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SMU

SMU 24 at Tulsa 27

TLSA
2018 · Week 13 · Nov 24, 2018 · Chapman Stadium
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Win probability · TLSA
modelTLSA aheadSMU aheadconfidence bandkey playTLSA scoreSMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:31 · TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulsa 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:06: Seth Boomer pass complete to N/A for 2 yds for a TD (John Parker Romo KICK) — TLSA win probability +8.2 pts (now 63%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:12: Corey Taylor II run for 1 yd for a TD (John Parker Romo KICK) — TLSA win probability +12.1 pts (now 82%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:13: Ke'Mon Freeman run for 2 yds for a TD SMU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 8 (Kevin Robledo KICK) — SMU win probability +8.8 pts (now 32%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 14:47: Kevin Robledo 32 yd FG GOOD — SMU win probability +5.2 pts (now 26%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:31: Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 11 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK) — SMU win probability +15.8 pts (now 22%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TLSA made the numbers' call on 4 of 8SMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:04TLSA 4th & 18 at SMU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    45.6%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:15SMU 4th & 11 at SMU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:54TLSA 4th & 4 at SMU 25, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.1%−0.3
    66% to make
    Punt
    50.5%−2.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:54SMU 4th & 1 at SMU 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.1%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:53SMU 4th & 15 at TLSA 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    37.8%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:13TLSA 4th & 7 at TLSA 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%−1.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:10SMU 4th & 5 at TLSA 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    23.5%−3.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:15TLSA 4th & 19 at SMU 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−2.6
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    71.7%−7.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:06TLSA 4th & 4 at SMU 17, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.8%−0.3
    80% to make
    Punt
    65.2%−8.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:06SMU 4th & 3 at TLSA 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    22.9%−1.0
    74% to make
    Punt
    13.5%−10.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:47SMU 4th & 13 at TLSA 14, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−2.6
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    9.4%−8.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:47TLSA 4th & 4 at TLSA 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:14SMU 4th & 9 at TLSA 33, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.8%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    21.6%
    49% to make
    Punt
    19.1%−2.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:36TLSA 4th & 3 at TLSA 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.4%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:52SMU 4th & 20 at SMU 4, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−3.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:28TLSA 4th & 5 at SMU 5, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.3%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    86.3%−5.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TLSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 8:15TLSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:06TLSA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:12TLSA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:13SMU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:31SMU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.8%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SMUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 0 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
44.1%
Braeden West run for 6 yds to the SMU 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
44.1%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Braeden West for 6 yds to the SMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
44.1%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 6 yds to the SMU 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+4
44.1%
Braeden West run for 4 yds to the SMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
44.1%
Ben Hicks sacked by Trevis Gipson for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 48 Ben Hicks fumbled, recovered by SMU Chad Pursley , return for 0 yards , return for 5 yds to the SMU 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+3
44.1%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 49
-26
44.1%
Ben Hicks sacked by Cullen Wick for a loss of 26 yards to the SMU 25Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 32
OWN 25
0
44.1%
Jamie Sackville punt for 29 yds, downed at the Tulsa 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
45.2%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 1 yd to the Tulsa 47Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+7
45.2%
Shamari Brooks run for 7 yds to the SMU 46Similar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+10
45.3%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Chris Minter for 10 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
45.3%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 2 yds to the SMU 34Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 8
OPP 34
-5
45.4%
Seth Boomer run for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 39Similar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 13
OPP 39
0
45.1%
Seth Boomer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:04
4TH & 13
OPP 39
-5
44.8%
TULSA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SMU 44Similar
Q1 12:04
4TH & 18
OPP 44
0
44.8%
Thomas Bennett punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 3INT
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
45.5%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 5 yds to the SMU 25Similar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+8
45.4%
Ben Hicks pass intercepted Cooper Edmiston return for 8 yds to the SMU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 4TD
2 plays · 17 yds · 0:3347% → 49%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
46.5%
Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the SMU 15Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+15
49.3%
Shamari Brooks run for 15 yds for a TD (John Parker Romo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
48.5%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 6 yds to the SMU 31Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+11
