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MORG

Morgan State 7 at Akron 41

AKR
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · InfoCision Stadium
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Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadMORG aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreMORG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:46 · Nicholas O'Shea punt for 61 yds , Shawn Featherstone returns for no gain to the Akron 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 123Pregame prior+29.0Home team on offense+33.7Score differential+26.8Blowout margin+15.0Garbage-time factor+6.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 9:39: Nick Gasser 24 yd FG GOOD — MORG win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:56: Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 35 yds for a TD (Nick Gasser KICK) — AKR win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 4:09: Nick Gasser 30 yd FG GOOD — AKR win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:34: Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 32 yds for a TD (Nick Gasser KICK) — AKR win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 7 of 7MORG made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00MORG 4th & 14 at MORG 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:39AKR 4th & 7 at MORG 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:49MORG 4th & 23 at MORG 4, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:19AKR 4th & 9 at MORG 22, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:52MORG 4th & 7 at MORG 46, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:09AKR 4th & 6 at MORG 13, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:09MORG 4th & 3 at MORG 42, down 20
    Close callPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:02AKR 4th & 2 at MORG 37, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:16MORG 4th & 16 at MORG 19, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:10MORG 4th & 14 at MORG 34, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:46MORG 4th & 12 at MORG 29, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:25AKR 4th & 5 at AKR 43, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00MORG 4th & 10 at MORG 27, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:53MORG 4th & 12 at MORG 20, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:03AKR 4th & 5 at AKR 40, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:30MORG 4th & 1 at MORG 41, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:31AKR 4th & 5 at MORG 35, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AKR made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MORG made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 5:54AKR Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:56AKR Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:34AKR Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:16AKR Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:10AKR Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:11MORG Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MORGDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.2%
Joshua Chase run for no gain to the MorgS 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-7
99.2%
DeAndre Harris pass complete to Manasseh Bailey for a loss of 7 yards to the MorgS 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 28
+3
99.2%
Joshua Chase run for 3 yds to the MorgS 31Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 31
0
99.2%
Nicholas O'Shea punt for 6 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MorgS 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2FG
13 plays · 30 yds · 3:4899% → 99%
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.1%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+3
99.1%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 3 yds to the MorgS 34Similar
Q1 13:27
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+9
99.1%
Kato Nelson run for 9 yds to the MorgS 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.1%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+15
99.1%
Kato Nelson run for 15 yds to the MorgS 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
98.9%
Van Edwards Jr. run for no gain to the MorgS 10Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
98.9%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 10
OWN 0
0
98.8%
NELSON, Kato pass complete to WILLIAMS, Andre for 10 yards to the MSU0, clock 10:43, PENALTY MSU pass interference off-setting, PENALTY AKRON unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
-10
98.9%
NELSON, Kato pass complete to STEWART, Nate for 9 yards to the MSU1 (SMALL,Donte), PENALTY AKRON holding 10 yards to the MSU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 20
+13
98.9%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jonah Morris for 13 yds to the MorgS 7Similar
Q1 9:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
98.8%
Nick Gasser 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 3INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.8%
Joshua Chase run for 3 yds to the MorgS 28Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
98.8%
DeAndre Harris pass complete to Joshua Chase for 1 yd to the MorgS 29Similar
Q1 9:39
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+2
98.8%
DeAndre Harris pass intercepted Alvin Davis return for 2 yds to the MorgS 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4TD
5 plays · 35 yds · 2:3599% → 99%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
98.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for no gain to the MorgS 35Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+5
98.7%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 5 yds to the MorgS 30Similar
Q1 8:29
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+6
98.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 6 yds to the MorgS 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
98.7%
Kato Nelson run for 3 yds to the MorgS 21Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+21
98.7%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 21 yds for a TD (Nick Gasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · -13 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
