Try the model
TLSA

Tulsa 21 at Memphis 47

MEM
2018 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2018 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MEM
modelMEM aheadTLSA aheadconfidence bandkey playMEM scoreTLSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:46 · Thomas Bennett punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 60Home team on offense+7.9Pregame prior+24.6Score differential+2.8Garbage-time factor+1.5Blowout margin+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:46: Brady White pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 5 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +4.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:58: Darrell Henderson run for 1 yd for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +4.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Riley Patterson 21 yd FG GOOD — MEM win probability +2.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:42: Seth Boomer pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 18 yds for a TD (John Parker Romo KICK) — TLSA win probability +3.1 pts (now 4%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:41: Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +2.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 5TLSA made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 10:53MEM 4th & 10 at TLSA 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    83.3%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:53TLSA 4th & 15 at TLSA 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:14TLSA 4th & 4 at TLSA 44, down 10
    Close callPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:32MEM 4th & 10 at TLSA 40, up 17
    Close callPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    88.3%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:46TLSA 4th & 11 at TLSA 17, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:25TLSA 4th & 12 at TLSA 23, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:17MEM 4th & 10 at MEM 37, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:54TLSA 4th & 13 at TLSA 26, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−1.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00TLSA 4th & 9 at TLSA 45, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:42MEM 4th & 2 at MEM 24, up 27
    Close callPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:31TLSA 4th & 16 at TLSA 34, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:27TLSA 4th & 12 at TLSA 30, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:50MEM 4th & 10 at MEM 10, up 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:40TLSA 4th & 5 at MEM 39, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:04TLSA 4th & 3 at MEM 25, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5TLSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:14MEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:46MEM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:58MEM Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:42TLSA Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:41MEM Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:10TLSA Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:29MEM Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:11TLSA Touchdown, down 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MEMDrive 1FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 4:0783% → 82%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
83.0%
Darrell Henderson run for 2 yds to the Memph 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+12
83.0%
Darrell Henderson run for 12 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+20
83.0%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 20 yds to the Tulsa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
83.0%
Darrell Henderson run for 16 yds to the Tulsa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
83.0%
Darrell Henderson run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+11
83.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 11 yds to the Tulsa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
83.0%
MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (Dylan Parham) to the Tulsa 18Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 18
+6
83.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 12
-1
83.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 13Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 13
0
83.0%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte Coxie, broken up by Akayleb EvansSimilar
Q1 10:53
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+30
82.2%
Riley Patterson 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
82.1%
Shamari Brooks run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 32Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
82.0%
Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q1 10:53
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
82.1%
Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-11
82.1%
Seth Boomer sacked by Jonathan Wilson for a loss of 11 yards to the Tulsa 25Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 21
OWN 25
0
82.2%
Seth Boomer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:53
3RD & 21
OWN 25
+6
82.3%
Shamari Brooks run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 31Similar
Q1 10:53
4TH & 15
OWN 31
+19
82.3%
Thomas Bennett punt for 39 yds , John Pop Williams returns for 19 yds to the Memph 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 3TD
4 plays · 51 yds · 1:1182% → 83%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+26
81.9%
Darrell Henderson run for 26 yds to the Tulsa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
82.1%
Brady White pass complete to John Pop Williams for 3 yds to the Tulsa 22Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+21
82.1%
Brady White pass complete to Tony Pollard for 21 yds to the Tulsa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.1%
Brady White pass complete to John Pop Williams for 1 yd for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0017% → 18%
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
82.6%
Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 27Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
82.5%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to Justin HobbsSimilar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+11
82.7%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 11 yds to the Tulsa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
82.4%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to Keylon StokesSimilar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
82.4%
Corey Taylor II run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 46Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 2
OWN 46
-2
82.3%
Shamari Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 44Similar
Q1 7:14
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
82.5%
Thomas Bennett punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 5TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:0183% → 88%
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
82.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the Memph 23Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
82.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 5 yds to the Memph 28Similar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+16
82.7%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 16 yds to the Memph 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
83.3%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 49Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+2
83.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 47Similar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+2
83.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+17
83.4%
Brady White pass complete to Tony Pollard for 17 yds to the Tulsa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+17
83.4%
Darrell Henderson run for 17 yds to the Tulsa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
83.4%
Darrell Henderson run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 5Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 4
OPP 5
0
83.4%
Brady White pass incomplete to John Pop Williams, broken up by Zaven CollinsSimilar
Q1 0:46
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
87.6%
Brady White pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 5 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · 35 yds · 0:4113% → 13%
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
86.6%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 12 yds to the Tulsa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
86.5%
