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HOU

Houston 31 at Memphis 52

MEM
2018 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2018 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · MEM
modelMEM aheadHOU aheadconfidence bandkey playMEM scoreHOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:45 · Dane Roy punt for 41 yds, fair catch by John Pop Williams at the Memph 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 86Pregame prior+16.8Home team on offense+5.2Score differential+1.2Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:14: Sam Craft run for 28 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +10.2 pts (now 74%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:41: Tony Pollard run for 6 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +14.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:34: Clayton Tune pass complete to Keith Corbin for 45 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) — HOU win probability +20.6 pts (now 46%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:04: Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +20.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:39: Darrell Henderson run for 60 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +8.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 8HOU made the numbers' call on 7 of 13
  1. Q1 15:00MEM 4th & 2 at MEM 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:31MEM 4th & 11 at MEM 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:38HOU 4th & 7 at HOU 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:42MEM 4th & 16 at MEM 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:37HOU 4th & 6 at MEM 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    29.6%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:31MEM 4th & 9 at HOU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    67.4%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:25HOU 4th & 6 at MEM 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.7%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    30.7%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    28.0%−2.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 15:00MEM 4th & 1 at HOU 16, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    68.5%−1.0
    81% to make
    Punt
    65.4%−4.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 13:39HOU 4th & 21 at HOU 14, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−1.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:45HOU 4th & 8 at HOU 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 9:58MEM 4th & 24 at MEM 18, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.4%−2.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00HOU 4th & 3 at HOU 42, up 4
    Close callPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:14HOU 4th & 10 at MEM 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    23.7%−7.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:07MEM 4th & 9 at MEM 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:09HOU 4th & 6 at HOU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−2.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00MEM 4th & 1 at MEM 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    61.1%−3.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:04HOU 4th & 6 at HOU 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:24HOU 4th & 3 at HOU 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.5%−0.7
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:52HOU 4th & 18 at HOU 34, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:17HOU 4th & 10 at MEM 23, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.7
    average punt
  21. Q4 4:17HOU 4th & 4 at MEM 6, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 7HOU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:37HOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:39MEM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:45MEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:46HOU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:07HOU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:14MEM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:41MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:34HOU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:04MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.8%−0.6
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 9:39MEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 5:56MEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MEMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
74.4%
Brady White pass complete to Tony Pollard for 4 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
74.4%
Brady White pass complete to Darrell Henderson for 2 yds to the Memph 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
74.4%
Darrell Henderson run for 2 yds to the Memph 33Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
74.4%
Adam Williams punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Marquez Stevenson at the Houst 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 1:5826% → 28%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
74.1%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Marquez Stevenson, broken up by T.J. CarterSimilar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+9
74.1%
Clayton Tune run for 9 yds to the Houst 36Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+4
74.1%
Patrick Carr run for 4 yds to the Houst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
74.1%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Keith Corbin, broken up by T.J. CarterSimilar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
74.1%
Patrick Carr run for 7 yds to the Houst 47Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+8
74.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 8 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
74.0%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Keith Corbin, broken up by Josh PerrySimilar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+12
74.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Romello Brooker for 12 yds to the Memph 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
72.4%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Terry Mark for 33 yds for a TD MEMPHIS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
72.7%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tony PollardSimilar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-5
72.7%
MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (Dustin Woodard) to the Memph 16Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 15
OWN 16
+4
72.7%
Darrell Henderson run for 4 yds to the Memph 20Similar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 11
OWN 20
0
72.6%
Brady White pass incomplete to Joey Magnifico, broken up by Joeal WilliamsSimilar
Q1 11:31
4TH & 11
OWN 20
0
72.5%
Adam Williams punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Marquez Stevenson at the Houst 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
72.0%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Romello BrookerSimilar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+3
72.1%
Mulbah Car run for 3 yds to the Houst 37Similar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 7
OWN 37
0
72.1%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:38
4TH & 7
OWN 37
0
72.2%
Dane Roy punt for 49 yds , John Pop Williams returns for no gain to the Memph 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
71.7%
Darrell Henderson run for 9 yds to the Memph 23Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 1
OWN 23
0
71.9%
Brady White pass incomplete to John Pop Williams, broken up by Ed OliverSimilar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+1
