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OHIO

Ohio 21 at Northern Illinois 24

NIU
2018 · Week 7 · Oct 13, 2018 · Huskie Stadium
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Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+40.8NIU 80.2%Marcus Jones run for 2 yds for a TD(M. Scharping Run For Two-pointConversion)AWAY 21 - HOME 24 · Q4 4:51
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:51 · Marcus Jones run for 2 yds for a TD (M. Scharping Run For Two-point Conversion)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 158Pregame prior+1.1Home team on offense+14.2Garbage-time factor+3.2Score differential+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:39: Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 56 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +16.4 pts (now 56%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:00: Nathan Rourke pass complete to Connor Brown for 11 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +22.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:38: Marcus Childers run for 10 yds for a TD (Andrew Gantz KICK) — NIU win probability +18.6 pts (now 46%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:14: Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 21 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST down — NIU win probability +9.8 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 4:51: Marcus Jones run for 2 yds for a TD (M. Scharping Run For Two-point Conversion) — NIU win probability +40.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9OHIO made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:47OHIO 4th & 3 at OHIO 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:06NIU 4th & 13 at OHIO 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    63.2%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:06OHIO 4th & 11 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00NIU 4th & 4 at OHIO 37, up 3
    Close callPunted · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    65.5%−0.6
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:41OHIO 4th & 18 at OHIO 17, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−2.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:18NIU 4th & 4 at NIU 49, up 2
    Close callPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:08OHIO 4th & 16 at OHIO 25, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−2.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:03NIU 4th & 20 at NIU 41, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−4.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:16NIU 4th & 5 at NIU 39, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:24NIU 4th & 3 at OHIO 37, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    65.0%−2.3
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%−2.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:39NIU 4th & 5 at NIU 46, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:54NIU 4th & 3 at OHIO 34, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    23.6%−1.7
    47% to make
    Punt
    22.5%−2.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:51OHIO 4th & 15 at OHIO 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−2.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2OHIO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 8:39OHIO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 6:39OHIO Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:00OHIO Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:38NIU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:51NIU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    66.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    65.5%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.5%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Spencer TearsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
64.5%
Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
64.5%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 4 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
64.5%
Matt Ference punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
64.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Ohio 25Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+2
64.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q1 13:47
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+4
64.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 4 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q1 13:47
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
64.5%
Michael Farkas punt for 59 yds , Cole Tucker returns for no gain to the NoIll 31 NORTHERNIL Penalty, Offensive holding (5 Yards) to the NoIll 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 3FG
18 plays · 77 yds · 5:4264% → 65%
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
64.3%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the NoIll 8Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 7
OWN 8
-4
64.3%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the NoIll 4Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 11
OWN 4
+5
64.3%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 5 yds to the NoIll 9Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 6
OWN 9
+6
64.1%
Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for 6 yds to the NoIll 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
64.3%
Marcus Childers run for 1 yd to the NoIll 16Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+10
64.3%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 10 yds to the NoIll 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+16
64.4%
Marcus Childers run for 16 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
64.6%
Marcus Jones run for 4 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+7
64.7%
Marcus Childers run for 7 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
64.7%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Dennis Robinson for 8 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 2
OPP 39
0
64.7%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Dennis RobinsonSimilar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+13
64.7%
Marcus Childers run for 13 yds to the Ohio 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
64.8%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 11 yds to the Ohio 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
64.8%
D.J. Brown run for 2 yds to the Ohio 13Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+5
64.8%
Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the Ohio 8Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 3
OPP 8
-10
64.7%
CHILDERS, Marcu pass incomplete to BROWN, D.J. (NELSON, K.), PENALTY NIU holding 10 yards to the OHIO18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 13
OPP 18
0
64.6%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Jauan Wesley, broken up by Kylan NelsonSimilar
Q1 6:06
4TH & 13
OPP 18
+36
64.5%
Andrew Gantz 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
64.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 26 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
64.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 8
OPP 47
-8
64.0%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 2 yds to the Ohio 45 OHIO Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Ohio 45Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 16
OWN 45
0
64.7%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q1 6:06
3RD & 16
OWN 45
+5
64.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:06
4TH & 11
50
0
65.1%
Michael Farkas punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 5PUNT
14 plays · 54 yds · 4:0265% → 65%
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
64.5%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jordan Nettles for 2 yds to the NoIll 11Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 8
OWN 11
0
64.5%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Dennis Robinson, broken up by Jamal HudsonSimilar
Q1 4:02
3RD & 8
OWN 11
+9
64.1%
Marcus Childers run for 9 yds to the NoIll 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
64.6%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Dennis Robinson, broken up by Marlin BrooksSimilar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
64.5%
Marcus Jones run for 5 yds to the NoIll 25Similar
Q1 4:02
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+5
64.3%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 5 yds to the NoIll 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