98.7%
Jordan Riggins run for 2 yds to the MorgS 19Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 8
OWN 19
-11
98.7%
GOLATT JR.DJ pass complete to BAILEY,Manasseh for loss of 1 yard to the MSU18, out-of-bounds, PENALTY MSU face mask 11 yards to the MSU8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 19
OWN 8
0
98.7%
Golatt Jr.Dj pass incomplete to Manasseh Bailey, broken up by Kyron BrownSimilar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 19
OWN 8
-4
98.7%
MORGAN ST Penalty, delay of game (-4 Yards) to the MorgS 4Similar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 23
OWN 4
0
98.7%
Golatt Jr.Dj pass incomplete to Corey Holmes, broken up by Alvin DavisSimilar
Q1 5:49
4TH & 23
OWN 4
0
98.7%
Alex Raya punt for 32 yds, downed at the MorgS 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6TD
3 plays · 36 yds · 0:3999% → 99%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
98.6%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd to the MorgS 35Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
98.6%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Jonah MorrisSimilar
Q1 3:56
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+35
98.9%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 35 yds for a TD (Nick Gasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 7FUMBLE
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
98.8%
Golatt Jr.Dj run for 2 yds to the MorgS 25Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Golatt Jr.Dj pass incomplete to Jordan RigginsSimilar
Q1 3:50
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+7
98.8%
Golatt Jr.Dj run for 7 yds to the MorgS 37 Golatt Jr.Dj fumbled, forced by Alvin Davis, recovered by Akron Andy Jean-BaptisteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8MISSED FG
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:4499% → 99%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
98.8%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Brian Reinke for 4 yds to the MorgS 33Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+10
98.8%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 10 yds to the MorgS 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
98.8%
Deltron Sands run for no gain to the MorgS 23Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
98.8%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:03
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+1
98.8%
Kato Nelson run for 1 yd to the MorgS 22Similar
Q1 0:19
4TH & 9
OPP 22
+39
98.7%
Nick Gasser 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 9INT
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:191% → 1%
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
98.6%
Joshua Chase run for 9 yds to the MorgS 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+5
98.6%
Golatt Jr.Dj pass complete to Corey Holmes for 5 yds to the MorgS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
98.7%
Joshua Chase run for 5 yds to the MorgS 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
98.6%
Golatt Jr.Dj pass intercepted Jamal Davis II return for 3 yds to the MorgS 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10FUMBLE
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
98.8%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius SmithSimilar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+6
98.8%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 6 yds to the MorgS 34Similar
Q2 13:57
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+4
98.8%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 4 yds to the MorgS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-4
98.8%
Kato Nelson run for a loss of 4 yards to the MorgS 33 Kato Nelson fumbled, recovered by MorgS Ayodeji AgbeleseSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:002% → 1%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
98.5%
Joshua Chase run for 2 yds to the MorgS 35Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+7
98.6%
Joshua Chase run for 7 yds to the MorgS 42Similar
Q2 12:52
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+1
98.5%
Joshua Chase run for 1 yd to the MorgS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
98.5%
Joshua Chase run for 2 yds to the MorgS 45Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+1
98.5%
Joshua Chase run for 1 yd to the MorgS 46Similar
Q2 12:52
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
98.6%
Golatt Jr.Dj pass incomplete to Corey HolmesSimilar
Q2 12:52
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
98.6%
Nicholas O'Shea punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Andre Williams at the Akron 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12FG
13 plays · 72 yds · 5:5399% → 99%
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
98.6%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 11 yds to the Akron 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
98.7%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 2 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+8
98.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 8 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
98.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Brandon Council for 8 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+1
98.7%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd to the Akron 45Similar
Q2 10:02
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+7
98.7%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 7 yds to the MorgS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
98.7%
Deltron Sands run for 16 yds to the MorgS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
98.7%
NELSON, Kato pass incomplete to MORRIS, Jonah, PENALTY MSU pass interference 15 yards to the MSU17, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
98.7%
Deltron Sands run for a loss of 1 yard to the MorgS 18Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 11
OPP 18
0
98.7%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:02
3RD & 11
OPP 18
-10
98.7%
EDWARDS, Van rush for 5 yards to the MSU13 (WHITAKER,Damare;AGBELESE,AJ), PENALTY AKRON holding 10 yards to the MSU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:02