48.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 11 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
48.1%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 1 yd to the SMU 43Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 9
OWN 43
-2
48.1%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 41Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 11
OWN 41
0
48.5%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:15
4TH & 11
OWN 41
+2
48.8%
Jamie Sackville punt for 37 yds , Jarion Anderson returns for 2 yds to the Tulsa 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 6MISSED FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 4:0350% → 52%
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
50.1%
Shamari Brooks run for no gain to the Tulsa 24Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+4
50.0%
Shamari Brooks run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 28Similar
Q1 5:57
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+10
49.7%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 10 yds to the Tulsa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
50.5%
Keylon Stokes run for 11 yds to the Tulsa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+20
50.8%
Keenen Johnson pass complete to Cole Neph for 20 yds to the SMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
51.0%
Shamari Brooks run for 9 yds to the SMU 22Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 1
OPP 22
0
51.0%
Shamari Brooks run for no gain to the SMU 22 Shamari Brooks fumbled, forced by TEAM,Similar
Q1 5:57
3RD & 1
OPP 22
-5
50.6%
TULSA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SMU 27Similar
Q1 5:57
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+2
50.7%
Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds to the SMU 25Similar
Q1 1:54
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+42
52.4%
John Parker Romo 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
51.9%
Braeden West run for 4 yds to the SMU 29Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
51.6%
Braeden West run for 5 yds to the SMU 34Similar
Q1 1:54
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
51.5%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Mikial OnuSimilar
Q1 1:54
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
52.1%
Trevor Denbow punt for 47 yds, downed at the Tulsa 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 8TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 2:3353% → 63%
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
53.2%
Seth Boomer pass complete to N/A for 4 yds to the Tulsa 23Similar
Q1 0:39
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+3
53.2%
Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+70
53.1%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 70 yds to the SMU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
55.0%
Corey Taylor II run for no gain to the SMU 4Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
55.0%
Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds to the SMU 2Similar
Q2 13:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
63.2%
Seth Boomer pass complete to N/A for 2 yds for a TD (John Parker Romo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
61.0%
SMU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SMU 18Similar
Q2 12:53
1ST & 15
OWN 18
+46
61.1%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 46 yds to the Tulsa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
59.9%
Braeden West run for no gain to the Tulsa 36Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-5
59.9%
SMU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 41Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 15
OPP 41
0
60.6%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr., broken up by Bryson PowersSimilar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 15
OPP 41
0
61.0%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:53
4TH & 15
OPP 41
0
61.5%
Jamie Sackville punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 10TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:1464% → 82%
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
64.3%
Shamari Brooks run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 23Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+7
64.2%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Chris Minter for 7 yds to the Tulsa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
64.3%
Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 33Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+11
64.5%
Corey Taylor II run for 11 yds to the Tulsa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+27
65.4%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 27 yds to the SMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
65.5%
Seth Boomer pass complete to N/A for 8 yds to the SMU 21Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+16
65.5%
Corey Taylor II run for 16 yds to the SMU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
65.5%
Corey Taylor II run for 4 yds to the SMU 1Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
69.9%
Corey Taylor II run for no gain to the SMU 1Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.0%
Corey Taylor II run for 1 yd for a TD (John Parker Romo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 11TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 3:5822% → 32%
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-13
78.4%
Ben Hicks sacked by Cullen Wick for a loss of 13 yards to the SMU 19 SMU Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 23
OWN 19
+17
79.4%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Tyler Page for 17 yds to the SMU 36Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+24
78.7%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 24 yds to the Tulsa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
77.7%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 36Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+7
77.5%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
76.8%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 30 Ke'Mon Freeman fumbled, forced by Trevis Gipson,Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+29
77.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 29 yds to the Tulsa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
76.7%
Braeden West run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 2Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
68.0%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 2 yds for a TD SMU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 8 (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0072% → 70%
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
71.7%
Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 27Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
71.7%
Shamari Brooks run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 28Similar
Q2 4:13
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
71.1%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to Jarion AndersonSimilar
Q2 4:13
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+5
70.3%
