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MEM

Memphis 28 at SMU 18

SMU
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2018 · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
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Win probability · SMU
modelSMU aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playSMU scoreMEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDSAFETYTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:55 · Adam Williams punt for 41 yds, downed at the SMU 18 MEMPHIS Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Chris Claybrooks) to the SMU 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 77Home team on offense−2.8Pregame prior−10.6Score differential−1.8Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:14: Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +11.0 pts (now 75%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:22: Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 31 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK) — SMU win probability +22.5 pts (now 53%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:19: Brady White pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 9 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +15.8 pts (now 82%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:44: Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +6.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:14: Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — SMU win probability +7.3 pts (now 13%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11MEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 13:34SMU 4th & 1 at SMU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:20SMU 4th & 16 at MEM 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    34.5%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:27SMU 4th & 1 at MEM 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    36.2%−0.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    34.6%−2.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:04MEM 4th & 10 at MEM 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:22SMU 4th & 3 at MEM 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.9%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    36.7%−2.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:00MEM 4th & 4 at SMU 4, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.7%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    54.8%−4.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:32SMU 4th & 6 at SMU 24, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.5%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:29SMU 4th & 2 at SMU 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−0.2
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:55MEM 4th & 14 at MEM 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−2.0
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:49SMU 4th & 15 at MEM 37, down 2
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.8 ptsPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−1.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    40.0%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%−1.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:21MEM 4th & 5 at MEM 27, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−1.0
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:09SMU 4th & 7 at SMU 23, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−2.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:16SMU 4th & 18 at SMU 13, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−3.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:14SMU 4th & 2 at MEM 2, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    5.7%−2.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−5.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:43MEM 4th & 9 at MEM 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%−1.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:50SMU 4th & 13 at SMU 25, down 10
    Numbers favored punt by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.5%−1.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2MEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q2 9:26MEM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:14MEM Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:22SMU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:19MEM Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.2%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:44MEM Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:14SMU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    12.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    11.6%−0.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SMUDrive 1PUNT
15 plays · 31 yds · 5:3533% → 35%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.9%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
33.1%
Ben Hicks sacked by Jonathan Wilson for a loss of 10 yards to the SMU 15Similar
Q1 13:52
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+19
33.3%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 19 yds to the SMU 34Similar
Q1 13:34
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
33.5%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 2 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
33.8%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Myron Gailliard for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 35Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+4
34.0%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Myron Gailliard for 4 yds to the SMU 39Similar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+10
34.2%
Hicks, Ben pass incomplete to Roberson Jr., Reggie, PENALTY MEMPHIS holding (Windham, Tito) 10 yards to the SMU49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SMU.Similar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
34.6%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 7 yds to the Memph 44Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+2
34.9%
Braeden West run for 2 yds to the Memph 42Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+4
35.1%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 4 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
35.4%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 1 yd to the Memph 37Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
35.6%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 9
OPP 37
-7
35.6%
Ben Hicks sacked by Bryce Huff for a loss of 7 yards to the Memph 44Similar
Q1 9:20
4TH & 16
OPP 44
0
35.1%
Jamie Sackville punt for 30 yds, fair catch by John Pop Williams at the Memph 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2INT
4 plays · 65 yds · 0:4765% → 65%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+62
35.4%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 62 yds to the SMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
34.5%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
34.6%
Darrell Henderson run for 3 yds to the SMU 21Similar
Q1 8:16
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+1
35.0%
Brady White pass intercepted Patrick Nelson return for 1 yd to the SMU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 3DOWNS
8 plays · 76 yds · 2:4336% → 37%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
35.7%
Hicks, Ben pass incomplete to Roberson Jr., Reggie, PENALTY MEMPHIS pass interference (Perry, Josh) 15 yards to the SMU31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SMU.Similar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
35.9%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 2 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
