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WMU

Western Michigan 40 at Miami (OH) 39

M-OH
2018 · Week 5 · Sep 29, 2018 · Yager Stadium
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Kyle Kramer punt for 62 yds, downed at the WMich 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 133Pregame prior−2.8Home team on offense+9.2Score differential+1.9Garbage-time factor+4.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.2Blowout margin−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:01: Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 27 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK) — WMU win probability +18.0 pts (now 45%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:21: Jordan Rigg run for 2 yds for a TD (Samuel Sloman PAT MISSED) — M-OH win probability +16.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:25: Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 5 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK) — WMU win probability +34.9 pts (now 61%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:26: Gus Ragland pass complete to Dominique Robinson for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — M-OH win probability +33.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:53: Jon Wassink run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — WMU win probability +48.1 pts (now 72%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 5 of 7WMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 14:47WMU 4th & 2 at M-OH 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    54.9%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    54.4%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:36M-OH 4th & 2 at WMU 6, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.5%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    45.6%−2.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:00WMU 4th & 2 at M-OH 2, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    47.4%−1.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    41.3%−7.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:00M-OH 4th & 11 at M-OH 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%−2.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:39WMU 4th & 7 at M-OH 7, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    39.0%−6.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:39M-OH 4th & 10 at M-OH 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:20M-OH 4th & 11 at WMU 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.1%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.4%
    64% to make
    Punt
    49.6%−4.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00WMU 4th & 2 at WMU 33, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00M-OH 4th & 4 at M-OH 47, up 13
    Close callPunted · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 27, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%−1.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:25WMU 4th & 5 at M-OH 5, down 6
    Close callWent for it · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    27.3%
    92% to make
    Punt
    11.9%−15.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:26WMU 4th & 10 at M-OH 16, down 5
    Numbers favored field goal by 4.1 ptsWent for it · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.8%−4.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    28.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    13.6%−14.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:23M-OH 4th & 2 at WMU 32, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−13.1
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.9%
    51% to make
    Punt
    17.4%−30.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:38WMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:32WMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:00M-OH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:10M-OH Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:01WMU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:21M-OH Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:00WMU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    28.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:25WMU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.1%−2.5
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:26M-OH Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    76.4%−1.0
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    77.4%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 2:53WMU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    58.0%−1.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    59.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0961% → 61%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
38.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Drake Harris for 4 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+18
38.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 18 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+31
38.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 31 yds to the MiaOh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
38.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+3
38.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q1 14:47
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+3
38.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q1 14:47
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+2
38.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
38.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 10Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+10
39.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 10 yds for a TD, (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3FG
14 plays · 70 yds · 6:0240% → 44%
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
40.2%
Gus Ragland run for no gain to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+22
40.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 22 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
40.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 7 yds to the WMich 47Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+5
40.8%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
40.8%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+15
40.8%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Andrew Homer for 15 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
40.9%
Davion Johnson run for no gain to the WMich 24Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+10
40.9%
Maurice Thomas run for 10 yds to the WMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
40.9%
Maurice Thomas run for 1 yd to the WMich 13Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+5
40.9%
RAGLAND, Gus pass incomplete to MAYOCK, Luke (DOWELS, JUWAN), PENALTY WMU offside (BALABANI, A) 5 yards to the WMU8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+2
40.9%
Gus Ragland run for 2 yds to the WMich 6Similar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 2
OPP 6
0
40.7%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the WMich 6Similar
Q1 4:36
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+23
43.6%
Samuel Sloman 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 4:0456% → 61%
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
43.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+2
43.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+17
43.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 17 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
42.7%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
42.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+5
42.7%
Jon Wassink run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
42.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+9
42.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
39.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 33 yds for a TD MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5TD
6 plays · 48 yds · 0:3243% → 47%
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
42.5%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q1 0:32
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+11
42.3%
Maurice Thomas run for 11 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
42.5%
RAGLAND, Gus pass incomplete to THOMAS, Maurice, QB hurry by FAYAD, ALI, PENALTY WMU roughing passer (FAYAD, ALI) 15 yards to the WMU22, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
43.1%
