3 4:42
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
99.7%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q3 4:42
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+7
99.7%
Patrick LeCorre punt for 41 yds , DL Knock returns for 7 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22MISSED FG
9 plays · 30 yds · 4:09100% → 100%
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
99.7%
David Burroughs run for 8 yds to the BalSt 46Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 2
OPP 46
0
99.7%
Quinton Maxwell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:13
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+9
99.7%
Quinton Maxwell run for 9 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
99.7%
Jake Neatherton run for 4 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+9
99.7%
Jake Neatherton run for 9 yds to the BalSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.7%
Jake Neatherton run for no gain to the BalSt 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
99.8%
Quinton Maxwell run for no gain to the BalSt 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
99.8%
Quinton Maxwell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:04
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+41
99.8%
Louie Zervos 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+31
99.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 31 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-8
99.8%
Drew Plitt sacked by Ilyaas Motley for a loss of 8 yards to the BalSt 47Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 18
OWN 47
+1
99.9%
Drew Plitt run for 1 yd to the BalSt 48Similar
Q4 14:04
3RD & 17
OWN 48
-3
99.9%
Drew Plitt sacked by Kaieem Caesar and Austin Conrad for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 45Similar
Q4 14:04
4TH & 20
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Patrick LeCorre punt for 34 yds, downed at the Ohio 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 24DOWNS
9 plays · 54 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
99.9%
Jake Neatherton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 20Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Jake Neatherton run for 5 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Jake Neatherton run for 8 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+22
99.9%
David Burroughs run for 7 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
99.9%
David Burroughs run for 12 yds to the BalSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
99.9%
David Burroughs run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 34 David Burroughs fumbled, forced by Shannon Hall, recovered by Ohio David BurroughsSimilar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+2
99.9%
Jake Neatherton run for 2 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+7
99.9%
Jake Neatherton run for 7 yds to the BalSt 25Similar
Q4 11:44
4TH & 2
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Jake Neatherton run for no gain to the BalSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 25TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:150% → 0%
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
99.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 20 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
99.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Devin Reece for 1 yd to the BalSt 46Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+5
99.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 5 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q4 6:08
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Kyle Schrank, broken up by De'Vante MitchellSimilar
Q4 6:08
4TH & 4
OPP 49
+5
99.9%
Drew Plitt run for 5 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+21
99.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Devin Reece for 21 yds to the Ohio 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
99.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Keyan Williams for 5 yds to the Ohio 18Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 5
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Trevor Hohlt, broken up by Tariq DrakeSimilar
Q4 6:08
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+8
99.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 8 yds to the Ohio 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
99.9%
Drew Plitt run for 2 yds to the Ohio 8Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Drew Plitt run for 8 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 26END OF GAME
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
100.0%
David Burroughs run for 14 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
100.0%
David Burroughs run for 4 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 6
OWN 48
-5
100.0%
OHIO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 43Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+6
100.0%
David Burroughs run for 6 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q4 2:44
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+4
100.0%
Jake Neatherton run for 4 yds to the BalSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:23
Nathan Rourke run for 2 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)
+10.4
TD · Q2 0:02
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 21 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)
+6.6
TD · Q2 7:08
A.J. Ouellette run for 9 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)
+6.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com