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CCSU

Central Connecticut 6 at Ball State 42

BALL
2018 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2018 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadCCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreCCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:22 · Nathan Snyder punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Tajik Bagley at the CConn 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 24Pregame prior+35.9Home team on offense+0.4Score differential−0.1Blowout margin−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:45: Riley Neal pass complete to Nolan Givan for 20 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK) — BALL win probability +1.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:36: Malik Dunner run for 12 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK) — BALL win probability +3.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:00: Riley Neal run for 16 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK) — BALL win probability +4.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Francis Cole kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — CCSU win probability +1.5 pts (now 5%) (top driver: CCSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:23: James Gilbert run for 35 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK) — BALL win probability +2.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 3 of 5CCSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 10:22CCSU 4th & 6 at BALL 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    11.4%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:22BALL 4th & 10 at CCSU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    87.1%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:16CCSU 4th & 3 at CCSU 17, tied
    Close callPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00CCSU 4th & 3 at CCSU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:43BALL 4th & 7 at CCSU 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    87.4%−2.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:43CCSU 4th & 9 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:02CCSU 4th & 15 at CCSU 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00BALL 4th & 8 at BALL 27, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.0%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:39CCSU 4th & 5 at BALL 17, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−2.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:18CCSU 4th & 4 at BALL 44, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:41CCSU 4th & 5 at CCSU 30, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00BALL 4th & 1 at BALL 34, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:54CCSU 4th & 7 at BALL 42, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:00BALL 4th & 6 at BALL 30, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:45CCSU 4th & 1 at CCSU 41, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:45CCSU 4th & 5 at CCSU 48, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 5 of 6CCSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:45BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:36BALL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:00BALL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:23BALL Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:41BALL Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:53BALL Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:12CCSU Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCSUDrive 1MISSED FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 4:3810% → 12%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.6%
Jacob Dolegala pass complete to Jose Garcia for 2 yds to the CConn 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
89.6%
Jacob Dolegala pass complete to Jose Garcia for 11 yds to the CConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
89.6%
Jacob Dolegala pass complete to Tyshaun James for 11 yds to the CConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
89.6%
Enyce Walker run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
50
+16
89.6%
Jacob Dolegala pass complete to Enyce Walker for 16 yds to the BalSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
89.6%
Jacob Dolegala pass complete to Tyshaun James for 11 yds to the BalSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
89.6%
CENTRAL CONN Penalty, encroachment (Tyshaun James) to the BalSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 28
+5
89.6%
Enyce Walker run for 5 yds to the BalSt 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
89.6%
Jacob Dolegala pass incomplete to Courtney RushSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+4
89.6%
Jacob Dolegala pass complete to Jose Garcia for 4 yds to the BalSt 19Similar
Q1 10:22
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+37
88.2%
Francis Cole 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 2PUNT
12 plays · 7 yds · 3:0088% → 87%
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
88.3%
James Gilbert run for 5 yds to the BalSt 25Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+9
88.3%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 9 yds to the BalSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
88.3%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the BalSt 37Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+9
88.4%
James Gilbert run for 9 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
88.5%
James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 6
50
+2
88.5%
Riley Neal pass complete to Caleb Huntley for 2 yds to the CConn 48Similar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+7
88.5%
Riley Neal run for 7 yds to the CConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
88.5%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
88.5%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
88.4%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Corey LacanariaSimilar
Q1 7:22
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
87.4%
Nathan Snyder punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Tajik Bagley at the CConn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 3Uncategorized
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
87.3%
D Guillaume run for 4 yds to the CConn 14Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+3
87.3%
