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2018 · Week 3 · Sep 15, 2018 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadDSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreDSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFUMBLETDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:05 · Richard Harris run for 5 yds to the DelSt 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 13:01: LeVante Bellamy run for 40 yds for a TD (Josh Grant KICK) — DSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:16: Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 3 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK) — WMU win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:27: Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK) — WMU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5DSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00DSU 4th & 2 at DSU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:39DSU 4th & 4 at WMU 28, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:16DSU 4th & 12 at DSU 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:40WMU 4th & 5 at DSU 6, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:15DSU 4th & 7 at DSU 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:20DSU 4th & 3 at WMU 48, down 21
    Close callPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:16DSU 4th & 5 at DSU 28, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:18WMU 4th & 22 at DSU 40, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:43DSU 4th & 6 at DSU 17, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:27DSU 4th & 2 at DSU 29, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:13DSU 4th & 6 at DSU 11, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:08WMU 4th & 7 at DSU 7, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00DSU 4th & 6 at DSU 29, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:07DSU 4th & 10 at DSU 25, down 51
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:18DSU 4th & 8 at DSU 27, down 72
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:39WMU 4th & 3 at WMU 47, up 72
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:12WMU 4th & 7 at DSU 8, up 72
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 13:01WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:16WMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:16WMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:27WMU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:13WMU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:08WMU Touchdown, up 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
DSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.4%
Mike Waters run for 3 yds to the DelSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
99.4%
Mike Waters run for 3 yds to the DelSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
99.4%
Keenan Black pass complete to Taronn Selby for 2 yds to the DelSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+35
99.4%
Fidel Romo-Martinez punt for 42 yds , Jayden Reed returns for 35 yds to the DelSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2TD
1 play · 40 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
99.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 40 yds for a TD (Josh Grant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 3MISSED FG
13 plays · 56 yds · 4:221% → 1%
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
99.3%
DELAWARE ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the DelSt 11Similar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 15
OWN 11
+4
99.3%
Mike Waters run for 4 yds to the DelSt 15Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+25
99.3%
Keenan Black run for 25 yds to the DelSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.3%
Mike Waters run for 1 yd to the DelSt 41Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+15
99.3%
BLACK,K pass incomplete to KOLLIE,K, PENALTY WMU roughing passer (THOMAS, A.J.) 15 yards to the WMU44, 1ST DOWN DSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
99.3%
Mike Waters run for 1 yd to the WMich 43Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+9
99.3%
Mike Waters run for 9 yds to the WMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
99.3%
Keenan Black run for 3 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 7
OPP 31
-1
99.3%
Mike Waters run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 32Similar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+4
99.3%
Taronn Selby run for 4 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q1 8:39
4TH & 4
OPP 28
+45
99.1%
Jose Romo-Martinez 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 4:2399% → 99%
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
99.1%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Drake Harris for 14 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
99.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+13
99.1%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Drake Harris for 13 yds to the DelSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
99.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the DelSt 41Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+12
99.1%
WASSINK, JON pass incomplete to ARNETT, TYRON, dropped pass, PENALTY DSU pass interference (SELBY,K) 12 yards to the DSU29, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
99.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the DelSt 26Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+12
99.1%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 12 yds to the DelSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
99.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 8 yds to the DelSt 6Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+1
99.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the DelSt 5Similar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+5
99.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds for a TD DELAWARE ST Penalty, substitution infraction (2 Yards) to the DelSt 1 (Josh Grant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
99.0%
Mike Waters run for a loss of 5 yards to the DelSt 11Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 15
OWN 11
0
99.0%
Keenan Black pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 15
OWN 11
+3
99.0%
Keenan Black run for 3 yds to the DelSt 14Similar
Q1 4:16
4TH & 12
OWN 14
0
99.0%
Fidel Romo-Martinez punt for 18 yds, downed at the DelSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6MISSED FG
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:5799% → 99%
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+21
99.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 21 yds to the DelSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
99.0%
Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the DelSt 7Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+1
99.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Drake Harris for 1 yd to the DelSt 6Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 5
OPP 6
0
99.0%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Jayden ReedSimilar
Q1 0:40
4TH & 5
OPP 6
+23
98.9%
Josh Grant 23 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 7PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:251% → 1%
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
98.8%
Keenan Black sacked by Ali Fayad for a loss of 1 yard to the DelSt 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+4
98.8%
Keenan Black run for 4 yds to the DelSt 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
98.8%
