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USF

South Florida 17 at Temple 27

TEM
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 17, 2018 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadUSF aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreUSF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGFGEnd of GameTD+8TEM 47.8%Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd for a TD(Will Mobley KICK)AWAY 17 - HOME 7 · Q3 9:41
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:41 · Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 111Pregame prior+15.1Home team on offense−9.7Score differential−5.3Garbage-time factor−3.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:27: Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd for a TD (Coby Weiss KICK) — USF win probability +14.8 pts (now 60%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:41: Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Mobley KICK) — TEM win probability +8.0 pts (now 48%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 3:59: Will Mobley 33 yd FG GOOD — TEM win probability +2.7 pts (now 49%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. PUNT · Q4 10:05: Trent Schneider punt for 43 yds , Isaiah Wright returns for 73 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK) — TEM win probability +31.4 pts (now 74%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:00: Timeout SOUTH FLORIDA, clock 02:00 — TEM win probability +11.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 12USF made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00TEM 4th & 16 at TEM 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:44TEM 4th & 11 at USF 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:59USF 4th & 2 at USF 18, up 7
    Close callPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:02TEM 4th & 9 at USF 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    75.0%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:02USF 4th & 12 at USF 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:42USF 4th & 1 at TEM 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    24.5%−0.7
    60% to make
    Punt
    23.0%−2.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:50USF 4th & 7 at TEM 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    24.7%−2.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:50TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 13:36USF 4th & 9 at USF 21, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 12:17TEM 4th & 9 at USF 31, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.3%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    68.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    68.0%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q2 9:18USF 4th & 14 at USF 27, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−1.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  12. Q2 7:54TEM 4th & 3 at midfield, down 10
    Close callPunted · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q2 2:27TEM 4th & 14 at USF 48, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 15:00USF 4th & 1 at TEM 31, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    55.3%−4.8
    54% to make
    Punt
    54.1%−6.0
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:41TEM 4th & 1 at USF 1, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    31.4%−2.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    23.6%−10.8
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:59TEM 4th & 3 at USF 16, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.1%−0.7
    81% to make
    Punt
    26.9%−10.9
    average punt
  17. Q3 3:53USF 4th & 4 at TEM 41, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    56.2%−2.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%−1.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:44TEM 4th & 12 at USF 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−4.2
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    23.1%−13.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:05USF 4th & 5 at USF 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%
    average punt
  20. Q4 10:03TEM 4th & 1 at USF 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    66.7%−9.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    70.0%−5.9
    average punt
  21. Q4 8:13USF 4th & 10 at TEM 40, down 3
    Close callPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    27.0%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%−0.9
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:49TEM 4th & 4 at USF 31, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 7.7 ptsPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    85.2%−2.0
    54% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.5%−7.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1USF made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:52USF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:27USF Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:41TEM Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
83.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the Temp 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-3
83.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
83.6%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 24
-5
83.6%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Temp 19Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+40
83.6%
Connor Bowler punt for 40 yds , Tyre McCants returns for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 2TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:0717% → 18%
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
83.2%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 3 yds to the SFla 43Similar
Q1 13:59
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+5
83.2%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Tyre McCants for 5 yds to the SFla 48Similar
Q1 13:59
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+49
83.2%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 49 yds to the Temp 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
83.2%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd to the Temp 2Similar
Q1 13:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
83.2%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, false start (Jacob Mathis) to the Temp 7Similar
Q1 13:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
83.2%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Jacob Mathis for 4 yds to the Temp 3Similar
Q1 11:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
81.8%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 3 yds for a TD (Coby Weiss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
82.2%
Anthony Russo pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-1
82.1%
Anthony Russo run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 47 Anthony Russo fumbled, recovered by Temp Anthony RussoSimilar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 11
OPP 47
0
82.0%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q1 11:44
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
81.9%
