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SYR

Syracuse 55 at Western Michigan 42

WMU
2018 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2018 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:31 · Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the WMich 1
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 5:19: LeVante Bellamy run for 64 yds for a TD (Josh Grant KICK) — WMU win probability +13.8 pts (now 36%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:45: Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 21 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +16.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:56: Jon Wassink run for 4 yds for a TD (Josh Grant KICK) — WMU win probability +20.9 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. TD · Q3 0:48: Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +14.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:46: Eric Dungey run for 27 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +15.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8SYR made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00WMU 4th & 2 at WMU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:32SYR 4th & 6 at WMU 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    60.6%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:32WMU 4th & 1 at WMU 24, down 10
    Close callPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00WMU 4th & 8 at WMU 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:53SYR 4th & 1 at WMU 1, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    71.8%−2.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    65.5%−8.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:52WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 29, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:25SYR 4th & 4 at WMU 25, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.3%−0.2
    66% to make
    Punt
    80.1%−2.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:25WMU 4th & 4 at SYR 12, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.2%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    13.8%−0.4
    86% to make
    Punt
    8.3%−5.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:11WMU 4th & 7 at SYR 7, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−5.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:11SYR 4th & 19 at SYR 34, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%−0.9
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:07SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 42, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%−1.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:00WMU 4th & 11 at WMU 44, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:25SYR 4th & 5 at WMU 38, up 20
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    90.3%−1.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.4%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:32SYR 4th & 13 at SYR 15, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%−3.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:46WMU 4th & 8 at WMU 35, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:31SYR 4th & 2 at WMU 14, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    96.7%−0.5
    84% to make
    Punt
    93.5%−3.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:31SYR 4th & 1 at WMU 1, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    95.7%−1.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−4.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6SYR made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 11:36SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:39SYR Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:10WMU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:51SYR Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:53SYR Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:06WMU Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:32WMU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:19WMU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:45SYR Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 1:56WMU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 0:48SYR Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 14:46SYR Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 2:50WMU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.7%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
37.9%
Jon Wassink run for 4 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
37.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the WMich 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
37.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 3 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
37.9%
Nick Mihalic punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2TD
4 plays · 59 yds · 1:1662% → 63%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
38.5%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+15
38.5%
Dontae Strickland run for 15 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+14
38.4%
Eric Dungey run for 14 yds to the WMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
37.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 27 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
37.9%
Jon Wassink pass intercepted Andre Cisco return for 2 yds to the WMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4FG
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:5563% → 63%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
37.5%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jamal Custis Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+18
37.6%
Eric Dungey run for 18 yds to the WMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
37.5%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+1
37.5%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the WMich 11Similar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+3
37.6%
Eric Dungey run for 3 yds to the WMich 8Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
37.6%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Sean Riley, broken up by A.J. ThomasSimilar
Q1 9:32
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+26
37.5%
Andre Szmyt 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
37.8%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the WMich 15Similar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
37.8%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+8
37.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 8 yds to the WMich 23Similar
Q1 9:32
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+1
37.7%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the WMich 24Similar
Q1 9:32
4TH & 1
OWN 24
0
37.6%
Nick Mihalic punt for 28 yds, downed at the Syrac 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 1:2763% → 68%
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
36.9%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
36.9%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+5
37.0%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the WMich 43Similar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+2
36.9%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
36.8%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+38
36.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 38 yds to the WMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
32.0%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 90 yds · 3:2932% → 37%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
32.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 12Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+17
32.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 17 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
32.4%
Jon Wassink run for 3 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+59
32.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 59 yds to the Syrac 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
33.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the Syrac 7Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
33.3%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to D'Wayne Eskridge, broken up by Scoop BradshawSimilar
Q1 3:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
37.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for 7 yds for a TD (Josh Grant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 2:1964% → 72%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
36.3%
Eric Dungey run for 18 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
35.9%
Moe Neal run for 9 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 1
OPP 36
-5
35.8%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 41Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+7
35.9%
Moe Neal run for 7 yds to the WMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+30
35.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 30 yds to the WMich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
