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EMU

Eastern Michigan 42 at Ball State 20

BALL
2018 · Week 8 · Oct 20, 2018 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:39 · Morgan Hagee 36 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 42Home team on offense−2.1Score differential−0.9Garbage-time factor−1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Pregame prior+1.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:50: Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Line Latu for 41 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +9.4 pts (now 65%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:24: Tyler Wiegers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +10.4 pts (now 77%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:32: Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 17 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +13.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:47: Riley Neal run for 11 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK) — BALL win probability +11.5 pts (now 21%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:32: Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Isaac Holder for 41 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +10.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 8 of 8EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00EMU 4th & 2 at BALL 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    56.3%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    56.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:35BALL 4th & 8 at BALL 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:19EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 29, up 7
    Close callPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:39BALL 4th & 6 at EMU 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    38.0%−4.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 29, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:28EMU 4th & 7 at BALL 24, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.2%
    68% to make
    Punt
    62.4%−3.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:33BALL 4th & 16 at BALL 18, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%−3.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00BALL 4th & 12 at BALL 40, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%−1.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:07EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 43, up 15
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.0%−2.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:55BALL 4th & 7 at BALL 34, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−1.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00BALL 4th & 5 at BALL 17, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:04EMU 4th & 3 at BALL 39, up 22
    Close callPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    96.4%−0.7
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:35BALL 4th & 6 at EMU 39, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%−0.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:31EMU 4th & 11 at EMU 49, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:43BALL 4th & 7 at BALL 13, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 1 of 3EMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 5:35EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:50EMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:06BALL Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    36.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    36.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:24EMU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:32EMU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:47BALL Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:32EMU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:14EMU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:02BALL Touchdown, down 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1FUMBLE
12 plays · 40 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
52.4%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 10 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
52.4%
VANN, Shaq rush for 4 yards to the EMU39 (CRUMB, Chris), PENALTY BALL offside defense (WILBORN, Ray) 5 yards to the EMU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 40
+4
52.4%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 4 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+3
52.4%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
52.4%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 1 yd to the EMich 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+3
52.4%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+8
52.4%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 8 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
52.4%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete, broken up by Sean Hammonds Jr.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+8
52.4%
Shaq Vann run for 8 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 33
0
52.4%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Bryce Kemp for no gain to the BalSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 33
-2
52.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 35 TEAM fumbled, recovered by BalSt Jacob WhiteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 2INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
53.2%
James Gilbert run for no gain to the BalSt 35Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
53.1%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Kyle SchrankSimilar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+2
52.9%
Riley Neal pass intercepted Jeremiah Harris return for 2 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:3048% → 51%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
52.3%
Blake Banham run for 3 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+4
52.3%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 4 yds to the BalSt 26Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+10
52.5%
Shaq Vann run for 10 yds to the BalSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
52.3%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 7 yds to the BalSt 9Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+4
52.3%
Shaq Vann run for 4 yds to the BalSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
52.3%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Mathew SextonSimilar
Q1 9:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
52.3%
Shaq Vann run for 4 yds to the BalSt 1Similar
Q1 5:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
48.7%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
49.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 5 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
50.0%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 8 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
50.2%
Malik Dunner run for 2 yds to the BalSt 40Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
50.4%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Malik DunnerSimilar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
49.8%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Corey LacanariaSimilar
Q1 5:35
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
49.5%
Patrick LeCorre punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
49.2%
Tyler Wiegers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
49.2%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Isaac Holder for 8 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q1 4:19
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
49.0%
Willie Parker run for 1 yd to the EMich 29Similar
Q1 4:19
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
49.4%
Jake Julien punt for 30 yds, downed at the BalSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6MISSED FG
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:3150% → 49%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
49.9%
James Gilbert run for 8 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 2
OWN 49
0
50.4%
James Gilbert run for no gain to the BalSt 49Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+17
50.2%
Riley Neal run for 17 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
51.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 11 yds to the EMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
51.1%
James Gilbert run for no gain to the EMich 23Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+4
51.1%
James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the EMich 19Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 6
OPP 19
0
50.5%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:39
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+36
48.7%
