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EMU

Eastern Michigan 24 at Western Michigan 27

WMU
2018 · Week 6 · Oct 6, 2018 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Nick Mihalic punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Pregame prior+9.8Home team on offense+2.8Garbage-time factor+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:19: Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK) — WMU win probability +7.9 pts (now 77%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:36: Mike Glass III run for 4 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +17.7 pts (now 53%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:57: Jon Wassink run for 1 yd for a TD EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined (Gavin Peddie KICK) — WMU win probability +18.1 pts (now 77%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:24: Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 15 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie PAT BLOCKED) — WMU win probability +10.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:20: Mike Glass III pass complete to Blake Banham for 13 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +11.2 pts (now 15%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8EMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00EMU 4th & 2 at WMU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    36.6%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:43EMU 4th & 17 at EMU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:20EMU 4th & 13 at WMU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    33.0%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00WMU 4th & 12 at WMU 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−0.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:34EMU 4th & 1 at WMU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    38.7%−1.2
    70% to make
    Punt
    35.6%−4.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:28WMU 4th & 5 at WMU 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:03WMU 4th & 1 at EMU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    61.2%−1.6
    60% to make
    Punt
    57.2%−5.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:57WMU 4th & 2 at EMU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    61.8%−0.9
    80% to make
    Punt
    56.9%−5.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00WMU 4th & 11 at WMU 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−1.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:56EMU 4th & 27 at EMU 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−2.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:40WMU 4th & 9 at WMU 2, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−2.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:36WMU 4th & 2 at EMU 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    52.9%−1.7
    66% to make
    Punt
    43.4%−11.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:59EMU 4th & 6 at EMU 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:20EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−3.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:24EMU 4th & 1 at WMU 44, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    9.1%−3.5
    27% to make
    Punt
    10.5%−2.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:26EMU 4th & 3 at WMU 15, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.9%−1.3
    83% to make
    Punt
    4.8%−3.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:24WMU 4th & 5 at WMU 25, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:20EMU 4th & 8 at WMU 13, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.7%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    6.4%
    85% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−2.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 9:43WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:14EMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:19WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:36EMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:57WMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:24WMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:20EMU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.4%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1DOWNS
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.5%
Tyler Wiegers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
69.5%
WIEGERS, Tyler pass complete to BANHAM, Blake for 3 yards to the EMU28 (THOMAS, A.J.), PENALTY WMU OOD (BALABANI, A) 5 yards to the EMU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+23
69.5%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 23 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-4
69.5%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 49
-7
69.5%
Tyler Wiegers sacked by Ralph Holley and Antonio Balabani for a loss of 7 yards to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 21
OWN 42
+19
69.5%
Shaq Vann run for 19 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 39
0
69.5%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Tyler LyleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:4269% → 71%
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
69.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 7 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+6
69.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
69.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+6
69.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 6 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+3
69.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 3 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+23
69.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 23 yds to the EMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
71.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 14 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
70.3%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 6 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
70.1%
Mike Glass III run for 5 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
70.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Blake Banham for 6 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+13
70.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 13 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
69.9%
Breck Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 46Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 11
OPP 46
-3
70.0%
Mike Glass III run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line Mike Glass III fumbled, forced by Ali Fayad, , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:43
3RD & 15
50
-2
70.3%
Mike Glass III sacked by Najee Clayton and Ralph Holley for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 48Similar
Q1 9:43
4TH & 17
OWN 48
0
70.5%
Jake Julien punt for 45 yds, downed at the WMich 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4INT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+9
71.1%
Chase Brown run for 9 yds to the WMich 16Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 1
OWN 16
+7
71.2%
Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the WMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
71.3%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Jayden ReedSimilar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-5
71.2%
WASSINK, JON pass complete to WATSON, K for 13 yards to the WMU36 (HOYING, Brody), PENALTY WMU illegal formation 5 yards to the WMU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 15
OWN 18
+4
71.1%
Davon Tucker run for 4 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q1 5:21
3RD & 11
OWN 22
0
70.8%
Jon Wassink pass intercepted Jaylen Pickett return for no gain to the WMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0030% → 28%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
70.3%
Willie Parker run for 3 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+4
69.8%
Willie Parker run for 4 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 3
OPP 30
-15
70.3%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Arthur Jackson III) to the WMich 45Similar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 18
OPP 45
+5
71.3%
Willie Parker run for 5 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q1 3:20
4TH & 13
OPP 40
0
71.7%
Jake Julien punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jayden Reed at the WMich 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:4572% → 70%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+13
71.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 13 yds to the WMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
