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TULN

Tulane 17 at Houston 48

HOU
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2018 · TDECU Stadium
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Win probability · HOU
modelHOU aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playHOU scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:24 · Ryan Wright punt for 51 yds , Marquez Stevenson returns for 5 yds to the Houst 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 69Home team on offense+6.9Score differential+3.2Pregame prior+9.6Garbage-time factor+0.9Blowout margin+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:39: Darius Bradwell run for 20 yds for a TD (Merek Glover PAT MISSED) — TULN win probability +3.3 pts (now 36%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 14:08: Merek Glover 40 yd FG GOOD — TULN win probability +3.8 pts (now 35%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:07: D'Eriq King pass complete to Romello Brooker for 11 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) — HOU win probability +8.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:25: D'Eriq King run for 3 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) — HOU win probability +6.2 pts (now 87%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:34: Clayton Tune pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 37 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) — HOU win probability +3.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HOU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8TULN made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:34HOU 4th & 8 at HOU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:09TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:43HOU 4th & 17 at HOU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:19TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:08TULN 4th & 9 at HOU 23, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    23.4%−3.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:32HOU 4th & 1 at TULN 31, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    68.4%−1.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    67.8%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:24TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 29, down 12
    Close callPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:22HOU 4th & 12 at TULN 12, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%−1.5
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    87.4%−4.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:23TULN 4th & 1 at HOU 31, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    4.5%−2.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−3.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:47TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 45, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:21HOU 4th & 10 at TULN 10, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:19HOU 4th & 25 at TULN 42, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−<0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:24HOU 4th & 17 at HOU 49, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:50TULN 4th & 12 at TULN 48, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:18TULN 4th & 14 at TULN 31, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:01HOU 4th & 3 at HOU 30, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HOU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TULN made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 6:26HOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:39TULN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    30.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:21HOU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:07HOU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:25HOU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:34HOU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:28TULN Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:10HOU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HOUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1866% → 65%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
65.5%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 6 yds to the Houst 31Similar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-2
65.5%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Bryson Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 29Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-2
65.4%
D'Eriq King sacked by Carlos Hatcher and Robert Kennedy for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 27Similar
Q1 13:34
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
65.3%
Dane Roy punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1635% → 35%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
65.3%
Corey Dauphine run for 4 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
65.1%
Corey Dauphine run for 2 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
65.1%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q1 12:09
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+49
65.3%
Ryan Wright punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Bryson Smith at the HOUSTON 19 HOUSTON Penalty, Personal Foul (Grant Stuard) to the Houst 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:1865% → 65%
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
65.3%
TULANE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (P.J. Hall) to the Houst 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
65.3%
Patrick Carr run for 9 yds to the Houst 34Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
65.5%
Patrick Carr run for 2 yds to the Houst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
65.4%
HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (Terry Mark) to the Houst 31Similar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+2
65.2%
Patrick Carr run for 2 yds to the Houst 33Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 13
OWN 33
-11
65.1%
D'Eriq King sacked by Juan Monjarres and Zachery Harris for a loss of 11 yards to the Houst 22Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 24
OWN 22
+7
64.9%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Bryson Smith for 7 yds to the Houst 29Similar
Q1 9:43
4TH & 17
OWN 29
+2
64.7%
Dane Roy punt for 43 yds , Amare Jones returns for 2 yds to the Tulan 31 TULANE Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Tulan 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1735% → 35%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
65.0%
Corey Dauphine run for 3 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
64.9%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+3
65.0%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Jabril Clewis for 3 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
Q1 8:19
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
65.2%
Ryan Wright punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Bryson Smith at the Houst 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 1:4465% → 69%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
64.9%
D'Eriq King run for 5 yds to the Houst 33Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+15
65.1%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 15 yds to the Houst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
65.4%
D'Eriq King run for 13 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
65.5%
Patrick Carr run for 4 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+14
65.7%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Romello Brooker for 14 yds to the Tulan 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
65.7%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+21
68.5%
Patrick Carr run for 21 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6TD
3 plays · 62 yds · 0:2833% → 36%
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+42
67.3%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Terren Encalade for 42 yds to the Houst 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
64.0%
Darius Bradwell run for 20 yds for a TD (Merek Glover PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:0965% → 70%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
65.4%
Bryson Smith run for 8 yds to the Houst 33Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
65.9%
D'Eriq King run for no gain to the Houst 33Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+64
65.5%
D'Eriq King run for 64 yds to the Tulan 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
66.7%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Bryson SmithSimilar
Q1 4:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
69.5%
Patrick Carr run for 3 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8FG
13 plays · 43 yds · 4:5531% → 35%
