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DSU

Delaware State 10 at Buffalo 48

BUF
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · UB Stadium
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Win probability · BUF
modelBUF aheadDSU aheadconfidence bandkey playBUF scoreDSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:19 · Evan Finegan punt for 34 yds, downed at the DelSt 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 53Home team on offense+8.6Score differential+6.7Pregame prior+14.8Blowout margin−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Garbage-time factor+2.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:37: Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 27 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson PAT BLOCKED) — BUF win probability +4.3 pts (now 75%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:17: Tyree Jackson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 32 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK) — BUF win probability +4.3 pts (now 80%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:37: Tyree Jackson pass complete to George Rushing for 1 yd for a TD DELAWARE ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Adam Mitcheson KICK) — BUF win probability +5.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 8:56: Jose Romo-Martinez 23 yd FG GOOD — DSU win probability +3.9 pts (now 13%) (top driver: DSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 5:25: Tyree Jackson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 19 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK) — BUF win probability +3.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BUF made the numbers' call on 9 of 11DSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00DSU 4th & 4 at DSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:46BUF 4th & 4 at BUF 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:20DSU 4th & 12 at DSU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:03BUF 4th & 1 at DSU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    50.9%−0.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    50.8%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 9:07DSU 4th & 5 at DSU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%
    average punt
  6. Q1 7:55BUF 4th & 3 at DSU 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    53.8%−0.5
    28% to make
    Punt
    54.0%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:17BUF 4th & 7 at DSU 32, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    61.9%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    61.3%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q1 3:17DSU 4th & 1 at DSU 34, down 20
    Close callPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q1 1:19BUF 4th & 2 at BUF 22, up 20
    Close callPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 12:37DSU 4th & 1 at BUF 25, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    12.9%−2.3
    66% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−8.7
    average punt
  11. Q2 8:56DSU 4th & 6 at BUF 6, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−7.0
    average punt
  12. Q2 5:25BUF 4th & 4 at DSU 19, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    85.2%−0.4
    77% to make
    Punt
    80.0%−5.5
    average punt
  13. Q2 2:44BUF 4th & 7 at BUF 31, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 14:54BUF 4th & 2 at BUF 49, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.7%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:42DSU 4th & 10 at BUF 20, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:42BUF 4th & 8 at BUF 22, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:37DSU 4th & 1 at BUF 44, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:30BUF 4th & 4 at BUF 31, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:52DSU 4th & 10 at BUF 37, down 38
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:40BUF 4th & 4 at BUF 37, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BUF made the numbers' call on 7 of 7DSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:07BUF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:37BUF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    58.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:17BUF Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:37BUF Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:25BUF Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:25BUF Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:21BUF Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:30DSU Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
DSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
69.2%
Brycen Alleyne run for 2 yds to the DelSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
69.2%
Brycen Alleyne run for 4 yds to the DelSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
69.2%
Jack McDaniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+4
69.2%
Fidel Romo-Martinez punt for 42 yds , K.J. Osborn returns for 4 yds to the Buff 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
69.1%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 30Similar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+7
69.0%
Emmanuel Reed run for 7 yds to the Buff 37Similar
Q1 13:46
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
69.0%
Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. OsbornSimilar
Q1 13:46
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
69.0%
Evan Finegan punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Brycen Alleyne at the DelSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
68.8%
Mike Waters run for 3 yds to the DelSt 19Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 7
OWN 19
-5
68.8%
Jack McDaniels pass complete to Taronn Selby for a loss of 5 yards to the DelSt 14Similar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 12
OWN 14
0
69.0%
Jack McDaniels pass incomplete to Mike WatersSimilar
Q1 12:20
4TH & 12
OWN 14
+14
69.0%
Fidel Romo-Martinez punt for 41 yds , K.J. Osborn returns for 14 yds to the DelSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 4TD
8 plays · 41 yds · 1:5769% → 71%
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
69.1%
Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd to the DelSt 40Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+5
69.1%
JACKSON, Tyree pass incomplete to RUSHING, George, PENALTY DSU offside (SMITH,J) 5 yards to the DSU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+3
69.2%
Emmanuel Reed run for 3 yds to the DelSt 32Similar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 1
