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MONM

Monmouth 17 at Eastern Michigan 51

EMU
2018 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2018 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadMONM aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreMONM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Kenji Bahar pass complete to Quentin Parham for 6 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Pregame prior+15.3Home team on offense+33.9Score differential+28.5Blowout margin+14.8Garbage-time factor+9.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:16: Isaac Holder pass complete to Bryce Kemp for 34 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — EMU win probability +0.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:06: Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 15 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +2.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:08: Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 20 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:41: Kenji Bahar run for 8 yds for a TD (Matt Mosquera KICK) — MONM win probability +1.2 pts (now 3%) (top driver: MONM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:05: Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 10 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +1.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4MONM made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00MONM 4th & 9 at MONM 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:40MONM 4th & 13 at MONM 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:13MONM 4th & 2 at EMU 39, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    7.6%−0.3
    36% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:06MONM 4th & 9 at MONM 26, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:35EMU 4th & 7 at MONM 16, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    94.2%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:35MONM 4th & 9 at MONM 37, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:49EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 44, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:33MONM 4th & 20 at EMU 25, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 34, up 27
    Close callPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:05MONM 4th & 2 at EMU 34, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00MONM 4th & 1 at EMU 43, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.1%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:15MONM 4th & 13 at EMU 14, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:15EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 29, up 34
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7MONM made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 6:47EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:16EMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    92.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:06EMU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:08EMU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:41MONM Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:05EMU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:38EMU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:37MONM Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:18EMU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MONMDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
94.1%
Pete Guerriero run for 2 yds to the MonNJ 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
94.1%
Kenji Bahar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+10
94.1%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Reggie White Jr. for 10 yds to the MonNJ 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
94.1%
Kenji Bahar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-1
94.1%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Vinny Grasso for a loss of 1 yard to the MonNJ 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 46
+2
94.1%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Pete Guerriero for 2 yds to the MonNJ 48Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 48
+5
94.1%
Colin McCreary punt for 42 yds , Blake Banham returns for 5 yds to the EASTMICH 47 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the EMich 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2TD
16 plays · 95 yds · 6:0594% → 93%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
93.6%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Ian Eriksen for 7 yds to the EMich 12Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+4
93.6%
Ian Eriksen run for 4 yds to the EMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
93.4%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Blake Banham for 8 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+6
93.4%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 6 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
93.4%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+3
93.4%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+8
93.4%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Blake Banham for 8 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
93.5%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Blake Banham for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 4
50
+10
93.5%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Line Latu for 10 yds to the MonNJ 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
93.5%
Ian Eriksen run for 7 yds to the MonNJ 33Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+1
93.5%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the MonNJ 32Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 2
OPP 32
-9
93.5%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the MonNJ 31 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, IB (Mathew Sexton) to the MonNJ 41Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+27
93.5%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 27 yds to the MonNJ 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
93.5%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 2 yards to the MonNJ 16Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+16
93.1%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Blake Banham for 16 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
92.8%
Pete Guerriero run for 3 yds to the MonNJ 20Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+2
92.9%
Pete Guerriero run for 2 yds to the MonNJ 22Similar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+2
92.9%
Kenji Bahar sacked by Turan Rush for a loss of 5 yards to the MonNJ 19 Kenji Bahar fumbled, recovered by MonNJ Peter Righi , return for 0 yards , return for 2 yds to the MonNJ 19Similar
Q1 6:40
4TH & 8
OWN 19
-5
93.0%
MONMOUTH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MonNJ 14Similar
Q1 6:40
4TH & 13
OWN 14
+22
93.0%
Colin McCreary punt for 42 yds , Blake Banham returns for 22 yds to the MonNJ 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4TD
1 play · 34 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
94.0%
Isaac Holder pass complete to Bryce Kemp for 34 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 5DOWNS
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
93.2%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Reggie White Jr. for 9 yds to the MonNJ 26Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+27
93.1%
Devell Jones run for 27 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 1
OWN 26
0
93.0%
Kenji Bahar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
92.9%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Pete Guerriero for a loss of 5 yards to the MonNJ 48Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+3
93.1%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Reggie White Jr. for 3 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 12
OPP 49
+10
93.1%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Reggie White Jr. for 10 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q1 4:13
4TH & 2
OPP 39
-8
92.9%
Kenji Bahar sacked by Terry Myrick for a loss of 8 yards to the EMich 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 2:3394% → 96%
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
93.8%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 7
50
+8
93.8%
Jeff Hubbard run for 8 yds to the MonNJ 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
93.8%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the MonNJ 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+1
93.8%