THOMAS, Maurice rush up middle for no gain to the WMU22 (HAYWARD, T;MOMENT, CORVIN), PENALTY WMU offside (CLAYTON, NAJEE) 5 yards to the WMU17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 5
OPP 17
+17
46.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Dominique Robinson for 17 yds for a TD (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6DOWNS
17 plays · 73 yds · 7:0055% → 52%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
45.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Drake Harris for 17 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
44.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Drake Harris for 3 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 45
-7
43.9%
Chase Brown run for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 38
+16
45.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 16 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
43.7%
Davon Tucker run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+5
43.5%
TUCKER, DAVON rush over right guard for 3 yards to the MIAMI35 (HAMPTON, Isaac;DUFFIN, Mack), PENALTY MIAMI offside (MCMULLEN, J.) 5 yards to the MIAMI33, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
43.1%
Jon Wassink run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
43.0%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 20
0
43.0%
Chase Brown run for no gain to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+15
43.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 9 yds to the MiaOh 11 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, targeting (De'Andre Montgomery) to the MiaOh 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
43.0%
Jon Wassink run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
43.0%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to LeVante BellamySimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
43.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
44.5%
MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive offside (Allan Koikoi) to the MiaOh 2Similar
Q2 8:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
48.1%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for no gain to the MiaOh 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0050% → 48%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
49.7%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 2Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 2
-1
49.5%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 1Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 11
OWN 1
0
48.8%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 11
OWN 1
+34
48.2%
Kyle Kramer punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 22 , Jayden Reed returns for 34 yds to the MiaOh 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8MISSED FG
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:4453% → 50%
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
46.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 9
OPP 21
-11
46.6%
WASSINK, JON rush over left end for loss of 1 yard to the MIAMI22, out-of-bounds (KOIKOI, Allan), PENALTY WMU illegal block 11 yards to the MIAMI32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 20
OPP 32
+20
47.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 20 yds to the MiaOh 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
46.6%
WASSINK, JON pass incomplete to ARNETT, TYRON, QB hurry by RAYMOND, Zed, PENALTY MIAMI holding (ALLEN, Josh) 6 yards to the MIAMI6, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
46.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 7Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
46.6%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Jayden Reed, broken up by Joshua AllenSimilar
Q2 6:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
47.6%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Drake Harris, broken up by Joshua AllenSimilar
Q2 3:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
50.4%
Gavin Peddie 24 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:0052% → 50%
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
52.0%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 10 yds to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
52.4%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
51.9%
Maurice Thomas run for no gain to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
50.9%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:39
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
50.2%
Kyle Kramer punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10FUMBLE
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
51.5%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni Ricci, broken up by Daryus ThompsonSimilar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-7
52.0%
Jon Wassink sacked by Brad Koenig for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 25 Jon Wassink fumbled, recovered by MiaOh Doug Costin , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11FG
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:2557% → 60%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
56.8%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+8
56.6%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 8 yds to the WMich 17Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 2
OPP 17
-9
55.4%
THOMAS, Maurice rush over left end for 4 yards to the WMU13, out-of-bounds (GRACE, ALEX), PENALTY MIAMI holding (ROBINSON, Dom) 9 yards to the WMU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 11
OPP 26
0
54.9%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:20
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+44
59.5%
Samuel Sloman 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12FUMBLE
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
59.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 8 yds Jayden Reed fumbled, forced by Zedrick Raymond, recovered by MiaOh Junior McMullenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13TD
5 plays · 33 yds · 1:0363% → 76%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
63.3%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+2
63.2%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+26
62.0%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 26 yds to the WMich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
75.5%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Andrew Homer for 5 yds for a TD (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14Uncategorized
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
71.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the WMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
70.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the WMich 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
70.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
70.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 4 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
70.5%
Nick Mihalic punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Joshua Allen at the MiaOh 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
72.5%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Anton Curtis) to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
73.7%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+7
73.3%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 7 yds to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 48
-1
72.8%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
71.8%
Kyle Kramer punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:4525% → 45%
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
75.4%
WASSINK, JON pass complete to ESKRIDGE, D for 45 yards to the MIAMI20, out-of-bounds, PENALTY WMU holding (MILLER, ODELL) 10 yards to the WMU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+41
76.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 41 yds to the MiaOh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
72.7%
Jon Wassink run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+27
54.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 27 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18TD
14 plays · 92 yds · 5:4063% → 84%
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-3
63.0%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Maurice Thomas for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 13
OWN 5
+26
62.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Dominique Robinson for 26 yds to the MiaOh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
63.8%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Dominique Robinson for 10 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