36.1%
Braeden West run for no gain to the SMU 33Similar
Q1 6:42
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+51
36.0%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Braeden West for 51 yds to the Memph 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
37.5%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+7
37.6%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 7 yds to the Memph 9Similar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+2
37.5%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 2 yds to the Memph 7Similar
Q1 5:27
4TH & 1
OPP 7
-1
37.3%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:1563% → 62%
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+16
36.9%
Darrell Henderson run for 16 yds to the Memph 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
36.8%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
36.9%
Darrell Henderson run for no gain to the Memph 24Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
37.5%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tony PollardSimilar
Q1 4:04
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
38.0%
Adam Williams punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 5FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 3:3838% → 41%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
37.5%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 5 yds to the SMU 38Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+6
38.4%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 6 yds to the SMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
38.7%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+17
38.5%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 17 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
39.3%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 3 yds to the Memph 36Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+15
39.8%
Hicks, Ben pass incomplete to Roberson Jr., Reggie, PENALTY MEMPHIS pass interference (Carter, T.J.) 15 yards to the MEMPHIS21, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SMU.Similar
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
40.1%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Hunter ThedfordSimilar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+10
40.2%
Hicks, Ben pass incomplete to Bell, Judah, PENALTY MEMPHIS holding (Carter, T.J.) 10 yards to the MEMPHIS11, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SMU.Similar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
40.2%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Judah BellSimilar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+8
40.3%
Braeden West run for 8 yds to the Memph 3Similar
Q1 1:05
3RD & 2
OPP 3
-1
40.1%
Braeden West run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 4Similar
Q1 0:22
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+21
40.5%
Kevin Robledo 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6MISSED FG
14 plays · 55 yds · 3:0561% → 58%
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
39.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 7 yds to the Memph 48Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+11
39.2%
Brady White pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 11 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
39.1%
Tony Pollard run for 3 yds to the SMU 38Similar
Q2 14:24
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+5
39.3%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 5 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q2 13:51
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+6
39.5%
Brady White pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 6 yds to the SMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
39.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the SMU 25Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
39.2%
Brady White pass incomplete to Sam CraftSimilar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+18
39.9%
Brady White pass complete to Patrick Taylor Jr. for 10 yds to the SMU 15 for a 1ST down SMU Penalty, Personal Foul (Robert Hayes Jr.) to the SMU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
39.3%
Darrell Henderson run for 6 yds to the SMU 1Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
39.5%
Brady White run for a loss of 3 yards to the SMU 4Similar
Q2 12:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
41.0%
Brady White pass incomplete to John Pop WilliamsSimilar
Q2 12:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
42.1%
Riley Patterson 21 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 7FUMBLE
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2043% → 42%
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-6
42.8%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Braeden West for a loss of 6 yards to the SMU 14Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 16
OWN 14
0
42.9%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Judah BellSimilar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+10
42.4%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 10 yds to the SMU 24Similar
Q2 10:32
4TH & 6
OWN 24
-3
42.2%
Jamie Sackville pass complete to Ben Redding for a loss of 3 yards Ben Redding fumbled, forced by Kedarian Jones, recovered by Memph Mechane SladeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8TD
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:4959% → 64%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
41.0%
Darrell Henderson run for 5 yds to the SMU 16Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 5
OPP 16
0
41.2%
Darrell Henderson run for no gain to the SMU 16Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+16
35.8%
Brady White pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 16 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5038% → 38%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
38.0%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
38.0%
Xavier Jones run for 8 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
38.8%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.Similar
Q2 8:29
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+51
37.7%
Jamie Sackville punt for 51 yds , John Pop Williams returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:2662% → 62%
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
38.3%
Darrell Henderson run for 2 yds to the Memph 17Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
37.3%
Brady White pass incomplete to John Pop WilliamsSimilar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+28
38.0%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 28 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
35.4%
Darrell Henderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 42Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 13
OWN 42
-12
36.4%
Brady White pass complete to Brady White for a loss of 12 yards to the Memph 30Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 25
OWN 30
+11
38.3%
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 11 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q2 5:55
4TH & 14
OWN 41
+26
38.4%
Adam Williams punt for 41 yds, downed at the SMU 18 MEMPHIS Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Chris Claybrooks) to the SMU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 11FUMBLE
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:1338% → 43%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
38.3%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 4 yds to the SMU 37Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+7
39.8%
Ben Hicks run for 7 yds to the SMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