Jack McDaniels pass incomplete to Kwannah KollieSimilar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+93
99.2%
Fidel Romo-Martinez punt for 70 yds , Jayden Reed returns for 93 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:521% → 1%
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+19
99.2%
Taronn Selby run for 19 yds to the DelSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
99.2%
Mike Waters run for 1 yd to the DelSt 46Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+3
99.2%
Mike Waters run for 3 yds to the DelSt 49Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+3
99.2%
Jack McDaniels pass complete to Mike Waters for 3 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q2 13:20
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
99.2%
Fidel Romo-Martinez punt for 34 yds, downed at the WMich 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9TD
11 plays · 86 yds · 4:2799% → 100%
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
99.3%
Davon Tucker run for 3 yds to the WMich 17Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+4
99.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 4 yds to the WMich 21Similar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+7
99.2%
Davon Tucker run for 7 yds to the WMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
99.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 11 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
99.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 38Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+7
99.3%
Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+20
99.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down DELAWARE ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the DelSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.3%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Drake HarrisSimilar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+29
99.3%
Chase Brown run for 29 yds to the DelSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.3%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the DelSt 3Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.6%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 3 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-7
99.7%
Jack McDaniels sacked by Najee Clayton for a loss of 7 yards to the DelSt 13 Jack McDaniels fumbled, recovered by DelSt Mike Waters , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 20
OWN 13
+11
99.7%
Mike Waters run for 11 yds to the DelSt 24Similar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+4
99.7%
Mike Waters run for 4 yds to the DelSt 28Similar
Q2 7:16
4TH & 5
OWN 28
+10
99.7%
Fidel Romo-Martinez punt for 54 yds , Jayden Reed returns for 10 yds to the WMich 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 32 yds · 2:54100% → 100%
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
99.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Drake Harris for 5 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+6
99.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 6 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
99.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 12 yds to the DelSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.7%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Drake Harris, broken up by Nigel BynumSimilar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+2
99.7%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the DelSt 47Similar
Q2 5:12
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+19
99.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Luke Sanders for 19 yds to the DelSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.7%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+1
99.7%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the DelSt 27Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 9
OPP 27
-15
99.7%
WASSINK, JON pass complete to WATSON, K for 27 yards to the DSU0, clock 02:18, PENALTY WMU personal foul (KEENOY, JOHN) 15 yards to the DSU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 24
OPP 42
+2
99.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 2 yds to the DelSt 40Similar
Q2 2:18
4TH & 22
OPP 40
0
99.7%
Nick Mihalic punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Kareem Davis at the DelSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 0:420% → 0%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-7
99.8%
WATERS,M rush for 1 yard to the DSU14 (GRACE, ALEX), PENALTY DSU holding (DERKS,M) 7 yards to the DSU6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 17
OWN 6
-1
99.8%
Mike Waters run for a loss of 1 yard to the DelSt 5Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 18
OWN 5
-2
99.8%
Jack McDaniels pass complete to Taronn Selby for a loss of 2 yards to the DelSt 3Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 20
OWN 3
+14
99.8%
Richard Harris run for 14 yds to the DelSt 17Similar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 6
OWN 17
+8
99.8%
Fidel Romo-Martinez punt for 44 yds , Jayden Reed returns for 8 yds to the WMich 25 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding (Stefan Claiborne) to the WMich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · 47 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+47
99.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 47 yds to the DelSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
99.8%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Drake HarrisSimilar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
99.8%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni RicciSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14TD
14 plays · 81 yds · 5:33100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
99.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Drake Harris for 8 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+4
99.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
99.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 10 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
99.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Drake Harris for 10 yds to the DelSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
99.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 11 yds to the DelSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
99.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 7 yds to the DelSt 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+6
99.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Drake Harris for 6 yds to the DelSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
99.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 2 yards to the DelSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 27
-5
99.8%
WASSINK, JON pass incomplete to REED, JAYDEN, PENALTY WMU ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the DSU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 17
OPP 32
+18
99.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 18 yds to the DelSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
99.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 10 yds to the DelSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the DelSt 2Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
99.9%
Richard Harris run for 3 yds to the DelSt 24Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+5
99.9%
Jack McDaniels pass complete to Taronn Selby for 5 yds to the DelSt 29Similar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 2
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Richard Harris run for no gain to the DelSt 29Similar
