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VMI

VMI 3 at Toledo 66

TOL
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · Glass Bowl
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Win probability · TOL
modelTOL aheadVMI aheadconfidence bandkey playTOL scoreVMI score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:44 · Reed King punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Toled 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 101Pregame prior+40.9Home team on offense+27.7Score differential+20.5Blowout margin+10.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.2Garbage-time factor+5.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:33: Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 48 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK) — TOL win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:09: Bryant Koback run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK) — TOL win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 8:42: Reed King 28 yd FG GOOD — VMI win probability +0.7 pts (now 1%) (top driver: VMI has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:58: Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK) — TOL win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TOL made the numbers' call on 3 of 7VMI made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00VMI 4th & 14 at VMI 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:39TOL 4th & 8 at TOL 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:38VMI 4th & 12 at VMI 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:38VMI 4th & 2 at VMI 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:25VMI 4th & 10 at VMI 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:52TOL 4th & 4 at TOL 44, up 21
    Close callPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:09VMI 4th & 5 at VMI 30, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:57TOL 4th & 3 at TOL 25, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:42VMI 4th & 9 at TOL 10, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:54VMI 4th & 6 at VMI 23, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:44VMI 4th & 14 at VMI 24, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:25TOL 4th & 4 at TOL 49, up 39
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 15:00TOL 4th & 15 at TOL 33, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 13:13VMI 4th & 6 at VMI 34, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 11:12VMI 4th & 15 at VMI 20, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:27VMI 4th & 5 at VMI 30, down 60
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00TOL 4th & 1 at VMI 39, up 60
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:13VMI 4th & 6 at TOL 32, down 60
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:51TOL 4th & 11 at VMI 12, up 60
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TOL made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 7:25TOL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:33TOL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:09TOL Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:58TOL Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:49TOL Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:12TOL Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:17TOL Touchdown, up 52 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:27TOL Touchdown, up 59 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VMIDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.6%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Javeon Lara for 3 yds to the VMI 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.6%
Reece Udinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-7
99.6%
Reece Udinski sacked by Nate Childress and Lucas Maynard for a loss of 7 yards to the VMI 21Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
99.6%
Reed King punt for 44 yds, downed at the Toled 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.6%
Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds to the Toled 39Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-5
99.6%
TOLEDO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Toled 34Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+3
99.6%
Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Shakif Seymour for 3 yds to the Toled 37Similar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
99.6%
Mitchell Guadagni pass incomplete to Shakif SeymourSimilar
Q1 13:39
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+4
99.6%
Bailey Flint punt for 54 yds , Isaiah Parker returns for 4 yds to the VMI 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 3PUNT TD
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:491% → 1%
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-12
99.5%
Reece Udinski run for a loss of 12 yards to the VMI 1 Reece Udinski fumbled, recovered by VMI Reece UdinskiSimilar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 22
OWN 1
+1
99.5%
Reece Udinski run for 1 yd to the VMI 2Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 21
OWN 2
+9
99.5%
Quan Myers run for 9 yds to the VMI 11Similar
Q1 10:38
4TH & 12
OWN 11
+3
99.5%
TEAM punt blocked by Cody Thompson blocked by Cody Thompson Cody Thompson return for 3 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Javeon LaraSimilar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.5%
Alex Ramsey run for 4 yds to the VMI 29Similar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
99.5%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Colby Rider for 4 yds to the VMI 33Similar
Q1 10:38
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+20
99.5%
Reed King punt for 33 yds , Danzel McKinley-Lewis returns for 20 yds to the VMI 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 5TD
6 plays · 46 yds · 1:5499% → 99%
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
99.4%
Mitchell Guadagni run for 10 yds to the VMI 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
99.4%
Eli Peters pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 1 yd to the VMI 35Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+12
99.4%
Eli Peters pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 12 yds to the VMI 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+21
99.4%
Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Cody Thompson for 21 yds to the VMI 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.4%
VMI Penalty, substitution infraction (1 Yards) to the VMI 1Similar
