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KENT

Kent State 24 at Ball State 52

BALL
2018 · Week 5 · Sep 29, 2018 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:17 · Patrick LeCorre punt for 35 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 28Home team on offense+2.7Pregame prior+20.7Score differential+1.4Garbage-time factor+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Blowout margin−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:48: Woody Barrett pass complete to Adam Dulka for 12 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK) — KENT win probability +5.6 pts (now 23%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:18: Riley Neal pass complete to Kyle Schrank for 42 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK) — BALL win probability +7.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:55: Justin Rankin run for 13 yds for a TD KENT ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 8 (Matthew Trickett KICK) — KENT win probability +6.2 pts (now 22%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:13: Riley Neal pass complete to Riley Miller for 33 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK) — BALL win probability +4.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:47: Justin Rankin run for 6 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK) — KENT win probability +4.9 pts (now 8%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 5 of 7KENT made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:10BALL 4th & 3 at KENT 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    70.2%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    69.7%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:03KENT 4th & 11 at KENT 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:45KENT 4th & 20 at KENT 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−1.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:17BALL 4th & 22 at BALL 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%−1.0
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:57KENT 4th & 7 at BALL 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    17.4%−0.5
    27% to make
    Punt
    17.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00BALL 4th & 2 at BALL 33, up 14
    Close callPunted · 77.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:30KENT 4th & 12 at BALL 12, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−1.2
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    16.7%−4.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:22BALL 4th & 19 at KENT 46, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−1.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    74.9%−1.0
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:53KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 26, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:00BALL 4th & 1 at BALL 33, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    89.6%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:00BALL 4th & 3 at BALL 42, up 18
    Close callPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:34KENT 4th & 2 at BALL 42, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    10.0%−2.5
    30% to make
    Punt
    10.8%−1.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00KENT 4th & 2 at KENT 47, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.9%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:59BALL 4th & 11 at KENT 11, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    94.9%−2.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:55KENT 4th & 3 at KENT 29, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:04KENT 4th & 11 at KENT 24, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 7 of 7KENT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 13:10BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:51BALL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:47BALL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:48KENT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:18BALL Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:55KENT Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:28BALL Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:13BALL Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 3:47KENT Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:09BALL Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 1:5073% → 74%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+52
73.2%
Riley Neal pass complete to Riley Miller for 52 yds to the KntSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
73.2%
James Gilbert run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
73.2%
Riley Neal run for 6 yds to the KntSt 3Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
73.2%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
73.5%
Riley Neal pass complete to Malik Dunner for 3 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
73.4%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Trey Harrell for 4 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
73.4%
Justin Rankin run for no gain to the KntSt 27Similar
Q1 13:03
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
73.5%
Woody Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:03
4TH & 6
OWN 27
-5
73.5%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 22Similar
Q1 13:03
4TH & 11
OWN 22
+24
73.5%
Matthew Trickett punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 46 , Corey Lacanaria returns for 24 yds to the KntSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3TD
6 plays · 46 yds · 1:5274% → 76%
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+24
73.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Riley Miller for 24 yds to the KntSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
73.9%
HUNTLEY, Caleb rush for 9 yards to the KENT13 (SHERALD, KJ;HINES, ELVIS), PENALTY BALL holding (BEECH, Chris) 10 yards to the KENT32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 20
OPP 32
+15
73.9%
Riley Neal run for 15 yds to the KntSt 17Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 5
OPP 17
0
73.9%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+9
73.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Riley Miller for 9 yds to the KntSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
75.7%
James Gilbert run for 8 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
75.1%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Mike Carrigan, broken up by Josh MillerSimilar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-3
75.2%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 25Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 13
OWN 25
-7
75.3%