Morgan Hagee 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:3952% → 52%
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
47.7%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-3
47.4%
Tyler Wiegers sacked by Ray Wilborn for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+9
48.1%
Tyler Wiegers run for 9 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 29
-4
47.9%
Jake Julien punt for 51 yds , Corey Lacanaria returns for a loss of 4 yards to the BalSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8FUMBLE
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:0047% → 48%
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
47.3%
James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the BalSt 17Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+3
47.3%
Justin Hall run for 3 yds to the BalSt 20Similar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+9
46.6%
Riley Neal pass complete to Riley Miller for 9 yds to the BalSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
47.5%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 3 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+8
47.6%
Justin Hall run for 8 yds to the BalSt 42 Justin Hall fumbled, forced by Kevin McGill, recovered by EMich Kyle RachwalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 42 yds · 1:3755% → 65%
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
44.6%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the BalSt 41Similar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
44.6%
Tyler Wiegers run for no gain to the BalSt 41Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+41
35.2%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Line Latu for 41 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:4437% → 43%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
37.2%
Riley Neal run for 4 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
37.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to Riley Miller for 8 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
37.9%
Justin Hall run for 16 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
39.0%
James Gilbert run for 6 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+6
39.0%
James Gilbert run for 6 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
39.4%
Riley Neal run for 9 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+8
39.5%
Riley Neal run for 8 yds to the EMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
39.5%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 4 yds to the EMich 14Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 6
OPP 14
-2
39.5%
Malik Dunner run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 16Similar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+16
43.3%
Riley Miller 16 Yd pass from Riley Neal (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11MISSED FG
10 plays · 41 yds · 3:3860% → 64%
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
40.1%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Breck Turner for 6 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+21
39.1%
Breck Turner run for 21 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
38.7%
Breck Turner run for 4 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+7
38.3%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Breck Turner for 7 yds to the BalSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
38.3%
Breck Turner run for no gain to the BalSt 27Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+2
38.5%
Tyler Wiegers run for 2 yds to the BalSt 25Similar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+1
39.1%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Blake Banham for 1 yd to the BalSt 24Similar
Q2 2:28
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+42
36.4%
Chad Ryland 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 0:5538% → 36%
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
37.6%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to James Gilbert, broken up by Maxx CrosbySimilar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+3
37.4%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the BalSt 27Similar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+6
36.6%
Riley Neal run for 6 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q2 1:33
4TH & 1
OWN 33
-15
36.9%
BALL ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the BalSt 18Similar
Q2 1:33
4TH & 16
OWN 0
0
34.7%
LECORRE, P. punt 40 yards to the EMU42, downed, PENALTY EMU holding off-setting, PENALTY BALL face mask off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:33
4TH & 16
OWN 18
0
35.6%
Patrick LeCorre punt for 30 yds, downed at the BalSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 48 yds · 0:5366% → 77%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+21
34.5%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Line Latu for 21 yds to the BalSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
33.7%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 28Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+24
33.9%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Line Latu for 24 yds to the BalSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
33.6%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the BalSt 1Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
23.2%
Tyler Wiegers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 14END OF HALF
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0830% → 29%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-6
29.6%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 9 yds to the BalSt 36 BALL ST Penalty, illegal block (Corey Lacanaria) to the BalSt 21Similar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 17
OWN 21
+15
29.0%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (CJ Hunt) to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
29.9%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Corey LacanariaSimilar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
29.3%
James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the BalSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
28.3%
Riley Neal pass complete to Kyle Schrank for 2 yds to the BalSt 27 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, roughing passer (Maxx Crosby) to the BalSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
30.1%
NEAL, Riley rush for 3 yards to the BALL45 (ANDREWS, Hunter;CALHOUN, Vince), PENALTY BALL holding (BLACKWELL, C.) 10 yards to the BALL32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 32
0
28.2%
Riley Neal pass incomplete, broken up by Kyle RachwalSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 32
+8
28.0%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 8 yds to the BalSt 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 40
0
28.1%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 40
+2
28.0%
Patrick LeCorre punt for 39 yds , Blake Banham returns for 2 yds to the EMich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
25.6%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 7 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+4
25.1%
Shaq Vann run for 4 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
25.3%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Blake BanhamSimilar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+5
25.4%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+4
24.4%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Shaq Vann for 4 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q3 14:07
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
25.6%
Jake Julien punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
24.4%
James Gilbert run for 6 yds to the BalSt 26Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
25.0%
Riley Neal pass complete to Devin Reece for 5 yds to the BalSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
24.9%
Riley Neal run for 3 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
25.1%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
24.5%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler, broken up by Ross WilliamsSimilar
Q3 11:55
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
24.2%
Patrick LeCorre punt for 28 yds, downed at the EMich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 3:0380% → 94%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
20.1%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the EMich 39Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+19
20.2%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 19 yds to the BalSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
19.7%
Shaq Vann run for 8 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+2
19.4%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the BalSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