OPP 32
0
69.0%
Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. OsbornSimilar
Q1 10:03
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+3
68.7%
Emmanuel Reed run for 3 yds to the DelSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+20
69.1%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 20 yds to the DelSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
70.8%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to George Rushing for 9 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
70.1%
DeVonte Doward run for 3 yds to the DelSt 28Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
70.0%
Richard Harris run for 2 yds to the DelSt 30Similar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
70.1%
Jack McDaniels pass incomplete to Taronn SelbySimilar
Q1 9:07
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+11
70.4%
Fidel Romo-Martinez punt for 51 yds , K.J. Osborn returns for 11 yds to the Buff 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 6TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:1870% → 75%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
70.4%
Kevin Marks run for 5 yds to the Buff 35Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+15
70.6%
[PSTL], JACKSON, Tyree pass incomplete to JOHNSON, Anthon, PENALTY DSU pass interference (SELBY,K) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
50
0
71.0%
Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn, broken up by Keyjuan SelbySimilar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 10
50
+4
70.9%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to Zac Lefebvre for 4 yds to the DelSt 46Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+3
70.8%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 3 yds to the DelSt 43Similar
Q1 7:55
4TH & 3
OPP 43
+16
70.5%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 16 yds to the DelSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
74.8%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 27 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 7INT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0027% → 28%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
72.7%
Mike Waters run for 5 yds to the DelSt 30Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
72.3%
[SGUN], BLACK,K rush for 3 yards to the DSU33 (TERRY, Tim), PENALTY UB offside (RUSSELL, Devon) 5 yards to the DSU35, 1ST DOWN DSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
72.3%
Keenan Black pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
72.5%
Mike Waters run for 2 yds to the DelSt 37Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+5
72.5%
Keenan Black pass intercepted Devon Russell return for 5 yds to the DelSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 8TD
4 plays · 35 yds · 0:5376% → 80%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
75.6%
Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn, broken up by Jason SmithSimilar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+3
75.6%
Emmanuel Reed run for 3 yds to the DelSt 32Similar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 7
OPP 32
0
75.2%
Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Antonio Nunn, broken up by Devin SmithSimilar
Q1 3:17
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+32
79.5%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 32 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.5%
Brycen Alleyne run for 5 yds to the DelSt 30Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
80.2%
Brycen Alleyne run for 4 yds to the DelSt 34Similar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
80.2%
Brycen Alleyne run for no gain to the DelSt 34 DELAWARE ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 3:17
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
80.3%
Fidel Romo-Martinez punt for 52 yds, fair catch by K.J. Osborn at the Buff 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:3581% → 81%
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
80.6%
Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn, broken up by Jahad NeibauerSimilar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+8
80.6%
Emmanuel Reed run for 8 yds to the Buff 22Similar
Q1 1:54
3RD & 2
OWN 22
0
80.4%
Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to George RushingSimilar
Q1 1:19
4TH & 2
OWN 22
0
81.0%
Evan Finegan punt for 34 yds, downed at the DelSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 11FUMBLE
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:0918% → 17%
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
82.4%
Keenan Black run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 4
50
+3
82.0%
Brycen Alleyne run for 3 yds to the Buff 47Similar
Q1 1:09
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+2
82.0%
Keenan Black run for 2 yds to the Buff 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
82.8%
Brycen Alleyne run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 46
0
83.3%
Keenan Black pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 46
-15
83.4%
Keenan Black sacked by Ledarius Mack for a loss of 10 yards to the DelSt 25 Keenan Black fumbled, recovered by Buff Chuck Harris , return for 0 yards , return for 0 yards to the DelSt 46 DELAWARE ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Rj Moli) to the DelSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 12TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:4584% → 90%
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
84.4%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 11 yds to the DelSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
84.4%
Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the DelSt 11Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+7
84.4%
Kevin Marks run for 7 yds to the DelSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
84.4%
Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the DelSt 1Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.9%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to George Rushing for 1 yd for a TD DELAWARE ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Adam Mitcheson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 13FG
10 plays · 69 yds · 3:418% → 13%
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+41
92.1%
Jack McDaniels pass complete to Kwannah Kollie for 41 yds to the Buff 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
91.2%
Mike Waters run for 3 yds to the Buff 31Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+5
91.1%
Mike Waters run for 5 yds to the Buff 26Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+1