Woody Barrett sacked by Christian Albright for a loss of 7 yards to the KntSt 18Similar
Q1 9:45
4TH & 20
OWN 18
0
75.3%
Matthew Trickett punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Corey Lacanaria at the BalSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
76.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to James Gilbert for 15 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
76.8%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
76.8%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:17
3RD & 10
OPP 44
-12
76.6%
Riley Neal sacked by Matt Bahr for a loss of 12 yards to the BalSt 44Similar
Q1 8:17
4TH & 22
OWN 44
0
76.2%
Patrick LeCorre punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6INT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
76.4%
Justin Rankin run for 5 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 5
OWN 26
-5
76.3%
BARRETT, WOODY pass complete to CARRIGAN, MIKE for 5 yards to the KENT31, PENALTY KENT ineligible downfield on pass (SAMS, JULIAN) 5 yards to the KENT21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-2
76.4%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 19Similar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 12
OWN 19
+23
76.5%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Johnny Woods for 23 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
76.2%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (Johnny Woods) to the KntSt 37Similar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 15
OWN 37
0
76.4%
Justin Rankin run for no gain to the KntSt 37Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 15
OWN 37
+3
76.4%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Justin Rankin for 3 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 12
OWN 40
+24
76.4%
Woody Barrett pass intercepted Jaylin Thomas return for 24 yds to the KntSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 7TD
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:4179% → 82%
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
78.6%
BALL ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 26Similar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 15
OPP 26
0
78.6%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 15
OPP 26
+2
78.5%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 13
OPP 24
+24
81.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 24 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8TD
13 plays · 69 yds · 2:5418% → 23%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
82.1%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 9 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+1
81.8%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 1 yd to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
82.0%
Justin Rankin run for 12 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
81.8%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 3 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
81.8%
Woody Barrett run for no gain to the BalSt 44Similar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
81.9%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoySimilar
Q1 1:57
4TH & 7
OPP 44
+9
83.1%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 9 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
82.3%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Antwan Dixon for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, personal foul (Jacob White) to the BalSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
82.1%
Justin Rankin run for 3 yds to the BalSt 17Similar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+5
82.1%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Trey Harrell for 5 yds to the BalSt 12Similar
Q1 0:48
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+12
76.6%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Adam Dulka for 12 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:4879% → 78%
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
78.5%
James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the BalSt 26Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
78.4%
Justin Hall run for 7 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
78.6%
James Gilbert run for no gain to the BalSt 33Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
78.3%
Patrick LeCorre punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10FG
12 plays · 61 yds · 2:4422% → 24%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
77.7%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 5 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+9
77.5%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 9 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
77.4%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 11 yds to the BalSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
76.9%
Will Matthews run for 7 yds to the BalSt 41Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+11
76.6%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 11 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
76.8%
Trey Harrell run for 8 yds to the BalSt 22Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+16
76.6%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 16 yds to the BalSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
76.6%
Woody Barrett sacked by Jaylin Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the BalSt 11Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-1
76.8%
Woody Barrett sacked by Jaylin Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 12Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
77.3%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Trey Harrell, broken up by Josh MillerSimilar
Q2 11:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
75.8%
Matthew Trickett 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 11PUNT
12 plays · 32 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
77.6%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Riley MillerSimilar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+5
77.5%
Riley Neal pass complete to Riley Miller for 5 yds to the BalSt 27Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+13
77.2%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 13 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
78.5%
Riley Neal pass complete to Caleb Huntley for 9 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+4
78.6%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
78.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Riley Miller for 10 yds to the KntSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
78.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 3 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
