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WMU

Western Michigan 42 at Bowling Green 35

BGSU
2018 · Week 7 · Oct 13, 2018 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:13 · Nick Mihalic punt for 40 yds , Scott Miller returns for 19 yds to the WMich 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 191Pregame prior−0.1Home team on offense−34.2Garbage-time factor−14.5Score differential−4.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−13.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:51: Ra'veion Hargrove run for 35 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK) — BGSU win probability +18.4 pts (now 73%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:06: Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 24 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK) — WMU win probability +14.9 pts (now 47%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:27: Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 9 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK) — BGSU win probability +29.8 pts (now 78%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:56: Jamauri Bogan run for 7 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK) — WMU win probability +22.4 pts (now 63%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:06: Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK) — WMU win probability +27.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00BGSU 4th & 12 at BGSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:21WMU 4th & 4 at BGSU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    80.7%−<0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    80.4%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:34WMU 4th & 18 at WMU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%−0.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:21BGSU 4th & 9 at BGSU 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00WMU 4th & 2 at BGSU 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    69.6%−0.4
    87% to make
    Punt
    66.7%−3.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:57BGSU 4th & 10 at BGSU 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−0.9
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:13WMU 4th & 1 at BGSU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    67.3%−1.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    64.5%−4.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:53WMU 4th & 8 at BGSU 33, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.4%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    37.5%
    49% to make
    Punt
    36.7%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:51WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:04WMU 4th & 1 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    23.5%−4.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:03BGSU 4th & 20 at BGSU 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−4.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:56BGSU 4th & 9 at BGSU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%−3.0
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:41BGSU 4th & 3 at WMU 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    16.2%−4.3
    83% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−11.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:13WMU 4th & 2 at WMU 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%−0.6
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:34BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:53BGSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:36WMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:10BGSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:49WMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:51BGSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:06WMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:27BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:56WMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:06WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
15.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to RB Marlow III for 12 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
15.4%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-10
15.4%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, intentional grounding (Jarret Doege) to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 22
-1
15.4%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 21
OWN 21
+9
15.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Jordan Wayne-Prather for 9 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 30
0
15.4%
Matt Naranjo punt for 30 yds, downed at the WMich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2DOWNS
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
16.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 18 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
16.1%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 4 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+4
16.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+2
16.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
16.1%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Drake HarrisSimilar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-3
16.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 13
OPP 35
+9
16.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 9 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q1 13:21
4TH & 4
OPP 26
0
16.2%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni Ricci, broken up by Fred GarthSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3TD
1 play · 74 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+74
19.5%
Andrew Clair run for 74 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4PUNT
14 plays · 18 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-5
19.3%
- 1c run for a loss of 5 yards to the WMich 0Similar
Q1 9:34
4TH & 18
OWN 23
+1
19.5%
Nick Mihalic punt for 53 yds , Marcus Milton returns for 1 yd to the BwGrn 24 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & GOAL
OWN 7
+7
16.8%
Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the WMich 14Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & GOAL
OWN 14
+6
17.2%
Davon Tucker run for 6 yds to the WMich 20Similar
Q1 9:34
4TH & GOAL
OWN 20
+11
19.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 11 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
19.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 11 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-7
19.2%
Chase Brown run for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 24Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 17
OWN 24
+9
19.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 9 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 8
OWN 33
-4
19.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the WMich 23 TEAM fumbled, recovered by WMich Jon WassinkSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
19.3%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the WMich 7Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+7
19.3%
Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the WMich 14Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+6
19.4%
Davon Tucker run for 6 yds to the WMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 22 yds · 4:1320% → 23%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
19.9%
Jerry Judd III run for 7 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 3
OPP 24
-9
19.9%
James Harris Jr. pass complete to - 1a for a loss of 9 yards to the WMich 33Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 12
OPP 33
+4
19.6%
TEAM run for 4 yds to the WMich 23 TEAM fumbled, recovered by WMich Jon WassinkSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
22.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott Miller, broken up by Davontae GinwrightSimilar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+3
22.9%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 18Similar
Q1 5:21
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+18
22.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to RB Marlow III for 18 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
23.2%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to RB Marlow IIISimilar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-5
23.1%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (RB Marlow III) to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 15
OWN 31
0
22.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete, broken up by Ralph HolleySimilar
Q1 5:21
3RD & 15
OWN 31
+6
22.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Andrew Clair for 6 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q1 5:21
4TH & 9
OWN 37
+2
22.5%
Matt Naranjo punt for 34 yds , Jayden Reed returns for 2 yds to the WMich 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6DOWNS
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:2776% → 73%