71.7%
Darrell Henderson run for 1 yd to the Memph 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-3
71.8%
Darrell Henderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 21Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 13
OWN 21
0
71.7%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 13
OWN 21
-3
71.6%
Brady White sacked by David Anenih for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 18Similar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 16
OWN 18
+8
71.4%
Adam Williams punt for 40 yds , Marquez Stevenson returns for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
50
0
69.7%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Keith CorbinSimilar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 10
50
+4
69.7%
Patrick Carr run for 4 yds to the Memph 46Similar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
69.8%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:37
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
70.0%
Dane Roy punt for 45 yds, downed at the Memph 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 7FG
8 plays · 81 yds · 2:2370% → 71%
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
70.0%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 5 yds to the Memph 6Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 5
OWN 6
-3
70.0%
MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (Dylan Parham) to the Memph 3Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+6
70.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 6 yds to the Memph 9Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 2
OWN 9
+72
69.7%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 57 yds to the MEMPHIS 34 for a 1ST down HOUSTON Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Alexander Myres) to the Houst 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
71.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the Houst 16Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 7
OPP 16
-2
71.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 18Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 9
OPP 18
0
70.8%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q1 4:31
4TH & 9
OPP 18
+35
70.8%
Riley Patterson 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 8DOWNS
16 plays · 45 yds · 3:0630% → 31%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
70.5%
Mulbah Car run for 6 yds to the Houst 31Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
70.2%
Mulbah Car run for 3 yds to the Houst 34Similar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
70.3%
Clayton Tune run for 3 yds to the Houst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
70.2%
TUNE, Clayton pass incomplete to SINGLETON, Rael, PENALTY MEM pass interference (WINDHAM, Tito) 9 yards to the HOU46, 1ST DOWN HOU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
69.9%
Mulbah Car run for 9 yds to the Memph 45Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+6
69.7%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Keith Corbin for 6 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
69.8%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Keith Corbin, broken up by Sanchez Blake Jr.Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
69.8%
Mulbah Car run for no gain to the Memph 39Similar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+10
70.0%
Clayton Tune run for 10 yds to the Memph 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
69.4%
Mulbah Car run for 8 yds to the Memph 21Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 2
OPP 21
-5
69.4%
HOUSTON Penalty, false start (Braylon Jones) to the Memph 26Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+1
68.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Patrick Carr for 1 yd to the Memph 25Similar
Q1 1:25
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
68.4%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Keith CorbinSimilar
Q1 1:25
4TH & 6
OPP 25
-5
69.2%
Clayton Tune sacked by Bryce Huff for a loss of 5 yards to the Memph 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 9TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:0870% → 74%
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+44
69.5%
Brady White pass complete to Tony Pollard for 44 yds to the Houst 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
71.3%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tony PollardSimilar
Q1 0:47
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
71.3%
Darrell Henderson run for 2 yds to the Houst 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+5
70.4%
WHITE, Brady sacked for loss of 3 yards to the HOU26 (ANENIH, David), PENALTY HOU offside defense (OLIVER, Ed) 5 yards to the HOU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+2
70.5%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 2 yds to the Houst 16Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+9
70.0%
Brady White pass complete to Patrick Taylor Jr. for 9 yds to the Houst 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
74.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:0028% → 26%
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.5%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Keith Corbin, broken up by T.J. CarterSimilar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-11
72.6%
Clayton Tune sacked by JJ Russell for a loss of 11 yards to the Houst 14Similar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 21
OWN 14
0
73.2%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:39
4TH & 21
OWN 14
+12
73.6%
Dane Roy punt for 48 yds , John Pop Williams returns for 12 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 11TD
10 plays · 50 yds · 2:0874% → 79%
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
50
+14
73.6%
Brady White pass complete to Tony Pollard for 14 yds to the Houst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
73.8%
Darrell Henderson run for 9 yds to the Houst 27Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 1
OPP 27
0
74.2%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tony PollardSimilar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+4
73.6%
Darrell Henderson run for 4 yds to the Houst 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
74.2%
Darrell Henderson run for 3 yds to the Houst 20Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 7
OPP 20
0
74.2%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+5
73.7%
WHITE, Brady pass incomplete to CRAFT, Sam, PENALTY HOU offside defense (OLIVER, Ed) 5 yards to the HOU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+5
73.6%
WHITE, Brady pass incomplete to CRAFT, Sam, PENALTY HOU offside defense (HALL, Logan) 5 yards to the HOU10, 1ST DOWN MEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
74.2%
Darrell Henderson run for 1 yd to the Houst 9Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
79.0%
Brady White pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 9 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
77.8%
Mulbah Car run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 23Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+4
77.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 4 yds to the Houst 27Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
78.2%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:45
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
78.5%
Dane Roy punt for 41 yds, fair catch by John Pop Williams at the Memph 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -14 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-4
77.8%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 28Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 14
OWN 28
0
77.5%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 14