Connor Bowler punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tyre McCants at the SFla 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
81.5%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 3 yds to the SFla 13Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+5
81.5%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Ryeshene Bronson for 5 yds to the SFla 18Similar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 2
OWN 18
0
81.6%
Jordan Cronkrite run for no gain to the SFla 18Similar
Q1 10:59
4TH & 2
OWN 18
+3
81.6%
Trent Schneider punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 32 , Isaiah Wright returns for 3 yds to the Temp 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5MISSED FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 5:0581% → 78%
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
80.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for no gain to the Temp 32Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
80.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 3 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+15
80.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
50
+10
80.9%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ryquell Armstead for 10 yds to the SFla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
81.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the SFla 37Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 7
OPP 37
-3
81.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 40Similar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+10
80.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 10 yds to the SFla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
81.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for no gain to the SFla 30Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+18
81.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Chris Myarick for 18 yds to the SFla 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
81.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the SFla 11Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
81.1%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden Mack, broken up by Mike HamptonSimilar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
80.9%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q1 4:02
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+29
77.7%
Will Mobley 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
77.1%
Johnny Ford run for 3 yds to the SFla 23Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
77.0%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Ryeshene BronsonSimilar
Q1 4:02
3RD & 7
OWN 23
-5
77.3%
Blake Barnett sacked by Quincy Roche for a loss of 5 yards to the SFla 18Similar
Q1 4:02
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
77.6%
Trent Schneider punt for 36 yds , Isaiah Wright returns for no gain to the Temp 37 Isaiah Wright fumbled, recovered by SFla Chris BarrSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 7FG
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:5225% → 27%
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
75.3%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Ryeshene Bronson for 5 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+3
75.2%
Johnny Ford run for 3 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+1
75.4%
Johnny Ford run for 1 yd to the Temp 28Similar
Q1 2:42
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+7
75.7%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 7 yds to the Temp 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
75.2%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 2 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+1
75.2%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd to the Temp 18Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 18
0
73.0%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Tyre McCants, broken up by Benny WallsSimilar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+35
73.0%
Coby Weiss 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
72.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 4 yds to the Temp 39Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
73.1%
Anthony Russo run for no gain to the Temp 39Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
72.6%
Anthony Russo pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
72.2%
Connor Bowler punt for 41 yds, downed at the SFla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
72.1%
Duran Bell Jr. run for no gain to the SFla 20Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
72.2%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Duran Bell Jr. for 1 yd to the SFla 21Similar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
72.6%
Blake Barnett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:36
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
72.9%
Trent Schneider punt for 52 yds, downed at the Temp 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 42 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+22
69.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for 22 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
70.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Travon Williams for 7 yds to the SFla 44Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+12
71.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Travon Williams for 12 yds to the SFla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
71.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Chris Myarick for 3 yds to the SFla 29Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+1
71.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the SFla 28Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 6
OPP 28
-3
71.0%
Anthony Russo sacked by Kirk Livingstone for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 31Similar
Q2 12:17
4TH & 9
OPP 31
0
69.7%
Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Randle Jones, broken up by Mike HamptonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
67.8%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Tyre McCantsSimilar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+1
68.1%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd to the SFla 32Similar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 9
OWN 32
-5
68.6%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SFla 27Similar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 14
OWN 27
0
68.9%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Ryeshene Bronson, broken up by Christian BraswellSimilar
Q2 9:18
4TH & 14
OWN 27
0
69.3%
Trent Schneider punt for 30 yds, downed at the Temp 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
65.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 5 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+2
66.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 3
50
0
65.9%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ryquell Armstead, broken up by Kirk Livingstone TEMPLE Penalty, illegal motion ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 7:54
4TH & 3
50
0
64.9%
Connor Bowler punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SFla 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 13TD
