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SMU

SMU 62 at UConn 50

CONN
2018 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2018 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadSMU aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreSMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+1.1CONN 13.0%Michael Tarbutt 45 yd FG GOODAWAY 24 - HOME 10 · Q2 8:33
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:33 · Michael Tarbutt 45 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 65Pregame prior−29.2Home team on offense−9.2Score differential−4.4Garbage-time factor−2.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 3:54: Ben Hicks pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 6 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK) — SMU win probability +7.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:48: Xavier Jones run for 43 yds for a TD — SMU win probability +7.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:41: David Pindell run for 48 yds for a TD (Michael Tarbutt PAT BLOCKED) — CONN win probability +7.5 pts (now 11%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:18: Kevin Mensah run for 19 yds for a TD (Michael Tarbutt KICK) — CONN win probability +10.2 pts (now 22%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:55: Ke'Mon Freeman run for 3 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK) — SMU win probability +8.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6SMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 13:34SMU 4th & 6 at CONN 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.6%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    84.6%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    84.2%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:31SMU 4th & 13 at CONN 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    83.1%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:31CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:04CONN 4th & 8 at SMU 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    16.1%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:33CONN 4th & 13 at SMU 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−0.6
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    11.5%−2.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:17CONN 4th & 25 at SMU 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    10.0%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:39SMU 4th & 9 at SMU 14, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:12SMU 4th & 1 at CONN 10, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    87.8%−2.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    81.9%−8.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:41SMU 4th & 8 at SMU 33, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−1.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:55CONN 4th & 7 at CONN 49, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.0%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:35SMU 4th & 5 at CONN 13, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.5%
    85% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−2.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:03SMU 4th & 15 at SMU 17, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:15CONN 4th & 5 at SMU 21, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6SMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 7:24SMU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:38CONN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:10SMU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:15SMU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:36SMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:10CONN Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:40SMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:50CONN Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 3:54SMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 14:57CONN Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 14:48SMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 13:41CONN Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    8.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 10:18CONN Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.6%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.1%
    45% to convert
  14. Q4 8:55SMU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SMUDrive 1FG
13 plays · 53 yds · 3:2988% → 86%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
12.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 9 yds to the SMU 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+10
12.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 10 yds to the SMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+27
12.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 27 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
12.2%
Braeden West run for no gain to the UConn 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
12.2%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Braeden WestSimilar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+4
12.8%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Ke'Mon Freeman for 4 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q1 13:34
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+6
12.8%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 6 yds to the UConn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-3
12.8%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 22Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 13
OPP 22
0
12.8%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to James Proche, broken up by Ryan CarrollSimilar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 13
OPP 22
0
12.8%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Xavier Jones, broken up by Darrian BeaversSimilar
Q1 11:31
4TH & 13
OPP 22
+39
13.8%
Kevin Robledo 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.7%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UConn 25Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
13.7%
David Pindell run for 3 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-2
13.6%
David Pindell pass complete to Zavier Scott for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 26Similar
Q1 11:31
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+3
13.6%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 59 yds , James Proche returns for 3 yds to the SMU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 82 yds · 2:1185% → 86%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
14.6%
Xavier Jones run for 3 yds to the SMU 21Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+14
14.6%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 14 yds to the SMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
14.5%
Xavier Jones run for 18 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
14.3%
Xavier Jones run for 5 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+3
14.3%
Xavier Jones run for 3 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+39
13.9%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 39 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4614% → 18%
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
14.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
14.4%
David Pindell run for 7 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
14.4%
David Pindell run for 4 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
14.5%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Tyler DavisSimilar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+24
14.4%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 24 yds to the SMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
14.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the SMU 30Similar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+30
17.7%
David Pindell run for 30 yds for a TD (Michael Tarbutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 1:2883% → 85%
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+56
16.9%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Ryan Becker for 56 yds to the UConn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
16.1%
Braeden West run for 2 yds to the UConn 18Similar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+13
16.1%
James Proche run for 13 yds to the UConn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
16.1%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q1 3:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
14.7%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 5 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6MISSED FG
10 plays · 34 yds · 3:0615% → 15%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
15.2%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Kyle BussSimilar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
15.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 8 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+24
15.2%
David Pindell run for 24 yds to the SMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
15.9%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 2 yds to the SMU 28Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+4
15.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the SMU 24Similar
Q1 0:55
3RD & 4
OPP 24
-4
15.5%
