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UConn 21 at East Carolina 55

ECU
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 17, 2018 · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
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Win probability · ECU
modelECU aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playECU scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:14 · Luke Magliozzi punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECaro 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 163Pregame prior+7.1Home team on offense+35.5Score differential+30.1Garbage-time factor+9.9Blowout margin+15.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:55: David Pindell pass complete to Tyler Davis for 13 yds for a TD (Michael Tarbutt KICK) — CONN win probability +7.6 pts (now 25%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:57: Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 24 yds for a TD (Jake Verity KICK) — ECU win probability +4.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:16: David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 6 yds for a TD (Michael Tarbutt KICK) — CONN win probability +5.6 pts (now 28%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:03: Anthony Scott run for 5 yds for a TD (Jake Verity KICK) — ECU win probability +5.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:52: Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 5 yds for a TD CONNECTICUT Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined (Jake Verity KICK) — ECU win probability +8.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ECU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5CONN made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 7:33CONN 4th & 2 at ECU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    15.6%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    15.5%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q2 7:38CONN 4th & 11 at CONN 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:26ECU 4th & 10 at ECU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:01CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:51ECU 4th & 9 at CONN 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    79.8%−3.9
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00ECU 4th & 2 at CONN 31, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    88.7%−0.8
    54% to make
    Punt
    88.3%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:52CONN 4th & 16 at CONN 31, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−1.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:28CONN 4th & 16 at CONN 34, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:14CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 47, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:41ECU 4th & 17 at ECU 49, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:34CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 25, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:49ECU 4th & 7 at ECU 40, up 34
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ECU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7CONN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:24CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:33ECU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:55CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:57ECU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:16CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 8:17ECU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 2:03ECU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:52ECU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:28ECU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 10:14ECU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:3614% → 17%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
85.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
85.8%
David Pindell run for 1 yd to the UConn 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
85.8%
David Pindell pass complete to Tyler Davis for 7 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
85.8%
David Pindell run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+13
85.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 13 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
85.8%
David Pindell run for 4 yds to the ECaro 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+5
85.8%
David Pindell run for 5 yds to the ECaro 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+2
85.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
83.2%
David Pindell pass complete to Tyler Davis for 41 yds for a TD (Michael Tarbutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 2:5184% → 84%
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
83.5%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 7 yds to the ECaro 31Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 3
OWN 31
0
83.7%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by Tahj Herring-WilsonSimilar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+25
83.5%
Holton Ahlers run for 25 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+27
83.8%
Darius Pinnix run for 27 yds to the UConn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
84.0%
Darius Pinnix run for 3 yds to the UConn 14Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+7
84.0%
Darius Pinnix run for 7 yds to the UConn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
84.0%
Darius Pinnix run for 1 yd to the UConn 6Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
84.1%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 6 yds for a TD (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3TD
18 plays · 77 yds · 7:3817% → 25%
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
83.4%
David Pindell run for 5 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+10
83.3%
David Pindell pass complete to Kyle Buss for 10 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
83.2%
Tyler Davis pass complete to David Pindell for 16 yds to the ECaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
83.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the ECaro 45Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 9
OPP 45
-5
83.0%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (Matt Peart) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 14
50
-5
83.2%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (Keyion Dixon) to the UConn 45Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 19
OWN 45
-2
83.3%
David Pindell pass complete to Kevin Mensah for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 43Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 21
OWN 43
+15
83.4%
PINDELL, David deep pass incomplete to MAYALA, Hergy, PENALTY ECU pass interference (ROBINSON, Dvndr) 15 yards to the ECU42, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
83.0%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the ECaro 42Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+6
83.0%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 6 yds to the ECaro 36Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+2
83.0%
David Pindell run for 2 yds to the ECaro 34Similar
Q1 7:33
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+8
83.2%
David Pindell run for 8 yds to the ECaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
82.8%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Kevin MensahSimilar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+6
82.9%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 6 yds to the ECaro 20Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+8
83.0%
David Pindell pass complete to Kyle Buss for 8 yds to the ECaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
82.8%
David Pindell run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 13Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+13
75.2%
David Pindell pass complete to Tyler Davis for 13 yds for a TD (Michael Tarbutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 92 yds · 1:5877% → 82%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
76.5%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 9 yds to the ECaro 17Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 1
OWN 17
+3
76.7%
Hussein Howe run for 3 yds to the ECaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
76.6%
Holton Ahlers run for 5 yds to the ECaro 25Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+13