65.8%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 8 yds to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+7
66.3%
Gus Ragland run for 7 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
66.6%
Maurice Thomas run for 6 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 4
OPP 38
0
66.5%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Alonzo SmithSimilar
Q3 5:28
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+9
67.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 9 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
69.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Luke Mayock for 7 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 3
OPP 22
-1
69.2%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 23Similar
Q3 5:28
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+6
68.0%
Gus Ragland run for 6 yds to the WMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
84.1%
Jordan Rigg run for 2 yds for a TD (Samuel Sloman PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2120% → 41%
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
79.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 26 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
76.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 16 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+16
74.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 16 yds to the MiaOh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
74.3%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Jayden ReedSimilar
Q3 3:21
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+15
74.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Drake Harris for 15 yds to the MiaOh 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
74.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 3Similar
Q3 3:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
74.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the MiaOh 3Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
58.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Drake Harris for 3 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0072% → 70%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-4
72.3%
Gus Ragland run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 20 MIAMI OH Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 20
+1
71.5%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 21
+6
70.3%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Maurice Thomas for 6 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
69.5%
Kyle Kramer punt for 62 yds, downed at the WMich 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21TD
16 plays · 89 yds · 5:3234% → 61%
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
66.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the WMich 15Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+23
66.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 23 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
63.6%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (John Keenoy) to the WMich 33Similar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+17
66.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
50
+3
60.2%
Jon Wassink run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+16
60.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Chase Brown for 16 yds to the MiaOh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
58.0%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Drake HarrisSimilar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
58.3%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Jaylen Hall, broken up by Zedrick RaymondSimilar
Q4 12:57
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+25
61.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 25 yds to the MiaOh 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
57.2%
Jon Wassink run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
57.2%
WASSINK, JON pass incomplete to REED, JAYDEN (BROWN, Mike), PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (BROWN, Mike) 2 yards to the MIAMI2, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
57.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
71.0%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to D'Wayne Eskridge, broken up by Zedrick RaymondSimilar
Q4 7:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
73.5%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
38.6%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 5 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 22TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 0:5947% → 87%
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+36
47.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 36 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
53.4%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Alonzo SmithSimilar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+30
53.3%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 30 yds to the WMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
86.6%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Dominique Robinson for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 3:3323% → 72%
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+18
76.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Drake Harris for 18 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
74.4%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Jayden ReedSimilar
Q4 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+15
75.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 15 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
72.5%
Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q4 6:26
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
71.7%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q4 6:26
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+20
73.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 20 yds to the MiaOh 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
69.3%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Keishawn Watson, broken up by Mike BrownSimilar
Q4 6:26
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
69.3%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Drake HarrisSimilar
Q4 6:26
3RD & 10
OPP 16
0
73.1%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Jayden Reed, broken up by Joshua AllenSimilar
Q4 6:26
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+14
75.8%
Jon Wassink run for 14 yds to the MiaOh 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
27.6%
Jon Wassink run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 24MISSED FG
15 plays · 43 yds · 2:3046% → 38%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.5%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Luke Mayock, broken up by Juwan DowelsSimilar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
44.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jalen Walker for 8 yds to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
47.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-6
48.3%
Gus Ragland sacked by Ralph Holley for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 16
OWN 32
-5
44.7%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (Jack Sorenson) to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 21
OWN 27
0
44.3%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Jalen WalkerSimilar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 21
OWN 27
+33
42.0%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jalen Walker for 33 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
52.8%
Gus Ragland run for no gain to the WMich 40Similar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
46.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jaylon Bester for 7 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+1
47.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Maurice Thomas for 1 yd to the WMich 32Similar
Q4 0:23
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+50
37.8%
Samuel Sloman 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
10.6%
TEAM run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:53
Jon Wassink run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-48.1
TD · Q4 7:25
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 5 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)
-34.9
TD · Q4 6:26
Gus Ragland pass complete to Dominique Robinson for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+33.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com