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EKU

Eastern Kentucky 35 at Bowling Green 42

BGSU
2018 · Week 3 · Sep 15, 2018 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadEKU aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreEKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Jarret Doege punt for 30 yds, downed at the EKent 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 154Pregame prior+9.9Home team on offense−2.1Garbage-time factor−1.4Score differential−1.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Blowout margin−1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:56: Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 68 yds for a TD (Samuel Hayworth KICK) — EKU win probability +9.4 pts (now 27%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:16: Alphonso Howard run for 7 yds for a TD (Samuel Hayworth KICK) — EKU win probability +12.5 pts (now 35%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:23: Jarret Doege pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 22 yds for a TD EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined (Two-Point Conversion failed) — BGSU win probability +8.8 pts (now 82%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:31: Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 27 yds for a TD (Samuel Hayworth KICK) — EKU win probability +14.4 pts (now 41%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:47: Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 7 yds for a TD (Jarret Doege pass for Two-Point Conversion) — BGSU win probability +28.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7EKU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00BGSU 4th & 20 at BGSU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:32BGSU 4th & 14 at BGSU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:18EKU 4th & 2 at EKU 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.6%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:22BGSU 4th & 4 at BGSU 19, down 7
    Close callPunted · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.4%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q3 15:00EKU 4th & 6 at EKU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:09BGSU 4th & 4 at BGSU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−0.4
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:47EKU 4th & 7 at EKU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−1.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:25BGSU 4th & 5 at BGSU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:31EKU 4th & 3 at BGSU 27, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    24.0%−1.4
    62% to make
    Punt
    15.5%−9.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00BGSU 4th & 21 at EKU 39, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−3.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    57.2%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:04EKU 4th & 3 at EKU 26, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%−1.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:47EKU 4th & 10 at EKU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:10BGSU 4th & 18 at BGSU 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%−2.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:00EKU 4th & 4 at EKU 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.3%−2.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6EKU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 7:39EKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:17EKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:26BGSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:04BGSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:13BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:56EKU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:45BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 10:16EKU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 3:23BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    78.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    78.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 1:31EKU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 6:47BGSU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    79.1%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    79.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
84.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to RB Marlow III for 1 yd to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
84.7%
Andrew Clair run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
84.7%
Andrew Clair run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
84.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 6 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+10
84.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to RB Marlow III for 10 yds to the EKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
84.7%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 3 yards to the EKent 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 49
+1
84.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Justin Sawmiller for 1 yd to the EKent 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 48
-8
84.7%
Jarret Doege sacked by Steven Crowder for a loss of 8 yards to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 44
0
84.7%
Grant Tinnerman punt for 25 yds, fair catch by BK Smith at the EKent 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 2TD
12 plays · 69 yds · 4:0616% → 20%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
83.8%
LJ Scott run for no gain to the EKent 31Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+3
83.8%
LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the EKent 34Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+19
83.8%
Dakota Allen pass complete to Jackson Beerman for 19 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
82.9%
LJ Scott run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+10
82.9%
Dakota Allen run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
82.8%
Dakota Allen pass complete to BK Smith for 11 yds to the BwGrn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
82.8%
LJ Scott run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 14Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
82.8%
Dakota Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+6
82.9%
Dakota Allen run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
82.8%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 3Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
79.9%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Samuel Hayworth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
80.6%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
80.5%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Noah MasseySimilar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 9
OWN 29
0
80.3%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to RB Marlow III, broken up by Cornelius FloydSimilar
Q1 7:32
4TH & 9
OWN 29
-5
80.2%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (Fred Garth) to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q1 7:32
