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HOW

Howard 14 at Kent State 54

KENT
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Dix Stadium
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Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadHOW aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreHOW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDSAFETYFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:09 · Grant Urenovitch punt for 46 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 46Home team on offense+4.3Pregame prior+21.9Score differential+2.2Blowout margin−0.2Garbage-time factor+1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:00: Jo-El Shaw run for 15 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK) — KENT win probability +2.9 pts (now 79%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 8:48: Matthew Trickett 34 yd FG GOOD — KENT win probability +3.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:11: Jo-El Shaw run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK) — KENT win probability +5.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:57: Justin Rankin run for 61 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK) — HOW win probability +0.8 pts (now 2%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:46: Jo-El Shaw run for 4 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK) — KENT win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6HOW made the numbers' call on 11 of 15
  1. Q1 15:00HOW 4th & 5 at HOW 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:09HOW 4th & 3 at HOW 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:23KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:38HOW 4th & 6 at HOW 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:55KENT 4th & 7 at HOW 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:09KENT 4th & 8 at KENT 19, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.0%
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:35HOW 4th & 10 at KENT 37, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.2%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    21.2%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    21.2%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 15:00KENT 4th & 15 at KENT 23, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 14:21HOW 4th & 12 at KENT 34, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.4%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    20.8%
    47% to make
    Punt
    20.4%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:48KENT 4th & 14 at HOW 17, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    81.7%−3.0
    average punt
  11. Q2 8:42HOW 4th & 10 at HOW 23, down 19
    Numbers favored punt by 1.5 ptsWent for it · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.6%−1.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.1%
    average punt
  12. Q2 7:11HOW 4th & 11 at KENT 25, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.5%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    7.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    3.7%−3.3
    average punt
  13. Q2 4:39KENT 4th & 15 at KENT 20, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
  14. Q2 3:54HOW 4th & 1 at KENT 7, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    5.5%−1.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−4.2
    average punt
  15. Q2 1:05HOW 4th & 1 at KENT 7, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    3.7%−0.7
    91% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−3.0
    average punt
  16. Q3 12:43HOW 4th & 1 at KENT 9, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.3
    89% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−1.3
    average punt
  17. Q3 7:52HOW 4th & 7 at HOW 29, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  18. Q3 6:39HOW 4th & 10 at KENT 49, down 33
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
  19. Q3 2:10HOW 4th & 8 at KENT 41, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 10:39HOW 4th & 14 at HOW 41, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  21. Q4 7:04HOW 4th & 15 at KENT 47, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6HOW made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:14KENT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:00KENT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:11KENT Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:46KENT Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:28HOW Touchdown, down 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:15KENT Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:43KENT Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HOWDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
75.9%
Josiah Crute run for 3 yds to the Howrd 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+2
75.9%
Caylin Newton run for 2 yds to the Howrd 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
75.9%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Jason CollinsSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 27
+5
75.9%
Dakota Lebofsky punt for 45 yds , Zaquon Tyson returns for 5 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 1:3876% → 76%
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
75.7%
Justin Rankin run for 5 yds to the KntSt 38Similar
Q1 13:52
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+14
75.8%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Adam Dulka for 14 yds to the Howrd 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+20
75.8%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Raekwon James for 20 yds to the Howrd 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
75.8%
Woody Barrett run for 1 yd to the Howrd 27Similar
Q1 13:52
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+13
75.8%
Woody Barrett run for 13 yds to the Howrd 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
75.8%
Justin Rankin run for 11 yds to the Howrd 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
76.4%
Woody Barrett run for 3 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
76.1%
Iggy Reynoso run for 2 yds to the Howrd 27Similar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-4
76.0%
Caylin Newton sacked by Nick Faulkner for a loss of 4 yards to the Howrd 23Similar
Q1 12:09
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+9