76.8%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 13 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+38
77.1%
Holton Ahlers run for 38 yds to the UConn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
81.7%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 24 yds for a TD (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 1:4121% → 28%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+68
79.4%
Kevin Mensah run for 68 yds to the ECaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
77.8%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the ECaro 5Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
77.8%
David Pindell run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 6Similar
Q2 11:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
72.2%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 6 yds for a TD (Michael Tarbutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 2:5974% → 80%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
74.0%
Holton Ahlers run for 2 yds to the ECaro 32Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+11
74.1%
Darius Pinnix run for 11 yds to the ECaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+24
74.8%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Xavier Smith for 24 yds to the UConn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
76.1%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 2 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+27
76.1%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Xavier Smith for 27 yds to the UConn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
76.1%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Tyler SneadSimilar
Q2 11:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
76.1%
Darius Pinnix run for 2 yds to the UConn 2Similar
Q2 8:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
79.9%
Holton Ahlers run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:3923% → 22%
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
77.2%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 24Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
77.3%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Kyle Buss, broken up by Devon SuttonSimilar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
77.3%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Aaron McLean, broken up by Devon SuttonSimilar
Q2 7:38
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
77.8%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the ECaro 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
79.0%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Mydreon Vines for 5 yds to the ECaro 38Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 5
OWN 38
-15
80.0%
AHLERS, Holton screen pass complete to SNEAD, Tyler for 2 yards to the ECU40 (HERRING-WILSON;FORTT, Omar), PENALTY ECU personal foul (BROWN, Trevon) 15 yards to the ECU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 20
OWN 23
+12
78.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Trevon Brown for 12 yds to the ECaro 35Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+12
78.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Terrell Green for 12 yds to the ECaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
80.1%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Xavier SmithSimilar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
79.9%
Hussein Howe run for no gain to the ECaro 47Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
79.0%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Tyler SneadSimilar
Q2 7:26
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
78.3%
Jonn Young punt for 42 yds, downed at the UConn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0025% → 23%
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
75.5%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UConn 11Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+1
75.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 12Similar
Q2 5:01
3RD & 9
OWN 12
0
76.1%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q2 5:01
4TH & 9
OWN 12
+10
76.7%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 50 yds , Trevon Brown returns for 10 yds to the ECaro 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 10TD
4 plays · 52 yds · 1:2979% → 85%
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
78.9%
Hussein Howe run for 16 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+23
79.3%
Hussein Howe run for 23 yds to the UConn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
79.9%
Holton Ahlers run for 8 yds to the UConn 5Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+5
85.4%
Anthony Scott run for 5 yds for a TD (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11FUMBLE
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.4%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Kyle BussSimilar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
83.5%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 7 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
83.3%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 4 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
82.9%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (Ryan Crozier) to the UConn 31Similar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 15
OWN 31
-5
83.4%
David Pindell sacked by Nate Harvey for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 26 David Pindell fumbled, recovered by ECaro Nate Harvey , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 12FG
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:3086% → 86%
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+16
85.5%
Blake Proehl run for 16 yds to the UConn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
85.5%
Hussein Howe run for 2 yds to the UConn 8Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
84.7%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Tyler Snead, broken up by Santana SterlingSimilar
Q2 1:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
84.1%
Holton Ahlers run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 9Similar
Q2 0:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
85.5%
Jake Verity 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.6%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Kevin MensahSimilar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
85.7%
David Pindell pass intercepted Colby Gore return for no gain to the ECaro 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 14FG
8 plays · 49 yds · 0:3786% → 88%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+21
85.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
50
+16
86.0%
Holton Ahlers run for 16 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
86.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+12
86.3%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 12 yds to the UConn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
86.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
86.3%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+39
88.2%
Jake Verity 39 yd FG GOOD CONNECTICUT Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 15TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:0889% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.1%
Hussein Howe run for 2 yds to the ECaro 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
89.1%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
88.6%
Holton Ahlers run for 9 yds to the ECaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
89.4%
Hussein Howe run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+5
89.1%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Trevon Brown for 5 yds to the ECaro 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+9
89.0%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Terrell Green for 9 yds to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
89.7%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Mydreon Vines for 9 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+4
89.8%
Trace Christian run for 4 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
89.8%
Trace Christian run for 2 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+1
89.8%
Anthony Scott run for 1 yd to the UConn 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+5
89.4%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Trevon Brown for 5 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+26