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
24.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+21
24.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for 21 yds to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
23.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+13
23.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
23.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 11 yds to the BwGrn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
23.1%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 8 yds to the BwGrn 11Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 2
OPP 11
0
23.1%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Jayden ReedSimilar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 2
OPP 11
0
23.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the BwGrn 11Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 11
0
26.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the BwGrn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
27.8%
Andrew Clair run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 5
OWN 16
0
27.8%
Andrew Clair run for no gain to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 5
OWN 16
-5
27.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Andrew Clair for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 11Similar
Q2 14:57
4TH & 10
OWN 11
0
26.8%
Matt Naranjo punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jayden Reed at the WMich 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8INT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0072% → 73%
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
27.8%
Chase Brown run for 15 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
27.7%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+4
27.7%
Davon Tucker run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+5
27.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 5 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q2 13:13
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+1
28.2%
Jon Wassink run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
26.9%
Jon Wassink run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 6
OPP 22
0
26.9%
Jon Wassink pass intercepted Clint Stephens return for no gain to the BwGrn 22 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 91 yds · 1:3832% → 44%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
32.3%
Rico Frye run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 13Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+10
32.4%
DOEGE, Jarret rush for loss of 12 yards to the BGSU1, fumble by DOEGE, Jarret recovered by BGSU DOEGE, Jarret at BGSU1, PENALTY WMU holding (DOWELS, JUWAN) 10 yards to the BGSU23, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
32.5%
Ra'veion Hargrove run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+76
43.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 76 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10INT
7 plays · 42 yds · 1:1759% → 59%
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+24
41.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 24 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
40.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 17 yds to the BwGrn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
39.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
39.6%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Jayden ReedSimilar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+5
40.9%
Jon Wassink pass intercepted Marcus Milton return for 5 yds to the BwGrn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11FUMBLE
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
43.1%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-1
42.9%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 21 Andrew Clair fumbled, forced by Corvin Moment, recovered by WMich Antonio BalabaniSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12TD
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:3760% → 65%
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
39.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+7
40.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 7 yds to the BwGrn 14Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+5
44.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 5 yds to the BwGrn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
34.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 9 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13TD
16 plays · 81 yds · 5:2039% → 58%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
39.2%
Bryson Denley run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 6
OWN 23
0
39.3%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Jordan Wayne-Prather, broken up by Juwan DowelsSimilar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+7
38.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to RB Marlow III for 7 yds to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-4
39.4%
Bryson Denley run for a loss of 4 yards to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 14
OWN 26
+15
38.9%
DOEGE, Jarret pass incomplete to MILLER, Scott, PENALTY WMU roughing passer (HOLLEY, RALPH) 15 yards to the BGSU41, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
41.0%
Ra'veion Hargrove run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 12
OWN 39
0
40.0%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Ra'veion HargroveSimilar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 12
OWN 39
+31
38.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 31 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
41.7%
Ra'veion Hargrove run for no gain to the WMich 30Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+10
41.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 10 yds to the WMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+18
41.7%
Rico Frye run for 18 yds to the WMich 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
41.7%
Rico Frye run for 1 yd to the WMich 1Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
41.7%
Rico Frye run for a loss of 4 yards to the WMich 5Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
58.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 5 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14Uncategorized
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
58.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 9 yds to the WMich 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 4:0441% → 56%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
59.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the WMich 28Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+6
59.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 6 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+11
58.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 11 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
57.4%
Jayden Reed run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 5
50
+15
56.4%
WASSINK, JON pass incomplete to ESKRIDGE, D (GREGORY, Montre), PENALTY BGSU pass interference (GREGORY, Montre) 15 yards to the BGSU35, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
55.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
55.2%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni RicciSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
56.7%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Drake Harris, broken up by Clint StephensSimilar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+13
58.4%
Jon Wassink run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
54.6%
WASSINK, JON pass incomplete to REED, JAYDEN (McBRIDE, Jerry), PENALTY BGSU pass interference (McBRIDE, Jerry) 15 yards to the BGSU5, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
44.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 79 yds · 1:5351% → 73%
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
51.3%
Bryson Denley run for no gain to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+28
51.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryson Denley for 28 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
54.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 16 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
72.9%
Ra'veion Hargrove run for 35 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
69.1%
Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 1 yd to the WMich 26Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
69.2%
Jon Wassink run for 3 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
68.6%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Jayden Reed, broken up by Marcus MiltonSimilar
Q3 8:51
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
70.0%
Nick Mihalic punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Marcus Milton at the BwGrn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18FUMBLE
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:0075% → 76%
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