76.2%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Kyle Anthony for 9 yds to the Howrd 32Similar
Q1 12:09
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+10
76.1%
Dakota Lebofsky punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 41 , Zaquon Tyson returns for 10 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
76.5%
Woody Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-5
76.4%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 36Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 15
OWN 36
+5
76.3%
Justin Rankin run for 5 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q1 10:23
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
76.3%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Manny Lawrence-BurkeSimilar
Q1 10:23
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
76.0%
Grant Urenovitch punt for 26 yds, downed at the Howrd 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
76.0%
Khalid Dorsey run for 2 yds to the Howrd 35Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-10
76.0%
NEWTON,Caylin rush for 7 yards to the HOW42 (PARKER, JAMAL), PENALTY HOW holding (CHANEY,Justin) 10 yards to the HOW25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 18
OWN 25
+12
76.2%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Kyle Anthony for 12 yds to the Howrd 37Similar
Q1 9:38
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
76.1%
Caylin Newton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:38
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
76.3%
Dakota Lebofsky punt blocked by Darryl Marshall blocked by Darryl MarshallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6TD
1 play · 15 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
79.1%
Jo-El Shaw run for 15 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 7INT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
78.2%
Caylin Newton run for 3 yds to the Howrd 38Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
78.1%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Justin Chaney for 6 yds to the Howrd 44Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+7
77.9%
Caylin Newton run for 7 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-15
77.9%
HOWARD Penalty, personal foul (Kyle Anthony) to the Howrd 36Similar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+30
78.1%
Caylin Newton pass intercepted Juantez McRae return for 15 yds to the KENTST 49 KENT ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
50
+5
79.6%
Jo-El Shaw run for 5 yds to the Howrd 45Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
79.6%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 5
OPP 45
-2
79.4%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for a loss of 2 yards to the Howrd 47Similar
Q1 6:55
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
79.1%
Grant Urenovitch punt for 39 yds, downed at the Howrd 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 9SF
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:1821% → 21%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
79.1%
NEWTON,Caylin pass complete to PARSON,Dedrick for 16 yards to the HOW24, out-of-bounds (PARKER, JAMAL), PENALTY HOW pass interference (ANTHONY,Kyle) 4 yards to the HOW4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 14
OWN 4
-4
78.8%
Caylin Newton sacked by Elvis Hines for a loss of 4 yards for a SAFETY HOWARD Penalty, intentional grounding (Caylin Newton) to the Howrd 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
80.3%
Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the KntSt 18Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
80.3%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+6
80.0%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Raekwon James for 6 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q1 5:09
4TH & 3
OWN 24
-5
79.8%
KENT ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 19Similar
Q1 5:09
4TH & 8
OWN 19
0
79.8%
Grant Urenovitch punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 11DOWNS
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
79.3%
Josiah Crute run for no gain to the Howrd 35Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
79.3%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Iggy Reynoso for 4 yds to the Howrd 39 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, Defensive holding (Elvis Hines) to the Howrd 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
79.1%
Dedrick Parson run for 7 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+1
78.7%
Iggy Reynoso run for 1 yd to the KntSt 47Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+10
78.9%
Dedrick Parson run for 10 yds to the KntSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
78.9%
Caylin Newton sacked by Theo Eboigbe for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 40Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 13
OPP 40
+3
79.2%
Caylin Newton run for 3 yds to the KntSt 37Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
79.2%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Jason CollinsSimilar
Q1 3:35
4TH & 10
OPP 37
+9
79.5%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 9 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:5882% → 81%
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
81.7%
Jo-El Shaw run for 3 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 7
OWN 31
-6
81.7%
Woody Barrett run for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 25
-2
81.7%
Woody Barrett sacked by Zamon Robinson and Devin Hurtado for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 23Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 23
0
81.3%
Grant Urenovitch punt for 9 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 13INT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0022% → 20%
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
78.4%
Dedrick Parson run for 1 yd to the KntSt 31Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 9
OPP 31
-3
78.5%
Caylin Newton run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 34Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 12
OPP 34
0
79.3%
Caylin Newton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:21
4TH & 12
OPP 34
0
80.0%
Caylin Newton pass intercepted Jamal Parker return for no gain to the KntSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 14FG
18 plays · 75 yds · 4:1583% → 88%