3RD & 21
OPP 28
+15
98.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 15 yds to the MorgS 13Similar
Q2 4:09
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+30
99.0%
Nick Gasser 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.9%
GOLATT JR.DJ pass incomplete to BALDWIN,Daylen, PENALTY AKRON offside 5 yards to the MSU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 5
OWN 30
0
98.8%
Golatt Jr.Dj pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
98.8%
Jordan Riggins run for 5 yds to the MorgS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
98.8%
Jordan Riggins run for 6 yds to the MorgS 41Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+1
98.8%
Jordan Riggins run for 1 yd to the MorgS 42Similar
Q2 4:09
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
98.8%
Golatt Jr.Dj pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:09
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
98.8%
Nicholas O'Shea punt for 25 yds, downed at the Akron 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 1:2599% → 100%
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+22
99.1%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jonah Morris for 22 yds to the MorgS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.2%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+9
99.2%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 9 yds to the MorgS 36Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 1
OPP 36
-1
99.1%
Van Edwards Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the MorgS 37Similar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+5
99.2%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 5 yds to the MorgS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
99.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 32 yds for a TD (Nick Gasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
99.7%
Jordan Riggins run for 13 yds to the MorgS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.7%
Jordan Riggins run for 2 yds to the MorgS 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:44100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Van Edwards Jr. for 13 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.8%
Kato Nelson run for 3 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+10
99.8%
Kato Nelson run for 10 yds to the MorgS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
99.8%
NELSON, Kato pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, Andre, PENALTY MSU roughing passer 15 yards to the MSU34, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
99.8%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jonah Morris for 34 yds for a TD (Nick Gasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.8%
Jordan Riggins run for a loss of 2 yards to the MorgS 23Similar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
99.8%
Jordan Riggins run for 1 yd to the MorgS 24Similar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-5
99.8%
DeAndre Harris sacked by Josh Ward for a loss of 5 yards to the MorgS 19Similar
Q3 13:16
4TH & 16
OWN 19
-7
99.8%
Nicholas O'Shea punt for 29 yds , Andre Williams returns for a loss of 7 yards to the Akron 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:48100% → 100%
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
99.8%
NELSON, Kato sacked for loss of 8 yards to the AKRON37 (FRANCOIS,Marvin), PENALTY MSU face mask 15 yards to the MSU40, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
99.8%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 5 yds to the MorgS 35Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+9
99.8%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Van Edwards Jr. for 9 yds to the MorgS 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
99.8%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Maverick Wolfley for 6 yds to the MorgS 20Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+20
99.9%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 20 yds for a TD (Nick Gasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Jordan Riggins run for 9 yds to the MorgS 34Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
99.9%
Jordan Riggins run for 4 yds to the MorgS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.9%
DeAndre Harris run for 2 yds to the MorgS 40Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+1
99.9%
Jordan Riggins run for 1 yd to the MorgS 41Similar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 7
OWN 41
-5
99.9%
MORGAN ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MorgS 36Similar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 12
OWN 36
-2
99.9%
Jordan Riggins run for a loss of 2 yards to the MorgS 34Similar
Q3 9:10
4TH & 14
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Nicholas O'Shea punt for 32 yds, downed at the Akron 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
99.9%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Deltron Sands for 2 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-38
99.9%
Kato Nelson pass intercepted Darius Johnson return for a loss of 38 yards to the MorgS 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
99.9%
DeAndre Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the MorgS 29Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 12
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Jordan Riggins run for no gain to the MorgS 29Similar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 12
OWN 29
0
99.9%
DeAndre Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:46
4TH & 12
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Nicholas O'Shea punt for 61 yds , Shawn Featherstone returns for no gain to the Akron 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
99.9%
Deltron Sands run for 3 yds to the Akron 13Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 7
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Nate Stewart, broken up by Donte SmallSimilar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+25
99.9%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jonah Morris for 25 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
99.9%
Kato Nelson run for 6 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+1
99.9%