88.9%
Anthony Scott run for 26 yds to the UConn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.1%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 5 yds for a TD CONNECTICUT Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.2%
David Pindell run for 1 yd to the UConn 26Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
96.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q3 9:52
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
96.1%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 6 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
96.0%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 35Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+4
96.3%
David Pindell run for 4 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q3 9:52
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-8
96.1%
David Pindell sacked by Nate Harvey for a loss of 8 yards to the UConn 31Similar
Q3 9:52
4TH & 16
OWN 31
0
96.3%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 48 yds, downed at the ECaro 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 3:3598% → 100%
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
97.5%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Xavier Smith for 9 yds to the ECaro 30Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+5
97.5%
AHLERS, Holton deep out pass incomplete to BROWN, Trevon, PENALTY UCONN offside defense (UGUAK, Lwal) 5 yards to the ECU35, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
97.5%
Hussein Howe run for 8 yds to the ECaro 43Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+2
97.6%
Hussein Howe run for 2 yds to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
97.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Anthony Scott for no gain to the ECaro 45Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+11
97.6%
Holton Ahlers run for 11 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
97.6%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+34
97.6%
Anthony Scott run for 34 yds to the UConn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
97.6%
Anthony Scott run for 3 yds to the UConn 7Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
97.6%
Anthony Scott run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 9Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.8%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Trevon Brown for 9 yds for a TD (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Tyler DavisSimilar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.8%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 15 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UConn 40Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-6
99.7%
David Pindell sacked by Nate Harvey for a loss of 6 yards to the UConn 34Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 16
OWN 34
0
99.8%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Aaron McLeanSimilar
Q3 2:28
4TH & 16
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the ECaro 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 19TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 5:25100% → 100%
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.8%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Tyler Snead, broken up by Ian SwensonSimilar
Q3 0:39
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+12
99.8%
Trace Christian run for 12 yds to the ECaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.8%
Trace Christian run for no gain to the ECaro 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+17
99.8%
Trace Christian run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.8%
Trace Christian run for 2 yds to the UConn 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 48
-1
99.8%
Trace Christian run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+17
99.8%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Terrell Green for 17 yds to the UConn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
99.8%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Tyler Snead) to the UConn 37Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+12
99.8%
Holton Ahlers run for 12 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+1
99.8%
Hussein Howe run for 1 yd to the UConn 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+13
99.8%
Holton Ahlers run for 3 yds to the UConn 21 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, personal foul (Oneil Robinson) to the UConn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
99.8%
Trace Christian run for 3 yds to the UConn 8Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Trace Christian run for 8 yds for a TD (Caleb Pratt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 23Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+24
99.9%
David Pindell pass complete to Kyle Buss for 24 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.9%
David Pindell pass complete to Tyler Davis for 5 yds to the ECaro 48Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 5
OPP 48
-5
99.9%
David Pindell sacked by Cannon Gibbs and Ray Tillman for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 47Similar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
99.9%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Aaron McLeanSimilar
Q4 10:14
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECaro 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 43 yds · 4:24100% → 100%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+24
99.9%
Trace Christian run for 24 yds to the ECaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Trace Christian run for no gain to the ECaro 30Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+26
99.9%
Trace Christian run for 26 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Cam Coleman run for no gain to the UConn 44Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-5
99.9%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Fernando Frye) to the UConn 49Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 15
OPP 49
+1
99.9%
Duce Fuller run for 1 yd to the UConn 48Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 14
OPP 48
-3
99.9%
Duce Fuller run for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 49Similar
Q4 3:41
4TH & 17
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Jonn Young punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Kyle Buss at the UConn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Brandon Bisack pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+11
99.9%
Brandon Bisack pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 11 yds to the UConn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Brandon Bisack pass incomplete to Tyraiq BealsSimilar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Brandon Bisack pass incomplete to Kyle BussSimilar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Brandon Bisack pass incomplete to Tyraiq Beals, broken up by Warren SabaSimilar
Q4 3:34
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Warren Saba at the ECaro 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
99.9%
Trace Christian run for 5 yds to the ECaro 42Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-1
99.9%
Caiden Norman run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 41Similar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 6
OWN 41
-1
99.9%
Caiden Norman run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 40Similar
Q4 2:49
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Jonn Young punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kyle Buss at the UConn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 24INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
100.0%
Brandon Bisack pass incomplete to Tyraiq BealsSimilar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
100.0%
Brandon Bisack pass intercepted Damel Hickman return for no gain to the ECaro 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:52
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 5 yds for a TD CONNECTICUT Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined (Jake Verity KICK)
+8.1
TD · Q2 14:55
David Pindell pass complete to Tyler Davis for 13 yds for a TD (Michael Tarbutt KICK)
-7.6
TD · Q2 11:16
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 6 yds for a TD (Michael Tarbutt KICK)
-5.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com