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HOW

Howard 32 at Ohio 38

OHIO
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadHOW aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreHOW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:14 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:39: Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Cameron Odom for 13 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +5.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q3 14:44: Dakota Lebofsky kickoff for 64 yds , DL Knock return for 99 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +6.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 4:47: Caylin Newton pass complete to Jequez Ezzard for 55 yds for a TD (Faraji Joseph KICK) — HOW win probability +9.6 pts (now 18%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 14:53: Quinton Maxwell run for 10 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +6.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 7:46: Dakota Lebofsky 40 yd FG GOOD — HOW win probability +6.1 pts (now 16%) (top driver: HOW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 8 of 11HOW made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 14:30OHIO 4th & 2 at OHIO 11, tied
    Close callPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:38OHIO 4th & 3 at HOW 28, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.4%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    95.1%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:06HOW 4th & 9 at OHIO 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    5.7%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:06OHIO 4th & 1 at HOW 6, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.9%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    93.7%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    93.2%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:00OHIO 4th & 5 at HOW 5, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    90.5%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00HOW 4th & 10 at OHIO 34, up 7
    Close callPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    8.7%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:46OHIO 4th & 5 at OHIO 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:31OHIO 4th & 1 at OHIO 16, down 13
    Close callPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:54HOW 4th & 9 at HOW 40, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:00OHIO 4th & 9 at OHIO 4, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−1.8
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:00HOW 4th & 8 at HOW 47, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:48OHIO 4th & 17 at OHIO 23, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%−1.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:53HOW 4th & 9 at HOW 43, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:33OHIO 4th & 5 at OHIO 27, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:46HOW 4th & 22 at OHIO 23, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−2.2
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−4.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:48OHIO 4th & 7 at OHIO 37, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%−1.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:04HOW 4th & 14 at OHIO 36, down 6
    Close callWent for it · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.9%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    11.1%
    42% to make
    Punt
    8.5%−2.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:50OHIO 4th & 10 at OHIO 36, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:18HOW 4th & 9 at HOW 49, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.6%−4.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4HOW made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 12:50HOW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:37HOW Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    14.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:54OHIO Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:47HOW Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    25.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    25.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:39OHIO Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:07OHIO Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:47HOW Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:53OHIO Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HOWDrive 1FUMBLE
2 plays · 57 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+62
97.2%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Jequez Ezzard for 59 yds Jequez Ezzard fumbled, forced by Jalen Fox, recovered by Ohio Jalen Fox , return for a loss of 12 yards to the Ohio 13 OHIO Penalty, illegal block (Jalen Fox) to the Ohio 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
97.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the Ohio 3Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+8
97.2%
Nathan Rourke run for 8 yds to the Ohio 11Similar
Q1 14:30
3RD & 2
OWN 11
0
97.1%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:30
4TH & 2
OWN 11
+21
97.1%
Michael Farkas punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Howrd 49 , Jequez Ezzard returns for 21 yds to the Howrd 32 HOWARD Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Howrd 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 3TD
4 plays · 51 yds · 0:233% → 3%
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+45
96.9%
Jason Collins pass complete to Jequez Ezzard for 45 yds to the Ohio 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
96.9%
Ricquaz Brannon run for 2 yds to the Ohio 4Similar
Q1 13:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
96.9%
Caylin Newton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.8%
Caylin Newton run for 4 yds for a TD (Faraji Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4MISSED FG
7 plays · 32 yds · 3:0797% → 96%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
96.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 12 yds to the Howrd 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
96.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 13 yds to the Howrd 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-7
96.8%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Zamon Robinson for a loss of 7 yards to the Howrd 42Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 17
OPP 42
+3
96.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Howrd 39Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 14
OPP 39
+11
96.8%
Nathan Rourke run for 11 yds to the Howrd 28Similar
Q1 9:38
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+45
96.1%
Louie Zervos 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 5FG
14 plays · 63 yds · 4:324% → 6%
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
96.0%
Caylin Newton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+15
96.1%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Jequez Ezzard for 15 yds to the Howrd 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
96.0%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Jequez EzzardSimilar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+1
96.0%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Jason Collins for 1 yd to the Howrd 44Similar
Q1 9:38
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+14
96.0%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Kyle Anthony for 14 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-3
96.0%
Ricquaz Brannon run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 45Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 13
OPP 45
+13
96.0%
Caylin Newton run for 13 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