Thomas Bennett punt for 45 yds , Tyler Page returns for 5 yds to the SMU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 13MISSED FG
12 plays · 50 yds · 2:3628% → 25%
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
72.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Hunter Thedford for 7 yds to the SMU 39Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 3
OWN 39
0
70.9%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Tyler PageSimilar
Q2 2:46
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+7
71.6%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Braeden West for 7 yds to the SMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
71.6%
Braeden West run for 3 yds to the SMU 49Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+28
70.9%
Ben Hicks run for 28 yds to the Tulsa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
69.5%
SMU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 28Similar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 15
OPP 28
0
71.0%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 15
OPP 28
+3
71.3%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 25Similar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 12
OPP 25
+7
73.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Ke'Mon Freeman for 7 yds to the Tulsa 18Similar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+35
75.5%
Kevin Robledo 35 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Zaven Collins TEAM return for no gain to the Tulsa 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
77.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 15MISSED FG TD
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:3877% → 65%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+32
77.0%
Shamari Brooks run for 32 yds to the SMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
77.1%
Shamari Brooks run for 6 yds to the SMU 21Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 4
OPP 21
-2
77.1%
Shamari Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 23Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+7
76.4%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 7 yds to the SMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
77.1%
Corey Taylor II run for 1 yd to the SMU 15Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
77.1%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to Justin HobbsSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 9
OPP 15
-10
76.3%
Seth Boomer sacked by Richard Moore and Trevor Denbow for a loss of 10 yards to the SMU 25Similar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 19
OPP 25
+45
64.5%
John Parker Romo 42 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Rodney Clemons Rodney Clemons return for 45 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 16INT
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:0066% → 67%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.2%
Shamari Brooks run for no gain to the Tulsa 25Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
65.9%
Seth Boomer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 27Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
64.8%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 9 yds to the Tulsa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
67.2%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Jarion Anderson for 7 yds to the Tulsa 43Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 3
OWN 43
0
68.7%
Shamari Brooks run for no gain to the Tulsa 43Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+8
67.4%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 8 yds to the SMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
68.9%
Seth Boomer sacked by Ken McLaurin and Delontae Scott for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulsa 46Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 15
OWN 46
0
67.1%
Seth Boomer pass intercepted Turner Coxe return for no gain to the SMU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 17INT
4 plays · 24 yds · 0:0036% → 39%
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
63.9%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 43Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+6
62.8%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Tyler Page for 6 yds to the Tulsa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
63.4%
HICKS, Ben pass incomplete to PROCHE, James, PENALTY TLS holding 10 yards to the TLS27, 1ST DOWN SMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+21
61.1%
Ben Hicks pass intercepted McKinley Whitfield return for 21 yds to the Tulsa 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 18FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 3:2072% → 78%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
72.2%
Corey Taylor II run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulsa 19Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 13
OWN 19
+29
71.7%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 29 yds to the Tulsa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
74.8%
Corey Taylor II run for 8 yds to the SMU 44Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 2
OPP 44
0
75.0%
Corey Taylor II run for no gain to the SMU 44Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+5
74.1%
Corey Taylor II run for 5 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+16
75.0%
Seth Boomer run for 16 yds to the SMU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
75.4%
Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds to the SMU 21Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+4
75.4%
Keylon Stokes run for 4 yds to the SMU 17Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 4
OPP 17
0
74.2%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to Chris Minter, broken up by Mikial OnuSimilar
Q3 3:06
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+34
78.4%
John Parker Romo 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 19FG
14 plays · 51 yds · 3:1923% → 26%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
76.7%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Braeden West for 13 yds to the SMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
75.3%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Tyler Page for 12 yds to the Tulsa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
74.4%
Braeden West run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 31Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+3
72.5%
Braeden West run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
72.5%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
73.1%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+7
74.8%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Ke'Mon Freeman for 7 yds to the Tulsa 21Similar
Q3 3:06
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+10
75.8%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 10 yds to the Tulsa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
72.5%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 9Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
76.4%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 9
-5
78.0%