Jacob Dolegala pass complete to D Guillaume for 3 yds to the CConn 17Similar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 3
OWN 17
0
87.4%
Jacob Dolegala pass incomplete to Jose Garcia, broken up by Jacob WhiteSimilar
Q1 7:16
4TH & 3
OWN 17
0
87.5%
Brandon Desautels punt for 54 yds, downed at the BalSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 4TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 4:5687% → 89%
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
87.4%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Caleb HuntleySimilar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
87.4%
Justin Hall run for 7 yds to the CConn 38Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+4
87.3%
James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the CConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
87.5%
Justin Hall run for no gain to the CConn 34Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+8
87.5%
Riley Neal pass complete to Nolan Givan for 8 yds to the CConn 26Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+6
87.3%
James Gilbert run for 6 yds to the CConn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
88.5%
Riley Neal pass complete to Nolan Givan for 20 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:4512% → 12%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
87.6%
DOLEGALA, Jacob pass complete to GILMORE, Arthur for 7 yards to the CCSU32 (ANDERSON, Lamar), PENALTY CCSU ineligible downfield on pass (HUNT, Michon) 5 yards to the CCSU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+10
87.7%
Jacob Dolegala pass complete to Jose Garcia for 10 yds to the CConn 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
87.4%
D Guillaume run for 4 yds to the CConn 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
87.3%
D Guillaume run for a loss of 2 yards to the CConn 32 CENTRAL CONN Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
87.8%
Brandon Desautels punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Corey Lacanaria at the BalSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 2:0788% → 91%
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+36
87.6%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 36 yds to the CConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
88.2%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 11 yds to the CConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
88.3%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the CConn 26Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+12
88.3%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 12 yds to the CConn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
88.3%
Riley Neal run for 2 yds to the CConn 12Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+12
91.3%
Malik Dunner run for 12 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8MISSED FG
10 plays · 24 yds · 3:4591% → 91%
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
91.3%
Riley Neal pass complete to Riley Miller for 5 yds to the CConn 39Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+4
91.3%
Malik Dunner run for 4 yds to the CConn 35Similar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+2
91.2%
Riley Neal run for 2 yds to the CConn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
91.3%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Riley Miller, broken up by Dexter LawsonSimilar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+6
91.3%
James Gilbert run for 6 yds to the CConn 27Similar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+4
91.2%
James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the CConn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
91.3%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for no gain to the CConn 23Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-19
91.3%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for a loss of 4 yards to the CConn 27 BALL ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the CConn 42Similar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 29
OPP 42
+22
90.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Riley Miller for 22 yds to the CConn 20Similar
Q2 7:43
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+37
90.6%
Morgan Hagee 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Brandon PurittSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
90.4%
Jacob Dolegala run for 2 yds to the CConn 22Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+10
90.4%
Jacob Dolegala pass complete to Joey Fields for 10 yds to the CConn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+17
90.2%
D Guillaume run for 17 yds to the CConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
89.9%
CENTRAL CONN Penalty, false start (Cole Phelps) to the CConn 44Similar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 15
OWN 44
0
90.4%
Jacob Dolegala pass incomplete to Joey FieldsSimilar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 15
OWN 44
-5
90.4%
Jacob Dolegala run for a loss of 5 yards to the CConn 39 Jacob Dolegala fumbled,Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 20
OWN 39
+11
90.5%
Jacob Dolegala pass complete to Courtney Rush for 11 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:43
4TH & 9
50
0
90.4%
Brandon Desautels punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Corey Lacanaria at the BalSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10TD
10 plays · 92 yds · 2:4391% → 97%
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
90.6%
Caleb Huntley run for 9 yds to the BalSt 17Similar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 1
OWN 17
+3
90.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-6
90.8%
Riley Neal run for 4 yds to the BalSt 24 BALL ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Corey Lacanaria) to the BalSt 14Similar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 16
OWN 14
+6
90.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 6 yds to the BalSt 20Similar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+12
90.8%
Justin Hall run for 12 yds to the BalSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
90.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Malik Dunner for 8 yds to the BalSt 40Similar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+36
91.2%
Riley Neal pass complete to Malik Dunner for 36 yds to the CConn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
