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WMU

Western Michigan 35 at Central Michigan 10

CMU
2018 · Week 8 · Oct 20, 2018 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
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Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playCMU scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Nick Mihalic punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Jamil Sabbagh at the CMich 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Home team on offense−27.3Pregame prior−11.3Score differential−12.4Garbage-time factor−4.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:55: LeVante Bellamy run for 29 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK) — WMU win probability +6.6 pts (now 76%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:14: Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK) — WMU win probability +9.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:53: Romello Ross run for 4 yds for a TD (Ryan Tice KICK) — CMU win probability +10.7 pts (now 23%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:27: Jon Wassink run for 3 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK) — WMU win probability +9.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:15: Jon Wassink run for 8 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK) — WMU win probability +3.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11WMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00CMU 4th & 19 at CMU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:39WMU 4th & 13 at WMU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:09CMU 4th & 3 at CMU 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:17WMU 4th & 6 at CMU 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:17CMU 4th & 9 at CMU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:49CMU 4th & 4 at CMU 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.4%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:39WMU 4th & 12 at WMU 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%−1.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%
    average punt
  8. Q1 1:57CMU 4th & 1 at WMU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    36.3%−2.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    37.0%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 15:00WMU 4th & 7 at WMU 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 13:55CMU 4th & 22 at CMU 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−1.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 10:31WMU 4th & 7 at WMU 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%
    average punt
  12. Q2 8:34CMU 4th & 10 at WMU 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    28.0%−0.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 15:00WMU 4th & 2 at CMU 46, up 21
    Close callPunted · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    86.4%−1.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.5%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:04CMU 4th & 7 at CMU 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−0.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 10:54WMU 4th & 3 at WMU 31, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%
    average punt
  16. Q3 6:04CMU 4th & 9 at WMU 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−5.5
    average punt
  17. Q3 6:04WMU 4th & 16 at WMU 35, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%−2.9
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 15:00WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 29, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.7%
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:27CMU 4th & 5 at CMU 46, down 18
    Close callPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:28CMU 4th & 8 at CMU 3, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 4:49WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:55WMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:14WMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:53CMU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:27WMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:15WMU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
28.8%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
28.8%
Romello Ross run for 1 yd to the CMich 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
28.8%
Tommy Lazzaro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-5
28.8%
Tommy Lazzaro sacked by Ali Fayad for a loss of 5 yards to the CMich 16Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
28.8%
Jack Sheldon punt for 48 yds, downed at the WMich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
29.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the WMich 36Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
29.4%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+2
29.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q1 13:39
4TH & 8
OWN 38
-5
29.5%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 33Similar
Q1 13:39
4TH & 13
OWN 33
0
29.5%
Nick Mihalic punt for 67 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
30.2%
Jonathan Ward run for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 16Similar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+4
30.1%
Romello Ross run for 4 yds to the CMich 20Similar
Q1 12:09
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+7
30.0%
Tommy Lazzaro run for 7 yds to the CMich 27Similar
Q1 12:09
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
30.0%
Jack Sheldon punt for 24 yds, downed at the WMich 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
30.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the CMich 48Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
30.5%
Jon Wassink run for no gain to the CMich 48Similar
Q1 10:17
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+1
30.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the CMich 47Similar
Q1 10:17
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
30.8%
Nick Mihalic punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
31.9%
Tommy Lazzaro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
31.8%
Jonathan Ward run for 1 yd to the CMich 21Similar
Q1 8:17
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
31.6%
Tommy Lazzaro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:17
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
31.4%
Jack Sheldon punt for 36 yds, downed at the WMich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 57 yds · 2:4569% → 71%
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
31.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 15 yds to the CMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+21
31.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 21 yds to the CMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
31.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 9 yds to the CMich 12Similar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+11
31.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 11 yds to the CMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
31.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 2Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
28.9%
Jon Wassink run for 2 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
30.6%
Jonathan Ward run for 7 yds to the CMich 47Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 3
OWN 47
-1
31.0%
Jonathan Ward run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 46Similar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
30.6%
Tommy Lazzaro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:49
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
30.2%
Jack Sheldon punt for 31 yds, downed at the WMich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
29.9%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+3
29.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 3 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q1 3:39
3RD & 4
OWN 29
-15
29.8%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (D'Wayne Eskridge) to the WMich 14Similar
Q1 3:39
3RD & 19
OWN 14
+7
30.3%
Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the WMich 21Similar
Q1 3:39
4TH & 12
OWN 21
0
30.6%
Nick Mihalic punt for 79 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 9DOWNS
6 plays · 36 yds · 0:0030% → 31%
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