4TH & 14
OWN 24
0
80.2%
Grant Tinnerman punt for 35 yds, downed at the EKent 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 2:2321% → 25%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+18
79.4%
Alonzo Booth run for 18 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
79.3%
Alonzo Booth run for no gain to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+7
79.4%
Alonzo Booth run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+4
79.3%
Alonzo Booth run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+26
79.3%
Dakota Allen run for 26 yds to the BwGrn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
79.2%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 1Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
74.6%
Dakota Allen run for 1 yd for a TD (Samuel Hayworth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:5176% → 76%
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
75.8%
Andrew Clair run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+16
75.8%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST down EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
76.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Andrew Clair for 1 yd to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+1
76.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 1 yd to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+26
76.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 26 yds to the EKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-9
76.7%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Andrew Clair BOWLING GREEN Penalty, intentional grounding (Jarret Doege) to the EKent 36Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 19
OPP 36
+16
76.3%
Andrew Clair run for 16 yds to the EKent 20Similar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+5
76.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to RB Marlow III for 5 yds to the EKent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
76.7%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to RB Marlow IIISimilar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+13
72.6%
DOEGE, Jarret pass incomplete to MORRIS, Quintin (WHITFIELD, J.), PENALTY EKU pass interference (WHITFIELD, J.) 13 yards to the EKU2, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
72.6%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the EKent 1Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
72.0%
Jarret Doege run for no gain to the EKent 1Similar
Q2 14:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.1%
Jarret Doege run for 1 yd for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:0825% → 26%
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+27
74.7%
Ralph Patton run for 27 yds to the EKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
74.1%
Jason Lewis run for 5 yds to the EKent 32Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+3
73.7%
Alphonso Howard run for 3 yds to the EKent 35Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 2
OWN 35
0
73.9%
Jason Lewis run for no gain to the EKent 35Similar
Q2 14:18
4TH & 2
OWN 35
+2
74.3%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 2 yds to the EKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
73.7%
Alphonso Howard pass incomplete, broken up by Jonah HarperSimilar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
73.9%
Phillip Richards punt for 50 yds, downed at the BwGrn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
72.1%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to RB Marlow III, broken up by Leodis Moore IIISimilar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+6
72.1%
Andrew Clair run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 19Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 4
OWN 19
0
71.7%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Andrew Clair, broken up by Taquan EvansSimilar
Q2 11:22
4TH & 4
OWN 19
0
71.5%
Grant Tinnerman punt for 52 yds , BK Smith returns for no gain to the EKent 29 BK Smith fumbled, recovered by BwGrn Melvin JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8TD
2 plays · 29 yds · 0:2774% → 80%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
74.2%
Andrew Clair run for 5 yds to the EKent 24Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+24
79.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 24 yds for a TD EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 9FUMBLE
8 plays · 72 yds · 0:0023% → 25%
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+29
77.3%
LJ Scott run for 29 yds to the EKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
76.5%
Dakota Allen sacked by Montre Gregory for a loss of 1 yard to the EKent 28Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+14
76.9%
Dakota Allen run for 14 yds to the EKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
75.6%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 1 yd to the EKent 43Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 9
OWN 43
-1
75.7%
Dakota Allen sacked by Kyle Junior for a loss of 1 yard to the EKent 42Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+20
76.5%
Dakota Allen run for 20 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
75.0%
LJ Scott run for 6 yds to the EKent 22 LJ Scott fumbled, forced by Jonah Harper, recovered by BwGrn Jerry McBride III , return for 50 yds to the EKent 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10TD
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:3679% → 84%
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+18
78.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 18 yds to the EKent 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
78.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to RB Marlow IIISimilar
Q2 6:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
83.6%
Andrew Clair run for 4 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 11TD
2 plays · 68 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
73.1%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 68 yds for a TD (Samuel Hayworth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:1176% → 83%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
76.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 6 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
77.0%
Andrew Clair run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
76.3%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
76.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 12 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
77.9%
Andrew Clair run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 8
50
+1
78.0%
Rico Frye run for 1 yd to the EKent 49Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+15
77.4%
DOEGE, Jarret pass incomplete to MARLOW, RB (FLOYD, C.), PENALTY EKU pass interference (FLOYD, C.) 15 yards to the EKU34, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
78.7%
EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, illegal participation (5 Yards) to the EKent 29Similar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 5