David Pindell sacked by Delontae Scott for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 28Similar
Q1 0:04
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+45
14.9%
Michael Tarbutt 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 7TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 3:4985% → 90%
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
15.0%
Xavier Jones run for 4 yds to the SMU 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
15.0%
Xavier Jones run for no gain to the SMU 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+9
15.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Myron Gailliard for 9 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
14.7%
Xavier Jones run for 1 yd to the SMU 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
14.8%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+19
14.9%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 19 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
14.6%
Xavier Jones run for 5 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+2
14.5%
Ben Hicks run for 2 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+30
14.7%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 28 yds to the UConn 4 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, face mask (2 yards) (Tahj Herring-Wilson) to the UConn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
14.4%
Xavier Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 3Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
9.9%
Tyler Page pass complete to Ryan Becker for 3 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8FG
6 plays · 47 yds · 2:4212% → 13%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+50
11.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 50 yds to the SMU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-9
12.5%
David Pindell sacked by Turner Coxe and Richard Moore for a loss of 9 yards to the SMU 34Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 19
OPP 34
+2
12.2%
David Pindell run for 2 yds to the SMU 32Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 17
OPP 32
+4
11.9%
David Pindell pass complete to Tyler Davis for 4 yds to the SMU 28Similar
Q2 8:33
4TH & 13
OPP 28
+45
13.0%
Michael Tarbutt 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 0:5788% → 92%
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+46
11.7%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 46 yds to the UConn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
11.5%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 3 yds to the UConn 6Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
8.2%
Braeden West run for 6 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10PUNT
15 plays · 24 yds · 1:199% → 10%
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
9.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
9.2%
David Pindell pass complete to Tyler Davis for 6 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
10.2%
David Pindell run for 2 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+18
10.4%
Kevin Mensah run for 18 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
10.6%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the SMU 36Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+1
10.6%
David Pindell pass complete to Tyler Davis for 1 yd to the SMU 35Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 9
OPP 35
-6
10.5%
David Pindell sacked by Toby Ndukwe for a loss of 6 yards to the SMU 41Similar
Q2 6:17
4TH & 15
OPP 41
+15
10.0%
PINDELL, David pass intercepted by ONU, Mikial at the SMU0, ONU, Mikial return to the SMU0, touchback, PENALTY SMU pass interference (CLEMONS, Rodney) 15 yards to the SMU26, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
10.9%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the SMU 26Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
10.8%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 10
OPP 26
-15
10.5%
PINDELL, David pass incomplete to MCLEAN, Aaron (ONU, Mikial), QB hurry by DAVIS, Pono, PENALTY UCONN pass interference (MAYALA, Hergy) 15 yards to the SMU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 25
OPP 41
0
10.1%
David Pindell run for no gain to the SMU 41Similar
Q2 6:17
4TH & 25
OPP 41
0
10.0%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 28 yds, downed at the SMU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-4
8.0%
Braeden West run for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 9Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 14
OWN 9
0
8.5%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Myron GailliardSimilar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 14
OWN 9
+5
8.8%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 5 yds to the SMU 14Similar
Q2 1:39
4TH & 9
OWN 14
0
8.5%
Jamie Sackville punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kyle Buss at the UConn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12MISSED FG
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:499% → 10%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
9.3%
David Pindell pass complete to Zavier Scott for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 4
50
+9
9.6%
David Pindell pass complete to Zavier Scott for 9 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
9.8%
David Pindell pass complete to Zavier Scott for 5 yds to the SMU 36Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 5
OPP 36
0
9.9%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+7
9.7%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 7 yds to the SMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
10.2%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+46
9.7%
Michael Tarbutt 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 3:508% → 14%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
7.7%
David Pindell pass complete to Kyle Buss for 7 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+2
8.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+2
8.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
7.8%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (Matt Peart) to the UConn 25Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+16
7.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 16 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
8.4%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+15
8.5%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Kyle Buss for a 1ST down SMU Penalty, roughing passer (Demerick Gary) to the SMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
8.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 12 yds to the SMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
9.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the SMU 22Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+22
14.1%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 22 yds for a TD (Michael Tarbutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 14TD
3 plays · 70 yds · 0:3089% → 95%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
11.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Myron Gailliard for 18 yds to the SMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
4.7%
Xavier Jones run for 52 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 3:507% → 13%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
7.2%
David Pindell run for 11 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
7.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+11
7.8%
David Pindell pass complete to Kyle Buss for 11 yds to the SMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+17
8.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 17 yds to the SMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
8.5%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the SMU 24Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+5
8.5%
PINDELL, David rush for 1 yard to the SMU23 (McQUEEN, Elijah), PENALTY SMU offside (MOORE, Richard) 5 yards to the SMU19, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
8.5%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the SMU 19Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+4
8.5%
David Pindell run for 4 yds to the SMU 15Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+15
13.0%
David Pindell pass complete to Kyle Buss for 15 yds for a TD (Michael Tarbutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 16TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 2:5690% → 98%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
9.6%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Ke'Mon Freeman for 10 yds to the SMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
9.6%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 10 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
8.9%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Braeden West for 8 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+14
8.6%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Myron Gailliard for 14 yds to the UConn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
8.7%
HICKS, Ben pass incomplete to ROBERSON JR., R, PENALTY UCONN pass interference (COYLE, Tyler) 5 yards to the UCONN28, 1ST DOWN SMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
8.5%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 4 yds to the UConn 24Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 6