Q1 7:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.4%
Shakif Seymour run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.4%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Javeon Lara, PENALTY TOLEDO pass interference (WOMACK, Samuel) 15 yards to the VMI40, 1ST DOWN VMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
99.4%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Kris Thornton for 7 yds to the VMI 47Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 3
OWN 47
-9
99.4%
Reece Udinski sacked by Tuzar Skipper for a loss of 9 yards to the VMI 38Similar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+2
99.4%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Alex Ramsey for 2 yds to the VMI 40Similar
Q1 7:25
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.4%
Reed King punt for 27 yds , Danzel McKinley-Lewis returns for 2 yds to the Toled 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 7TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:0899% → 100%
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.4%
Art Thompkins run for 2 yds to the Toled 37Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+13
99.4%
Art Thompkins run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.4%
Art Thompkins run for 2 yds to the VMI 48Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
99.4%
Mitchell Guadagni pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+48
99.5%
Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 48 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 8FUMBLE
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.5%
Quan Myers run for 11 yds to the VMI 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.5%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Quan Myers for no gain to the VMI 36 VMI Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-4
99.5%
Reece Udinski sacked by Jamal Hines and Reggie Howard for a loss of 4 yards to the VMI 32Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+20
99.5%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Jake Paladino for 20 yds to the Toled 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.4%
Quan Myers run for no gain to the Toled 48Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+6
99.5%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Kris Thornton for 6 yds to the Toled 42Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+5
99.4%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Kris Thornton for 5 yds Kris Thornton fumbled, forced by Jordan Fisher, recovered by Toled Tuzar SkipperSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:19100% → 99%
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.5%
Mitchell Guadagni pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.4%
Art Thompkins run for 5 yds to the Toled 43Similar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+1
99.5%
Art Thompkins run for 1 yd to the Toled 44Similar
Q1 0:52
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
99.4%
Bailey Flint punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Parker at the VMI 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 10INT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:451% → 1%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
99.4%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Javeon Lara for 2 yds to the VMI 10Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 8
OWN 10
-4
99.4%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Kris Thornton for a loss of 4 yards to the VMI 6 VMI Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 6
+13
99.4%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Devone Humphrey for 13 yds to the VMI 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
99.4%
Alex Ramsey run for 3 yds to the VMI 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 22
0
99.4%
Reece Udinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+2
99.4%
Reece Udinski pass intercepted Ka'dar Hollman return for 2 yds to the VMI 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 11TD
5 plays · 33 yds · 1:09100% → 100%
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.5%
Mitchell Guadagni pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+18
99.5%
Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Andrew Davis for 18 yds to the VMI 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
99.5%
Bryant Koback run for 8 yds to the VMI 7Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+6
99.5%
Bryant Koback run for 6 yds to the VMI 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Bryant Koback run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.6%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Isaiah Parker for 5 yds to the VMI 30Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.6%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Isaiah ParkerSimilar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.6%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Kris Thornton for no gain to the VMI 30Similar
Q2 13:09
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+13
99.6%
Reed King punt for 65 yds , Danzel McKinley-Lewis returns for 13 yds to the Toled 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
99.7%
Bryant Koback run for 1 yd to the Toled 19Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
99.7%
Mitchell Guadagni pass incomplete to Cody Thompson, broken up by Kaleb TuckerSimilar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 9
OWN 19
-5
99.6%
TOLEDO Penalty, false start (Brock Ruble) to the Toled 14Similar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 14
OWN 14
+11
99.6%
Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Art Thompkins for 11 yds to the Toled 25Similar
Q2 11:57
4TH & 3
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Bailey Flint punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Parker at the VMI 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 14FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 2:050% → 1%
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
99.6%
Alex Ramsey run for 4 yds to the VMI 36Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+4
99.6%
Alex Ramsey run for 4 yds to the VMI 40Similar
Q2 10:47
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+38
99.6%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Kris Thornton for 38 yds to the Toled 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
99.6%