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+22
82.9%
Justin Rankin run for 22 yds to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
83.1%
Woody Barrett run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 29Similar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+6
83.1%
Justin Rankin run for 6 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q2 13:03
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+7
82.9%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Justin Rankin for 7 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
83.7%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Raekwon JamesSimilar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+8
83.5%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Raekwon James for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:03
3RD & 2
50
+16
83.3%
Woody Barrett run for 16 yds to the Howrd 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
83.7%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Mike Carrigan, broken up by Devin HurtadoSimilar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+11
83.7%
Justin Rankin run for 11 yds to the Howrd 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
85.8%
BARRETT, WOODY pass incomplete to HARRELL, TREY, PENALTY HOW offside defense (FLUDD,Isaiah) 5 yards to the HOW18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 5
OPP 18
-10
85.8%
BARRETT, WOODY rush for 10 yards to the HOW8 (JOHNSON,Malcolm), PENALTY KENT holding (WARNOCK, NATE) 10 yards to the HOW28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 15
OPP 28
+15
85.7%
Justin Rankin run for 15 yds to the Howrd 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
85.8%
Jo-El Shaw run for a loss of 5 yards to the Howrd 18Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 15
OPP 18
0
85.7%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Raekwon JamesSimilar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 15
OPP 18
+1
85.3%
Jo-El Shaw run for 11 yds to the Howrd 7 KENT ST Penalty, illegal block (Mike Carrigan) to the Howrd 17Similar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 14
OPP 17
0
85.3%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Raekwon James KENT ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 8:48
4TH & 14
OPP 17
+34
88.3%
Matthew Trickett 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 15DOWNS
5 plays · -21 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
86.7%
Caylin Newton run for 1 yd to the Howrd 24Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 9
OWN 24
0
86.8%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Kyle AnthonySimilar
Q2 8:42
3RD & 9
OWN 24
-1
86.9%
Dedrick Parson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 23Similar
Q2 8:42
4TH & 10
OWN 23
-21
87.0%
Isaiah Moore run for a loss of 21 yards to the Howrd 2 Isaiah Moore fumbled, recovered by Howrd Isaiah MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16TD
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 7:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.8%
Jo-El Shaw run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 40 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+30
93.4%
Ramar Williams pass complete to Justin Chaney for 30 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-3
92.6%
Ramar Williams sacked by Theo Majette for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 38Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 13
OPP 38
+1
93.6%
Josiah Crute run for 1 yd to the KntSt 37Similar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 12
OPP 37
+13
93.3%
NEWTON,Caylin pass incomplete to ANTHONY,Kyle, PENALTY KENT pass interference (ROBINSON, JR.) 13 yards to the KENT24, 1ST DOWN HOW, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
92.4%
Caylin Newton run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 25Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 11
OPP 25
0
92.6%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete, broken up by KJ SheraldSimilar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 11
OPP 25
0
93.1%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Kyle Anthony, broken up by Matt BahrSimilar
Q2 7:11
4TH & 11
OPP 25
0
92.5%
Caylin Newton pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.0%
Woody Barrett sacked by Tyree Leonard for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 20Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
94.9%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Mike Carrigan, broken up by Jomier AugustineSimilar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
94.9%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q2 4:39
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
94.7%
Grant Urenovitch punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 19FUMBLE
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:005% → 6%
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
50
+8
94.9%
Caylin Newton run for 8 yds to the KntSt 42Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+15
94.6%
KENT ST Penalty, personal foul (Jamal Parker) to the KntSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
94.5%
Caylin Newton run for 3 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+8
94.5%
Dedrick Parson run for 8 yds to the KntSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
94.5%
Dedrick Parson run for 5 yds to the KntSt 11Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+2
94.0%
Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds to the KntSt 9Similar
Q2 3:54
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+2
94.3%
Caylin Newton run for 2 yds to the KntSt 7Similar
Q2 3:54
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+7
93.7%
Caylin Newton run for 1 yd to the KntSt 23 Caylin Newton fumbled, forced by Matt Bahr, recovered by KntSt KJ Sherald , return for 7 yds to the KntSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-11
96.5%
KENT ST Penalty, personal foul (Justin Rankin) to the KntSt 12Similar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 21
OWN 12
+14
96.4%
BARRETT, WOODY pass incomplete to HARRELL, TREY, PENALTY HOW roughing passer (FLUDD,Isaiah) 14 yards to the KENT26, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
96.6%
BARRETT, WOODY pass incomplete to DIXON, ANTWAN, PENALTY HOW personal foul off-setting, PENALTY KENT personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+5