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
68.6%
Darius Bradwell run for 4 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+13
68.4%
Darius Bradwell run for 13 yds to the Houst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
68.0%
Corey Dauphine run for 2 yds to the Houst 47Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+4
68.2%
Justin McMillan run for 4 yds to the Houst 43Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+7
68.5%
Darius Bradwell run for 7 yds to the Houst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
68.5%
Darius Bradwell run for 5 yds to the Houst 31Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 5
OPP 31
-3
67.8%
Darius Bradwell run for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 34Similar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+10
68.9%
Corey Dauphine run for 10 yds to the Houst 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
67.9%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+1
68.2%
Amare Jones run for 1 yd to the Houst 23Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 9
OPP 23
0
69.1%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Jabril ClewisSimilar
Q2 14:08
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+40
65.3%
Merek Glover 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 9DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2167% → 66%
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
67.1%
Marquez Stevenson run for 2 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+1
67.1%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Romello Brooker for 1 yd to the Tulan 37Similar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+6
66.8%
D'Eriq King run for 6 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 12:32
4TH & 1
OPP 31
0
66.2%
Patrick Carr run for no gain to the Tulan 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:4234% → 35%
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
65.7%
Darius Bradwell run for 6 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+3
64.7%
Darius Bradwell run for 3 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q2 11:06
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+2
64.6%
Corey Dauphine run for 2 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
65.4%
Justin McMillan pass intercepted Roman Brown return for 9 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 38 yds · 1:2569% → 78%
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
69.2%
Bryson Smith run for 9 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 1
OPP 29
0
69.9%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+13
69.2%
Patrick Carr run for 13 yds to the Tulan 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
69.9%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Romello Brooker for 5 yds to the Tulan 11Similar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+11
78.4%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Romello Brooker for 11 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2925% → 24%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
75.3%
Corey Dauphine run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 20Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+9
75.9%
Justin McMillan run for 9 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q2 7:35
3RD & 2
OWN 29
0
75.8%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q2 7:24
4TH & 2
OWN 29
+5
76.4%
Ryan Wright punt for 51 yds , Marquez Stevenson returns for 5 yds to the Houst 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 13TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:5078% → 87%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+36
77.8%
Patrick Carr run for 36 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
78.9%
D'Eriq King run for 4 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+2
79.2%
Patrick Carr run for 2 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+11
78.9%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Terry Mark for 11 yds to the Tulan 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
79.5%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Marquez StevensonSimilar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-2
79.5%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 24Similar
Q2 4:53
3RD & 12
OPP 24
+16
79.2%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 16 yds to the Tulan 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
80.2%
Patrick Carr run for 2 yds to the Tulan 6Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
80.3%
Patrick Carr run for no gain to the Tulan 6 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Tirise Barge) to the Tulan 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
80.4%
D'Eriq King run for no gain to the Tulan 3Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
86.6%
D'Eriq King run for 3 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14INT
4 plays · 15 yds · 1:0715% → 15%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
85.2%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Terren Encalade for 10 yds to the Tulan 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
85.0%
Darius Bradwell run for 5 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+41
85.2%
Justin McMillan pass intercepted Isaiah Johnson return for 41 yds to the Tulan 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 15FG
7 plays · -4 yds · 1:3890% → 93%
Q2 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
89.6%
Patrick Carr run for 2 yds to the Tulan 6Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
89.9%
Patrick Carr run for 4 yds to the Tulan 2Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-15
90.6%
HOUSTON Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the Tulan 17Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
0
90.7%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q2 0:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 17
+5
89.7%
TULANE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Donnie Lewis Jr.) to the Tulan 12Similar
Q2 0:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
93.1%
Dalton Witherspoon 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
90.4%
Corey Dauphine run for 4 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:179% → 7%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+20
91.5%
Corey Dauphine run for 20 yds to the Houst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
91.5%
Corey Dauphine run for 2 yds to the Houst 38Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+3
92.0%
Darius Bradwell run for 3 yds to the Houst 35Similar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+4
92.3%
Darius Bradwell run for 4 yds to the Houst 31Similar
Q3 12:23
4TH & 1
OPP 31
-1
92.7%
Corey Dauphine run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 2:4194% → 99%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
94.4%
Patrick Carr run for 1 yd to the Houst 33Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 9
OWN 33
-5
94.5%
HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Houst 28Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 14
OWN 28
0
94.4%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Romello BrookerSimilar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 14
OWN 28
+18
94.4%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 18 yds to the Houst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
95.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 1 yd to the Houst 47Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 9
OWN 47
-10
95.1%
HOUSTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Houst 37Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 19
OWN 37
+26
94.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Romello Brooker for 26 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
95.3%
Kevrin Justice run for 2 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 8
OPP 35
-2
95.5%
Patrick Carr run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 37Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+37
99.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 37 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:331% → 1%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
99.0%
Darius Bradwell run for 7 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+6
99.0%
Darius Bradwell run for 6 yds to the Tulan 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.1%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darius Bradwell for 3 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+1
99.1%
Justin McMillan run for 1 yd to the Tulan 45Similar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
99.2%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q3 6:47
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
99.2%