75.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 18 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
76.4%
Bryson Denley run for 3 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 7
OPP 42
-5
76.3%
Jarret Doege sacked by Najee Clayton for a loss of 5 yards to the WMich 41 Jarret Doege fumbled, recovered by WMich Eric Assoua , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 2:5829% → 47%
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
71.2%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+7
71.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 7 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+2
70.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:04
4TH & 1
50
+3
71.1%
Jon Wassink run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
69.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+10
69.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
67.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+24
53.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 24 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 0:0065% → 61%
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
64.6%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, delay of game (Jarret Doege) to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 15
OWN 15
-5
64.3%
Bryson Denley run for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 10Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 20
OWN 10
0
64.0%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 20
OWN 10
0
62.7%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Jordan Wayne-Prather, broken up by Alex GraceSimilar
Q3 3:03
4TH & 20
OWN 10
+5
61.3%
Matt Naranjo punt for 47 yds , Jayden Reed returns for 5 yds to the WMich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21TD
4 plays · 52 yds · 1:3242% → 53%
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
57.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 8
50
+17
57.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 17 yds to the BwGrn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-27
54.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the WMich 30 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding (-30 Yards) to the WMich 40Similar
Q3 0:26
1ST & 17
OWN 40
+16
47.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 36 yds for a TD Keishawn Watson fumbled, forced by Jerry McBride III, recovered by WMich Keishawn Watson , return for 16 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:5945% → 78%
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
44.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to RB Marlow III for 11 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
46.7%
DOEGE, Jarret pass incomplete to MILLER, Scott (CLAIBORNE, S), PENALTY WMU pass interference (CLAIBORNE, S) 5 yards to the BGSU41, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+50
48.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to RB Marlow III for 50 yds to the WMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
78.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 9 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:2533% → 63%
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
66.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 18 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
64.5%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to D'Wayne Eskridge, broken up by Clint StephensSimilar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+13
64.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
61.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
61.9%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Jayden Reed, broken up by Marcus MiltonSimilar
Q4 14:21
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+9
62.5%
Jon Wassink run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
59.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
59.0%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni Ricci, broken up by Montre GregorySimilar
Q4 14:21
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+5
61.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 5 yds to the BwGrn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
59.0%
WASSINK, JON pass incomplete to ESKRIDGE, D (STEPHENS, Clint), PENALTY BGSU pass interference (STEPHENS, Clint) 15 yards to the BGSU7, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
36.7%
Jamauri Bogan run for 7 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0049% → 46%
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
49.2%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott Miller, broken up by Juwan DowelsSimilar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
48.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryson Denley for 1 yd to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q4 10:56
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
47.6%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott Miller, broken up by Justin TranquillSimilar
Q4 10:56
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
45.5%
Matt Naranjo punt for 48 yds, downed at the WMich 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 25TD
12 plays · 84 yds · 4:4556% → 90%
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
44.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the WMich 19Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+7
44.9%
Jon Wassink run for 7 yds to the WMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
44.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for 7 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+5
41.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
42.1%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to D'Wayne Eskridge, broken up by Clint StephensSimilar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+9
42.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for 9 yds to the WMich 47Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+3
40.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
50
-7
39.4%
WASSINK, JON pass complete to REED, JAYDEN for 3 yards to the BGSU47 (GARTH, Fred), PENALTY WMU holding 7 yards to the WMU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 17
OWN 43
+40
43.1%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 40 yds to the BwGrn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
37.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 10Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+7
37.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 6 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, personal foul (Demontae Haigler) to the BwGrn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
10.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 26INT
9 plays · 77 yds · 2:1719% → 22%
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+34
18.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 34 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
21.7%
Bryson Denley run for no gain to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+36
20.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 36 yds to the WMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
25.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
25.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Ra'veion Hargrove for no gain to the WMich 22 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 4:58
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+7
23.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 7 yds to the WMich 15Similar
Q4 2:41
4TH & 3
OPP 15
0
22.2%
Jarret Doege pass intercepted Anton Curtis return for no gain to the WMich 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 27PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:1989% → 94%
Q4 2:32
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+8
10.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 8 yds to the WMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
9.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the WMich 20Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
5.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+6
5.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 6 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q4 0:13
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+19
5.7%
Nick Mihalic punt for 40 yds , Scott Miller returns for 19 yds to the WMich 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 28INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
11.0%
Grant Loy pass intercepted Anton Curtis return for 8 yds to the WMich 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:27
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 9 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)
+29.8
TD · Q4 5:06
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)
-27.1
TD · Q4 10:56
Jamauri Bogan run for 7 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)
-22.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com