OPP 29
0
78.7%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Quintin MorrisSimilar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+3
78.7%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the EKent 26Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+11
78.0%
Bryson Denley run for 11 yds to the EKent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
78.7%
Bryson Denley run for 2 yds to the EKent 13Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
78.7%
Bryson Denley run for no gain to the EKent 13Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+13
83.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 13 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 13MISSED FG
6 plays · 58 yds · 0:3818% → 22%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
82.1%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 2 yds to the EKent 21Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+8
82.2%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 8 yds to the EKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+38
81.7%
Dakota Allen pass complete to Jaelin Carter for 38 yds to the BwGrn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
78.1%
ALLEN, Dakota pass incomplete to CARTER, Jaelin (GARTH, Fred), PENALTY BGSU holding (STEPHENS, Clint) 10 yards to the BGSU23, 1ST DOWN EKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+40
77.7%
Samuel Hayworth 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
81.2%
Alonzo Booth run for 2 yds to the EKent 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
81.0%
Alonzo Booth run for 2 yds to the EKent 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
81.2%
Dakota Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+46
82.1%
Phillip Richards punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BOWLGREEN 25 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive holding (Melvin Jackson) to the BwGrn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15INT
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
82.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Noah Massey for 12 yds to the BwGrn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
82.4%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+4
82.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 4 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q3 13:54
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+4
81.9%
Jarret Doege pass intercepted Steven Crowder return for 4 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:5822% → 35%
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
78.1%
Jason Lewis run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+12
77.8%
Alphonso Howard run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
77.8%
Jason Lewis run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 10Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+3
77.8%
Jason Lewis run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 7Similar
Q3 10:16
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+7
65.3%
Alphonso Howard run for 7 yds for a TD (Samuel Hayworth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0071% → 69%
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
71.1%
Andrew Clair run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+2
71.4%
Andrew Clair run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q3 10:09
3RD & 4
OWN 24
0
70.3%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Justin SawmillerSimilar
Q3 10:09
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
69.2%
Grant Tinnerman punt for 43 yds , BK Smith returns for no gain to the EKent 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0033% → 31%
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
67.1%
Ralph Patton run for 8 yds to the EKent 41Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 2
OWN 41
-5
65.0%
Dakota Allen sacked by Karl Brooks for a loss of 5 yards to the EKent 36Similar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
67.6%
Dakota Allen pass incomplete to LJ ScottSimilar
Q3 8:47
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
69.5%
Phillip Richards punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Marcus Milton at the BwGrn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
70.3%
Andrew Clair run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 5
OWN 35
-5
71.7%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (Deric Phouthavong) to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
69.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to RB Marlow III for 5 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
69.7%
Andrew Clair run for no gain to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q3 7:25
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
68.8%
Grant Tinnerman punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EKent 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 20FUMBLE
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:0035% → 36%
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
65.3%
Ralph Patton run for 6 yds to the EKent 37Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+4
63.6%
Ralph Patton run for 4 yds to the EKent 41 Ralph Patton fumbled, forced by Kholbe Coleman, recovered by BwGrn Kholbe ColemanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 21TD
4 plays · 41 yds · 1:1872% → 82%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
72.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryson Denley for 13 yds to the EKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
73.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryson Denley for no gain to the EKent 28Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+6
73.1%
Andrew Clair run for 6 yds to the EKent 22Similar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+22
81.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 22 yds for a TD EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 22TD
7 plays · 51 yds · 1:4226% → 41%
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
74.0%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+12
73.6%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
72.2%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 4
OPP 28
0
71.7%
Dakota Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:13
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+1
73.4%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q3 1:31
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+27
59.0%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 27 yds for a TD (Samuel Hayworth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 23PUNT
14 plays · 44 yds · 1:2660% → 57%
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
60.1%
Andrew Clair run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
60.6%
CLAIR, Andrew rush for 4 yards to the BGSU32 (BRYANT, Gavin), PENALTY BGSU illegal formation 5 yards to the BGSU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:26
1ST & 15
OWN 23
+6
59.9%
Rico Frye run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+11