13 plays · 83 yds · 4:2136% → 60%
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
63.8%
Johnny Ford run for 5 yds to the SFla 22Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+6
63.5%
Johnny Ford run for 6 yds to the SFla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
63.4%
Johnny Ford run for 3 yds to the SFla 31Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+8
63.2%
Johnny Ford run for 8 yds to the SFla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
62.4%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Jernard Phillips for no gain to the SFla 39Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+10
62.7%
Duran Bell Jr. run for 10 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
62.4%
Duran Bell Jr. run for 7 yds to the Temp 44Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 3
OPP 44
-6
62.2%
Duran Bell Jr. run for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:48
3RD & 9
50
+22
62.8%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Tyre McCants for 22 yds to the Temp 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
62.0%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Jernard Phillips for 3 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+24
62.0%
Johnny Ford run for 23 yds to the Temp 2 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, personal foul (Delvon Randall) to the Temp 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
39.9%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd for a TD (Coby Weiss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
47.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 21 yds to the SFla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
49.8%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
49.5%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ventell Bryant, broken up by Mike HamptonSimilar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+1
49.0%
Anthony Russo run for 1 yd to the SFla 43Similar
Q2 2:27
4TH & 9
OPP 43
-5
48.2%
TEMPLE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SFla 48Similar
Q2 2:27
4TH & 14
OPP 48
0
47.8%
Connor Bowler punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SFla 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
37.6%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 2 yds to the SFla 25Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+9
37.7%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 9 yds to the SFla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 16DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
38.6%
Jordan Cronkrite run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+3
38.6%
Blake Barnett run for 3 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+7
39.0%
Blake Barnett run for 7 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 31
0
40.4%
Jordan Cronkrite run for no gain to the Temp 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17TD
12 plays · 69 yds · 3:4640% → 48%
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
39.5%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive offside (Kevin Kegler) to the Temp 36Similar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 5
OWN 36
0
40.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for no gain to the Temp 36Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+7
40.5%
Anthony Russo run for 7 yds to the Temp 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
41.5%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Brodrick YancySimilar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+21
41.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 21 yds to the SFla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
39.4%
RUSSO,Anthony rush for loss of 1 yard to the USF37, fumble forced by BROWN, Juwuan, fumble by RUSSO,Anthony recovered by USF PINKNEY, Kelvin at USF34, PINKNEY, Kelvin for 66 yards to the TEM0, clock 12:02, PENALTY USF face mask (BROWN, Juwuan) 15 yards to the USF21, 1ST DOWN TEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
40.3%
Ryquell Armstead run for 4 yds to the SFla 17Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+14
40.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ryquell Armstead for 14 yds to the SFla 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
41.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the SFla 2Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
40.3%
Rob Ritrovato run for 1 yd to the SFla 1Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
39.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Dan Archibong for no gain to the SFla 1Similar
Q3 9:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
47.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 18INT
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
45.4%
Johnny Ford run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 49Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 13
OWN 49
0
46.1%
Blake Barnett pass intercepted Delvon Randall return for no gain to the Temp 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 19INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+42
45.9%
Anthony Russo pass intercepted Ronnie Hoggins return for 27 yds to the TEMPLE 40 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, illegal block (Nick Roberts) to the Temp 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 20FUMBLE
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
44.3%
Johnny Ford run for no gain to the Temp 47Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+6
44.3%
Johnny Ford run for 6 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+4
44.8%
Johnny Ford run for 4 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
44.3%
Johnny Ford run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 41 Johnny Ford fumbled, recovered by Temp Quincy RocheSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 3:0445% → 49%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
45.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Temp 44Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+22
45.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Sean Ryan for 22 yds to the SFla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
48.3%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the SFla 32Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+9
48.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 9 yds to the SFla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
48.3%
Rob Ritrovato run for 6 yds to the SFla 17Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 4
OPP 17
0
48.3%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Chris Myarick, broken up by Greg ReavesSimilar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+1
46.4%
Rob Ritrovato run for 1 yd to the SFla 16Similar
Q3 3:59
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+33
49.1%
Will Mobley 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 22PUNT
11 plays · 39 yds · 0:0056% → 58%
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
43.8%
Duran Bell Jr. run for 3 yds to the SFla 23Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
43.4%