Ryan Wright punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 20FG
10 plays · 70 yds · 2:1699% → 100%
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
99.4%
Clayton Tune run for 10 yds to the Houst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+34
99.5%
Patrick Carr run for 34 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
99.5%
Patrick Carr run for 6 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+5
99.5%
Grant Stuard run for 5 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
99.6%
Grant Stuard run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 28Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 13
OPP 28
+18
99.6%
Grant Stuard run for 18 yds to the Tulan 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.6%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Grant StuardSimilar
Q3 4:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.6%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Marquez StevensonSimilar
Q3 4:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.6%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q3 4:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
99.5%
Dalton Witherspoon 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21FUMBLE
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:311% → 0%
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
99.0%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Jabril Clewis for 15 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
99.5%
TULANE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Keyshawn McLeod) to the Tulan 34Similar
Q3 3:36
1ST & 20
OWN 34
+4
99.6%
Corey Dauphine run for 4 yds to the Tulan 38 Corey Dauphine fumbled, recovered by Houst Joeal WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:11100% → 100%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
99.6%
Grant Stuard run for 11 yds to the Tulan 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-9
99.6%
Clayton Tune sacked by P.J. Hall for a loss of 9 yards to the Tulan 42 Clayton Tune fumbled, forced by P.J. Hall, recovered by Houst Romello Brooker , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 25
OPP 42
0
99.6%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Grant StuardSimilar
Q3 2:27
3RD & 25
OPP 42
0
99.5%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Marquez StevensonSimilar
Q3 2:19
4TH & 25
OPP 42
0
99.5%
Dane Roy punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:420% → 2%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.7%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darius Bradwell for 4 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q3 1:36
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+10
99.7%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 10 yds to the Tulan 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
99.7%
Justin McMillan run for 8 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+7
99.7%
Justin McMillan run for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 44 Justin McMillan fumbled, recovered by Tulan Amare Jones for a 1ST down Amare Jones run for 7 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+38
99.7%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Brian Newman for 38 yds to the Houst 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+17
99.6%
Amare Jones run for 17 yds to the Houst 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.8%
Amare Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (J. McMillan Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:5699% → 99%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
98.5%
Chandler Smith run for 1 yd to the Tulan 43Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
98.6%
Chandler Smith run for no gain to the Tulan 43Similar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 9
OPP 41
-8
98.6%
Clayton Tune run for 2 yds to the Houst 41 HOUSTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Houst 49Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 17
OWN 49
0
98.6%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Grant StuardSimilar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 17
OWN 49
0
98.6%
Dane Roy punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Amare Jones at the Tulan 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25DOWNS
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:301% → 1%
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
98.6%
Justin McMillan run for 3 yds to the Tulan 8Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+23
98.7%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 23 yds to the Tulan 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
98.6%
Darius Bradwell run for 9 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 1
OWN 40
0
98.7%
Justin McMillan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+10
98.7%
Stephon Huderson run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
50
+4
98.8%
Stephon Huderson run for 4 yds to the Houst 46Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 6
OPP 46
-6
98.8%
Justin McMillan sacked by Austin Robinson for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulan 48Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 12
OWN 48
0
98.9%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q4 8:50
4TH & 12
OWN 48
-1
98.9%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Charles Jones II for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 26TD
5 plays · 47 yds · 2:3099% → 100%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
99.1%
Kinte Hatton run for 10 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
99.1%
Kevrin Justice run for 11 yds to the Tulan 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.1%
Kevrin Justice run for no gain to the Tulan 26Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+24
99.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Tre'von Bradley for 24 yds to the Tulan 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Parker Eichenberger for 2 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 27INT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:500% → 0%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
99.9%
Cameron Carroll run for 7 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+1
99.9%
Cameron Carroll run for 1 yd to the Tulan 41Similar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+4
99.9%
Dane Ledford run for 4 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Dane Ledford pass incomplete to Jorien VallienSimilar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
99.9%
Dane Ledford pass intercepted Gleson Sprewell return for 6 yds to the Houst 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 28INT
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:40100% → 100%
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
99.9%
Chandler Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 44Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+11
99.9%
Clayton Tune pass intercepted Taris Shenall return for 11 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:470% → 0%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
99.9%
Cameron Carroll run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 31Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 14
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Dane Ledford pass incomplete to Jaetavian TolesSimilar
Q4 2:24
3RD & 14
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Dane Ledford pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:18
4TH & 14
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Ryan Wright punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Marquez Stevenson at the Houst 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 30PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:09100% → 100%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
99.9%
Kelan Walker run for 4 yds to the Houst 27Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+1
100.0%
Kelan Walker run for 1 yd to the Houst 28Similar
Q4 0:46
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+2
100.0%
Kelan Walker run for 2 yds to the Houst 30Similar
Q4 0:01
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Dane Roy punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Houst 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 31END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · 10 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
100.0%
Cameron Carroll run for 10 yds to the Houst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:07
D'Eriq King pass complete to Romello Brooker for 11 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)
+8.4
TD · Q2 3:25
D'Eriq King run for 3 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)
+6.2
FG · Q2 14:08
Merek Glover 40 yd FG GOOD
-3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com