40.2%
Freeman, Ke'Mon rush for loss of 1 yard to the SMU43, PENALTY MEMPHIS face mask 14 yards to the MEMPHIS42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SMU.Similar
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
41.1%
Braeden West run for 4 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+3
41.3%
Braeden West run for 3 yds to the Memph 35Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+6
41.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 6 yds to the Memph 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
42.9%
Hicks, Ben rush for loss of 1 yard to the MEMPHIS30, PENALTY MEMPHIS face mask (Akins, Curtis) 15 yards to the MEMPHIS14, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SMU.Similar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
42.8%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+7
42.9%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Ryan Becker for 7 yds Ryan Becker fumbled, forced by Carlito Gonzalez, recovered by Memph JJ RussellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12Uncategorized
5 plays · -17 yds · 0:2362% → 59%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
37.9%
Brady White pass complete to Mechane Slade for 3 yds to the Memph 10Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 7
OWN 10
0
37.4%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tony PollardSimilar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 7
OWN 10
-5
38.0%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (Damonte Coxie) to the Memph 5Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 12
OWN 5
-5
42.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 12
OWN 20
-10
41.3%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Personal Foul (-10 Yards) to the Memph 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 1:0644% → 41%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
44.3%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+19
44.0%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Tyler Page for 19 yds to the Memph 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
46.7%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
46.6%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Braeden WestSimilar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 10
OPP 32
-5
44.5%
Ben Hicks sacked by Bryce Huff for a loss of 5 yards to the Memph 37 Ben Hicks fumbled, forced by Bryce Huff, recovered by SMU Ben Hicks , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:49
4TH & 15
OPP 37
0
41.0%
Jamie Sackville punt for 36 yds, downed at the Memph 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14END OF HALF
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:4859% → 58%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
41.1%
Brady White run for 2 yds to the Memph 3Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+6
42.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 6 yds to the Memph 9Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 9
+3
42.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the Memph 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:2861% → 59%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
38.9%
Henderson, Darrell rush for no gain to the MEMPHIS22, PENALTY MEMPHIS holding (Joseph, Roger) 10 yards to the MEMPHIS12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:32
1ST & 20
OWN 12
+8
39.1%
Darrell Henderson run for 8 yds to the Memph 20Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+7
39.5%
Brady White pass complete to John Pop Williams for 7 yds to the Memph 27Similar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
39.8%
Brady White pass incomplete to John Pop WilliamsSimilar
Q3 13:21
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
41.3%
Adam Williams punt for 73 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0441% → 39%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
41.4%
Braeden West run for 5 yds to the SMU 25Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-2
41.8%
Braeden West run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 23Similar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
39.8%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:09
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
39.3%
Jamie Sackville punt for 42 yds, fair catch by John Pop Williams at the Memph 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 17TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:4561% → 75%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+35
39.2%
Darrell Henderson run for 35 yds to the SMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
36.0%
Darrell Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 31Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+18
36.1%
Brady White pass complete to Tony Pollard for 18 yds to the SMU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
35.7%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the SMU 9Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+9
24.8%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 18FUMBLE
11 plays · 48 yds · 3:2427% → 31%
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
27.4%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Tyler Page for 14 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
28.6%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+14
28.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Ke'Mon Freeman for 14 yds to the Memph 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
29.9%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 8 yds to the Memph 36Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+2
30.0%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 2 yds to the Memph 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
30.7%
Braeden West run for 1 yd to the Memph 33Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
30.7%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+9
28.8%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 9 yds to the Memph 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
30.7%
Braeden West run for no gain to the Memph 24Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+18
30.6%
Ben Hicks pass intercepted Tito Windham return for 18 yds to the Memph 31 Tito Windham fumbled, recovered by Memph Curtis AkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 19INT
11 plays · 34 yds · 4:0975% → 79%
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
25.0%
Darrell Henderson run for 4 yds to the Memph 35Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+1
24.7%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd to the Memph 36Similar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+9
24.8%
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 9 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
23.3%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 7 yds to the SMU 48Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+21
22.9%
Tony Pollard run for 21 yds to the SMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
21.7%
Tony Pollard run for 2 yds to the SMU 25Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
21.6%
Brady White pass incomplete to Joey MagnificoSimilar
Q3 3:19
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+10
23.4%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 10 yds to the SMU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-20
21.5%
Darrell Henderson run for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 20 MEMPHIS Penalty, Personal Foul (John Pop Williams) to the SMU 35Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 30
OPP 35
+43
21.1%