78.8%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 7
OPP 34
-7
78.3%
Riley Neal sacked by Matt Bell for a loss of 7 yards to the KntSt 41Similar
Q2 11:22
4TH & 14
OPP 41
-5
77.1%
BALL ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 46Similar
Q2 11:22
4TH & 19
OPP 46
0
77.1%
Patrick LeCorre punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 12FUMBLE
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
77.4%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 7 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 3
OWN 27
-1
76.8%
Will Matthews run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 26Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+4
77.6%
Woody Barrett run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 21 Woody Barrett fumbled, recovered by BalSt Jacob White , return for 4 yds to the KntSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13FUMBLE
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
79.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Riley Miller for 11 yds to the KntSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-4
79.8%
Riley Neal run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 14 Riley Neal fumbled, recovered by KntSt Theo EboigbeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
77.7%
Justin Rankin run for 4 yds to the KntSt 18Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+8
77.8%
Justin Rankin run for 8 yds to the KntSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
77.5%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 21Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 15
OWN 21
0
77.9%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoy, broken up by Antonio PhillipsSimilar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 15
OWN 21
+5
78.5%
BARRETT, WOODY rush for 3 yards to the KENT24 (MARTIN, Brandon), PENALTY BALL offside defense (ROPATI, Tuni) 5 yards to the KENT26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
78.3%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoySimilar
Q2 6:53
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
78.8%
Matthew Trickett punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Corey Lacanaria at the BalSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15TD
3 plays · 57 yds · 0:5880% → 88%
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
80.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to Riley Miller for 11 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
80.3%
Malik Dunner run for 4 yds to the KntSt 42Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+42
88.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to Kyle Schrank for 42 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:2315% → 22%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
85.2%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 40 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
82.8%
BARRETT, WOODY pass complete to LAWRENCE-BURKE for 17 yards to the BALL18 (ANDERSON, Brett), PENALTY KENT holding (MARINELLI, MIKE) 10 yards to the BALL45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 20
OPP 45
+4
84.1%
Justin Rankin run for 4 yds to the BalSt 41Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 16
OPP 41
+3
84.3%
Justin Rankin run for 3 yds to the BalSt 38Similar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 13
OPP 38
+21
84.5%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Trey Harrell for 21 yds to the BalSt 17 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
82.5%
Justin Rankin run for 4 yds to the BalSt 13Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 6
OPP 13
-10
82.5%
BARRETT, WOODY rush for 5 yards to the BALL8 (MARTIN, Brandon), PENALTY KENT illegal block (MCKOY, ISAIAH) 10 yards to the BALL23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 16
OPP 23
+10
83.8%
Justin Rankin run for 10 yds to the BalSt 13Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+13
77.6%
Justin Rankin run for 13 yds for a TD KENT ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 8 (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17TD
13 plays · 78 yds · 1:2281% → 88%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
81.0%
NEAL, Riley pass incomplete to REECE, Devin, PENALTY KENT pass interference (MARSHALL, D.) 8 yards to the BALL30, 1ST DOWN BALL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
81.1%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Riley MillerSimilar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-2
80.9%
James Gilbert run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 28Similar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+20
80.6%
Riley Neal run for 20 yds to the BalSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
82.5%
Riley Neal pass complete to Riley Miller for 9 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+3
82.6%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
82.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 4 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+17
82.6%
Riley Neal run for 2 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, personal foul (Zayin West) to the KntSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
82.8%
KENT ST Penalty, (5 Yards) to the KntSt 14Similar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 5
OPP 14
+12
82.8%
NEAL, Riley pass incomplete to MILLER, Riley, PENALTY KENT pass interference (HINES, ELVIS) 12 yards to the KENT2, 1ST DOWN BALL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
87.6%
James Gilbert run for 2 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18END OF HALF
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0013% → 14%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
87.2%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 10 yds to the KntSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-8
86.4%
Woody Barrett sacked by Fred Schroeder for a loss of 8 yards to the KntSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19FUMBLE
6 plays · 51 yds · 0:0012% → 14%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
88.2%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 16 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
87.5%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 6 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+18
87.1%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 18 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
86.2%
Woody Barrett run for 5 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+2
85.9%
Justin Rankin run for 2 yds to the BalSt 24 Justin Rankin fumbled, forced by Christian Albright, recovered by BalSt Brett Anderson IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
91.0%