96.5%
Woody Barrett pass intercepted Devin Hurtado return for 5 yds to the KntSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:004% → 5%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
96.1%
Caylin Newton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+1
96.1%
Dedrick Parson run for 1 yd to the KntSt 15Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+8
96.5%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Jason Collins for 8 yds to the KntSt 7Similar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 1
OPP 7
0
95.5%
Caylin Newton run for no gain to the KntSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
96.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23FUMBLE
10 plays · 29 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
98.5%
Justin Rankin run for 4 yds to the KntSt 17Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+15
98.5%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Adam Dulka for 15 yds to the KntSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
98.5%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Mike Carrigan, broken up by Jalen SmithSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+13
98.5%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 13 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.6%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoySimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+11
98.6%
Woody Barrett run for 11 yds to the Howrd 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
98.6%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 45Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 11
OPP 45
-1
98.6%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 46Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 12
OPP 46
+12
98.6%
Woody Barrett run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 30 Woody Barrett fumbled, recovered by Howrd James Newell , return for 12 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 24TD
8 plays · 42 yds · 2:471% → 1%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-15
98.6%
HOWARD Penalty, sideline interference (-15 Yards) to the KntSt 45Similar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
98.6%
Caylin Newton run for 13 yds to the KntSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
98.5%
Dedrick Parson run for 3 yds to the KntSt 15Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+4
98.5%
Josiah Crute run for 4 yds to the KntSt 11Similar
Q3 12:43
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+2
98.5%
Caylin Newton run for 2 yds to the KntSt 9Similar
Q3 12:43
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+3
97.8%
Josiah Crute run for 3 yds to the KntSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
98.7%
Caylin Newton run for 14 yds to the KntSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.9%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Kyle Anthony for 6 yds for a TD (Faraji Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 25TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 0:5999% → 98%
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
99.3%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 34Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+5
99.2%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Justin Rankin for 15 yds to the KntSt 49 KENT ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the KntSt 39Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+61
98.4%
Justin Rankin run for 61 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:561% → 1%
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
98.8%
Josiah Crute run for no gain to the Howrd 26Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
98.8%
Caylin Newton run for 3 yds to the Howrd 29Similar
Q3 8:48
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
98.8%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Kyle AnthonySimilar
Q3 7:52
4TH & 7
OWN 29
0
99.1%
Dakota Lebofsky punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Zaquon Tyson at the KntSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 27TD
3 plays · 56 yds · 1:0099% → 100%
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+55
98.8%
Jo-El Shaw run for 55 yds to the Howrd 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
98.6%
Jo-El Shaw run for a loss of 3 yards to the Howrd 4Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.6%
Jo-El Shaw run for 4 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 28FUMBLE
9 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
99.6%
Caylin Newton run for 2 yds to the Howrd 30Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+11
99.6%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Kyle Anthony for 11 yds to the Howrd 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
99.6%
Khalid Dorsey run for 6 yds to the Howrd 47Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+4
99.5%
Khalid Dorsey run for 4 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.5%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Khalid Dorsey, broken up by Jamal ParkerSimilar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
99.6%
Khalid Dorsey run for no gain to the KntSt 49Similar
Q3 6:39
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
99.6%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Jason CollinsSimilar
Q3 6:39
4TH & 10
OPP 49
-14
99.6%
Dakota Lebofsky run for a loss of 14 yards to the Howrd 38 Dakota Lebofsky fumbled, recovered by KntSt Dalton Hicks , return for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 29FUMBLE
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
99.7%
BARRETT, WOODY pass incomplete to PRICE, KAVIOUS, PENALTY HOW offside defense (FLUDD,Isaiah) 5 yards to the HOW33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 5
OPP 33
+7
99.7%
Justin Rankin run for 7 yds to the Howrd 24 Justin Rankin fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by Howrd Devin HurtadoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 30TD
2 plays · 76 yds · 0:340% → 1%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.7%
Caylin Newton run for 2 yds to the Howrd 26Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+74
99.5%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 74 yds for a TD (Faraji Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 31TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:1399% → 100%