35.8%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the WMich 3Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
27.6%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5129% → 29%
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
29.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
29.5%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni RicciSimilar
Q1 0:51
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
29.3%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni Ricci, broken up by Kielan WhitnerSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
28.7%
Nick Mihalic punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 2:5772% → 80%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+36
27.6%
Eric Dungey run for 36 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
27.0%
Eric Dungey run for 5 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+7
27.0%
Dontae Strickland run for 7 yds to the WMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
27.0%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+8
27.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 8 yds to the WMich 12Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+5
27.2%
Dungey, E. pass incomplete to Butler, D. (DOWELS, JUWAN), PENALTY WMU offside defense 5 yards to the WMU7, 1ST DOWN SU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
24.7%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the WMich 6Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
24.7%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
24.8%
Eric Dungey run for 5 yds to the WMich 1Similar
Q2 11:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
19.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
21.1%
Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
21.2%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Juwan DowelsSimilar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
21.0%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Drake HarrisSimilar
Q2 11:52
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
20.9%
Nick Mihalic punt for 54 yds, downed at the Syrac 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12FG
7 plays · 58 yds · 1:3081% → 80%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
18.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
18.7%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ravian PierceSimilar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+49
19.2%
Eric Dungey run for 49 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
17.8%
Dontae Strickland run for 6 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 4
OPP 25
0
17.7%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Sean Riley Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Sean RileySimilar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 4
OPP 25
0
18.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Sean RileySimilar
Q2 9:25
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+43
20.3%
Andre Szmyt 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13MISSED FG
17 plays · 74 yds · 6:1412% → 11%
Q2 9:25
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+6
11.5%
WASSINK, JON pass incomplete to REED, JAYDEN, PENALTY SU pass interference (Cordy, A.) 6 yards to the SU33, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
12.2%
WASSINK, JON pass incomplete to ESKRIDGE, D, PENALTY SU pass interference (Bradshaw, S.) 15 yards to the SU18, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
12.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the Syrac 16Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+4
11.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the Syrac 12Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 4
OPP 12
0
11.6%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Drake HarrisSimilar
Q2 9:25
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+6
11.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 6 yds to the Syrac 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
12.2%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Drake HarrisSimilar
Q2 9:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
12.0%
Jon Wassink run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 7Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
12.2%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to D'Wayne Eskridge, broken up by Andre CiscoSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-3
11.1%
Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 16Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 13
OWN 16
+4
11.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 4 yds to the WMich 20Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+10
10.8%
WASSINK, JON pass incomplete to ESKRIDGE, D (Fredrick, C.), PENALTY SU pass interference (Bradshaw, S.) 10 yards to the WMU30, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+25
11.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 25 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
11.9%
Jon Wassink run for 2 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+4
11.5%
Jon Wassink run for 4 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q2 3:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
11.3%
Josh Grant 24 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 14 yds · 3:0085% → 91%
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
15.0%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Syrac 21Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
15.0%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Jamal CustisSimilar
Q2 3:11
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+11
15.9%
Tommy DeVito run for 11 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
15.0%
Moe Neal run for 9 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+2
13.5%
Tommy DeVito run for 2 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
14.5%
Tommy DeVito pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-9
14.6%
DeVito, T. pass complete to Custis, J. for 48 yards to the WMU9 (TRANQUILL, J), PENALTY SU holding 9 yards to the SU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 19
OWN 34
+7
15.2%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Moe Neal for 7 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q2 3:11
3RD & 12
OWN 41
-7
15.4%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Najee Clayton and Ali Fayad for a loss of 7 yards to the Syrac 34Similar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 19
OWN 34
0
8.7%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 13 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+13
4.1%
Chase Brown run for 13 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16FUMBLE
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
9.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 9 yds Ravian Pierce fumbled, forced by Najee Clayton, recovered by WMich Ali FayadSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17TD
2 plays · 58 yds · 0:407% → 21%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+37
7.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 37 yds to the Syrac 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
20.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 21 yds for a TD (Josh Grant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
13.9%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Jamal Custis for 2 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 8
OWN 43
-1
13.9%
Tommy DeVito run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 42Similar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
14.4%
Tommy DeVito pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:07
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
15.1%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jayden Reed at the WMich 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+31
16.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 31 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
17.3%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Drake HarrisSimilar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-1
17.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 44Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 11
OWN 44
0
16.5%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Drake HarrisSimilar
Q3 13:00
4TH & 11
OWN 44
0
16.4%
Nick Mihalic punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Antwan Cordy at the Syrac 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 40 yds · 0:0089% → 90%
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
11.2%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the Syrac 22Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+22
11.2%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 22 yds to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
9.6%
Tommy DeVito run for 13 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
9.6%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Jamal CustisSimilar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