30.0%
Romello Ross run for 10 yds to the CMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
30.2%
Tommy Lazzaro run for 2 yds to the CMich 32 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the CMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
31.0%
Romello Ross run for 4 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-4
31.3%
Tommy Lazzaro run for a loss of 4 yards to the CENTMICH 47 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 1:57
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+9
30.2%
Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 9 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q1 1:57
4TH & 1
OPP 44
0
30.7%
Tommy Lazzaro pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:1271% → 70%
Q1 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
28.9%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:12
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+3
29.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the WMich 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 47
0
29.1%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
29.8%
Nick Mihalic punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 11FUMBLE
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
30.8%
Tommy Lazzaro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
30.7%
Romello Ross run for 1 yd to the CMich 39Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+17
30.3%
Tommy Lazzaro sacked by Eric Assoua for 0 yards to the CMich 29 Tommy Lazzaro fumbled, recovered by WMich Drake Spears , return for 0 yards , return for 17 yds to the CMich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12TD
1 play · 29 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
23.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 29 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
25.6%
Tommy Lazzaro run for 7 yds to the CMich 42Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+5
26.3%
Jonathan Ward run for 5 yds to the CMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
26.4%
Tommy Lazzaro run for 13 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
26.5%
Romello Ross run for 1 yd to the WMich 39Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
26.4%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for no gain to the WMich 39Similar
Q2 13:55
3RD & 9
OPP 39
-15
26.3%
LAZZARO, Tommy pass complete to COLE, Cameron for 20 yards to the WMU19 (LUPRO, PATRICK;CLAYTON, NAJEE), PENALTY CMU illegal use of hands 15 yards to the CMU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:55
3RD & 24
OWN 46
+2
25.5%
Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Kumehnnu Gwilly for 2 yds Kumehnnu Gwilly fumbled, forced by D'Wayne Eskridge,Similar
Q2 13:55
4TH & 22
OWN 48
+12
25.5%
Jack Sheldon punt for 47 yds , Jayden Reed returns for 12 yds to the WMich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
23.1%
Chase Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 16Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 11
OWN 16
+2
23.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 2 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+2
23.6%
Jon Wassink run for 2 yds to the WMich 20Similar
Q2 10:31
4TH & 7
OWN 20
+8
23.8%
Nick Mihalic punt for 33 yds , Jonathan Ward returns for 8 yds to the WMich 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-6
24.6%
JaCorey Sullivan run for a loss of 6 yards to the CMich 49Similar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 16
OWN 49
0
23.8%
Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete to JaCorey SullivanSimilar
Q2 8:34
3RD & 16
OWN 49
+6
23.5%
Tommy Lazzaro run for 6 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q2 8:34
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
23.6%
Jack Sheldon punt for 41 yds, downed at the WMich 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16TD
15 plays · 96 yds · 6:0278% → 90%
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
22.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 6Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+5
22.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the WMich 11Similar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+27
22.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 27 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
21.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 9 yds to the WMich 47Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+28
21.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 28 yds to the CMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
21.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the CMich 22Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+6
21.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the CMich 16Similar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+3
21.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the CMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
21.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 16Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+2
19.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the CMich 14Similar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 11
OPP 14
+13
19.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 13 yds to the CMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
18.8%
Jon Wassink run for no gain to the CMich 1Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
9.7%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17INT
11 plays · 28 yds · 0:4614% → 14%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
13.5%
Tommy Lazzaro run for 4 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
13.8%
Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete to Julian HicksSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+11
13.5%
Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Julian Hicks for 11 yds to the CMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
14.5%
Tommy Lazzaro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+7
14.2%
Tommy Lazzaro run for 7 yds to the CMich 49Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+6
13.7%
Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Drayton Law for 6 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
14.1%
Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete, broken up by Juwan DowelsSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
13.9%
Tommy Lazzaro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
13.7%
Tommy Lazzaro pass intercepted Justin Tranquill return for no gain to the WMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
10.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
10.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 9 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+12
10.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for 12 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
10.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the WMich 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+7
10.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for 7 yds to the CMich 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 46
0
10.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the CMich 46Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
10.9%
Nick Mihalic punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Jamil Sabbagh at the CMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
11.4%
Tommy Lazzaro run for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 16Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+7
11.3%
Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Brandon Childress for 7 yds to the CMich 23Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
11.3%
Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete to Brandon ChildressSimilar
Q3 12:04
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+7
11.3%
Jack Sheldon punt for 60 yds , Jayden Reed returns for 7 yds to the WMich 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
7.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the WMich 25Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+1
7.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the WMich 26Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+5
7.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 5 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q3 10:54