OWN 28
-10
77.0%
Brady White sacked by Emeke Egbule for a loss of 10 yards to the Memph 18Similar
Q2 9:58
4TH & 24
OWN 18
+9
76.5%
Adam Williams punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Houst 34 , Marquez Stevenson returns for 9 yds to the Houst 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 2:5522% → 31%
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+22
78.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 22 yds to the Memph 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
77.0%
Grant Stuard run for 4 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+11
76.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 11 yds to the Memph 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-6
76.3%
Marquez Stevenson run for a loss of 6 yards to the Memph 35Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 16
OPP 35
+6
77.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 6 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+27
77.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Romello Brooker for 27 yds to the Memph 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
76.1%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Patrick CarrSimilar
Q2 6:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
76.0%
Marquez Stevenson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 3Similar
Q2 5:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
68.7%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Keith Corbin for 3 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 15INT TD
6 plays · 38 yds · 1:3971% → 65%
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
71.3%
Darrell Henderson run for 18 yds to the Memph 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
72.8%
Darrell Henderson run for 12 yds to the Houst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
73.4%
Darrell Henderson run for no gain to the Houst 45Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+8
73.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 8 yds to the Houst 37Similar
Q2 4:07
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+63
64.7%
Brady White pass intercepted for a TD Gleson Sprewell return for 63 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 16INT
11 plays · 76 yds · 0:0062% → 66%
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
61.9%
Brady White pass complete to Tony Pollard for 7 yds to the Memph 26Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+23
62.5%
Brady White pass complete to Tony Pollard for 23 yds to the Memph 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
64.6%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 9
50
+4
64.7%
Brady White pass complete to Mechane Slade for 4 yds to the Houst 46Similar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+9
64.5%
Brady White pass complete to Patrick Taylor Jr. for 9 yds to the Houst 37 for a 1ST down HOUSTON Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-4
65.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 41Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 14
OPP 41
+3
63.4%
Darrell Henderson run for 3 yds to the Houst 38Similar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 11
OPP 38
+17
63.1%
Brady White pass complete to Mechane Slade for 17 yds to the Houst 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+16
66.0%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 16 yds to the Houst 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
66.0%
Brady White pass intercepted Gleson Sprewell return for 2 yds to the Houst 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
58.8%
Mulbah Car run for 5 yds to the Houst 8 HOUSTON Penalty, Offensive holding (Jarrid Williams) to the Houst 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
58.1%
Patrick Carr run for 10 yds to the Houst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
57.4%
Patrick Carr run for 9 yds to the Houst 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
55.6%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Marquez StevensonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-2
56.4%
Patrick Carr run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 42Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+5
58.3%
Dane Roy punt for 49 yds , John Pop Williams returns for 5 yds to the Memph 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 19TD
13 plays · 86 yds · 4:2859% → 74%
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
58.7%
Darrell Henderson run for 2 yds to the Memph 16Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+8
58.8%
Brady White pass complete to Tony Pollard for 8 yds to the Memph 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
59.0%
Brady White pass complete to Tony Pollard for 13 yds to the Memph 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
59.8%
Darrell Henderson run for 7 yds to the Memph 44Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+3
61.9%
Brady White pass complete to Tony Pollard for 3 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
62.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the Memph 49Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+6
62.1%
Tony Pollard run for 6 yds to the Houst 45Similar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+4
62.3%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the Houst 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
62.7%
Brady White pass complete to Patrick Taylor Jr. for 5 yds to the Houst 36Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+4
62.7%
Darrell Henderson run for 4 yds to the Houst 32Similar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+4
62.4%
Darrell Henderson run for 4 yds to the Houst 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
64.2%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+28
74.4%
Sam Craft run for 28 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 20FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 2:0031% → 39%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
69.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 10 yds to the Houst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
68.4%
HOUSTON Penalty, false start (Jarrid Williams) to the Houst 30Similar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+28
69.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 28 yds to the Memph 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
65.7%
Mulbah Car run for no gain to the Memph 42Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
65.8%
Mulbah Car run for 3 yds to the Memph 39Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+12
66.2%
Patrick Carr run for 12 yds to the Memph 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
64.2%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
64.6%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Marquez StevensonSimilar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
66.1%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Marquez Stevenson, broken up by Tyrez LindseySimilar
Q3 7:14
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+44
61.1%
Dalton Witherspoon 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0068% → 64%
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
67.5%
Darrell Henderson run for 1 yd to the Memph 46Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+5
67.4%
Brady White pass complete to John Pop Williams for 5 yds to the Houst 49Similar
Q3 7:07
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
67.7%
Tony Pollard run for no gain to the Houst 49Similar
Q3 7:07
4TH & 4
OPP 49
-5
65.6%
MEMPHIS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Memph 46Similar
Q3 7:07
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
63.8%
Adam Williams punt for 53 yds, downed at the Houst 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0039% → 36%