60.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 11 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
62.7%
Rico Frye run for 11 yds to the EKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
64.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to RB Marlow III for 5 yds to the EKent 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+6
64.3%
Rico Frye run for 6 yds to the EKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
64.3%
Rico Frye run for 10 yds to the EKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
65.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 2 yds to the EKent 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 26
0
65.9%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Bryson DenleySimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 26
-15
63.7%
DOEGE, Jarret pass complete to PHOUTHAVONG, D. for 13 yards to the EKU13 (FLOYD, C.), PENALTY BGSU pass interference (MASSEY, Noah) 15 yards to the EKU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 23
OPP 41
+2
59.5%
Bryson Denley run for 2 yds to the EKent 39Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 21
OPP 39
0
56.7%
Jarret Doege punt for 30 yds, downed at the EKent 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0044% → 42%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
55.8%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 4 yds to the EKent 13Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+6
55.4%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 6 yds to the EKent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
54.9%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 1 yd to the EKent 20Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 9
OWN 20
-10
55.4%
McCLESKEY, D. rush for 4 yards to the EKU24 (HARPER, Jonah), PENALTY EKU holding (TABUR, Thomas) 10 yards to the EKU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 19
OWN 10
+4
55.7%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 4 yds to the EKent 14Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 15
OWN 14
+12
57.4%
Dakota Allen pass complete to Daryl McCleskey Jr. for 12 yds to the EKent 26Similar
Q4 12:04
4TH & 3
OWN 26
0
58.0%
Phillip Richards punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Marcus Milton at the BwGrn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 25TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:2456% → 91%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
55.7%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+11
59.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Justin Sawmiller for 11 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
60.3%
Andrew Clair run for no gain to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
59.6%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Deric PhouthavongSimilar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+33
55.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 18 yds to the BOWLGREEN 33 for a 1ST down EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the EKent 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
63.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to RB Marlow III for 10 yds to the EKent 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
63.0%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the EKent 7Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
91.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 7 yds for a TD (Jarret Doege pass for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0014% → 12%
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
86.3%
Alphonso Howard run for 5 yds to the EKent 31Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+11
84.7%
Jason Lewis run for 11 yds to the EKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
84.3%
Alphonso Howard pass incomplete to Dan PaulSimilar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
85.0%
Alphonso Howard run for no gain to the EKent 42Similar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
85.9%
Dakota Allen pass incomplete to Jaelin CarterSimilar
Q4 6:47
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
87.7%
Phillip Richards punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Marcus Milton at the BwGrn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 27PUNT
9 plays · 2 yds · 1:2791% → 93%
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
90.8%
Rico Frye run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 19Similar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+9
90.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to RB Marlow III for 9 yds to the BwGrn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
90.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 5 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+2
94.0%
Rico Frye run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 3
OWN 35
-10
93.8%
FRYE, Rico rush for 2 yards to the BGSU37 (PATRICK, Aaron), PENALTY BGSU holding 10 yards to the BGSU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 13
OWN 25
-5
93.2%
Jarret Doege sacked by Aaron Patrick for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q4 3:10
4TH & 18
OWN 20
0
93.2%
Grant Tinnerman punt for 48 yds, downed at the EKent 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 28END OF GAME
15 plays · 53 yds · 2:5510% → 13%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
90.5%
Dakota Allen pass incomplete to Jaelin Carter, broken up by Clint StephensSimilar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
91.2%
Dakota Allen pass complete to Neiko Creamer for no gain to the EKent 32Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+6
92.0%
LJ Scott run for 6 yds to the EKent 38Similar
Q4 3:00
4TH & 4
OWN 38
+6
91.2%
LJ Scott run for 6 yds to the EKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
89.6%
LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the EKent 46Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+7
89.5%
LJ Scott run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+6
88.2%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
88.4%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 6
OPP 37
-7
86.9%
Dakota Allen sacked by Demontae Haigler for a loss of 7 yards to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 13
OPP 44
+29
90.9%
Dakota Allen pass complete to Jaelin Carter for 29 yds to the BwGrn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
84.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:08
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
84.1%
Dakota Allen pass incomplete to Jaelin CarterSimilar
Q4 0:05
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
87.4%
Dakota Allen pass incomplete to Dan Paul, broken up by Brandon HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:47
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 7 yds for a TD (Jarret Doege pass for Two-Point Conversion)
+28.2
TD · Q3 1:31
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 27 yds for a TD (Samuel Hayworth KICK)
-14.4
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+12.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com