71.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 18Similar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
71.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the WMich 18Similar
Q1 1:21
3RD & 12
OWN 18
0
70.7%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
70.4%
Nick Mihalic punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 2:3830% → 37%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
70.4%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+3
69.9%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 2
50
+12
69.9%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Line Latu for 12 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
69.7%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Line LatuSimilar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+19
69.8%
Tyler Wiegers run for 19 yds to the WMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
68.9%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the WMich 16Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+16
62.7%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 16 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8FUMBLE
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
66.4%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the WMich 32 Chase Brown fumbled, forced by Jaylen Pickett, recovered by EMich Jordan PorterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3337% → 37%
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
62.6%
Shaq Vann run for 8 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+1
62.4%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the WMich 23Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 1
OPP 23
0
63.1%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the WMich 23Similar
Q2 10:34
4TH & 1
OPP 23
0
63.3%
Tyler Wiegers run for no gain to the WMich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
66.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+6
66.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for 6 yds to the WMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
66.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+4
67.7%
Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 1
OWN 43
0
67.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the WMich 43Similar
Q2 10:28
4TH & 1
OWN 43
-4
66.5%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the WMich 39Similar
Q2 10:28
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
65.7%
Nick Mihalic punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11FUMBLE
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
62.5%
Tyler Wiegers run for 3 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+1
62.1%
Breck Turner run for 1 yd to the EMich 30Similar
Q2 7:35
3RD & 6
OWN 30
-7
63.0%
Tyler Wiegers sacked by Ralph Holley for a loss of 7 yards to the EMich 38 Tyler Wiegers fumbled, recovered by WMich A.J. Thomas , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12TD
14 plays · 38 yds · 4:4465% → 77%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+1
65.2%
BELLAMY, L rush for loss of 2 yards to the EMU40 (HOLFORD, Clay), PENALTY WMU personal foul off-setting, PENALTY EMU personal foul 1 yards to the EMU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
67.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
68.3%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+7
67.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 7 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q2 6:03
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+3
66.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
68.4%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
69.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q2 3:57
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+5
68.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the EMich 17Similar
Q2 3:57
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+5
66.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the EMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
69.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the EMich 4 LeVante Bellamy fumbled, forced by Maxx Crosby, recovered by WMich Luke JurigaSimilar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+3
69.1%
Jon Wassink run for 3 yds to the EMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
69.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the EMich 1Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 1:1924% → 33%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
76.0%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the EMich 26Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
76.1%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Line LatuSimilar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
76.7%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the EMich 26Similar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+15
77.2%
JULIEN, Jake punt 29 yards to the WMU45, downed, PENALTY WMU roughing the kicker (SANDERS, LUKE) 15 yards to the EMU41, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
74.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 10 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
72.9%
Mike Glass III run for 14 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
70.9%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Blake BanhamSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+12
71.0%
Mike Glass III run for 12 yds to the WMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+39
67.2%
Chad Ryland 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 0:0069% → 67%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
69.3%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the WMich 20Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
69.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 4 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-11
69.0%
BELLAMY, L rush for 2 yards to the WMU26 (PICKETT, Jaylen), PENALTY WMU illegal block (BROOKS, MARK) 11 yards to the WMU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+10
68.8%
Jon Wassink run for 10 yds to the WMich 23 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, illegal block (LeVante Bellamy) to the WMich 23Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+1
67.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 1 yd to the WMich 24Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
67.1%
Nick Mihalic punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -17 yds · 0:0034% → 29%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
66.4%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 41Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 12
OWN 41
0
67.7%
Mike Glass III run for no gain to the EMich 41Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 12
OWN 41
-15
68.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 15 yards to the EMich 26 TEAM fumbled, recovered by EMich Mike Glass IIISimilar
Q3 12:56
4TH & 27
OWN 26
0
70.6%
Jake Julien punt for 73 yds, downed at the WMich 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0071% → 69%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
71.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 3Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+1
70.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the WMich 4Similar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 7
OWN 4
-2
69.7%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Jamauri Bogan) to the WMich 2Similar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 9
OWN 2
0
69.7%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Jayden ReedSimilar
Q3 10:40
4TH & 9
OWN 2
0
69.2%
Nick Mihalic punt for 37 yds, downed at the WMich 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 39 yds · 1:3234% → 53%
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
66.4%
Mike Glass III run for 2 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+9
66.4%
Shaq Vann run for 9 yds to the WMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+19
64.9%
Mike Glass III run for 19 yds to the WMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
64.9%
VANN, Shaq rush for no gain to the WMU9 (MOMENT, CORVIN), PENALTY WMU face mask (MOMENT, CORVIN) 5 yards to the WMU4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
47.1%
Mike Glass III run for 4 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18DOWNS
10 plays · 50 yds · 0:0054% → 56%
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
54.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for 8 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
56.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 7 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