64.7%
Marcus Childers run for 4 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+7
65.0%
Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for 7 yds to the NoIll 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
65.3%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 3 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+13
65.5%
Marcus Childers run for 13 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
65.8%
Marcus Childers run for 2 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+4
65.8%
Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for 4 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 37
0
65.6%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Jauan WesleySimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 37
0
64.8%
Matt Ference punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Kylan Nelson at the Ohio 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6TD
12 plays · 92 yds · 5:1635% → 44%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+13
64.9%
Nathan Rourke run for 13 yds to the Ohio 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
64.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+70
64.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 70 yds to the NoIll 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
62.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the NoIll 3Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
62.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the NoIll 2Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
63.5%
ROURKE, N. pass incomplete to WHITE, P., PENALTY NIU pass interference 1 yards to the NIU1, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
62.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 4Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
62.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 6Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
63.5%
ROURKE, N. pass incomplete to WHITE, P., PENALTY NIU pass interference (WILLIAMS, Mykel) 4 yards to the NIU2, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
62.8%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Andrew MeyerSimilar
Q2 8:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
56.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 1:5759% → 69%
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
59.2%
Jordan Nettles run for 2 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 8
OWN 28
-1
59.3%
Tre Harbison run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 27Similar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+15
58.0%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 15 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
60.8%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to D.J. Brown, broken up by Dylan ConnerSimilar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+30
59.7%
Marcus Childers run for 30 yds to the Ohio 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
69.1%
D.J. Brown run for 28 yds for a TD (Matt Ference fumbled)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 0:0036% → 34%
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
64.5%
Maleek Irons run for 2 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-10
64.5%
ROURKE, N. pass complete to ODOM, C. for 12 yards to the OHIO39, out-of-bounds, PENALTY OHIO holding 10 yards to the OHIO17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+13
64.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 13 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-13
64.7%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Josh Corcoran for a loss of 13 yards to the Ohio 17Similar
Q2 6:41
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
66.3%
Michael Farkas punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
68.0%
Marcus Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 42Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 11
OWN 42
0
67.0%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to D.J. BrownSimilar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 11
OWN 42
+7
66.1%
Marcus Childers run for 7 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q2 4:18
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
66.7%
Matt Ference punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+7
65.4%
Maleek Irons run for 7 yds to the Ohio 10Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 3
OWN 10
+21
64.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 21 yds to the Ohio 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
64.2%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Maleek Irons for 4 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
63.6%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q2 3:08
3RD & 6
OWN 35
-10
64.6%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Sutton Smith for a loss of 10 yards to the Ohio 25Similar
Q2 3:08
4TH & 16
OWN 25
+1
66.5%
Michael Farkas punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 49 , Cole Tucker returns for 1 yd to the Ohio 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:2469% → 65%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
68.8%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Spencer Tears, broken up by Marlin BrooksSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
68.4%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Spencer TearsSimilar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 10
OPP 49
-10
66.8%
Marcus Childers sacked by Evan Croutch for a loss of 10 yards to the NoIll 41Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 20
OWN 41
0
64.6%
Matt Ference punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12FUMBLE
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:0036% → 39%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
63.6%
ROURKE, N. pass incomplete to ODOM, C., PENALTY NIU holding 10 yards to the OHIO41, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
62.0%
Nathan Rourke run for 2 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
61.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Connor Brown for no gain to the Ohio 43Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+21
63.0%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 21 yds to the NORTHERNIL 36 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
61.0%
Nathan Rourke run for no gain to the NoIll 36Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+1
61.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the NoIll 34 A.J. Ouellette fumbled, forced by Trayshon Foster, recovered by NoIll Sutton SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0065% → 64%
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
65.0%
Jordan Nettles run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 33Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 11
OWN 33
0
64.5%
Marcus Childers run for no gain to the NoIll 33Similar
Q3 12:16
3RD & 11
OWN 33
+6
63.3%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Dennis Robinson for 6 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q3 12:16
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
63.8%
Matt Ference punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
63.8%
Nathan Rourke pass intercepted Trayshon Foster return for 17 yds to the Ohio 42 NORTHERNIL Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Ohio 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0068% → 66%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
68.1%
Jordan Nettles run for 2 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+4
68.0%
Marcus Childers run for 4 yds to the Ohio 38Similar
Q3 10:24
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+1
67.6%
Marcus Childers run for 1 yd to the Ohio 37Similar
Q3 10:24
4TH & 3
OPP 37
0
65.9%
Matt Ference punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16TD
4 plays · 85 yds · 1:4936% → 56%
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+35
64.1%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 20 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, personal foul (Trayshon Foster) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
50
+1
60.1%
Maleek Irons run for 1 yd to the NoIll 49Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-7
60.2%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Jack Heflin for a loss of 7 yards to the Ohio 44Similar
Q3 6:39
3RD & 16
OWN 44
+56
43.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 56 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0046% → 45%