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
61.3%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Marquez Stevenson, broken up by Jacobi FrancisSimilar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+4
61.7%
Patrick Carr run for 4 yds to the Houst 5Similar
Q3 5:09
3RD & 6
OWN 5
0
63.0%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Romello BrookerSimilar
Q3 5:09
4TH & 6
OWN 5
+7
64.2%
Dane Roy punt for 47 yds , John Pop Williams returns for 7 yds to the Houst 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 23TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 1:3568% → 84%
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
67.7%
Tony Pollard run for 16 yds to the Houst 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
68.8%
Tony Pollard run for 11 yds to the Houst 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
68.8%
Brady White pass complete to Mechane Slade for 9 yds to the Houst 9Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+3
68.8%
Tony Pollard run for 3 yds to the Houst 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
83.5%
Tony Pollard run for 6 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 24TD
5 plays · 56 yds · 1:0125% → 46%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
75.5%
Mulbah Car run for 5 yds to the Houst 49Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+1
74.6%
Mulbah Car run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 4
50
+5
74.8%
Jeremy Singleton run for 5 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
54.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Keith Corbin for 45 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 25TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:3063% → 88%
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
63.2%
Tony Pollard run for 3 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+5
65.2%
Tony Pollard run for 5 yds to the Memph 43Similar
Q3 1:34
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
65.2%
Brady White pass complete to Darrell Henderson for 1 yd to the Memph 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+4
63.3%
Darrell Henderson run for 4 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+19
66.2%
Darrell Henderson run for 19 yds to the Houst 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+16
68.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 16 yds to the Houst 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+14
68.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 14 yds to the Houst 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
68.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the Houst 1Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.3%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
82.3%
TUNE, Clayton pass incomplete, PENALTY MEM holding (PERRY, Josh) 10 yards to the HOU35, 1ST DOWN HOU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
81.5%
Clayton Tune run for no gain to the Houst 35Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
81.8%
Patrick Carr run for 6 yds to the Houst 41Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-2
80.3%
Clayton Tune run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 39Similar
Q4 12:04
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+4
82.9%
Dane Roy punt for 36 yds , John Pop Williams returns for 4 yds to the Memph 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 27TD
2 plays · 71 yds · 0:4387% → 96%
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
86.7%
Darrell Henderson run for 11 yds to the Memph 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
95.5%
Darrell Henderson run for 60 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 28DOWNS
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:097% → 7%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-4
92.8%
Clayton Tune sacked by John Tate IV for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 14 Clayton Tune fumbled, recovered by Houst Clayton Tune , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 14
OWN 14
+4
92.9%
Patrick Carr run for 4 yds to the Houst 18Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+7
93.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Deontay Anderson for 7 yds to the Houst 25Similar
Q4 8:24
4TH & 3
OWN 25
-7
93.1%
Clayton Tune sacked by Jonathan Wilson for a loss of 7 yards to the Houst 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 29TD
5 plays · 18 yds · 2:2496% → 100%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
96.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 7 yds to the Houst 11Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+7
96.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 7 yds to the Houst 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
96.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the Houst 1Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for no gain to the Houst 1Similar
Q4 5:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
Darrell Henderson run for 1 yd for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 30INT
17 plays · 77 yds · 1:351% → 1%
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+13
99.2%
Patrick Carr run for 13 yds to the Houst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
99.2%
Patrick Carr run for 12 yds to the Houst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.2%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Grant StuardSimilar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
99.2%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Keith CorbinSimilar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 10
OWN 42
-8
99.2%
Clayton Tune sacked by Jonathan Wilson for a loss of 8 yards to the Houst 34Similar
Q4 5:52
4TH & 18
OWN 34
+21
99.3%
Clayton Tune run for 21 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+22
99.3%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 22 yds to the Memph 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.1%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Keith CorbinSimilar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
99.2%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
99.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for no gain to the Memph 23Similar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+11
99.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 11 yds to the Memph 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.1%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
99.1%
Clayton Tune run for no gain to the Memph 12Similar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+6
99.2%
Clayton Tune run for 6 yds to the Memph 6Similar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 4
OPP 6
0
99.2%
Clayton Tune pass intercepted, touchback. T.J. Carter return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 31Uncategorized
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:12100% → 100%
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.7%
Tony Pollard run for 3 yds to the Memph 23Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
99.7%
Tony Pollard run for 6 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+24
99.8%
Tony Pollard run for 24 yds to the Houst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 49Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 12
OPP 49
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:34
Clayton Tune pass complete to Keith Corbin for 45 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)
-20.6
TD · Q4 12:04
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)
+20.1
TD · Q3 2:41
Tony Pollard run for 6 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)
+14.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com