Duran Bell Jr. run for 3 yds to the SFla 26Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+6
43.8%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 6 yds to the SFla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
42.4%
Duran Bell Jr. run for 10 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
40.8%
Duran Bell Jr. run for 4 yds to the SFla 46Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+7
40.8%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Jacob Mathis for 7 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
40.1%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd to the Temp 46Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+1
40.2%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd to the Temp 45Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+4
40.7%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Jacob Mathis for 4 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q3 3:53
4TH & 4
OPP 41
+20
42.4%
Trent Schneider punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Delvon Randall at the Temp 16 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Temp 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 23FG
9 plays · 61 yds · 3:2140% → 46%
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+28
40.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 28 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
44.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 6 yds to the SFla 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 45
-1
45.6%
Ventell Bryant run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+18
44.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 18 yds to the SFla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
47.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 12 yds to the SFla 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-4
47.5%
Anthony Russo sacked by Rashawn Yates for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 20
+2
46.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the SFla 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 18
0
44.1%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q4 11:44
4TH & 12
OPP 18
+36
45.9%
Will Mobley 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 24PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3159% → 26%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
41.2%
Johnny Ford run for 3 yds to the SFla 28Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
40.7%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Tyre McCantsSimilar
Q4 11:36
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+2
42.6%
Blake Barnett run for 2 yds to the SFla 30Similar
Q4 10:05
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+73
74.0%
Trent Schneider punt for 43 yds , Isaiah Wright returns for 73 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0078% → 76%
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
78.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 6 yds to the SFla 47Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+2
78.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the SFla 45Similar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+1
78.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the SFla 44Similar
Q4 10:03
4TH & 1
OPP 44
-1
76.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 27PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0033% → 29%
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
67.0%
Duran Bell Jr. run for 2 yds to the SFla 47Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+3
66.1%
Blake Barnett run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 5
50
+10
65.9%
Blake Barnett run for 10 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
65.2%
BELL, Duran rush for 7 yards to the TEM33 (RANDALL,Delvon), PENALTY USF illegal motion 5 yards to the TEM45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+5
67.6%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Tyre McCants for 5 yds to the Temp 40Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
65.3%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Tyre McCantsSimilar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
67.6%
Blake Barnett run for no gain to the Temp 40Similar
Q4 8:13
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
70.6%
Trent Schneider punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 28PUNT
13 plays · 47 yds · 3:2675% → 89%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
75.2%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Brodrick YancySimilar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+3
74.9%
Anthony Russo run for 3 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+27
73.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 27 yds to the SFla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
79.0%
Anthony Russo run for no gain to the SFla 48Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+3
78.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the SFla 45Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+8
78.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 8 yds to the SFla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
79.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the SFla 36Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 9
OPP 36
0
90.1%
Anthony Russo run for no gain to the SFla 36Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+5
89.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 5 yds to the SFla 31Similar
Q4 1:49
4TH & 4
OPP 31
0
89.0%
Connor Bowler punt for 21 yds, fair catch by Tyre McCants at the SFla 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 29FUMBLE TD
1 play · -10 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
97.1%
Blake Barnett sacked by Dana Levine for a loss of 7 yards Blake Barnett fumbled, recovered by Temp Chapelle Russell , return for 0 yards for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 30INT
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:003% → 5%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
96.7%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Ryeshene Bronson for 7 yds to the SFla 43Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+15
96.6%
BARNETT, Blake pass incomplete to CLERVEAUX, Stan, PENALTY TEM pass interference (CRUMP,Linwood) 15 yards to the TEM42, 1ST DOWN USF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
96.2%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Ryeshene Bronson for 8 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 2
OPP 34
0
95.3%
Blake Barnett pass intercepted Linwood Crump return for no gain to the Temp 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 31END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
96.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
PUNT · Q4 10:05
Trent Schneider punt for 43 yds , Isaiah Wright returns for 73 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)
+31.4
TD · Q2 2:27
Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd for a TD (Coby Weiss KICK)
-14.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:00
Timeout SOUTH FLORIDA, clock 02:00
+11
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com