57.4%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Jayden Reed, broken up by Vince CalhounSimilar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
55.5%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+27
54.1%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 27 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
60.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 34Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 11
OPP 34
0
59.9%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+9
57.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 9 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q3 7:36
4TH & 2
OPP 25
0
56.3%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Jayden Reed, broken up by Brody HoyingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
49.8%
Breck Turner run for 3 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+14
49.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 14 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
47.1%
Breck Turner run for no gain to the EMich 42Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
47.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Blake Banham for 3 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q3 4:59
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+1
47.7%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 1 yd to the EMich 46Similar
Q3 4:59
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
50.6%
Jake Julien punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jayden Reed at the WMich 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 91 yds · 2:3451% → 77%
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
50.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 9 yds Giovanni Ricci fumbled, forced by Tyrone Neal, recovered by WMichSimilar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+12
51.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 12 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
51.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+18
51.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jamauri Bogan for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
50
+49
56.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 49 yds to the EMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
58.7%
Jon Wassink run for no gain to the EMich 1 Jon Wassink fumbled, recovered by WMich Jon WassinkSimilar
Q4 14:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.9%
Jon Wassink run for 1 yd for a TD EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:3730% → 24%
Q4 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
69.6%
Willie Parker run for no gain to the EMich 21Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
70.0%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q4 14:57
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
71.7%
Willie Parker run for no gain to the EMich 21Similar
Q4 13:20
4TH & 10
OWN 21
-2
75.6%
Jake Julien punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 31 , Jayden Reed returns for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 3:4675% → 90%
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
75.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+3
76.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+18
75.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 18 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
78.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+21
77.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 21 yds to the EMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
79.3%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni RicciSimilar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
79.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the EMich 15Similar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+15
89.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 15 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 23MISSED FG
17 plays · 84 yds · 5:589% → 7%
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+24
91.2%
Mike Glass III run for 24 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.5%
Willie Parker run for no gain to the EMich 25Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
90.7%
Mike Glass III run for 6 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
90.0%
Mike Glass III run for 5 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
89.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 11 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-4
88.6%
Mike Glass III run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 43Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 14
OWN 43
+12
90.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 12 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+1
88.4%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the WMich 44Similar
Q4 9:24
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+3
89.1%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
88.0%
Mike Glass III run for 2 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
88.1%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+17
88.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 17 yds to the WMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
87.0%
Shaq Vann run for 7 yds to the WMich 15Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 3
OPP 15
0
87.0%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Gunnar OakesSimilar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 3
OPP 15
0
88.0%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Arthur Jackson IIISimilar
Q4 3:26
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+32
93.0%
Chad Ryland 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0594% → 94%
Q4 3:29
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-2
94.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 19Similar
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
94.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the WMich 21Similar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+6
94.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q4 3:24
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
93.8%
Nick Mihalic punt for 60 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 25TD
14 plays · 85 yds · 2:223% → 15%
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
97.1%
Mike Glass III run for 7 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 3
OWN 22
0
96.8%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Line LatuSimilar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+6
97.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 6 yds to the EMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
96.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 8 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 2
OWN 36
0
96.6%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+7
96.8%
Mike Glass III run for 7 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
96.6%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Shaq VannSimilar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+15
96.7%
GLASS, Mike sacked for loss of 11 yards to the EMU32 (TRANQUILL, J;FOSTER, DeSHAWN), PENALTY WMU face mask 15 yards to the WMU42, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+27
96.3%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Blake Banham for 27 yds to the WMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
95.7%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Blake Banham for 8 yds to the WMich 7Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 2
OPP 7
-10
95.3%
GLASS, Mike pass complete to JACKSON, Arthur for 7 yards to the WMU0, clock 00:55, PENALTY EMU holding 10 yards to the WMU17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 12
OPP 17
+4
95.6%
Mike Glass III run for 4 yds to the WMich 13Similar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
95.8%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Blake BanhamSimilar
Q4 0:20
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+13
84.6%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Blake Banham for 13 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
95.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:57
Jon Wassink run for 1 yd for a TD EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined (Gavin Peddie KICK)
+18.1
TD · Q3 7:36
Mike Glass III run for 4 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)
-17.7
TD · Q4 0:20
Mike Glass III pass complete to Blake Banham for 13 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)
-11.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com