91.3%
Mike Waters run for 1 yd to the Buff 25Similar
Q2 12:37
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+15
89.3%
Mike Waters run for 15 yds to the Buff 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
91.0%
Jack McDaniels run for 2 yds to the Buff 8Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
91.0%
Mike Waters run for 4 yds to the Buff 4Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
91.3%
Mike Waters run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 6Similar
Q2 8:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
87.4%
Jose Romo-Martinez 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 14TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 3:2691% → 96%
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
91.0%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to Johnathan Hawkins for a loss of 3 yards to the Buff 29Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 13
OWN 29
+3
90.9%
Johnathan Hawkins run for 3 yds to the Buff 32Similar
Q2 8:51
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+34
90.7%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to Johnathan Hawkins for 19 yds to the BUFFALO 49 for a 1ST down DELAWARE ST Penalty, personal foul (Jahad Neibauer) to the DelSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
91.5%
[SGUN], PENALTY UB delay of game (JACKSON, Tyree) 5 yards to the DSU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 15
OPP 39
-1
91.4%
Jaret Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the DelSt 40Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 16
OPP 40
+15
91.3%
[SGUN], JACKSON, Tyree pass incomplete to JOHNSON, Anthon, PENALTY DSU pass interference (SMITH,D) 15 yards to the DSU25, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
91.5%
Jaret Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the DelSt 26Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+3
91.5%
Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds to the DelSt 23Similar
Q2 8:51
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+4
91.3%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to Zac Lefebvre for 4 yds to the DelSt 19Similar
Q2 5:25
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+19
96.0%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 19 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 15FUMBLE
10 plays · 52 yds · 1:163% → 3%
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
97.4%
Mike Waters run for 1 yd to the DelSt 32 Mike Waters fumbled, forced by Malcolm Koonce,Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+3
97.4%
Mike Waters run for 3 yds to the DelSt 35Similar
Q2 5:19
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+23
97.2%
Jack McDaniels run for 8 yds to the Buff 43 for a 1ST down BUFFALO Penalty, personal foul (Joey Banks) to the Buff 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
97.6%
[SGUN], McDANIELS,J pass incomplete to GROSS,T, PENALTY UB pass interference (BAKER, Roy) 12 yards to the UB30, 1ST DOWN DSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
97.3%
Jack McDaniels pass complete to Trey Gross for 4 yds to the Buff 26Similar
Q2 4:03
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
97.0%
Jack McDaniels pass incomplete to Kwannah Kollie, broken up by Devon RussellSimilar
Q2 4:03
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+6
97.2%
Mike Waters run for 6 yds to the Buff 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
97.2%
Mike Waters run for 3 yds to the Buff 17 Mike Waters fumbled, forced by James Patterson, recovered by Buff Kadofi WrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
97.7%
Isaiah King run for 11 yds to the Buff 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
97.7%
Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the Buff 31Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 7
OWN 31
0
97.7%
Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. OsbornSimilar
Q2 2:44
3RD & 7
OWN 31
0
97.7%
Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. OsbornSimilar
Q2 2:44
4TH & 7
OWN 31
0
97.5%
Evan Finegan punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Brycen Alleyne at the DelSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 17END OF HALF
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
98.6%
[SGUN], ALLEYNE,B rush for 6 yards to the DSU36 (PATTERSON, Jame;WILLIAMS, Brand), PENALTY DSU holding (DERKS,M) 10 yards to the DSU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+3
98.6%
Jack McDaniels run for 3 yds to the DelSt 23Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 17
OWN 23
+2
98.6%
Brycen Alleyne run for 2 yds to the DelSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 18TD
12 plays · 71 yds · 5:2998% → 99%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
98.3%
Isaiah King run for 8 yds to the Buff 37Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+4
98.1%
Emmanuel Reed run for 4 yds to the Buff 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
98.3%
Emmanuel Reed run for 3 yds to the Buff 44Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
98.3%
Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Isaiah KingSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+5
98.3%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to Rodney Scott III for 5 yds to the Buff 49Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 2
OWN 49
+12
98.0%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to Charlie Jones for 12 yds to the DelSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
98.3%
Johnathan Hawkins run for 4 yds to the DelSt 35Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+8
98.4%
Johnathan Hawkins run for 8 yds to the DelSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
98.4%
Johnathan Hawkins run for 13 yds to the DelSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
98.4%
Johnathan Hawkins run for 3 yds to the DelSt 11Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+11
99.3%
Tyree Jackson pass complete to Charlie Jones for 11 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+16
99.2%
Brycen Alleyne run for 16 yds to the DelSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
99.2%
Jack McDaniels run for a loss of 2 yards to the DelSt 42 Jack McDaniels fumbled, recovered by Buff Jordan CollierSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 20TD
7 plays · 42 yds · 3:2499% → 100%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
99.4%
Jaret Patterson run for 7 yds to the DelSt 35Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+5
99.4%