Keyondre White run for 1 yd to the Akron 45Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 3
OWN 45
-2
99.9%
Kato Nelson sacked by Taylor Thompson and Rico Kennedy for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 43Similar
Q3 3:25
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Nick Gasser punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MorgS 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:090% → 0%
Q3 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
99.9%
David Adeleke run for no gain to the MorgS 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
99.9%
DeAndre Harris pass incomplete to David AdelekeSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+17
99.9%
DeAndre Harris pass complete to Corey Holmes for 17 yds to the MorgS 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.9%
DeAndre Harris pass incomplete to Jordan RigginsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+1
99.9%
Jordan Riggins run for 1 yd to the MorgS 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 28
-1
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MorgS 27 TEAM fumbled,Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 27
+10
99.9%
Nicholas O'Shea punt for 44 yds , Shawn Featherstone returns for 10 yds to the Akron 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 24INT
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Alex Ramart pass incomplete to Jaquavis DixonSimilar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
Jemarulin Suggs run for 2 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+15
99.9%
RAMART, Alex pass incomplete to DIXON, Jaquavis, PENALTY MSU pass interference 15 yards to the MSU44, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
99.9%
Keyondre White run for 9 yds to the MorgS 35Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+3
99.9%
Jemarulin Suggs run for 3 yds to the MorgS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Alex Ramart pass intercepted Dominick Trigg return for no gain to the MorgS 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+17
99.9%
Jordan Riggins run for 17 yds to the MorgS 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
99.9%
Jordan Riggins run for a loss of 3 yards to the MorgS 19Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 13
OWN 19
+1
99.9%
David Adeleke run for 1 yd to the MorgS 20Similar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 12
OWN 20
0
99.9%
DeAndre Harris pass incomplete to Corey HolmesSimilar
Q4 10:53
4TH & 12
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Nicholas O'Shea punt for 45 yds, downed at the Akron 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.9%
Caleb Green run for 1 yd to the Akron 36Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
Alex Ramart pass complete to Brandon Junk for 4 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q4 9:03
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Alex Ramart pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:03
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
99.9%
James Fonseca punt for 43 yds, downed at the MorgS 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 27DOWNS
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
100.0%
DeAndre Harris pass complete to Jack McCracken for 15 yds to the MorgS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.9%
DeAndre Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+6
100.0%
Demerius Goodwin run for 6 yds to the MorgS 38Similar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+3
100.0%
Demerius Goodwin run for 3 yds to the MorgS 41Similar
Q4 7:30
4TH & 1
OWN 41
-1
99.9%
Demerius Goodwin run for a loss of 1 yard to the MorgS 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 28DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
100.0%
Devanier Floyd run for 4 yds to the MorgS 36Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
100.0%
Devanier Floyd run for no gain to the MorgS 36Similar
Q4 5:31
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+1
100.0%
Alex Ramart pass complete to Brandon Junk for 1 yd to the MorgS 35Similar
Q4 5:31
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+1
99.9%
Keyondre White run for 1 yd to the MorgS 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 29TD
12 plays · 66 yds · 3:160% → 0%
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-10
100.0%
HARRIS,DeAndre pass incomplete to BALDWIN,Daylen (HOOKS, Jalen), PENALTY MSU holding 10 yards to the MSU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 20
OWN 24
+16
100.0%
DeAndre Harris pass complete to Darian Pollion for 16 yds to the MorgS 40Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+7
100.0%
Demerius Goodwin run for 7 yds to the MorgS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
100.0%
Demerius Goodwin run for a loss of 2 yards to the MorgS 45Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 12
OWN 45
+17
100.0%
DeAndre Harris pass complete to Manasseh Bailey for 17 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+26
100.0%
DeAndre Harris pass complete to Manasseh Bailey for 14 yds to the Akron 24 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, personal foul (12 Yards) to the Akron 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
99.9%
Demerius Goodwin run for 2 yds to the Akron 10Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
100.0%
DeAndre Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+8
100.0%
HARRIS,DeAndre pass incomplete to BAILEY,Manasseh, PENALTY AKRON pass interference 8 yards to the AKRON2, 1ST DOWN MSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
100.0%
DeAndre Harris run for 1 yd to the Akron 1Similar
Q4 0:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
DeAndre Harris run for 1 yd for a TD (Nicholas O'Shea KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
100.0%
Tom O'Leary run for 10 yds to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:34
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 32 yds for a TD (Nick Gasser KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q1 3:56
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 35 yds for a TD (Nick Gasser KICK)
+0.3
FG · Q2 4:09
Nick Gasser 30 yd FG GOOD
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com