OPP 0
+20
8.5%
Ben Hicks run for 5 yds to the UConn 19 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, personal foul (James Proche) to the UConn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
8.5%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 4 yds to the UConn 15Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 6
OPP 15
0
8.5%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
8.6%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.Similar
Q3 4:12
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+5
9.5%
ROBLEDO, Kevin field goal attempt from 32 MISSED - wide left,, clock 04:12, PENALTY UCONN offside (HERRING-WILSON) 5 yards to the UCONN10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:12
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+4
9.2%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 4 yds to the UConn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
2.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 6 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:574% → 12%
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
3.8%
David Pindell run for 13 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
4.0%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Kevin Mensah, broken up by Kyran MitchellSimilar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-7
4.0%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 7 yards to the UConn 31Similar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 17
OWN 31
+27
3.7%
David Pindell run for 12 yds to the SMU 43 for a 1ST down SMU Penalty, personal foul (Kyran Mitchell) to the SMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
4.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the SMU 41Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+26
4.3%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 26 yds to the SMU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
4.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 7 yds to the SMU 8Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+1
5.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the SMU 7Similar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+3
4.6%
David Pindell run for 3 yds to the SMU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
5.7%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 5Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
12.3%
David Pindell pass complete to Tyler Davis for 5 yds for a TD (Michael Tarbutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 18TD
2 plays · 43 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
1.8%
Xavier Jones run for 43 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:073% → 11%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
3.0%
David Pindell run for 14 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
3.1%
David Pindell pass complete to Kyle Buss for 13 yds to the SMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
3.2%
PINDELL, David pass incomplete to SCOTT, Zavier, QB hurry by MITCHELL, Kyran, PENALTY UCONN holding (CROZIER, Ryan) 10 yards to the SMU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 20
OPP 48
+48
10.8%
David Pindell run for 48 yds for a TD (Michael Tarbutt PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
6.5%
Braeden West run for no gain to the SMU 31Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
6.5%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.Similar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+2
6.7%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 2 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q4 13:41
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
6.8%
Jamie Sackville punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 1:5810% → 22%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+18
9.8%
David Pindell run for no gain to the SMU 41 for a 1ST down SMU Penalty, illegal use of hands (18 Yards) to the SMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
10.4%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the SMU 40Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+18
10.4%
David Pindell run for 18 yds to the SMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
11.6%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 3 yds to the SMU 19Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+19
21.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 19 yds for a TD (Michael Tarbutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 22TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 1:2387% → 96%
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
12.9%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 8 yds to the SMU 46Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 2
OWN 46
0
12.6%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for no gain to the SMU 46Similar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+51
13.1%
Ben Hicks run for 51 yds to the UConn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
4.3%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 3 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
6.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 47Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+2
6.6%
David Pindell pass complete to Zavier Scott for 2 yds to the UConn 49Similar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
6.6%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Kyle BussSimilar
Q4 8:55
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
6.2%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 24FG
7 plays · 36 yds · 3:4596% → 98%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
4.0%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 1 yd to the UConn 48Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+20
4.0%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Braeden West for 5 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Marshe Terry) to the UConn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
4.0%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 10 yds to the UConn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
4.0%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 5 yds to the UConn 13Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 5
OPP 13
0
4.0%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for no gain to the UConn 13Similar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 5
OPP 13
0
4.1%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr., broken up by Ryan CarrollSimilar
Q4 3:35
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+30
1.8%
Kevin Robledo 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 25INT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
2.1%
David Pindell pass complete to Zavier Scott for 1 yd to the UConn 31Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
2.1%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+13
2.0%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 13 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
2.2%
David Pindell pass intercepted Myron Gailliard return for no gain to the SMU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:0099% → 99%
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
1.5%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 3 yds to the SMU 25Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
1.6%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for no gain to the SMU 25Similar
Q4 2:09
3RD & 7
OWN 25
-8
1.4%
Ben Hicks sacked by Caleb Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the SMU 17Similar
Q4 2:03
4TH & 15
OWN 17
0
1.5%
Jamie Sackville punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 27TD
10 plays · 40 yds · 1:202% → 3%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
1.6%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 3 yds to the SMU 37Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+11
1.6%
David Pindell pass complete to Zavier Scott for 11 yds to the SMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
1.9%
David Pindell run for 5 yds to the SMU 21Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 5
OPP 21
0
0.7%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Hergy Mayala, broken up by Rodney ClemonsSimilar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 5
OPP 21
0
0.7%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q4 1:15
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+7
0.7%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 7 yds to the SMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
0.8%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Tyraiq Beals, broken up by Robert Hayes Jr.Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
0.9%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Kevin MensahSimilar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+14
2.9%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 14 yds for a TD (David Pindell intercepted )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
2.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:18
Kevin Mensah run for 19 yds for a TD (Michael Tarbutt KICK)
+10.2
TD · Q4 8:55
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 3 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK)
-8.8
TD · Q4 14:48
Xavier Jones run for 43 yds for a TD
-7.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com