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EMU

Eastern Michigan 20 at San Diego State 23

SDSU
2018 · Week 4 · Sep 22, 2018 · Qualcomm Stadium
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Win probability · SDSU
modelSDSU aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playSDSU scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Mike Glass III run for 2 yds to the SDSt 37 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remainingGarbage-time factor
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 86Pregame prior+14.7Home team on offense+4.2Score differential+1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Time remaining−0.4Garbage-time factor−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:26: Mike Glass III run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +8.3 pts (now 24%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:15: Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 37 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +15.8 pts (now 40%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 3:18: Chad Ryland 24 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +21.8 pts (now 74%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 1:16: John Baron II 50 yd FG GOOD — SDSU win probability +23.7 pts (now 59%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  5. FG · OT 0:00: John Baron II 38 yd FG GOOD — SDSU win probability +16.9 pts (now 79%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SDSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6EMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00SDSU 4th & 1 at EMU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    76.4%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    76.5%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:52EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:14SDSU 4th & 11 at EMU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    73.5%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:12EMU 4th & 4 at SDSU 34, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.1%−0.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    24.9%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:03EMU 4th & 11 at SDSU 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    16.8%−0.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00EMU 4th & 1 at SDSU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    20.5%−3.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    21.1%−2.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:05SDSU 4th & 7 at EMU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%−1.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    57.4%−9.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:05EMU 4th & 11 at EMU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−2.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:57SDSU 4th & 2 at SDSU 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.7%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:47EMU 4th & 1 at SDSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    38.7%−5.7
    54% to make
    Punt
    35.9%−8.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:41SDSU 4th & 16 at EMU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%−3.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    60.7%−1.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:18EMU 4th & 7 at SDSU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%−2.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    18.7%−27.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:16SDSU 4th & 11 at EMU 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−10.0
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.6%
    49% to make
    Punt
    14.6%−17.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:25EMU 4th & 6 at EMU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−9.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SDSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 14:21SDSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:03SDSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:26EMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:15EMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SDSUDrive 1DOWNS
7 plays · 36 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
78.2%
Juwan Washington run for 7 yds to the SDSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+22
78.2%
Ryan Agnew run for 22 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
78.2%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the EMich 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+7
78.2%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 7 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+1
78.2%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the EMich 38Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 38
-2
78.2%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
77.3%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+5
77.3%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 5 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q1 11:52
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+2
77.3%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 2 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q1 11:52
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
77.3%
Tyler Wiegers run for no gain to the EMich 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 3FG
11 plays · 32 yds · 3:5878% → 77%
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
77.5%
Ryan Agnew pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-3
77.4%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 48Similar
Q1 10:12
3RD & 13
OWN 48
+26
77.0%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Fred Trevillion for 26 yds to the EMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+10
77.6%
Juwan Washington run for 10 yds to the EMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
77.6%
Juwan Washington run for no gain to the EMich 16Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-10
77.6%
AGNEW, Ryan rush for 4 yards to the EMU12 (PICKETT, Jaylen), PENALTY SDSU holding 10 yards to the EMU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 20
OPP 26
+9
76.9%
Ryan Agnew run for 9 yds to the EMich 17Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 11
OPP 17
0
76.5%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Fred Trevillion, broken up by Ross WilliamsSimilar
Q1 6:14
4TH & 11
OPP 17
+34
76.7%
John Baron II 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4FG
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:0024% → 26%
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
50
+5
76.1%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds to the SDSt 45Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+5
76.1%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 5 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
76.1%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds to the SDSt 35Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+3
75.8%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 3 yds to the SDSt 32Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 2
OPP 32
-2
76.1%
Ian Eriksen run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 34Similar
Q1 3:12
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+51
74.4%
Chad Ryland 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 3:4475% → 79%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
75.1%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Parker Houston for 9 yds to the SDSt 40Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+11
75.7%
Chase Jasmin run for 11 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
76.0%
Chase Jasmin run for 1 yd to the EMich 48Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+14