Mike Glass III run for 1 yd to the MonNJ 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+8
93.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 8 yds to the MonNJ 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
93.7%
GLASS, Mike pass incomplete to BANHAM, Blake, PENALTY MU pass interference (BUDD, Anthony) 15 yards to the MU15, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
95.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 15 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.7%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete to Reggie White Jr.Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.8%
Pete Guerriero run for 1 yd to the MonNJ 26Similar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
95.8%
Kenji Bahar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:06
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
95.8%
Colin McCreary punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8FG
7 plays · 49 yds · 2:3196% → 97%
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
95.6%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Blake Banham for 16 yds to the MonNJ 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
95.9%
Willie Parker run for no gain to the MonNJ 49Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+30
95.8%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Blake Banham for 30 yds to the MonNJ 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
95.8%
Willie Parker run for 3 yds to the MonNJ 16Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 7
OPP 16
0
95.8%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Mathew Sexton, broken up by Anthony BuddSimilar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 7
OPP 16
0
95.8%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Line LatuSimilar
Q2 10:35
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+33
96.7%
Chad Ryland 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
96.2%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Jake Powell for 11 yds to the MonNJ 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
96.0%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Pete Guerriero for 2 yds to the MonNJ 38Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-13
96.0%
Kenji Bahar sacked by Kobie Beltram and Brody Hoying for a loss of 13 yards to the MonNJ 25 MONMOUTH Penalty, intentional grounding (Kenji Bahar) to the MonNJ 25Similar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 21
OWN 25
+12
96.2%
Pete Guerriero run for 12 yds to the MonNJ 37Similar
Q2 10:35
4TH & 9
OWN 37
+45
96.2%
Colin McCreary punt for 60 yds, downed at the EASTMICH 3 MONMOUTH Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the EMich 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
96.9%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Mathew Sexton, broken up by Justin TerrySimilar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+5
96.8%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+9
96.8%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Line Latu for 9 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
96.9%
Ian Eriksen run for 4 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+8
96.9%
Tyler Wiegers run for 8 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
97.1%
Ian Eriksen run for no gain to the EMich 44Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-4
97.0%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 40Similar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 14
OWN 40
+4
96.9%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 4 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q2 8:49
4TH & 10
OWN 44
-2
96.7%
Jake Julien punt for 47 yds , Vinny Grasso returns for a loss of 2 yards to the MonNJ 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 11INT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:033% → 4%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
96.6%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the MonNJ 12Similar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 5
OWN 12
0
96.5%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete to Lonnie Moore IVSimilar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+4
96.5%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Reggie White Jr. for 4 yds to the MonNJ 16Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+5
96.6%
Pete Guerriero run for 5 yds to the MonNJ 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
96.5%
Kenji Bahar pass intercepted Kyle Rachwal return for 12 yds to the MonNJ 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12TD
3 plays · 19 yds · 1:2297% → 99%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
97.4%
Ian Eriksen run for 4 yds to the MonNJ 15Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 6
OPP 15
-5
97.3%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Ian Eriksen for a loss of 5 yards to the MonNJ 20Similar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 11
OPP 20
+20
99.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 20 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 13FG
15 plays · 50 yds · 1:351% → 1%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.0%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Reggie White Jr. for 12 yds to the MonNJ 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+27
99.0%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Reggie White Jr. for 27 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
98.8%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Vinny Grasso for 6 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+4
98.6%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Terrance Greene Jr. for 4 yds to the EMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
98.7%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete to Reggie White Jr.Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
98.7%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete to Lonnie Moore IVSimilar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 10
OPP 26
-5
99.2%
MONMOUTH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 31Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 15
OPP 31
+16
99.2%
Kenji Bahar run for 1 yd to the EMich 30 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, roughing passer (Kyle Rachwal) to the EMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.0%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete to Reggie White Jr., broken up by Kevin McGillSimilar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-10
99.1%
BAHAR, Kenji pass complete to GRASSO, Vinny for 10 yards to the EMU5, PENALTY MU holding (SHABANA, Mahmoud) 10 yards to the EMU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 20
OPP 25
0
99.2%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete to Pete GuerrieroSimilar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 20
OPP 25
0
99.2%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete, broken up by Ikie CalderonSimilar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 20
OPP 25
+42
98.9%
Matt Mosquera 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.3%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Jairus Grissom for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
99.3%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Blake Banham for 7 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
99.3%
Tyler Wiegers run for 3 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.2%
Jake Julien punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MonNJ 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 16TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:352% → 3%
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.4%
Pete Guerriero run for 5 yds to the MonNJ 30Similar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-4
98.1%
Kenji Bahar run for a loss of 4 yards to the MonNJ 26Similar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+17
98.5%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Reggie White Jr. for 2 yds to the MonNJ 28 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Jeff Hubbard) to the MonNJ 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
98.2%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete, broken up by Turan RushSimilar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+45
98.2%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Brandon Batts for 45 yds to the EMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
97.7%
Pete Guerriero run for 4 yds to the EMich 8Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+8
96.6%