96.0%
David Hudson run for 3 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+1
96.0%
David Hudson run for 1 yd to the Ohio 28Similar
Q1 9:38
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+18
96.0%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Justin Chaney for 18 yds to the Ohio 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
96.0%
Caylin Newton run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 15Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
0
96.0%
Caylin Newton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+6
96.0%
Caylin Newton run for 6 yds to the Ohio 9Similar
Q1 5:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
94.5%
Faraji Joseph 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6FG
14 plays · 70 yds · 4:0695% → 93%
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
94.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 9 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
94.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 7 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
94.7%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+12
94.7%
Maleek Irons run for 12 yds to the Howrd 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+32
94.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 32 yds to the Howrd 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
94.9%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Andrew Meyer, broken up by Tye FreelandSimilar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+6
94.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for 6 yds to the Howrd 9Similar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+3
94.8%
Nathan Rourke run for 3 yds to the Howrd 6Similar
Q1 5:06
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+1
94.7%
Nathan Rourke run for 1 yd to the Howrd 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
94.9%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi White, broken up by Jalen SmithSimilar
Q1 5:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
94.9%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Andrew MeyerSimilar
Q1 5:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
94.8%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
93.1%
Louie Zervos 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 41 yds · 1:007% → 8%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.8%
Khalid Dorsey run for 3 yds to the Howrd 28Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
92.8%
Khalid Dorsey run for 2 yds to the Howrd 30Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+13
92.8%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Kyle Anthony for 13 yds to the Howrd 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
92.0%
Khalid Dorsey run for 2 yds to the Howrd 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+19
92.0%
Caylin Newton run for 19 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
92.0%
Caylin Newton sacked by Sam McKnight and Cole Baker for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 41
-1
92.1%
NEWTON,Caylin pass complete to PARSON,Dedrick for 13 yards to the OHIO28 (DORSA, J.), PENALTY HOW holding 1 yards to the OHIO40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 40
0
92.1%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Ricquaz Brannon, broken up by Chukwudi ChukwuSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OPP 40
+6
92.2%
Khalid Dorsey run for 6 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 34
0
92.3%
Caylin Newton punt for 34 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
91.3%
Maleek Irons run for 6 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-1
91.4%
Quinton Maxwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 25Similar
Q2 12:46
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
91.2%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Andrew Meyer, broken up by Bryan CookSimilar
Q2 12:46
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
91.0%
Michael Farkas punt for 32 yds, downed at the Howrd 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 9TD
5 plays · 57 yds · 1:3510% → 14%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
89.7%
Josiah Crute run for 8 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+8
89.6%
Josiah Crute run for 8 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
89.6%
Caylin Newton run for 3 yds to the Ohio 38Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 7
OPP 38
0
89.6%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Jequez EzzardSimilar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+38
86.4%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Jason Collins for 38 yds for a TD (Faraji Joseph PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
86.8%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Papi White for 6 yds to the Ohio 13Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+3
86.9%
Maleek Irons run for 3 yds to the Ohio 16Similar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 1
OWN 16
0
86.6%
Quinton Maxwell run for no gain to the Ohio 16Similar
Q2 9:31
4TH & 1
OWN 16
+1
86.6%
Michael Farkas punt for 50 yds , Jequez Ezzard returns for 1 yd to the Howrd 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 11FUMBLE
4 plays · 43 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
85.5%
Caylin Newton run for 17 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
85.1%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Jequez EzzardSimilar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
85.1%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Jason CollinsSimilar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+20
85.3%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Jason Collins for 20 yds Jason Collins fumbled, forced by Jarren Hampton, recovered by Ohio Marlin BrooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 2:2684% → 87%
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+24
84.4%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Papi White for 24 yds to the Ohio 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
85.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 11 yds to the Howrd 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+24
85.4%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Cameron Odom for 24 yds to the Howrd 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
85.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for a loss of 2 yards to the Howrd 21Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+10
85.8%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Papi White for 10 yds to the Howrd 11Similar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+11
87.4%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Papi White for 11 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
85.1%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Kyle Anthony for 9 yds to the Howrd 33Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+6
84.6%
Khalid Dorsey run for 6 yds to the Howrd 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
84.3%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Jason Collins, broken up by Jarren HamptonSimilar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
84.5%
Khalid Dorsey run for 1 yd to the Howrd 40Similar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
84.8%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Khalid DorseySimilar
Q2 4:54
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
85.5%
Dakota Lebofsky punt for 57 yds, downed at the Ohio 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
84.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Ohio 4Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 9
OWN 4
0