76.0%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Fred Trevillion for 14 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
76.2%
Chase Jasmin run for 8 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+1
75.8%
Chase Jasmin run for 1 yd to the EMich 25Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+25
78.9%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Parker Houston for 25 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6FUMBLE
6 plays · 50 yds · 0:0021% → 22%
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
79.2%
Shaq Vann run for 4 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+50
78.9%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 50 yds to the SDSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
77.0%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the SDSt 18Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
77.0%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the SDSt 18Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+6
77.6%
Tyler Wiegers sacked by Kyree Woods for a loss of 12 yards to the SDSt 31 Tyler Wiegers fumbled, recovered by SDSt Myles Cheatum , return for 0 yards , return for 6 yds to the SDSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:4379% → 86%
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
79.3%
Ryan Agnew run for 3 yds to the SDSt 34Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+5
79.4%
Juwan Washington run for 5 yds to the SDSt 39Similar
Q2 11:46
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+36
79.7%
Juwan Washington run for 36 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
80.5%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the EMich 24Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
80.5%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Elijah KotheSimilar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+24
85.8%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to BJ Busbee for 24 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
84.2%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Isaac Holder for 8 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
83.3%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 6 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
83.8%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Isaac Holder, broken up by Luq BarcooSimilar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
84.0%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+15
84.0%
WIEGERS, Tyler sacked for 5 yards to the EMU47 (HALL, Darren), PENALTY SDSU personal foul 15 yards to the SDSU43, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
83.0%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Arthur Jackson IIISimilar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
83.4%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 4 yds to the SDSt 39Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 6
OPP 39
-5
83.0%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 44Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 11
OPP 44
0
83.9%
Tyler Wiegers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:03
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
84.2%
Jake Julien punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 9INT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
85.5%
Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the SDSt 16Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+9
85.6%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 9 yds to the SDSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
85.6%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the SDSt 27Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
85.6%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 11 yds to the SDSt 38 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the SDSt 28Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
85.6%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Ethan Dedeaux for 9 yds to the SDSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-8
86.0%
Ryan Agnew sacked by Turan Rush for a loss of 8 yards to the SDSt 29Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 18
OWN 29
+10
85.5%
Chase Jasmin run for 10 yds to the SDSt 39Similar
Q2 5:57
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+26
85.7%
Ryan Agnew pass intercepted Kevin McGill return for 26 yds to the SANDIEGOST 35 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10TD
4 plays · 34 yds · 1:1417% → 24%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
83.2%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds to the SDSt 29Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 5
OPP 29
0
83.1%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Arthur Jackson III, broken up by Tariq ThompsonSimilar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+27
83.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 27 yds to the SDSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
75.7%
Mike Glass III run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
79.6%
Chase Jasmin run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:4522% → 40%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
78.2%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the EMich 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
78.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 4 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
78.3%
Mike Glass III run for 8 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
77.2%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+6
77.1%
Shaq Vann run for 6 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+6
76.5%
Mike Glass III run for 6 yds to the SDSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
75.9%
Shaq Vann run for 8 yds to the SDSt 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 40
-2
75.5%
Mike Glass III run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+3
76.2%
Blake Banham run for 3 yds to the SDSt 39Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+2
77.1%
Mike Glass III run for 2 yds to the SDSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
75.9%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the SDSt 37Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+37
60.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 37 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 13MISSED FG
7 plays · 43 yds · 2:0468% → 68%
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+40
68.3%
Chase Jasmin run for 40 yds to the EMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-2
71.4%
Chase Jasmin run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 23Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 12
OPP 23
-11
71.2%
JASMIN, Chase rush for 2 yards to the EMU21 (RACHWAL, Kyle), PENALTY SDSU holding 11 yards to the EMU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 23
OPP 34
0
69.6%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Ethan DedeauxSimilar
Q3 8:09
3RD & 23
OPP 34
+16
67.8%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 16 yds to the EMich 18Similar
Q3 6:05
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+35
67.5%
John Baron II 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0037% → 34%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
62.8%
Shaq Vann run for 4 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
62.4%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Mathew SextonSimilar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-10
64.0%
GLASS, Mike rush for 9 yards to the EMU33 (BALDWIN, Parker), PENALTY EMU holding 10 yards to the EMU14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+10
64.6%
Shaq Vann run for 10 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q3 6:05
4TH & 6
OWN 24
-5
65.4%