Brady White pass intercepted Kevin Johnson return for 43 yds to the Memph 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 20TD
5 plays · 47 yds · 0:4728% → 53%
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
28.1%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.Similar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
27.5%
James Proche pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.Similar
Q3 1:53
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+16
26.4%
Ben Hicks run for 16 yds to the Memph 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
30.3%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Myron GailliardSimilar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+31
52.8%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 31 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 21TD
11 plays · 63 yds · 2:4162% → 82%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
38.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q3 0:39
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+14
36.6%
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 14 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
35.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 6 yds to the SMU 39Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
35.9%
Brady White pass incomplete to Joey MagnificoSimilar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+14
36.7%
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 14 yds to the SMU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+16
34.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 16 yds to the SMU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
33.8%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for no gain to the SMU 9Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
33.3%
Brady White pass incomplete to Patrick Taylor Jr.Similar
Q4 13:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
18.4%
Brady White pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 9 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:5224% → 21%
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+12
23.5%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 12 yds to the SMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
23.9%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Judah BellSimilar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-5
23.8%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Braeden West for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 16Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 15
OWN 16
-3
22.6%
Ben Hicks sacked by Bryce Huff and Joseph Dorceus for a loss of 3 yards to the SMU 13Similar
Q4 11:16
4TH & 18
OWN 13
0
20.5%
Jamie Sackville punt for 40 yds, fair catch by John Pop Williams at the Memph 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 23TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 2:2482% → 98%
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
17.8%
Darrell Henderson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 7
50
+1
16.6%
Brady White pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 1 yd to the SMU 49Similar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+9
14.7%
Brady White pass complete to Patrick Taylor Jr. for 9 yds to the SMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+34
14.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 34 yds to the SMU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
10.3%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the SMU 2Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
2.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 24TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:186% → 13%
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+57
6.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 57 yds to the Memph 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
7.5%
Hicks, Ben pass incomplete, PENALTY MEMPHIS holding (Windham, Tito) 9 yards to the MEMPHIS9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SMU.Similar
Q4 7:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
7.8%
Hicks, Ben pass complete to Bell, Judah for 1 yard to the MEMPHIS8, PENALTY SMU illegal formation 5 yards to the MEMPHIS14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
-2
7.1%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 16Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
0
6.6%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Judah BellSimilar
Q4 6:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
+14
6.0%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 14 yds to the Memph 2Similar
Q4 6:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
13.3%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:2391% → 92%
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
8.9%
Darrell Henderson run for 2 yds to the Memph 27Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
8.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 26Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
8.4%
Darrell Henderson run for no gain to the Memph 26Similar
Q4 4:43
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
8.5%
Adam Williams punt for 46 yds, fair catch by James Proche at the SMU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 26DOWNS
11 plays · 4 yds · 2:189% → 5%
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
9.4%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Myron GailliardSimilar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
8.8%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q4 4:19
3RD & 10
OWN 28
-3
8.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Braeden West for a loss of 3 yards to the SMU 25Similar
Q4 3:50
4TH & 13
OWN 25
+17
6.8%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 17 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
8.3%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 18 yds to the Memph 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
8.2%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-10
8.0%
Hicks, Ben pass incomplete to Proche, James, PENALTY SMU holding (Ali, Alan) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 20
50
0
5.3%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 20
50
-5
5.1%
SMU Penalty, False Start (Jaylon Thomas) to the SMU 45Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 25
OWN 45
-13
4.9%
Ben Hicks sacked by Austin Hall and Joseph Dorceus for a loss of 13 yards to the SMU 32Similar
Q4 2:21
4TH & 38
OWN 32
0
4.6%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Judah BellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 27Uncategorized
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:1396% → 97%
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
4.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the SMU 29Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+4
3.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the SMU 25Similar
Q4 1:01
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+5
3.1%
SMU Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the SMU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
3.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 21Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 21
-2
3.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:22
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 31 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK)
+22.5
TD · Q4 13:19
Brady White pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 9 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)
-15.8
TD · Q3 10:14
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)
-11
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com