84.2%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Cameron Odom, broken up by Bryan CookSimilar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 9
OWN 4
0
83.7%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Andrew Meyer, broken up by Rodney DennardSimilar
Q2 3:00
4TH & 9
OWN 4
+4
83.4%
Michael Farkas punt for 35 yds , A'Jae Boyd returns for 4 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 15TD
2 plays · 35 yds · 0:1320% → 25%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+29
79.8%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 9 yds to the Ohio 26 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, roughing passer (20 Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
74.9%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Kyle Anthony for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:0877% → 86%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
77.3%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Papi White for 20 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
78.1%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+20
77.9%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down HOWARD Penalty, illegal helmet contact (15 Yards) to the Howrd 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
79.8%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+14
79.8%
Maleek Irons run for 14 yds to the Howrd 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
79.8%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 8 yds to the Howrd 13Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+13
85.6%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Cameron Odom for 13 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 17END OF HALF
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:0018% → 19%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
82.0%
Khalid Dorsey run for 7 yds to the Howrd 41Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 3
OWN 41
0
80.9%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Jequez Ezzard, broken up by Jalen FoxSimilar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+6
81.3%
Khalid Dorsey run for 6 yds to the Howrd 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 19INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
88.4%
Caylin Newton pass intercepted Evan Croutch return for no gain to the Howrd 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20TD
4 plays · 33 yds · 1:2490% → 93%
Q3 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
90.4%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Cameron Odom for 11 yds to the Howrd 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+19
90.4%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 19 yds to the Howrd 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
90.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Howrd 1Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.3%
Quinton Maxwell run for 1 yd for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 21PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
92.1%
NEWTON,Caylin rush for 3 yards to the HOW25, out-of-bounds (CONNER, D.), PENALTY HOW holding 10 yards to the HOW12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 20
OWN 12
+7
92.2%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Kyle Anthony for 7 yds to the Howrd 19Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 13
OWN 19
+12
92.3%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Kyle Anthony for 12 yds to the Howrd 31Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+1
91.9%
Caylin Newton run for 1 yd to the Howrd 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
91.9%
Caylin Newton run for 2 yds to the Howrd 34Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+11
91.9%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Kyle Anthony for 11 yds to the Howrd 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
91.5%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 2 yds to the Howrd 47Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
91.4%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Kyle AnthonySimilar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
91.7%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Justin Chaney, broken up by Dylan ConnerSimilar
Q3 13:00
4TH & 8
OWN 47
+4
92.3%
Dakota Lebofsky punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 15 , Papi White returns for 4 yds to the Ohio 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
92.5%
Maleek Irons run for 3 yds to the Ohio 18Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 7
OWN 18
-3
92.5%
Maleek Irons run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 15Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+15
92.0%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to K.J. Minter for 15 yds to the Ohio 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
92.6%
OHIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 25Similar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 15
OWN 25
0
92.5%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the Ohio 25Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 15
OWN 25
-2
92.4%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 23Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 17
OWN 23
0
92.0%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Andrew Meyer, broken up by Bryan CookSimilar
Q3 9:48
4TH & 17
OWN 23
+5
91.7%
Michael Farkas punt for 46 yds , A'Jae Boyd returns for 5 yds to the Howrd 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 23TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 1:269% → 18%
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
91.3%
Caylin Newton run for 17 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
90.6%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Kyle AnthonySimilar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-3
90.8%
Josiah Crute run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 13
50
-5
91.6%
HOWARD Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Howrd 45Similar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 18
OWN 45
+55
82.0%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Jequez Ezzard for 55 yds for a TD (Faraji Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 24TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:5483% → 92%
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
82.8%
Quinton Maxwell sacked by Zamon Robinson for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 20Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-6
82.4%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 9 yds to the Ohio 29 OHIO Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Ohio 14Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+47
82.4%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Papi White for 47 yds to the Howrd 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
85.2%
Maleek Irons run for 14 yds to the Howrd 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
85.7%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 9 yds to the Howrd 16Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 1
OPP 16
0
85.7%
Maleek Irons run for no gain to the Howrd 16Similar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+2
84.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Howrd 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
85.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 6 yds to the Howrd 8Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 4
OPP 8
-2
85.7%
Quinton Maxwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Howrd 10 Quinton Maxwell fumbled, recovered by Ohio Quinton MaxwellSimilar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+10
91.9%
Quinton Maxwell run for 10 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