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
8.0%
Nick Mihalic punt for 26 yds, downed at the CMich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22FG
9 plays · 34 yds · 2:5010% → 11%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+22
9.5%
Romello Ross run for 22 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
10.5%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 6 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+1
10.8%
Tommy Lazzaro run for 1 yd to the WMich 28Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+4
10.3%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 4 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
10.8%
Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete to Julian HicksSimilar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+1
10.4%
Tommy Lazzaro run for 1 yd to the WMich 23Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 9
OPP 23
0
9.9%
Brandon Childress pass incomplete to Julian Hicks, broken up by Anton CurtisSimilar
Q3 6:04
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+40
12.5%
Ryan Tice 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-5
11.3%
KEON, Kaden kickoff 16 yards to the WMU49, on-side kick, recovered by CMU TEAM on WMU49, PENALTY CMU offside 5 yards to the CMU30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
8.9%
Jon Wassink run for 16 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-15
8.4%
BROWN, CHASE rush for 16 yards to the CMU43 (REED, Devonni), PENALTY WMU illegal block 15 yards to the WMU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 25
OWN 26
+5
8.9%
Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 20
OPP 0
0
8.1%
BROWN, CHASE rush for 20 yards to the CMU49 (SIDDIQ, Amir), PENALTY WMU holding off-setting, PENALTY CMU personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 20
OWN 31
+4
8.9%
Davon Tucker run for 4 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 16
OWN 35
0
9.2%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Chase Brown, broken up by Xavier CrawfordSimilar
Q3 6:04
4TH & 16
OWN 35
0
9.3%
Nick Mihalic punt for 39 yds, downed at the CMich 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 24TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:3310% → 23%
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
10.4%
Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Logan Hessbrook for 3 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+5
10.5%
LEWIS, Kobe rush for 2 yards to the CMU31 (FINLEY, KEN), PENALTY WMU 0S 5 yards to the CMU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+14
10.9%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 14 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+32
11.5%
Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Julian Hicks for 32 yds to the WMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
12.4%
Tommy Lazzaro sacked by Antonio Balabani for a loss of 5 yards to the WMich 25Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 15
OPP 25
+21
12.0%
Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Tony Poljan for 21 yds to the WMich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
22.7%
Romello Ross run for 4 yds for a TD (Ryan Tice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5381% → 82%
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
18.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
18.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-3
17.3%
Jon Wassink run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 29Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
18.0%
Nick Mihalic punt for 51 yds , Jamil Sabbagh returns for no gain to the CMich 29 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive holding (Brandon Childress) to the CMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 26INT
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+16
16.8%
Romello Ross run for 16 yds to the CMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
17.2%
Tommy Lazzaro run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 25Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 11
OWN 25
-5
16.8%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 20Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 16
OWN 20
0
16.6%
Tommy Lazzaro pass intercepted Alex Grace return for no gain to the CMich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 27TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:1586% → 96%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+26
14.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 26 yds to the CMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
13.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 7 yds to the CMich 7Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+4
13.3%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, personal foul (Devonni Reed) to the CMich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
3.6%
Jon Wassink run for 3 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
4.7%
Tommy Lazzaro run for 4 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
4.7%
Romello Ross run for 12 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-6
5.0%
Romello Ross run for a loss of 6 yards to the CMich 35Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 16
OWN 35
+13
4.6%
Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Brandon Childress for 13 yds to the CMich 48Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 3
OWN 48
-2
5.2%
Tommy Lazzaro run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 46Similar
Q4 11:27
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
4.9%
Jack Sheldon punt for 19 yds, downed at the WMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 29TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 6:1197% → 100%
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
3.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+5
3.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+3
3.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
3.2%
Chase Brown run for 9 yds to the CMich 45Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+15
3.1%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the CMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
3.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the CMich 26Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+5
3.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the CMich 21Similar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+2
3.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the CMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
3.2%
Davon Tucker run for 9 yds to the CMich 10Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+2
3.2%
Davon Tucker run for 2 yds to the CMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
0.2%
Jon Wassink run for 8 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 30Uncategorized
14 plays · 32 yds · 3:090% → 0%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
0.2%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for no gain to the CMich 1Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
0.2%
Tony Poljan run for no gain to the CMich 1Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 10
OWN 1
+2
0.2%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 2 yds to the CMich 3Similar
Q4 1:28
4TH & 8
OWN 3
+14
0.1%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Julian Hicks for 14 yds to the CMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
0.2%
Tony Poljan run for 6 yds to the CMich 23Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 4
OWN 23
-8
0.1%
Tony Poljan sacked by DeShawn Foster for a loss of 8 yards to the CMich 15Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 12
OWN 15
+14
0.1%
Tony Poljan run for 14 yds to the CMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
0.1%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Drayton Law for 4 yds to the CMich 33Similar
Q4 0:06
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
0.1%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Drayton LawSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:53
Romello Ross run for 4 yds for a TD (Ryan Tice KICK)
+10.7
TD · Q4 11:27
Jon Wassink run for 3 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)
-9.7
TD · Q2 1:14
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)
-9.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com