Jaret Patterson run for 5 yds to the DelSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.4%
Jaret Patterson run for no gain to the DelSt 30Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+9
99.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Julien Bourassa for 9 yds to the DelSt 21Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+4
99.4%
Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds to the DelSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
99.4%
Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd to the DelSt 16Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+16
99.6%
Jaret Patterson run for 16 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 21MISSED FG
17 plays · 55 yds · 6:390% → 0%
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.6%
Jack McDaniels pass complete to Trey Gross for 8 yds to the DelSt 33Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.6%
Brycen Alleyne run for 1 yd to the DelSt 34Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.6%
Mike Waters run for 3 yds to the DelSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.6%
Mike Waters run for 3 yds to the DelSt 40Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+2
99.6%
Mike Waters run for 2 yds to the DelSt 42Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+13
99.6%
Brycen Alleyne run for 13 yds to the Buff 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
99.6%
Brycen Alleyne run for 1 yd to the Buff 44Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+12
99.6%
Mike Waters run for 12 yds to the Buff 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
99.6%
Jack McDaniels pass complete to Taronn Selby for 4 yds to the Buff 28Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 6
OPP 28
-1
99.5%
Mike Waters run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 29Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+9
99.6%
Jack McDaniels pass complete to Isiah Williams for 9 yds to the Buff 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
99.9%
Brycen Alleyne run for 2 yds to the Buff 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 18
-2
99.9%
Brycen Alleyne run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Jack McDaniels pass incomplete to Kwannah Kollie, broken up by Aapri WashingtonSimilar
Q4 13:42
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
99.9%
Jose Romo-Martinez 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Christian GonzalezSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Kevin Marks run for no gain to the Buff 20Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Theo Anderson run for no gain to the Buff 20Similar
Q4 13:42
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Isaiah King for 2 yds to the Buff 22Similar
Q4 13:42
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+4
99.8%
Evan Finegan punt for 35 yds , Brycen Alleyne returns for 4 yds to the DelSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 53 yds · 3:070% → 0%
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.9%
Mike Waters run for 4 yds to the Buff 49Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+3
99.9%
Mike Waters run for 3 yds to the Buff 46Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+2
99.9%
Mike Waters run for 2 yds to the Buff 44Similar
Q4 11:37
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+1
99.9%
Jack McDaniels run for 1 yd to the Buff 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.9%
Mike Waters run for 3 yds to the Buff 40Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+9
99.9%
Jack McDaniels pass complete to Kareem Davis for 9 yds to the Buff 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
99.9%
Brycen Alleyne run for 7 yds to the Buff 24Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+24
99.9%
Brycen Alleyne run for 24 yds for a TD (Jose Romo-Martinez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Theo Anderson run for 3 yds to the Buff 28Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
99.9%
Theo Anderson run for 4 yds to the Buff 32Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
99.9%
[SGUN], PENALTY UB delay of game (JOHNSON, Domini) 5 yards to the UB27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
Theo Anderson run for 4 yds to the Buff 31Similar
Q4 8:30
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Evan Finegan punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Brycen Alleyne at the DelSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 25DOWNS
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
100.0%
Brycen Alleyne run for 13 yds to the DelSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
100.0%
Brycen Alleyne run for a loss of 1 yard to the DelSt 47Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+4
100.0%
Brycen Alleyne run for 4 yds to the Buff 49Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+12
100.0%
Mike Waters run for 12 yds to the Buff 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Jack McDaniels pass incomplete to Taronn Selby, broken up by Tim Terry Jr.Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Brycen Alleyne run for no gain to the Buff 37Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Jack McDaniels pass incomplete to Trey GrossSimilar
Q4 5:52
4TH & 10
OPP 37
+6
100.0%
Jack McDaniels pass complete to Kwannah Kollie for 6 yds to the Buff 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:15100% → 100%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
100.0%
Johnathan Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Buff 33Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+2
100.0%
Johnathan Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Buff 35Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+2
100.0%
Johnathan Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Buff 37Similar
Q4 0:40
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Evan Finegan punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Brycen Alleyne at the DelSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DSUDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the DelSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:37
Tyree Jackson pass complete to George Rushing for 1 yd for a TD DELAWARE ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Adam Mitcheson KICK)
+5.5
TD · Q1 5:37
Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 27 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson PAT BLOCKED)
+4.3
TD · Q1 3:17
Tyree Jackson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 32 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK)
+4.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com