19.5%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+13
19.4%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Blake Banham for 13 yds to the BalSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
6.4%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 17 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:458% → 21%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
8.1%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
8.6%
James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-2
8.7%
Riley Neal run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 40 Riley Neal fumbled, forced by Jaylen Pickett, recovered by BalStSimilar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+22
8.3%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 22 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
9.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 5 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 5
OPP 33
-5
10.0%
BALL ST Penalty, false start (Chris Beech) to the EMich 38Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+8
9.0%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 8 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+5
9.6%
Riley Neal run for 5 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
10.0%
James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the EMich 24Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+4
10.0%
Riley Neal pass complete to Kyle Schrank for 4 yds to the EMich 20Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+9
9.5%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 9 yds to the EMich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
21.1%
Riley Neal run for 11 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:1585% → 97%
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
15.0%
Tyler Wiegers sacked by Jaylin Thomas and Christian Albright for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 22Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+16
15.3%
Willie Parker run for 16 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
14.1%
Willie Parker run for 1 yd to the EMich 39Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+15
14.2%
WIEGERS, Tyler pass incomplete to OAKES, Gunnar (THOMAS, Jaylin), QB hurry by WHITE, Jacob, PENALTY BALL roughing passer (WHITE, Jacob) 15 yards to the BALL46, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
13.7%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the BalSt 45Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+4
13.8%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Isaac Holder for 4 yds to the BalSt 41Similar
Q3 0:32
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+41
3.1%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Isaac Holder for 41 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 0:324% → 4%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-13
4.4%
BALL ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Romero Wade) to the BalSt 12Similar
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
4.4%
Riley Neal run for no gain to the BalSt 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
4.2%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Kyle SchrankSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+5
4.2%
Riley Neal run for 5 yds to the BalSt 17Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 17
+13
4.2%
Patrick LeCorre punt for 56 yds , Blake Banham returns for 13 yds to the EMich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
2.8%
Breck Turner run for 6 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+3
2.7%
Breck Turner run for 3 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q4 14:04
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+5
2.8%
Breck Turner run for 5 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
2.7%
Breck Turner run for 4 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+3
2.7%
Breck Turner run for 3 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q4 14:04
3RD & 3
OPP 39
0
2.7%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete, broken up by Ray WilbornSimilar
Q4 14:04
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+6
3.1%
Jake Julien punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BalSt 17 , Corey Lacanaria returns for 6 yds to the BalSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 23DOWNS
10 plays · 44 yds · 2:033% → 3%
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
2.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 4 yds to the BalSt 21Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+7
2.7%
Riley Neal run for 7 yds to the BalSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
2.8%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-1
2.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Nolan Givan for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 27 BALL ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 11
OWN 27
+30
2.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 15 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jaylen Pickett) to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
3.1%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Corey Lacanaria, broken up by Brody HoyingSimilar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
3.1%
Riley Neal run for 4 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
3.2%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Nolan GivanSimilar
Q4 9:35
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
2.6%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Riley MillerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:0099% → 98%
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
1.5%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 37Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+3
1.6%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 9:31
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+10
1.6%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Shaq Vann for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
50
+4
1.5%
Willie Parker run for 4 yds to the BalSt 46Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
1.5%
Willie Parker run for no gain to the BalSt 46Similar
Q4 9:31
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
1.5%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Isaac Holder EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 9:31
4TH & 6
OPP 46
-5
1.6%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Justin Moody) to the EMich 49Similar
Q4 9:31
4TH & 11
OWN 49
0
1.7%
Jake Julien punt for 41 yds, downed at the BalSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
1.1%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Justin Hall BALL ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the BalSt 10Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+3
1.2%
Riley Neal pass complete to Riley Miller for 3 yds to the BalSt 13Similar
Q4 5:43
3RD & 7
OWN 13
0
1.2%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Kyle Schrank, broken up by Kyle RachwalSimilar
Q4 5:43
4TH & 7
OWN 13
+19
1.2%
Patrick LeCorre punt for 49 yds , Blake Banham returns for 19 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 26TD
5 plays · 43 yds · 2:4999% → 100%
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+19
0.8%
Breck Turner run for 4 yds to the BalSt 39 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Michael Robinson Jr.) to the BalSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
0.8%
Willie Parker run for no gain to the BalSt 24Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+2
0.8%
Isaac Stiebeling run for 2 yds to the BalSt 22Similar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+8
0.8%
Willie Parker run for 8 yds to the BalSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
0.1%
Isaac Stiebeling run for 14 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 27TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
0.9%
Will Jones run for 80 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 28END OF GAME
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 99%
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
50
+1
0.5%
Preston Hutchinson run for 1 yd to the BalSt 49Similar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-2
0.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 49Similar
Q4 2:02
3RD & 11
OWN 49
-2
0.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:32
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 17 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)
-13
TD · Q3 3:47
Riley Neal run for 11 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)
+11.5
TD · Q3 0:32
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Isaac Holder for 41 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)
-10.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com