James Gilbert run for no gain to the BalSt 24Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+5
90.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Kyle Schrank for 5 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+4
90.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 4 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q3 14:00
4TH & 1
OWN 33
+2
90.5%
Riley Neal run for 2 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
91.1%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Riley MillerSimilar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
91.0%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 7 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
91.1%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Riley Miller, broken up by Nick FaulknerSimilar
Q3 14:00
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
90.5%
Patrick LeCorre punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Zaquon Tyson at the KntSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 38 yds · 0:0011% → 12%
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
89.4%
Will Matthews run for 3 yds to the KntSt 23Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+12
89.6%
Will Matthews run for 12 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
88.9%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (Nate Warnock) to the KntSt 30Similar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+6
89.5%
Will Matthews run for 6 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-5
89.1%
BARRETT, WOODY pass complete to CARRIGAN, MIKE for 55 yards to the BALL9 (WALTON, Marc), PENALTY KENT ineligible downfield on pass (SAMS, JULIAN) 5 yards to the KENT31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+19
89.7%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Will Matthews for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
50
+8
88.2%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 8 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 2
OPP 42
0
87.9%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Trey HarrellSimilar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 2
OPP 42
0
88.0%
Will Matthews run for no gain to the BalSt 42Similar
Q3 11:34
4TH & 2
OPP 42
0
88.5%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Trey HarrellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 22TD
10 plays · 58 yds · 2:4594% → 99%
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
93.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Malik Dunner for 9 yds to the BALLST 49 BALL ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Cody Rudy) to the BalSt 41Similar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 11
OWN 41
+1
93.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the BalSt 42Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+1
93.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Kyle Schrank for 1 yd to the BalSt 43Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+11
93.5%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 11 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
93.8%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Riley MillerSimilar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
93.7%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+13
93.5%
Riley Neal run for 3 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, Defensive holding (KJ Sherald) to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
93.8%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Malik DunnerSimilar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
93.7%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the KntSt 33Similar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+33
98.6%
Riley Neal pass complete to Riley Miller for 33 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 2:202% → 8%
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
97.7%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 3 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+2
97.6%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Will Matthews for 2 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+11
97.6%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 11 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
97.6%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Kavious Price for 4 yds to the KntSt 46Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+24
97.6%
Kavious Price run for 24 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-15
97.3%
BARRETT, WOODY sacked for loss of 7 yards to the BALL37 (WHITE, Jacob;WILBORN, Ray), PENALTY KENT illegal block (MATTHEWS, WILL) 15 yards to the BALL45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 25
OPP 45
+21
97.2%
Will Matthews run for 21 yds to the BalSt 24Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+1
97.2%
Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the BalSt 23Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+12
97.5%
BALL ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Chris Beech) to the BalSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
97.3%
Woody Barrett run for 5 yds to the BalSt 6Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+6
92.3%
Justin Rankin run for 6 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 24INT
10 plays · 58 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
94.9%
James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+8
95.0%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 8 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
95.2%
James Gilbert run for 7 yds to the BalSt 48Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+12
95.2%
James Gilbert run for 12 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
95.2%
NEAL, Riley pass incomplete to LACANARIA, C., PENALTY KENT holding (HINES, ELVIS) 10 yards to the KENT30, 1ST DOWN BALL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
95.2%
James Gilbert run for 5 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+10
95.2%
Riley Neal pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 10 yds to the KntSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
95.2%
Malik Dunner run for 2 yds to the KntSt 13Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
95.2%
Riley Neal pass intercepted, touchback. Miles Daniel return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 25DOWNS
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:455% → 5%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
94.7%
Woody Barrett run for 4 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+15
94.5%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 15 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