Kenji Bahar run for 8 yds for a TD (Matt Mosquera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3698% → 100%
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.0%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 24Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+12
98.0%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Blake Banham for 12 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
97.9%
Shaq Vann run for 9 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+40
97.9%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 40 yds to the MonNJ 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
97.9%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the MonNJ 13Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+3
97.9%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the MonNJ 10Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+10
99.7%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 10 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 18DOWNS
10 plays · 41 yds · 0:000% → 1%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete to Reggie White Jr., broken up by Jalen PhelpsSimilar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.7%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Lonnie Moore IV for 10 yds to the MonNJ 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.7%
Juwon Farri run for 2 yds to the MonNJ 37Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+9
99.7%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Lonnie Moore IV for 9 yds to the MonNJ 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
99.6%
Juwon Farri run for 12 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.6%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete to Reggie White Jr.Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+2
99.6%
Juwon Farri run for 2 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+6
99.6%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Terrance Greene Jr. for 6 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q3 7:05
4TH & 2
OPP 34
0
99.4%
Devell Jones run for no gain to the EMich 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 2:25100% → 100%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
99.8%
Willie Parker run for 1 yd to the EMich 35Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+4
99.8%
Shaq Vann run for 4 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+23
99.8%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Line Latu for 23 yds to the MonNJ 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
99.8%
WIEGERS, Tyler pass incomplete to DRUMMOND, Dylan, QB hurry by AUMER, Kurt, PENALTY MU roughing passer (AUMER, Kurt) 15 yards to the MU23, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
99.8%
Willie Parker run for 3 yds to the MonNJ 20Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+20
99.8%
Jairus Grissom run for 20 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 20MISSED FG
20 plays · 61 yds · 6:230% → 0%
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
99.8%
BAHAR, Kenji pass incomplete to BATTS, Brandon, PENALTY MU personal foul (GALLINA, John) 12 yards to the MU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:38
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+9
99.8%
Juwon Farri run for 9 yds to the MonNJ 22Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+12
99.9%
Juwon Farri run for 12 yds to the MonNJ 34Similar
Q3 1:38
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.8%
Devell Jones run for 3 yds to the MonNJ 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
99.8%
Vinny Grasso run for 11 yds to the MonNJ 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete to Brandon BattsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
99.8%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Brandon Batts for 4 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+5
99.8%
Vinny Grasso run for 5 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+6
99.8%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Quentin Parham for 6 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
99.8%
Vinny Grasso run for 9 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+5
99.8%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Lonnie Moore IV for 5 yds to the EMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
99.8%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Terrance Greene Jr. for 2 yds to the EMich 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+10
99.8%
BAHAR, Kenji pass incomplete to FARRI, Juwon, dropped pass, PENALTY EMU roughing passer 10 yards to the EMU11, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
99.8%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Vinny Grasso for 7 yds to the EMich 4Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 3
OPP 4
-10
99.9%
JONES, Devell rush for 4 yards to the EMU0, clock 11:00, PENALTY MU holding (PARHAM, Quentin) 10 yards to the EMU14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 13
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete to Brandon Batts, broken up by Jeff HubbardSimilar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 13
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Juwon Farri for no gain to the EMich 14Similar
Q4 10:15
4TH & 13
OPP 14
+31
99.9%
Matt Mosquera 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Mike Glass III run for 5 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Ian Eriksen run for 4 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Lemar HarrisSimilar
Q4 10:15
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+14
99.9%
Jake Julien punt for 58 yds , Vinny Grasso returns for 14 yds to the MonNJ 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 22TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 3:590% → 0%
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
99.9%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Terrance Greene Jr. for 7 yds to the MonNJ 34Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+10
99.9%
Juwon Farri run for 10 yds to the MonNJ 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
99.9%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Matt Castronuova for 2 yds to the MonNJ 46Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+6
99.9%
Brandon Harris run for 6 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q4 8:36
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+4
99.9%
Juwon Farri run for 4 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
99.9%
Juwon Farri run for 5 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+1
99.9%
Juwon Farri run for 1 yd to the EMich 38Similar
Q4 4:37
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+38
99.9%
Juwon Farri run for 38 yds for a TD (Matt Mosquera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 23TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:11100% → 100%
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Carthell Flowers run for 8 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
99.9%
Carthell Flowers run for 5 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.9%
Carthell Flowers run for 2 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+26
99.9%
VANN, Shaq rush for 9 yards to the EMU49 (MANNING, Solomon), PENALTY MU personal foul (MANNING, Solomon) 26 yards to the MU34, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+18
99.9%
Shaq Vann run for 18 yds to the MonNJ 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.9%
GLASS, Mike rush for 2 yards to the MU14 (CHAMBERS, Hasan), PENALTY EMU holding (WILLIAMS, Quian) 0 yards to the MU16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the MonNJ 16Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
100.0%
Mike Glass III run for 16 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Max Smyth pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Juwon Farri run for 3 yds to the MonNJ 28Similar
Q4 1:18
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+9
99.9%
Juwon Farri run for 9 yds to the MonNJ 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Juwon Farri run for 4 yds to the MonNJ 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:06
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 15 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)
+2
TD · Q3 7:05
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 10 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)
+1.8
TD · Q2 2:08
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 20 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)
+1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com