9.6%
Tommy DeVito run for 3 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+5
9.1%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside (Antonio Balabani) to the WMich 35Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 2
OPP 35
-3
8.9%
Tommy DeVito run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 38Similar
Q3 11:25
4TH & 5
OPP 38
0
9.7%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 33 yds, downed at the WMich 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21TD
3 plays · 95 yds · 1:1311% → 23%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+9
11.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 9 yds to the WMich 14Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 1
OWN 14
+2
11.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+84
22.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 84 yds for a TD (Josh Grant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
19.6%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Syrac 19Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
19.7%
Tommy DeVito pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 9
OWN 19
-4
20.3%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Kailien Guillory and Ali Fayad for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 15Similar
Q3 7:32
4TH & 13
OWN 15
0
20.5%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jayden Reed at the WMich 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23TD
2 plays · 66 yds · 0:4422% → 36%
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
22.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+64
36.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 64 yds for a TD (Josh Grant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 2:3470% → 87%
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
29.6%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the Syrac 41Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 9
OPP 0
+8
28.3%
Eric Dungey run for 8 yds to the Syrac 49 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Syrac 49Similar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
29.5%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
29.0%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the WMich 48Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+10
29.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Moe Neal for 10 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
29.0%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
29.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jamal CustisSimilar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+15
29.5%
Dungey, E. pass incomplete to Pierce, R., PENALTY WMU face mask (THOMAS, A.J.) 15 yards to the WMU21, 1ST DOWN SU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
12.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 21 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 25TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:4919% → 41%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
19.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Drake Harris for 12 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+59
20.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 59 yds to the Syrac 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
40.9%
Jon Wassink run for 4 yds for a TD (Josh Grant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 26TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 1:0873% → 88%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
26.9%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the Syrac 41Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+50
27.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 50 yds to the WMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
25.6%
Eric Dungey run for 8 yds to the WMich 1Similar
Q3 0:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 27INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:4818% → 18%
Q3 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
17.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the WMich 25Similar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
17.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 12 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
18.3%
Jon Wassink pass intercepted Kielan Whitner return for 20 yds to the WMich 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 28TD
1 play · 27 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
3.1%
Eric Dungey run for 27 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 29DOWNS
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:004% → 5%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
4.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 6 yds to the WMich 21Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 4
OWN 21
0
4.5%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Jayden ReedSimilar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+12
4.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 12 yds to the WMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
4.5%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Drake HarrisSimilar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
4.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
4.5%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Jayden ReedSimilar
Q4 14:46
4TH & 8
OWN 35
-2
4.5%
Jon Wassink sacked by Kendall Coleman for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 30DOWNS
13 plays · 31 yds · 2:1397% → 98%
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
2.8%
Moe Neal run for 5 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+2
2.7%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q4 12:44
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+4
2.8%
Eric Dungey run for 4 yds to the WMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
1.8%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the WMich 20Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+5
1.8%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the WMich 15Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+1
1.8%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the WMich 14Similar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 2
OPP 14
0
1.9%
Moe Neal run for no gain to the WMich 14Similar
Q4 10:31
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+6
2.1%
Moe Neal run for 6 yds to the WMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
1.8%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the WMich 6Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
1.8%
Eric Dungey run for 3 yds to the WMich 3Similar
Q4 10:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
1.9%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the WMich 1Similar
Q4 10:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
2.1%
Moe Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 31TD
7 plays · 98 yds · 2:411% → 8%
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+11
1.3%
Chase Brown run for 11 yds to the WMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
1.4%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni RicciSimilar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+16
1.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 16 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+16
1.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 16 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+26
1.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 26 yds to the Syrac 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
1.8%
Chase Brown run for 12 yds to the Syrac 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
8.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 17 yds for a TD (Josh Grant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 32END OF GAME
9 plays · 19 yds · 0:1298% → 98%
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
2.4%
Moe Neal run for 6 yds to the WMich 14Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+2
2.4%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the WMich 12Similar
Q4 2:31
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+4
1.9%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the WMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
1.9%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the WMich 7Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
1.9%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the WMich 5Similar
Q4 2:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
1.9%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the WMich 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:56
Jon Wassink run for 4 yds for a TD (Josh Grant KICK)
+20.9
TD · Q3 2:45
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 21 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)
-16.7
TD · Q4 14:46
Eric Dungey run for 27 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)
-15.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com