Try the model
NIU

Northern Illinois 26 at Eastern Michigan 23

EMU
2018 · Week 5 · Sep 29, 2018 · Rynearson Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGTDFGTDFGFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:01 · Marcus Childers run for 3 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorTime remainingGarbage-time factorOffense timeoutsDefense timeouts
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 65Home team on offense+1.8Pregame prior+4.4Time remaining−0.4Garbage-time factor−0.2Offense timeouts+0.0Defense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q4 0:03: Chad Ryland 28 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +43.4 pts (now 63%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · OT 0:00: Shaq Vann run for 14 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +17.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · OT 0:00: Marcus Childers pass complete to Ty Harmston for 11 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK) — NIU win probability +39.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: Chad Ryland 42 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +20.0 pts (now 79%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Tre Harbison run for 1 yd for a TD — NIU win probability +58.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 12 of 13NIU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 12:06EMU 4th & 8 at NIU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.0%
    86% to make
    Punt
    60.5%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:37NIU 4th & 8 at NIU 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:40NIU 4th & 10 at EMU 48, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:56EMU 4th & 11 at EMU 12, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:36NIU 4th & 4 at EMU 25, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.9%−0.3
    66% to make
    Punt
    30.8%−3.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00EMU 4th & 20 at EMU 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−1.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:24NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    33.9%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:32EMU 4th & 3 at NIU 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    66.4%−0.6
    58% to make
    Punt
    63.8%−3.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:01NIU 4th & 1 at EMU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.5%−1.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:18EMU 4th & 11 at EMU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%−1.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:54EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:57NIU 4th & 12 at NIU 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−3.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:25EMU 4th & 10 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:35NIU 4th & 6 at NIU 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:12EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 17, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsPunted · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%−2.8
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:52EMU 4th & 11 at EMU 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−2.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.4%
    average punt
  17. Q3 3:54NIU 4th & 3 at NIU 47, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%−1.3
    average punt
  18. Q3 1:54EMU 4th & 6 at EMU 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%−1.8
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%
    average punt
  19. Q4 15:00NIU 4th & 6 at EMU 38, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    55.2%−2.0
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%−2.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:21EMU 4th & 16 at NIU 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−7.8
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    26.3%−14.8
    average punt
  21. Q4 6:21NIU 4th & 8 at NIU 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−3.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%
    average punt
  22. Q4 5:24EMU 4th & 9 at EMU 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.1%
    average punt
  23. Q4 2:31NIU 4th & 10 at EMU 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%
    average punt
  24. Q4 1:04EMU 4th & 2 at NIU 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    24.3%−2.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    13.3%−13.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1NIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:26EMU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:17NIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 1INT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
56.6%
Marcus Childers run for 7 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
56.6%
Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for 2 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
56.6%
Marcus Childers run for 3 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
56.6%
Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
56.6%
Marcus Childers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+23
56.6%
Marcus Childers pass intercepted Freddie McGee III return for 23 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2FG
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:1657% → 57%
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
57.0%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the NoIll 27 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (13 Yards) to the NoIll 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
57.0%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the NoIll 12Similar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 8
OPP 12
0
57.0%
Tyler Wiegers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:22
3RD & 8
OPP 12
0
57.0%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Blake BanhamSimilar
Q1 12:06
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+29
57.3%
Chad Ryland 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 2:2443% → 42%
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
57.2%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 3 yds to the NoIll 25Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+8
57.2%
Marcus Childers run for 8 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
57.1%
Tre Harbison run for 7 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+3
57.0%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
57.0%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
56.9%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to D.J. BrownSimilar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
57.4%
Marcus Childers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:37
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
57.8%
Matt Ference punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:5758% → 61%
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
57.6%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 13 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
57.7%
Shaq Vann run for 13 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
58.1%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+18
58.1%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 18 yds to the NoIll 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
58.4%
Breck Turner run for no gain to the NoIll 34Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+34
61.3%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Line Latu for 34 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 1:4240% → 39%
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
60.3%
Jordan Nettles run for 4 yds to the NoIll 27Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+11
60.1%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Dennis Robinson for 11 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
59.9%