Seth Boomer sacked by Bryce Huff for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulsa 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+28
87.5%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 28 yds to the Memph 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+20
86.8%
Shamari Brooks run for no gain to the Tulsa 40 Shamari Brooks fumbled, forced by Austin Hall, recovered by Memph Austin Hall , return for 20 yds to the Tulsa 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
88.2%
Darrell Henderson run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 38Similar
Q2 14:32
2ND & 8
OPP 38
-2
88.1%
Darrell Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q2 14:32
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
87.9%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for no gain to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q2 14:32
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
87.5%
Adam Williams punt for 35 yds, downed at the Tulsa 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
88.1%
Corey Taylor II run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 12 TULSA Penalty, illegal block (Keenen Johnson) to the Tulsa 6Similar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 9
OWN 6
+5
88.1%
Corey Taylor II run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 11Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+3
87.9%
Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 14Similar
Q2 12:46
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+4
87.9%
Corey Taylor II run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
87.8%
Corey Taylor II run for no gain to the Tulsa 18Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-1
87.9%
Corey Taylor II run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 17Similar
Q2 12:46
3RD & 11
OWN 17
0
88.0%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to Cole NephSimilar
Q2 12:46
4TH & 11
OWN 17
0
88.1%
Thomas Bennett punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 9TD
14 plays · 65 yds · 5:3790% → 95%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
89.7%
Tony Pollard run for 1 yd to the Memph 36Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+5
89.8%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 5 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+13
89.8%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 13 yds to the Tulsa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
90.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 12 yds to the Tulsa 34 MEMPHIS Penalty, personal foul (Trevon Tate) to the Tulsa 49Similar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
90.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+5
90.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+3
89.8%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
90.1%
Brady White run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 29Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+16
90.1%
Darrell Henderson run for 16 yds to the Tulsa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
90.1%
Darrell Henderson run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 5Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+1
90.1%
Darrell Henderson run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 4Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+2
89.9%
Darrell Henderson run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
90.1%
Darrell Henderson run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 1Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.9%
Darrell Henderson run for 1 yd for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:336% → 6%
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.7%
Shamari Brooks run for no gain to the Tulsa 25Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
93.7%
Shamari Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 24Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-1
93.8%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Shamari Brooks for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 23Similar
Q2 2:25
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
94.0%
Thomas Bennett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by John Pop Williams at the Memph 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
95.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for no gain to the Memph 37Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
95.3%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tony PollardSimilar
Q2 2:17
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
95.2%
Brady White pass incomplete to John Pop Williams, broken up by Zaven Collins MEMPHIS Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 2:17
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
95.0%
Adam Williams punt for 34 yds, downed at the Tulsa 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:406% → 6%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
93.8%
Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 32Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
93.6%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to Keenen Johnson, broken up by Tito WindhamSimilar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 7
OWN 32
-6
93.8%
Seth Boomer sacked by Jonathan Wilson for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulsa 26Similar
Q2 0:54
4TH & 13
OWN 26
+17
94.2%
Thomas Bennett punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 49 , John Pop Williams returns for 17 yds to the Memph 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 13FG
6 plays · 47 yds · 0:4196% → 99%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
96.1%
Brady White pass complete to Tony Pollard for 15 yds to the Tulsa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
96.1%
WHITE, Brady pass incomplete to COXIE, Damonte, PENALTY MEM ineligible downfield on pass (JONES, Kedarian) 5 yards to the TLS41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+4
96.0%
Brady White pass complete to John Pop Williams for 4 yds to the Tulsa 37Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 11
OPP 37
0
96.1%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte Coxie, broken up by Bryson PowersSimilar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 11
OPP 37
+33
95.9%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 33 yds to the Tulsa 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
98.7%
Riley Patterson 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.4%
Shamari Brooks run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
98.2%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 15 yds to the Tulsa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-6
98.2%
Seth Boomer sacked by JJ Russell for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulsa 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 38
+7
98.3%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 7 yds to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 45
0
98.3%
Seth Boomer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 45
+1
98.3%
Thomas Bennett punt for 40 yds , John Pop Williams returns for 1 yd to the Memph 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
99.0%
Darrell Henderson run for 1 yd to the Memph 17Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+8
99.0%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 8 yds to the Memph 25Similar
Q3 12:42
3RD & 1
OWN 25
-1
98.9%
Darrell Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 24Similar
Q3 12:42
4TH & 2
OWN 24
+38
98.8%
Adam Williams punt for 43 yds , Jarion Anderson returns for 38 yds to the Memph 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 16TD
5 plays · 29 yds · 2:171% → 4%
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+19
99.0%
Corey Taylor II run for 19 yds to the Memph 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-3
99.0%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Justin Hobbs for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 13Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
0
99.0%
Corey Taylor II run for no gain to the Memph 13Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
-5
99.1%
TULSA Penalty, false start (Chris Paul) to the Memph 18Similar
Q3 8:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+18
96.0%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 18 yds for a TD (John Parker Romo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 17TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0197% → 100%
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.0%
Darrell Henderson run for 6 yds to the Memph 31Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+25
96.8%
Darrell Henderson run for 25 yds to the Tulsa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
96.9%