91.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to Antwan Davis for 8 yds to the CConn 16Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+16
96.9%
Riley Neal run for 16 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 7 yds · 0:584% → 4%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.7%
Jacob Dolegala pass incomplete to Enyce WalkerSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.8%
CENTRAL CONN Penalty, false start (David Cinti) to the CConn 20Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+17
95.8%
Enyce Walker run for 17 yds to the CConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
95.6%
Jacob Dolegala pass complete to Enyce Walker for 1 yd to the CConn 38Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
95.6%
Jacob Dolegala pass incomplete to D GuillaumeSimilar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 9
OWN 38
-6
95.8%
Jacob Dolegala sacked by Jacob White for a loss of 6 yards to the CConn 32Similar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 15
OWN 32
+22
95.9%
Brandon Desautels punt for 56 yds , Justin Hall returns for 22 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 12END OF HALF
9 plays · 65 yds · 0:4397% → 97%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+33
97.0%
Riley Neal pass complete to Riley Miller for 33 yds to the CConn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
97.2%
Riley Neal pass complete to Devin Reece for 12 yds to the CConn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
97.2%
Riley Neal run for 6 yds to the CConn 15Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 4
OPP 15
0
97.1%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+5
96.9%
James Gilbert run for 5 yds to the CConn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
96.7%
NEAL, Riley pass incomplete to MILLER, Riley, PENALTY CCSU pass interference (LAWSON, Dexter) 8 yards to the CCSU2, 1ST DOWN BALL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
97.0%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the CConn 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13FUMBLE
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:0097% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.5%
James Gilbert run for 6 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-9
96.6%
Riley Neal pass complete to Malik Dunner for 1 yd to the BalSt 32 BALL ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Devin Reece) to the BalSt 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
96.5%
Riley Neal pass complete to James Gilbert for no gain to the BalSt 22Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+5
96.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to James Gilbert for 5 yds to the BalSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-6
96.2%
Jaylin Thomas run for a loss of 6 yards to the BalSt 22 Jaylin Thomas fumbled, recovered by CConn DJ ExilhommeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 14DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:005% → 4%
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
95.4%
Jacob Dolegala pass incomplete to Arthur GilmoreSimilar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
95.5%
Enyce Walker run for 5 yds to the BalSt 17Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 5
OPP 17
0
95.7%
Jacob Dolegala pass incomplete to Courtney RushSimilar
Q3 12:39
4TH & 5
OPP 17
0
95.8%
Jacob Dolegala pass incomplete to Arthur Gilmore, broken up by Jaylin ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15TD
4 plays · 83 yds · 1:1897% → 100%
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
97.0%
Caleb Huntley run for 6 yds to the BalSt 23Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+42
97.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 42 yds to the CConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
97.2%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Justin Hall, broken up by Grant IbehSimilar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+35
99.5%
James Gilbert run for 35 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
99.4%
DOLEGALA, Jacob pass incomplete to GUILLAUME, D., PENALTY BALL roughing passer (WHITE, Jacob) 15 yards to the CCSU33, 1ST DOWN CCSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
99.3%
D Exhilhomme run for 4 yds to the CConn 37Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 6
OWN 37
-1
99.3%
D Exhilhomme run for a loss of 1 yard to the CConn 36Similar
Q3 10:18
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+14
99.3%
Jacob Dolegala pass complete to D Guillaume for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
50
+1
99.3%
D Exhilhomme run for 1 yd to the BalSt 49Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+1
99.3%
Jacob Dolegala run for 1 yd to the BalSt 48Similar
Q3 10:18
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+4
99.3%
D Exhilhomme run for 4 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q3 10:18
4TH & 4
OPP 44
+33
99.3%
Brandon Desautels punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BalSt 6 CENTRAL CONN Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17TD
9 plays · 89 yds · 2:34100% → 100%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
99.7%
Markice Hurt Jr. run for 5 yds to the BalSt 16Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+18
99.7%
Markice Hurt Jr. run for 18 yds to the BalSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
99.7%
Markice Hurt Jr. run for 4 yds to the BalSt 38Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+5
99.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Riley Miller for 5 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+2
99.7%
Markice Hurt Jr. run for 2 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
99.7%
Malik Dunner run for 9 yds to the CConn 46Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+21
99.7%
Malik Dunner run for 21 yds to the CConn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
99.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the CConn 20Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+20
99.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 20 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.8%
CENTRAL CONN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CConn 20Similar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-2
99.8%
D Exhilhomme run for a loss of 2 yards to the CConn 18Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+7