Tre Harbison run for 8 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+6
59.7%
Tre Harbison run for 6 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
59.5%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Jauan Wesley, broken up by Ross WilliamsSimilar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
59.7%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Jauan WesleySimilar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
60.6%
Marcus Childers run for no gain to the EMich 48Similar
Q1 4:40
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
61.2%
Matt Ference punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
62.2%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the EMich 13Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
62.2%
Tyler Wiegers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:56
3RD & 10
OWN 13
-1
61.8%
Tyler Wiegers run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 12Similar
Q1 3:56
4TH & 11
OWN 12
+27
61.4%
Jake Julien punt for 46 yds , Cole Tucker returns for 27 yds to the EMich 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 7FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4739% → 39%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
61.0%
Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 36 NORTHERNIL Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 15
OPP 36
+9
61.9%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 9 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+2
61.4%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Tre Harbison for 2 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q1 0:36
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+43
61.5%
Andrew Gantz 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · -10 yds · 0:3662% → 61%
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
62.1%
Line Latu run for 6 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-5
62.8%
Willie Parker run for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-6
61.6%
Tyler Wiegers sacked by Sutton Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the EMich 20Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 20
-5
61.0%
JULIEN, Jake punt 55 yards to the NIU25, downed, PENALTY EMU illegal formation 5 yards to the EMU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+9
61.0%
Jake Julien punt for 55 yds , Cole Tucker returns for 9 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 9DOWNS
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
61.3%
Marcus Jones run for 4 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+4
60.8%
Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
Q2 13:24
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+1
60.8%
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the NoIll 48Similar
Q2 13:24
4TH & 1
OWN 48
-12
61.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards to the NoIll 36 TEAM fumbled, recovered by NoIll Matt FerenceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10FUMBLE
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0065% → 63%
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
64.6%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 3 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
64.6%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Arthur Jackson IIISimilar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+4
64.0%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Blake Banham for 4 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q2 11:32
4TH & 3
OPP 29
-7
63.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the NoIll 44 TEAM fumbled, recovered by NoIll Antonio Jones-DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 11TD
16 plays · 56 yds · 5:4438% → 50%
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
61.9%
Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 4
50
+3
61.2%
Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for 3 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 1
OPP 47
-5
61.1%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 48Similar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+5
61.8%
Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q2 10:01
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+3
62.2%
Marcus Childers run for 3 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
61.1%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete, broken up by Ty EddingtonSimilar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+6
61.3%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 6 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 4
OPP 38
-10
61.3%
CHILDERS, Marcu rush for 5 yards to the EMU33 (RACHWAL, Kyle;McGILL, Kevin), PENALTY NIU holding (PEREZ, Christop) 10 yards to the EMU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 14
OPP 48
+15
63.3%
Marcus Childers run for 15 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
60.2%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+7
60.2%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 7 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+4
60.9%
Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the EMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
59.9%
Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the EMich 16Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+8
59.9%
Tre Harbison run for 8 yds to the EMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
59.9%
Marcus Jones run for 6 yds to the EMich 2Similar
Q2 4:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
49.6%
Marcus Jones run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 0:5457% → 55%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
57.4%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the EMich 25Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
57.2%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Blake BanhamSimilar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 9
OWN 25
-5
56.0%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 20Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 14
OWN 20
+3
55.9%
Tyler Wiegers run for 3 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q2 3:18
4TH & 11
OWN 23
0
55.3%
Jake Julien punt for 42 yds , Cole Tucker returns for no gain to the NoIll 23 NORTHERNIL Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the NoIll 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13FG
15 plays · 67 yds · 3:0346% → 51%
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
53.7%
Marcus Childers run for 3 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
53.3%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 5 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
53.0%
Marcus Childers run for 3 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
52.6%
Marcus Childers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-5
53.2%
CHILDERS, Marcu pass complete to ROBINSON, Denni for 24 yards to the EMU40 (WILLIAMS, Ross), PENALTY NIU ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the NIU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+6
54.0%
Tre Harbison run for 6 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+16
53.9%
Marcus Childers run for 16 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+22
50.3%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 22 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+17
48.1%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 17 yds to the EMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
48.2%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Jauan WesleySimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
44.2%
Andrew Gantz 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-5
49.2%
GANTZ, Andrew kickoff 11 yards to the NIU46, on-side kick, recovered by NIU TEAM on NIU46, PENALTY NIU offside 5 yards to the NIU30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0052% → 50%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
51.6%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