94.4%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoy, broken up by Josh MillerSimilar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
94.5%
BALL ST Penalty, offside defense (Kyle Williams) to the KntSt 44Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 5
OWN 44
-3
94.5%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Trey Harrell for 7 yds to the BALLST 49 KENT ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Isaiah McKoy) to the KntSt 41Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+3
94.5%
Justin Rankin run for 3 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+3
94.9%
Woody Barrett run for 3 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
94.9%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Justin Rankin KENT ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 26FG
17 plays · 36 yds · 4:3497% → 99%
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
96.6%
NEAL, Riley pass complete to LACANARIA, C. for 14 yards to the KENT33, out-of-bounds (PARKER, JAMAL), PENALTY BALL ineligible downfield on pass (BLACKWELL, C.) 5 yards to the BALL48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:33
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+5
96.6%
Riley Neal run for 5 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
96.6%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to James Gilbert, broken up by Jamal ParkerSimilar
Q4 14:33
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+16
96.6%
Riley Neal pass complete to Nolan Givan for 16 yds to the KntSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
96.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 5 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 5
OPP 26
0
96.7%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Corey LacanariaSimilar
Q4 14:33
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+12
96.6%
Riley Neal pass complete to Riley Miller for 12 yds to the KntSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
96.7%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Nolan GivanSimilar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+1
96.7%
James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the KntSt 13Similar
Q4 14:33
3RD & 9
OPP 13
0
96.6%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Corey LacanariaSimilar
Q4 11:38
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+7
97.0%
HAGEE, Morgan field goal attempt from 30 GOOD, clock 11:38, PENALTY KENT personal foul (SILVA, JORDAN) 7 yards to the KENT6, 1ST DOWN BALL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-9
97.3%
DUNNER, Malik rush for 5 yards to the KENT1 (HICKS, DALTON;JONES, JIM), PENALTY BALL holding (DAVIS, Keidren) 9 yards to the KENT15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
0
97.3%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Devin ReeceSimilar
Q4 11:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
-10
97.3%
DUNNER, Malik rush for 1 yard to the KENT14 (SILVA, JORDAN;JONES, JIM), PENALTY BALL holding (SCHRANK, Kyle) 10 yards to the KENT25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 25
+14
97.3%
Malik Dunner run for 14 yds to the KntSt 11Similar
Q4 11:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
97.2%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Corey LacanariaSimilar
Q4 9:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
98.8%
Morgan Hagee 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
98.8%
Justin Rankin run for 4 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
98.7%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Johnny WoodsSimilar
Q4 9:55
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+3
98.8%
Woody Barrett run for 3 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q4 9:55
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
98.8%
Matthew Trickett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Corey Lacanaria at the BalSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 28TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 1:4399% → 100%
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
98.9%
James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the BalSt 32Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+5
98.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 5 yds to the BalSt 37Similar
Q4 8:52
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+32
98.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Riley Miller for 32 yds to the KntSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
99.9%
Riley Neal run for 31 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Justin Rankin for 6 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Antwan DixonSimilar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-7
99.9%
Woody Barrett sacked by James Jennette III for a loss of 7 yards to the KntSt 24Similar
Q4 7:04
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Matthew Trickett punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Corey Lacanaria at the BalSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 30END OF GAME
11 plays · 69 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
Will Jones run for 2 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+5
99.9%
Will Jones run for 5 yds to the BalSt 37Similar
Q4 5:58
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+25
99.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 25 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
99.9%
Will Jones run for 4 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 6
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Malik Dunner run for no gain to the KntSt 34Similar
Q4 5:58
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+19
99.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Luke Endsley for 19 yds to the KntSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
99.9%
Will Jones run for 3 yds to the KntSt 12Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+9
99.9%
Will Jones run for 9 yds to the KntSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.9%
Will Jones run for 2 yds to the KntSt 1Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Will Jones run for no gain to the KntSt 1Similar
Q4 5:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Will Jones run for no gain to the KntSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:18
Riley Neal pass complete to Kyle Schrank for 42 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)
+7.8
TD · Q2 1:55
Justin Rankin run for 13 yds for a TD KENT ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 8 (Matthew Trickett KICK)
-6.2
TD · Q1 0:48
Woody Barrett pass complete to Adam Dulka for 12 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)
-5.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com