Q3 9:27
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Fidel Romo-Martinez punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jayden Reed at the WMich 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:21100% → 100%
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 24Similar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Drake HarrisSimilar
Q3 7:34
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+55
99.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 55 yds to the DelSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
99.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 1 yd to the DelSt 20Similar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 9
OPP 20
-3
99.9%
Chase Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the DelSt 28 Chase Brown fumbled, forced by Devin Smith, recovered by WMich Chase BrownSimilar
Q3 7:34
3RD & 17
OPP 28
+5
99.9%
WASSINK, JON pass incomplete to ARNETT, TYRON, PENALTY DSU offside (BOWMAN,D) 5 yards to the DSU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 12
OPP 23
+23
99.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 23 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
99.9%
Mike Waters run for 3 yds to the DelSt 10Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+1
99.9%
Mike Waters run for 1 yd to the DelSt 11Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 6
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Jack McDaniels pass incomplete to Kareem Davis DELAWARE ST Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 5:13
4TH & 6
OWN 11
+30
99.9%
Fidel Romo-Martinez punt for 46 yds , Tyron Arnett returns for 30 yds to the DelSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18FG
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:30100% → 100%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for 1 yd to the DelSt 26Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+3
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for 3 yds to the DelSt 23Similar
Q3 3:38
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+14
99.9%
MUSSAT, Alex pass incomplete to WATSON, K, PENALTY DSU pass interference (BYNUM,N) 14 yards to the DSU9, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for 3 yds to the DelSt 6Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.9%
Alex Mussat pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the DelSt 7Similar
Q3 1:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
99.9%
Gavin Peddie 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:080% → 0%
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Richard Harris run for 2 yds to the DelSt 27Similar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Jack McDaniels pass incomplete to Trey GrossSimilar
Q3 1:08
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
Richard Harris run for 2 yds to the DelSt 29Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+12
99.9%
Fidel Romo-Martinez punt for 55 yds , Tyron Arnett returns for 12 yds to the WMich 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 3:36100% → 100%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+21
99.9%
Prince Walker run for 21 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
99.9%
Prince Walker run for 7 yds to the DelSt 44Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+6
99.9%
Prince Walker run for 6 yds to the DelSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Alex Mussat run for no gain to the DelSt 38Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+13
99.9%
Chase Brown run for 13 yds to the DelSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
99.9%
BROWN, CHASE rush for loss of 3 yards to the DSU28 (JONES,J;CASTELL,J), PENALTY DSU face mask (JONES,J) 13 yards to the DSU12, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.9%
Alex Mussat pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
100.0%
Prince Walker run for 12 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 21PUNT RETURN TD
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:010% → 0%
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Mike Waters run for no gain to the DelSt 25Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Jack McDaniels pass incomplete to Kareem Davis DELAWARE ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 10:29
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Jack McDaniels pass incomplete to Taronn SelbySimilar
Q4 10:07
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+76
100.0%
Fidel Romo-Martinez punt for 51 yds , Tyron Arnett returns for 76 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 22FUMBLE TD
3 plays · -8 yds · 0:490% → 0%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Richard Harris run for 3 yds to the DelSt 28Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+17
100.0%
Bryant Dallas run for a loss of 5 yards Bryant Dallas fumbled, forced by Andre Carter, recovered by WMich Patrick Lupro , return for 17 yds DELAWARE ST Penalty, (2 Yards) to the DelSt 1 (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
100.0%
DELAWARE ST Penalty, (2 Yards) to the DelSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Jack McDaniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Richard Harris run for no gain to the DelSt 25Similar
Q4 9:18
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Richard Harris run for 2 yds to the DelSt 27Similar
Q4 9:18
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Fidel Romo-Martinez punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-6
100.0%
Prince Walker run for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 34Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 16
OWN 34
+12
100.0%
Prince Walker run for 12 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+1
100.0%
Prince Walker run for 1 yd to the WMich 47Similar
Q4 7:39
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Nick Mihalic punt for 36 yds , Kareem Davis returns for no gain to the DelSt 11 Kareem Davis fumbled, recovered by WMich Hunter BroersmaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 26FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:23100% → 100%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-4
100.0%
Prince Walker run for a loss of 4 yards to the DelSt 15Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 14
OPP 15
+10
100.0%
Prince Walker run for 10 yds to the DelSt 5Similar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+2
100.0%
Wyatt Rector run for 2 yds to the DelSt 3Similar
Q4 5:35
4TH & 2
OPP 3
-5
100.0%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the DelSt 8Similar
Q4 3:12
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+25
100.0%
Gavin Peddie 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 27END OF GAME
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
100.0%
Richard Harris run for 2 yds to the DelSt 29Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+6
100.0%
Richard Harris run for 6 yds to the DelSt 35Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+5
100.0%
Richard Harris run for 5 yds to the DelSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
100.0%
Richard Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the DelSt 38Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+5
100.0%
Richard Harris run for 5 yds to the DelSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:16
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 3 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q1 13:01
LeVante Bellamy run for 40 yds for a TD (Josh Grant KICK)
-0.1
TD · Q3 9:27
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com