53.4%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Mathew SextonSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
51.1%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Mathew SextonSimilar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+6
50.3%
Jake Julien punt for 48 yds , Cole Tucker returns for 6 yds to the NoIll 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0051% → 48%
Q3 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
49.2%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Mitchell BrinkmanSimilar
Q3 13:57
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+1
49.4%
Marcus Childers run for 1 yd to the NoIll 24Similar
Q3 13:57
3RD & 9
OWN 24
-3
50.5%
Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 21Similar
Q3 13:57
4TH & 12
OWN 21
0
51.9%
Matt Ference punt for 29 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0054% → 49%
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
50
-5
53.6%
WIEGERS, Tyler pass complete to BANHAM, Blake for no gain to the 50 yardline (COLE, Jordan), PENALTY EMU illegal formation 5 yards to the EMU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+9
50.9%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 9 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
53.9%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Blake BanhamSimilar
Q3 12:25
3RD & 6
OPP 46
-4
53.0%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:25
4TH & 10
50
0
49.0%
Jake Julien punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 0:0051% → 50%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+8
49.5%
Tre Harbison run for 8 yds to the NoIll 14Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 2
OWN 14
+6
49.1%
Tre Harbison run for 6 yds to the NoIll 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
48.9%
CHILDERS, Marcu pass incomplete to TUCKER, Cole (WILLIAMS, Ross), PENALTY EMU pass interference (WILLIAMS, Ross) 15 yards to the NIU35, 1ST DOWN NIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
48.1%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
47.8%
Marcus Childers run for 2 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
47.8%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Ty HarmstonSimilar
Q3 10:35
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+52
50.0%
Matt Ference punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EASTMICH 19 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the EMich 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0048% → 47%
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
48.3%
Breck Turner run for 2 yds to the EMich 10Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+7
48.5%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 7 yds to the EMich 17Similar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 1
OWN 17
0
47.2%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Gunnar Oakes, broken up by Antonio Jones-DavisSimilar
Q3 8:12
4TH & 1
OWN 17
+2
46.5%
Jake Julien punt for 39 yds , Cole Tucker returns for 2 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:0056% → 57%
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
43.9%
Jordan Nettles run for 3 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+3
43.6%
Jordan Nettles run for 3 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q3 6:48
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+5
43.8%
Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
43.3%
Marcus Childers pass intercepted Kyle Rachwal return for no gain to the EMich 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0048% → 45%
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
48.3%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Mathew SextonSimilar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-1
48.0%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 30Similar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 11
OWN 30
0
45.7%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Mathew SextonSimilar
Q3 4:52
4TH & 11
OWN 30
+30
44.6%
Jake Julien punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the EASTMICH 30 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, kick catching interference (-10 Yards) to the NoIll 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0058% → 56%
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
42.1%
Jordan Nettles run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 38Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+3
43.9%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+6
43.9%
Marcus Jones run for 6 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
Q3 3:54
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
44.5%
Matt Ference punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0047% → 44%
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
47.0%
Shaq Vann run for 9 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 1
OWN 29
-5
50.1%
Tyler Wiegers sacked by Antonio Jones-Davis for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 24Similar
Q3 1:54
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
45.5%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Gunnar OakesSimilar
Q3 1:54
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
44.2%
Jake Julien punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 23PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 0:2558% → 57%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
42.4%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Jauan Wesley, broken up by Freddie McGee IIISimilar
Q3 0:17
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
42.9%
Jordan Nettles run for 9 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+1
41.0%
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the NoIll 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
40.4%
Marcus Childers run for 7 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+4
39.4%
Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
39.9%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, (5 Yards) to the EMich 37Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 37
0
39.4%
Tre Harbison run for no gain to the EMich 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+3
39.4%
Jordan Nettles run for 3 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 34
-4
39.8%
Jordan Nettles run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 38Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 38
0
42.8%
Matt Ference punt for 23 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24MISSED FG
16 plays · 57 yds · 5:4144% → 36%
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
43.7%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete, broken up by Kewan ParkerSimilar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+2
43.5%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the EMich 17Similar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+10
41.7%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 10 yds to the EMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
44.5%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Mathew Sexton for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 24Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+10
43.5%
Shaq Vann run for 10 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+3
45.5%
Tyler Wiegers run for 3 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
45.3%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
48.0%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Mathew SextonSimilar
Q4 8:57
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+15
41.7%
WIEGERS, Tyler pass incomplete to LATU, Line, PENALTY NIU roughing passer (LEROY, Ben) 15 yards to the NIU45, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
47.0%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Blake Banham for 13 yds to the NoIll 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
49.3%
Blake Banham run for 10 yds to the NoIll 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
49.3%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Arthur Jackson IIISimilar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+4