Darrell Henderson run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+3
96.9%
Darrell Henderson run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 37Similar
Q3 8:42
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+10
96.9%
WHITE, Brady pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, John (EVANS, A.), PENALTY TLS pass interference (EVANS, A.) 10 yards to the TLS27, 1ST DOWN MEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
97.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 12 yds to the Tulsa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+12
97.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 12 yds to the Tulsa 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
97.0%
Tony Pollard run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 1Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 18TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 2:260% → 3%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
99.6%
Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 29Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+5
99.5%
BOOMER, S. sacked for loss of 6 yards to the TLS23 (RUSSELL, J.J.), PENALTY MEM offside defense 5 yards to the TLS34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+1
99.5%
Corey Taylor II run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 35Similar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+38
99.5%
Corey Taylor II run for 38 yds to the Memph 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
99.5%
BOOMER, S. pass incomplete to CANNON, D., PENALTY MEM pass interference (WINDHAM, Tito) 15 yards to the MEM12, 1ST DOWN TLS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
99.5%
BOOMER, S. pass incomplete to STOKES, K., PENALTY MEM pass interference (PERRY, Josh) 10 yards to the MEM2, 1ST DOWN TLS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.3%
Corey Taylor II run for 1 yd to the Memph 1Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.9%
Corey Taylor II run for 1 yd for a TD (John Parker Romo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 19TD
12 plays · 69 yds · 3:3598% → 100%
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
97.5%
Darrell Henderson run for 9 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+5
97.6%
Tony Pollard run for 5 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
97.6%
Tony Pollard run for 2 yds to the Memph 47Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+1
97.6%
Tony Pollard run for 1 yd to the Memph 48Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+5
97.5%
TULSA Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Tulsa 47Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 2
OPP 47
0
97.5%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte Coxie, broken up by Keanu HillSimilar
Q3 3:04
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+10
97.3%
WHITE, Brady pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, John, PENALTY TLS pass interference (EVANS, A.) 10 yards to the TLS37, 1ST DOWN MEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
97.6%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 35Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 8
OPP 35
-2
97.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+28
98.4%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 28 yds to the Tulsa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.5%
Darrell Henderson run for 9 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 20PUNT RETURN TD
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:540% → 0%
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
99.7%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 13 yds to the Tulsa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.7%
Corey Taylor II run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 41Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-7
99.7%
Seth Boomer sacked by Jackson Dillon for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q4 14:25
3RD & 16
OWN 34
0
99.7%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to Justin Hobbs, broken up by Sanchez Blake Jr.Similar
Q4 12:31
4TH & 16
OWN 34
+72
99.9%
Thomas Bennett punt for 38 yds , John Pop Williams returns for 72 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-4
99.9%
Corey Taylor II run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulsa 28Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 14
OWN 28
+2
99.9%
Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 30Similar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 12
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to Keenen JohnsonSimilar
Q4 12:27
4TH & 12
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Thomas Bennett punt for 60 yds, downed at the Memph 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
99.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 7 yds to the Memph 17Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+2
99.9%
Tony Pollard run for 2 yds to the Memph 19Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 1
OWN 19
-9
99.9%
Brady McBride pass incomplete MEMPHIS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Drew Kyser) to the Memph 10Similar
Q4 10:50
4TH & 10
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Adam Williams punt for 34 yds, downed at the Memph 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
99.9%
Shamari Brooks run for 3 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+2
99.9%
Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the Memph 39Similar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 5
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to Jarion AndersonSimilar
Q4 9:40
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to Shamari BrooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 24FUMBLE
6 plays · 33 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
99.9%
Brady McBride pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 12 yds to the Tulsa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
99.9%
Timothy Taylor run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 47Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+8
99.9%
Timothy Taylor run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
99.9%
Brady McBride pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 6 yds to the Tulsa 33Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 4
OPP 33
-3
99.9%
Marquavius Weaver run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulsa 36Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+7
99.9%
Brady McBride run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 28 Brady McBride fumbled, forced by Zaven Collins, recovered by Tulsa Zaven CollinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 25TD
13 plays · 72 yds · 4:530% → 0%
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
99.9%
Corey Taylor II run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 36Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 4 yds to the Tulsa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
99.9%
Keylon Stokes run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 47Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+9
99.9%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 9 yds to the Memph 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
99.9%
Corey Taylor II run for 8 yds to the Memph 36Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 2
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to Keylon StokesSimilar
Q4 5:04
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+4
99.9%
Corey Taylor II run for 4 yds to the Memph 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to Keenen JohnsonSimilar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
99.9%
Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q4 5:04
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+4
99.9%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Corey Taylor II for 4 yds to the Memph 25Similar
Q4 5:04
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+6
99.9%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Cole Neph for 6 yds to the Memph 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+17
99.9%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 17 yds to the Memph 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds for a TD (John Parker Romo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:58
Darrell Henderson run for 1 yd for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)
+4.8
TD · Q1 0:46
Brady White pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 5 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)
+4.2
TD · Q3 8:42
Seth Boomer pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 18 yds for a TD (John Parker Romo KICK)
-3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com