Reece Udinski run for 11 yds to the Toled 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.6%
Reece Udinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+1
99.6%
Alex Ramsey run for 1 yd to the Toled 10Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
99.6%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Kris Thornton VMI Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 8:42
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+28
98.9%
Reed King 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 15TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 3:3799% → 100%
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
98.8%
Mitchell Guadagni run for 3 yds to the Toled 22Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+8
98.8%
Mitchell Guadagni run for 8 yds to the Toled 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
98.8%
Shakif Seymour run for 2 yds to the Toled 32Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+9
98.8%
Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Cody Thompson for 9 yds to the Toled 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
98.9%
Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 10 yds to the VMI 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
98.9%
Shakif Seymour run for 8 yds to the VMI 41Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+38
98.9%
Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 38 yds to the VMI 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
99.3%
Mitchell Guadagni run for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 4Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.8%
Quan Myers run for no gain to the VMI 19Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+3
99.8%
Quan Myers run for 3 yds to the VMI 22Similar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+1
99.8%
Reece Udinski run for 1 yd to the VMI 23Similar
Q2 4:54
4TH & 6
OWN 23
+39
99.8%
Reed King punt for 54 yds , Danzel McKinley-Lewis returns for 39 yds to the VMI 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 17TD
1 play · 38 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
99.8%
Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Cody Thompson for 38 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
99.9%
Quan Myers run for a loss of 5 yards to the VMI 23Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 15
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Kris ThorntonSimilar
Q2 2:44
3RD & 15
OWN 23
+1
99.9%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Kris Thornton for 1 yd to the VMI 24Similar
Q2 2:44
4TH & 14
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Reed King punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Toled 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
99.8%
Eli Peters pass complete to Drew Rosi for 16 yds to the Toled 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Eli Peters pass incomplete to Jon'Vea JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+6
99.9%
Art Thompkins run for 6 yds to the Toled 49Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Eli Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:25
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Bailey Flint punt for 44 yds, downed at the VMI 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 20END OF HALF
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
99.9%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Devone Humphrey for 7 yds to the VMI 14Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 3
OWN 14
+6
99.9%
Quan Myers run for 6 yds to the VMI 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Eli Peters pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 7 yds to the Toled 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
99.9%
Shakif Seymour run for 6 yds to the Toled 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
99.9%
Ronnie Jones run for a loss of 5 yards to the Toled 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Eli Peters pass incomplete to Cody ThompsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Eli Peters pass incomplete to Drew Rosi, broken up by Devin CarperSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Bailey Flint punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Parker at the VMI 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Alex Ramsey run for 4 yds to the VMI 34Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Kris ThorntonSimilar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Kris ThorntonSimilar
Q3 13:13
4TH & 6
OWN 34
+41
99.9%
Reed King punt for 31 yds, downed at the TOLEDO 35 TOLEDO Penalty, Offensive holding (Nick Kovacs) to the Toled 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 23TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:21100% → 100%
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Art Thompkins for 12 yds to the Toled 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.9%
Art Thompkins run for 6 yds to the Toled 43Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+57
99.9%
Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 57 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
Quan Myers run for a loss of 2 yards to the VMI 23Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-3
99.9%
Reece Udinski sacked by Lucas Maynard and Jamal Hines for a loss of 3 yards to the VMI 20Similar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Kris ThorntonSimilar
Q3 11:12
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+1
99.9%
Reed King punt for 45 yds , Bryce Mitchell returns for 1 yd to the Toled 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 25TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 2:44100% → 100%
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.9%
Bryant Koback run for 2 yds to the Toled 38Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+13
99.9%
Eli Peters pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 13 yds to the VMI 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
99.9%
Bryant Koback run for 10 yds to the VMI 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
99.9%
Bryant Koback run for 12 yds to the VMI 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
99.9%
Bryant Koback run for 11 yds to the VMI 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Eli Peters pass incomplete to Drew RosiSimilar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
99.9%