JULIEN, Jake punt 51 yards to the SDSU25, out-of-bounds, PENALTY EMU illegal formation 5 yards to the EMU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:05
4TH & 11
OWN 19
+2
65.7%
Jake Julien punt for 46 yds , Ethan Dedeaux returns for 2 yds to the SDSt 21 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the SDSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0065% → 64%
Q3 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
65.2%
Ryan Agnew pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:57
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
64.6%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Parker Houston, broken up by Kobie BeltramSimilar
Q3 3:57
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+8
63.0%
Ryan Agnew run for 8 yds to the SDSt 35Similar
Q3 3:57
4TH & 2
OWN 35
+13
63.5%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 49 yds , Blake Banham returns for 13 yds to the EMich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16DOWNS
11 plays · 40 yds · 4:1440% → 43%
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
60.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 6 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 4
OWN 35
0
58.5%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Mathew SextonSimilar
Q3 3:01
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+14
60.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 14 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
56.8%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the SDSt 46Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+2
56.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 2 yds to the SDSt 44Similar
Q3 3:01
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+4
57.1%
Shaq Vann run for 4 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
54.7%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Arthur Jackson IIISimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+4
54.8%
Mike Glass III run for 4 yds to the SDSt 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+5
55.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 5 yds to the SDSt 31Similar
Q4 13:47
4TH & 1
OPP 31
0
57.3%
Mike Glass III run for no gain to the SDSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:0065% → 63%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
65.2%
Chase Jasmin run for 15 yds to the SDSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
68.3%
Kaegun Williams run for 1 yd to the SDSt 47Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+2
68.0%
Chase Jasmin run for 2 yds to the SDSt 49Similar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+15
66.9%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to BJ Busbee for 15 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
69.3%
Chase Jasmin run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 38Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 12
OPP 38
-4
68.6%
Ryan Agnew sacked by CJ Hunt and Maxx Crosby for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 42Similar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 16
OPP 42
0
65.4%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Fred Trevillion SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 13:41
4TH & 16
OPP 42
0
63.4%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18FG
15 plays · 79 yds · 6:2042% → 74%
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
58.1%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the EMich 16Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+1
58.0%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the EMich 17Similar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 7
OWN 17
+9
59.5%
Mike Glass III run for 9 yds to the EMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
57.6%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
57.3%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Gunnar OakesSimilar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+54
59.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 54 yds to the SDSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
50.3%
Shaq Vann run for 7 yds to the SDSt 11Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 3
OPP 11
-5
50.3%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 16Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+8
50.3%
Shaq Vann run for 8 yds to the SDSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
50.3%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the SDSt 6Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
50.3%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 11Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+4
50.6%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 4 yds to the SDSt 7Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
47.9%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Blake BanhamSimilar
Q4 3:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
26.1%
Chad Ryland 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 19FG
9 plays · 25 yds · 1:5644% → 59%
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
43.5%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Ethan Dedeaux for 11 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
46.1%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Kobe Smith, broken up by Jalen PhelpsSimilar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+15
45.5%
AGNEW, Ryan pass incomplete to SMITH, Kobe, PENALTY EMU pass interference 15 yards to the EMU32, 1ST DOWN SDSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
50.1%
Chase Jasmin run for no gain to the EMich 32Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-1
49.8%
Ryan Agnew sacked by Maxx Crosby for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 33Similar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 11
OPP 33
0
35.1%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Ethan Dedeaux, broken up by Kevin McGillSimilar
Q4 1:16
4TH & 11
OPP 33
+50
58.8%
John Baron II 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:5148% → 46%
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
51.9%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-2
51.3%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 26Similar
Q4 0:32
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+3
52.9%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q4 0:25
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
53.7%
Jake Julien punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ethan Dedeaux at the SDSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:0057% → 61%
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
57.2%
Chase Jasmin run for 8 yds to the SDSt 40Similar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 2
OWN 40
-11
61.4%
Ryan Agnew sacked by Maxx Crosby for a loss of 11 yards to the SDSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
40.5%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the SDSt 22Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
40.5%
Mike Glass III pass intercepted Darren Hall return for no gain to the SDSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 23FG
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0065% → 79%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
64.7%
Chase Jasmin run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 26Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+4
64.5%
Chase Jasmin run for 4 yds to the EMich 22Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+1
62.4%
Chase Jasmin run for 1 yd to the EMich 21Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+38
79.3%
John Baron II 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 1:16
John Baron II 50 yd FG GOOD
+23.7
FG · Q4 3:18
Chad Ryland 24 yd FG GOOD
-21.8
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+20.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com