90.9%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Jequez Ezzard for 2 yds to the Howrd 27Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
90.6%
Caylin Newton run for 3 yds to the Howrd 30Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+12
90.9%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Kyle Anthony for 12 yds to the Howrd 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
90.0%
Iggy Reynoso run for 1 yd to the Howrd 43Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
90.0%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Jequez EzzardSimilar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
90.5%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Ricquaz Brannon, broken up by Jalen FoxSimilar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
91.5%
Dakota Lebofsky punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
91.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Ohio 23Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+4
90.9%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Papi White for 4 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q4 12:33
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
90.7%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q4 12:33
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
90.0%
Michael Farkas punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jequez Ezzard at the Howrd 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 27FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 3:189% → 16%
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
91.2%
Caylin Newton run for 5 yds to the Howrd 31Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+4
90.2%
Caylin Newton run for 4 yds to the Howrd 35Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+9
90.4%
Khalid Dorsey run for 9 yds to the Howrd 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
89.8%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Jequez Ezzard for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 4
50
+7
89.1%
Caylin Newton run for 7 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+32
89.1%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Damion Gillespie for 32 yds to the Ohio 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
87.3%
NEWTON,Caylin pass complete to ANTHONY,Kyle for 11 yards to the OHIO0, clock 08:35, PENALTY HOW pass interference off-setting, PENALTY OHIO roughing passer off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
87.3%
Caylin Newton run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 13Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 12
OPP 13
-10
87.8%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Jequez Ezzard HOWARD Penalty, intentional grounding (-10 Yards) to the Ohio 23Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 22
OPP 23
0
89.7%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Kyle AnthonySimilar
Q4 7:46
4TH & 22
OPP 23
+40
83.6%
Dakota Lebofsky 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:5289% → 89%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+18
89.1%
Quinton Maxwell run for 18 yds to the Ohio 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
89.3%
Maleek Irons run for 3 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
90.0%
Quinton Maxwell run for no gain to the Ohio 37Similar
Q4 5:48
3RD & 7
OWN 37
0
89.6%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Andrew MeyerSimilar
Q4 5:48
4TH & 7
OWN 37
+2
89.0%
Michael Farkas punt for 58 yds , A'Jae Boyd returns for 2 yds to the Howrd 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 29DOWNS
12 plays · 57 yds · 2:2617% → 13%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
83.1%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Kyle AnthonySimilar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+9
83.5%
Ricquaz Brannon run for 9 yds to the Howrd 16Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+1
83.5%
Caylin Newton run for 1 yd to the Howrd 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
82.4%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Kyle Anthony, broken up by Ilyaas MotleySimilar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+25
83.0%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Jason Collins for 25 yds to the Howrd 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
78.9%
BRANNON,Ricquaz rush for 3 yards to the HOW45 (OGUN-SEMORE, A.), PENALTY HOW holding 10 yards to the HOW32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 20
OWN 32
+36
82.4%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Jequez Ezzard for 36 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
74.7%
Caylin Newton run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 37Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 15
OPP 37
+1
79.0%
Caylin Newton run for 1 yd to the Ohio 36Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 14
OPP 36
0
81.3%
Caylin Newton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:04
4TH & 14
OPP 36
0
87.4%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Kyle Anthony, broken up by Kylan NelsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 30PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0994% → 93%
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
93.5%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the Ohio 36Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-4
94.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 32Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+4
93.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 10
OWN 36
+4
93.3%
Michael Farkas punt for 49 yds , Jequez Ezzard returns for 4 yds to the Howrd 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 31INT
11 plays · 30 yds · 1:3810% → 9%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
90.0%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Ricquaz Brannon for 2 yds to the Howrd 21Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
90.2%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Kyle Anthony, broken up by Jalen FoxSimilar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+13
90.7%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Kyle Anthony for 13 yds to the Howrd 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
89.0%
Caylin Newton run for 7 yds to the Howrd 41Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+7
87.4%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Jequez Ezzard for 7 yds to the Howrd 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
87.7%
NEWTON,Caylin pass complete to DOOLEY,Justin for 12 yards to the OHIO40 (CROUTCH, E.), PENALTY HOW holding 10 yards to the HOW38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 20
OWN 38
0
90.4%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Kyle Anthony, broken up by Jarren HamptonSimilar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 20
OWN 38
+11
90.6%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Damion Gillespie for 11 yds to the Howrd 49Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 9
OWN 49
0
88.6%
Caylin Newton run for no gain to the Howrd 49 HOWARD Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 0:18
4TH & 9
OWN 49
-7
91.1%
Caylin Newton pass intercepted Ilyaas Motley return for a loss of 7 yards to the Ohio 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 32END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-2
96.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:47
Caylin Newton pass complete to Jequez Ezzard for 55 yds for a TD (Faraji Joseph KICK)
-9.6
TD · Q3 14:44
Dakota Lebofsky kickoff for 64 yds , DL Knock return for 99 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)
+6.9
TD · Q4 14:53
Quinton Maxwell run for 10 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)
+6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com