Bryant Koback run for 16 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 26INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Quan Myers run for 5 yds to the VMI 30Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Devone Humphrey, broken up by DeAmonte KingSimilar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Reece Udinski pass intercepted Tycen Anderson return for no gain to the Toled 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 27TD
9 plays · 58 yds · 4:16100% → 100%
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
99.9%
Nevone McCrimmon run for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 39Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 13
OWN 39
+9
99.9%
Nevone McCrimmon run for 9 yds to the Toled 48Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+10
99.9%
Eli Peters pass complete to Bryce Mitchell for 10 yds to the VMI 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
99.9%
Nevone McCrimmon run for 6 yds to the VMI 36Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+7
99.9%
Nevone McCrimmon run for 7 yds to the VMI 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
99.9%
Eli Peters pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 3 yds to the VMI 26Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+11
99.9%
Eli Peters pass complete to Rhett Blackman for 11 yds to the VMI 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Nevone McCrimmon run for 15 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Alex RamseySimilar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Kris Thornton for 5 yds to the VMI 30Similar
Q3 2:27
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Kris ThorntonSimilar
Q3 2:27
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+6
100.0%
Reed King punt for 44 yds , Bryce Mitchell returns for 6 yds to the Toled 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 1:55100% → 100%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
99.9%
Ronnie Jones run for 10 yds to the Toled 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
99.9%
Ronnie Jones run for 10 yds to the VMI 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
99.9%
Ronnie Jones run for 2 yds to the VMI 46Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+2
99.9%
Ronnie Jones run for 2 yds to the VMI 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+5
99.9%
Jalen Reese run for 5 yds to the VMI 39Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Bailey Flint punt for 37 yds, downed at the VMI 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 30DOWNS
17 plays · 70 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
100.0%
Quan Myers run for 1 yd to the VMI 3Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+11
100.0%
Quan Myers run for 11 yds to the VMI 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-4
100.0%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Alex Ramsey for a loss of 4 yards to the VMI 10Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 14
OWN 10
+4
100.0%
Alex Ramsey run for 4 yds to the VMI 14Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+13
100.0%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Mason Dermott for 13 yds to the VMI 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
100.0%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Isaiah Parker for 5 yds to the VMI 32Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+8
100.0%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Mason Dermott for 8 yds to the VMI 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
100.0%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Mason Dermott for 6 yds to the VMI 46Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+3
100.0%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Mason Dermott for 3 yds to the VMI 49Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+4
100.0%
Alex Ramsey run for 4 yds to the Toled 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
100.0%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Mason Dermott for 3 yds to the Toled 44Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+3
100.0%
Reece Udinski run for 3 yds to the Toled 41Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+5
100.0%
Reece Udinski run for 5 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
100.0%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Quan MyersSimilar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
100.0%
Reece Udinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+4
100.0%
Quan Myers run for 4 yds to the Toled 32Similar
Q4 14:13
4TH & 6
OPP 32
+4
100.0%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Mason Dermott for 4 yds to the Toled 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 31FG
12 plays · 60 yds · 6:32100% → 100%
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
100.0%
Nicholas Sims run for 5 yds to the Toled 33Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+7
100.0%
Nicholas Sims run for 7 yds to the Toled 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
100.0%
Nicholas Sims run for 3 yds to the Toled 43Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+4
100.0%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Nicholas Sims for 4 yds to the Toled 47Similar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+10
100.0%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Nicholas Sims for 10 yds to the VMI 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
100.0%
Nicholas Sims run for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 44Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 11
OPP 44
-5
100.0%
Carter Bradley sacked by Chuck Weatherman for a loss of 5 yards to the VMI 49Similar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 16
OPP 49
+38
100.0%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Rhett Blackman for 38 yds to the VMI 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
100.0%
Nicholas Sims run for 5 yds to the VMI 6Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+1
100.0%
Nicholas Sims run for 1 yd to the VMI 5Similar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 4
OPP 5
-7
100.0%
Carter Bradley sacked by Ethan Caselberry and Liam Kauthen for a loss of 7 yards to the VMI 12Similar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+29
100.0%
Jameson Vest 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 8:42
Reed King 28 yd FG GOOD
-0.7
TD · Q2 4:58
Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q2 13:09
Bryant Koback run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)
+0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com