49.1%
Shaq Vann run for 4 yds to the NoIll 18Similar
Q4 7:23
3RD & 6
OPP 18
-10
46.3%
WIEGERS, Tyler pass complete to LATU, Line for 4 yards to the NIU14 (MCKIE, Jalen), PENALTY EMU holding (NIELSEN, Steve) 10 yards to the NIU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:23
3RD & 16
OPP 28
0
42.7%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Arthur Jackson IIISimilar
Q4 6:21
4TH & 16
OPP 28
+45
36.2%
Chad Ryland 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0069% → 65%
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
31.1%
Marcus Childers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
31.9%
Marcus Childers run for 2 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q4 6:21
3RD & 8
OWN 30
0
33.0%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Jauan WesleySimilar
Q4 6:21
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
34.8%
Matt Ference punt for 41 yds, downed at the EMich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0038% → 33%
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
37.7%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Blake BanhamSimilar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+1
36.7%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the EMich 30Similar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
34.8%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Shaq VannSimilar
Q4 5:24
4TH & 9
OWN 30
0
33.1%
Jake Julien punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 1:5173% → 80%
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+24
27.3%
Tre Harbison run for 9 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Turan Rush) to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
23.3%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+4
23.4%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 4 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 4
OPP 41
-5
24.0%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (Christopher Perez Jr.) to the EMich 46Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 9
OPP 46
-1
24.3%
Marcus Childers run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 47Similar
Q4 2:31
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
20.5%
Matt Ference punt for 18 yds, downed at the EMich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 28FG
17 plays · 60 yds · 2:1831% → 63%
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+13
31.2%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 13 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
35.1%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 6 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+4
36.2%
Tyler Wiegers run for 4 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-6
37.5%
Tyler Wiegers sacked by Antonio Jones-Davis for a loss of 6 yards to the EMich 46Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 16
OWN 46
0
28.3%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Line Latu, broken up by Antonio Jones-DavisSimilar
Q4 1:22
3RD & 16
OWN 46
+14
26.5%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 14 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+9
25.2%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Blake Banham for 9 yds to the NoIll 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
34.0%
Blake Banham run for 6 yds to the NoIll 25Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 4
OPP 25
0
34.5%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+14
31.5%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 14 yds to the NoIll 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
34.5%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
34.5%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q4 0:03
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+28
63.0%
Chad Ryland 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
49.4%
TEAM run for no gain to the NoIll 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 30TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 82%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
64.7%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Line Latu for 11 yds to the NoIll 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
82.1%
Shaq Vann run for 14 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 31TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0020% → 60%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
80.4%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Dennis Robinson for 3 yds to the EMich 22Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+6
80.4%
Tre Harbison run for 6 yds to the EMich 16Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+3
83.8%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the EMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
80.4%
Marcus Childers run for 2 yds to the EMich 11Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
40.5%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Ty Harmston for 11 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 32FUMBLE
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
40.5%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 5 yds to the EMich 20Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+1
40.5%
Marcus Childers run for 1 yd to the EMich 19Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+8
43.0%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 8 yds to the EMich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
40.5%
Tre Harbison run for 6 yds to the EMich 4 Tre Harbison fumbled, forced by Jaylen Pickett, recovered by EMich Kevin McGillSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 33MISSED FG
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0065% → 59%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
64.7%
Shaq Vann run for 6 yds to the NoIll 19Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
0
64.7%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the NoIll 19Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
-2
62.4%
Tyler Wiegers run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 21Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+38
58.6%
Chad Ryland 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 34FG
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0065% → 79%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
64.7%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Line Latu for 5 yds to the NoIll 20Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
0
64.7%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
62.4%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete, broken up by Weston KramerSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 20
-5
58.6%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Steve Nielsen) to the NoIll 25Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
78.6%
Chad Ryland 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 35TD
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:0029% → 88%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
70.9%
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the EMich 24Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+5
72.1%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 5 yds to the EMich 19Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+5
76.4%
Marcus Childers run for 5 yds to the EMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
70.9%
Tre Harbison run for 10 yds to the EMich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
70.9%
Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the EMich 1Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
70.9%
Tre Harbison run for no gain to the EMich 1Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
12.1%
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd for a TD
-58.8
FG · Q4 0:03
Chad Ryland 28 yd FG GOOD
+43.4
TD · OT 0:00
Marcus Childers pass complete to Ty Harmston for 11 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)
-39.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com