99.8%
D Exhilhomme run for 7 yds to the CConn 25 CENTRAL CONN Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
D Exhilhomme run for 5 yds to the CConn 30Similar
Q3 3:41
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Brandon Desautels punt for 45 yds, downed at the BalSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:48100% → 100%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Markice Hurt Jr. run for 1 yd to the BalSt 26Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.8%
Markice Hurt Jr. run for no gain to the BalSt 26Similar
Q3 1:48
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+8
99.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Nolan Givan for 8 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Nathan Snyder punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tajik Bagley at the CConn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 20PUNT
11 plays · 35 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
99.9%
Jacob Dolegala run for 5 yds to the CConn 28Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+14
99.8%
Tyshaun James run for 14 yds to the CConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
99.8%
D Guillaume run for 3 yds to the CConn 45Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Jacob Dolegala pass incomplete to Jahlil BrownSimilar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+5
99.9%
BALL ST Penalty, offside defense (James Jennette III) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 2
50
+5
99.8%
Jacob Dolegala pass complete to Aaron Dawson for 5 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.8%
Aaron Dawson run for no gain to the BalSt 45Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
99.8%
Jacob Dolegala pass incomplete to Tyshaun JamesSimilar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+8
99.9%
Jacob Dolegala pass complete to Courtney Rush for 8 yds to the BalSt 37Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 2
OPP 37
-5
99.8%
CENTRAL CONN Penalty, false start (J'Von Brown) to the BalSt 42Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
99.8%
Brandon Desautels punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Justin Hall at the BalSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+15
99.9%
PLITT, Drew pass incomplete to TYLER, Yo'Heinz, QB hurry by JIMERSON, Jamel, PENALTY CCSU pass interference (LAWSON, Dexter) 15 yards to the BALL26, 1ST DOWN BALL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
99.9%
Markice Hurt Jr. run for 4 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Hassan Littles for no gain to the BalSt 30Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete, broken up by Chris TinkhamSimilar
Q4 11:00
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Nathan Snyder punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tajik Bagley at the CConn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
99.9%
D Exhilhomme run for 7 yds to the CConn 39Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
D Exhilhomme run for 2 yds to the CConn 41Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
99.9%
D Exhilhomme run for no gain to the CConn 41Similar
Q4 9:45
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+2
99.9%
Tanner Kingsley run for 2 yds to the CConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Tanner Kingsley pass incomplete to D ExhilhommeSimilar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Tanner Kingsley pass incomplete to Aaron DawsonSimilar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+5
99.9%
Aaron Dawson run for 5 yds to the CConn 48Similar
Q4 9:45
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Brandon Desautels punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Corey Lacanaria at the BalSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 23TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 2:17100% → 100%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
99.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Keyan Williams for 5 yds to the BalSt 27Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
Markice Hurt Jr. run for 2 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
Q4 6:10
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+8
99.9%
Markice Hurt Jr. run for 8 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Keyan Williams for 1 yd to the BalSt 38Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-1
99.9%
Markice Hurt Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 37Similar
Q4 3:53
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+63
99.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 63 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 24TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 3:410% → 0%
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Aaron Dawson run for 5 yds to the CConn 30Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+17
100.0%
Aaron Dawson run for 17 yds to the CConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
100.0%
Aaron Dawson run for 7 yds to the BalSt 46Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+9
99.9%
Aaron Dawson run for 9 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Tanner Kingsley pass incomplete to Tyshaun JamesSimilar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+12
100.0%
Aaron Dawson run for 12 yds to the BalSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
99.9%
Aaron Dawson run for 4 yds to the BalSt 21Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Tanner Kingsley pass incomplete to Aaron DawsonSimilar
Q4 3:53
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+16
99.9%
Tanner Kingsley run for 16 yds to the BalSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
100.0%
Tanner Kingsley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 2Similar
Q4 0:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
100.0%
Aaron Dawson run for no gain to the BalSt 2Similar
Q4 0:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Aaron Dawson run for 2 yds for a TD (Francis Cole PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:00
Riley Neal run for 16 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)
+4.9
TD · Q2 11:36
Malik Dunner run for 12 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)
+3
TD · Q3 10:23
James Gilbert run for 35 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)
+2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com