SMU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 14
0
79.1%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 13
OPP 14
+32
73.9%
Kevin Robledo 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
80.6%
Shamari Brooks run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 29Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
80.8%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to Justin HobbsSimilar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
79.7%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Shamari Brooks for 6 yds to the Tulsa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
80.9%
Shamari Brooks run for no gain to the Tulsa 35Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
80.6%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to Jarion AndersonSimilar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+6
79.6%
Seth Boomer pass complete to N/A for 6 yds to the Tulsa 41Similar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
79.8%
Thomas Bennett punt for 53 yds , James Proche returns for no gain to the SMU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 21DOWNS
12 plays · 61 yds · 0:0021% → 22%
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
78.6%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 2 yds to the SMU 8Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 8
OWN 8
0
78.9%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Ke'Mon FreemanSimilar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 8
OWN 8
+15
80.1%
HICKS, Ben pass incomplete to THEDFORD, H., PENALTY TLS pass interference 15 yards to the SMU23, 1ST DOWN SMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
78.0%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 13 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
76.8%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 6 yds to the SMU 42Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
75.1%
Ben Hicks run for 3 yds to the SMU 45Similar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+7
75.2%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
73.9%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 14 yds to the Tulsa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
72.1%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 33Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
72.2%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.Similar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 9
OPP 33
0
74.4%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Braeden West, broken up by Zaven CollinsSimilar
Q4 12:14
4TH & 9
OPP 33
0
77.6%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
84.8%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Keylon Stokes for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 32Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 11
OWN 32
0
84.4%
Shamari Brooks run for no gain to the Tulsa 32Similar
Q4 8:36
3RD & 11
OWN 32
+8
83.5%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 8 yds to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q4 8:36
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
84.4%
Thomas Bennett punt for 46 yds, fair catch by James Proche at the SMU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:0016% → 14%
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
83.9%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Braeden West for 1 yd to the SMU 15Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 9
OWN 15
0
84.2%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Tyler Page, broken up by Manny BunchSimilar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 9
OWN 15
-11
85.2%
Ben Hicks sacked by Myles Mouton for a loss of 11 yards to the SMU 4Similar
Q4 6:52
4TH & 20
OWN 4
+4
86.1%
Trevor Denbow punt for 36 yds , Jarion Anderson returns for 4 yds to the SMU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 24FG
11 plays · 31 yds · 1:5891% → 95%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
90.7%
Shamari Brooks run for 3 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 7
OPP 33
-4
90.8%
Keylon Stokes run for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 37Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 11
OPP 37
+31
89.8%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 31 yds to the SMU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
90.8%
Shamari Brooks run for 4 yds to the SMU 2Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
94.4%
Shamari Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 3Similar
Q4 3:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
94.4%
Corey Taylor II run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 5Similar
Q4 3:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
94.8%
John Parker Romo 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 25TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 1:574% → 22%
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
95.8%
Ben Hicks sacked by Trevis Gipson for a loss of 10 yards to the SMU 15Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+15
96.0%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 15 yds to the SMU 30Similar
Q4 3:28
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
95.5%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 8 yds to the SMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
95.2%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Judah BellSimilar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+17
95.3%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 17 yds to the Tulsa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
94.7%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Braeden West for 9 yds to the Tulsa 36Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+6
94.3%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Braeden West for 6 yds to the Tulsa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+19
94.0%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 19 yds to the Tulsa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
93.8%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr., broken up by Reggie Robinson IISimilar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
93.8%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Tyler PageSimilar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+11
78.0%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 11 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:0091% → 88%
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-4
90.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 45Similar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 14
OPP 45
-4
90.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 49Similar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 18
OPP 49
-4
88.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulsa 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:31
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 11 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK)
-15.8
TD · Q2 8:12
Corey Taylor II run for 1 yd for a TD (John Parker Romo KICK)
+12.1
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+11.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com