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.3%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoy, broken up by John Smith VISimilar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
99.3%
Jo-El Shaw run for 9 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q3 3:28
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+6
99.2%
Jo-El Shaw run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:28
1ST & 5
OPP 45
+3
99.3%
Jo-El Shaw run for 3 yds to the Howrd 42Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+42
99.7%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 42 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 32DOWNS
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
99.8%
JONES,Jemichael pass incomplete to COLLINS,Jason, QB hurry by BAHR, MATT, PENALTY KENT pass interference (DANIEL, MILES) 15 yards to the HOW45, 1ST DOWN HOW, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
99.8%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Kyle Anthony for 12 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-6
99.8%
Iggy Reynoso run for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 49 Iggy Reynoso fumbled, recovered by Howrd Iggy Reynoso HOWARD Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 16
OPP 49
0
99.8%
Ricquaz Brannon run for no gain to the KntSt 49Similar
Q3 2:10
3RD & 16
OPP 49
+8
99.8%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 8 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q3 2:10
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Caylin Newton run for no gain to the KntSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 33TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 4:17100% → 100%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
99.8%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 12 yds to the Howrd 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
99.8%
Will Matthews run for 3 yds to the Howrd 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 44
-5
99.8%
BARRETT, WOODY pass complete to MCKOY, ISAIAH for 7 yards to the HOW37 (COOK,Bryan), PENALTY KENT illegal formation 5 yards to the HOW49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+10
99.8%
Will Matthews run for 10 yds to the Howrd 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+7
99.8%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 7 yds to the Howrd 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
99.8%
Will Matthews run for 5 yds to the Howrd 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+11
99.8%
Will Matthews run for 11 yds to the Howrd 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
99.9%
Will Matthews run for 16 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 34PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+16
99.9%
Ramar Williams pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 16 yds to the Howrd 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Ramar Williams run for 2 yds to the Howrd 37Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+8
99.9%
Ramar Williams run for 8 yds to the Howrd 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
99.9%
Ramar Williams run for 1 yd to the Howrd 46Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Ramar Williams pass incomplete to Dedrick ParsonSimilar
Q4 10:39
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Ramar Williams pass incomplete to Damion GillespieSimilar
Q4 10:39
4TH & 9
OWN 46
-5
99.9%
HOWARD Penalty, false start (Kaezon Pugh) to the Howrd 41Similar
Q4 10:39
4TH & 14
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Isaiah Moore punt for 27 yds , Zaquon Tyson returns for no gain to the KntSt 27 Zaquon Tyson fumbled, recovered by KntSt Miles DanielSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 35FUMBLE
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
99.9%
Xavier Williams run for 9 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+15
99.9%
HOWARD Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Howrd 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Zaquon TysonSimilar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:11
3RD & 10
OPP 49
-7
99.9%
Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the KntSt 46 KENT ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Nathan Monnin) to the KntSt 44Similar
Q4 8:11
3RD & 17
OWN 44
-2
99.9%
Xavier Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 42 Xavier Williams fumbled, forced by Antonio Turner, recovered by Howrd Saevon DinkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 36PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Ramar Williams run for no gain to the KntSt 42Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
100.0%
Ramar Williams pass incomplete to Damion GillespieSimilar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 10
OPP 42
-5
100.0%
Dedrick Parson run for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 47Similar
Q4 7:04
4TH & 15
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Isaiah Moore punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Zaquon Tyson at the KntSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 37END OF GAME
8 plays · 31 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
99.9%
Darrick Edwards run for 5 yds to the KntSt 22Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+4
99.9%
Darrick Edwards run for 4 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
Q4 5:38
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+1
99.9%
Darrick Edwards run for 1 yd to the KntSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
Darrick Edwards run for 4 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+2
99.9%
Darrick Edwards run for 2 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
Q4 5:38
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+5
99.9%
Darrick Edwards run for 5 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.9%
Darrick Edwards run for 2 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+8
99.9%
Darrick Edwards run for 8 yds to the KntSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:11
Jo-El Shaw run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)
+5.8
FG · Q2 8:48
Matthew Trickett 34 yd FG GOOD
+3
TD · Q1 8:00
Jo-El Shaw run for 15 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)
+2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com