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
45.7%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Dennis Robinson for 16 yds to the NoIll 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
48.5%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Jauan Wesley, broken up by Jamal HudsonSimilar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
47.0%
JONES, Marcus rush for no gain to the NIU41 (DORSA, J.;CROUTCH, E.), PENALTY OHIO offside defense 5 yards to the NIU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
49.1%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Dennis Robinson, broken up by Jamal HudsonSimilar
Q3 6:39
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
47.7%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Spencer TearsSimilar
Q3 6:39
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
45.1%
Matt Ference punt for 44 yds, downed at the Ohio 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18TD
14 plays · 90 yds · 5:4557% → 83%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
43.3%
Maleek Irons run for 11 yds to the Ohio 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
43.1%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Maleek IronsSimilar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-4
43.4%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for a loss of 4 yards Papi White fumbled, forced by Trequan Smith, recovered by Ohio Papi WhiteSimilar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 16
OWN 15
+27
45.0%
Nathan Rourke run for 12 yds to the Ohio 27 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, personal foul (Trequan Smith) to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
40.5%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Andrew MeyerSimilar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-2
41.2%
Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 40Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 12
OWN 40
+15
43.2%
ROURKE, N. pass incomplete to MEYER, A., PENALTY NIU pass interference (HUNT, Tifonte) 15 yards to the NIU45, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
39.7%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tifonte Hunt) to the NoIll 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
38.5%
Maleek Irons run for 3 yds to the NoIll 27Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+12
38.1%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 12 yds to the NoIll 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
38.1%
Maleek Irons run for 7 yds to the NoIll 8Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+2
38.1%
Maleek Irons run for 2 yds to the NoIll 6Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 1
OPP 6
-5
39.6%
OHIO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 11Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+11
16.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Connor Brown for 11 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19TD
15 plays · 77 yds · 4:1623% → 46%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
22.8%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Jauan WesleySimilar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+11
22.5%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 11 yds to the NoIll 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
23.4%
Marcus Jones run for 14 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
24.6%
Marcus Childers run for 6 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+5
26.0%
Marcus Jones run for 5 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
25.6%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 46Similar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 15
OPP 46
0
24.6%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Jauan WesleySimilar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 15
OPP 46
+12
23.9%
Marcus Childers run for 12 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 3
OPP 34
0
25.7%
Marcus Jones run for no gain to the Ohio 34Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+11
24.1%
Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for 11 yds to the Ohio 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
27.5%
Marcus Childers run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 26Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 13
OPP 26
+15
26.0%
CHILDERS, Marcu pass incomplete to TEARS, Spencer, PENALTY OHIO pass interference (HUDSON, J.) 15 yards to the OHIO11, 1ST DOWN NIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
27.5%
Jordan Nettles run for 1 yd to the Ohio 10Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+10
46.1%
Marcus Childers run for 10 yds for a TD (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20FUMBLE
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:0068% → 71%
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.3%
Maleek Irons run for no gain to the Ohio 25Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+21
32.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 21 yds to the Ohio 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
29.5%
Maleek Irons run for 1 yd to the Ohio 47Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+13
29.5%
Nathan Rourke run for 13 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
28.5%
Maleek Irons run for 1 yd to the NoIll 39Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 9
OPP 39
-8
28.6%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Sutton Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the NoIll 47 Nathan Rourke fumbled, recovered by NoIll Sutton Smith , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 2:2338% → 80%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+21
38.4%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 21 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-8
42.1%
Marcus Childers sacked by Kent Berger for a loss of 8 yards to the Ohio 40Similar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 18
OPP 40
+20
36.8%
Marcus Childers run for 20 yds to the Ohio 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
42.1%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to D.J. Brown, broken up by Kylan NelsonSimilar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+4
42.1%
Marcus Jones run for 4 yds to the Ohio 16Similar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+14
39.4%
CHILDERS, Marcu pass incomplete to TEARS, Spencer, PENALTY OHIO pass interference 14 yards to the OHIO2, 1ST DOWN NIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
80.2%
Marcus Jones run for 2 yds for a TD (M. Scharping Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0031% → 28%
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.8%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Andrew MeyerSimilar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
69.1%
Maleek Irons run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 20Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
71.3%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q4 4:51
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
72.4%
Michael Farkas punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 23END OF GAME
11 plays · 42 yds · 1:5782% → 92%
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
81.5%
Marcus Childers run for 2 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+1
81.5%
Marcus Childers run for 1 yd to the NoIll 49Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+32
85.9%
Marcus Childers run for 32 yds to the Ohio 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
89.0%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the Ohio 16Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+6
90.7%
Tre Harbison run for 6 yds to the Ohio 10Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+2
90.2%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the Ohio 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
91.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 11Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-1
91.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:51
Marcus Jones run for 2 yds for a TD (M. Scharping Run For Two-point Conversion)
+40.8
TD · Q3 0:00
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Connor Brown for 11 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)
-22.9
TD · Q4 10:38
Marcus Childers run for 10 yds for a TD (Andrew Gantz KICK)
+18.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com