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MEM

Memphis 59 at East Carolina 41

ECU
2018 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2018 · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
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Win probability · ECU
modelECU aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playECU scoreMEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:53 · Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by T.J. Carter
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+51.0+25.50−25.5−51.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 224Pregame prior−0.5Home team on offense−44.5Score differential−24.0Garbage-time factor−18.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−11.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:51: Darius Pinnix run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Verity KICK) — ECU win probability +11.0 pts (now 30%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:45: Holton Ahlers pass complete to Trevon Brown for 31 yds for a TD (Jake Verity KICK) — ECU win probability +17.4 pts (now 48%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:42: Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +12.9 pts (now 79%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:43: Darrell Henderson run for 20 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +12.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:31: Darrell Henderson run for 39 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +8.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ECU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10MEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 11:19ECU 4th & 4 at ECU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:18MEM 4th & 4 at ECU 5, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.9%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    70.8%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:18ECU 4th & 11 at ECU 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:52MEM 4th & 10 at MEM 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:55ECU 4th & 8 at ECU 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:24MEM 4th & 11 at ECU 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    68.8%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:37ECU 4th & 6 at ECU 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:47MEM 4th & 9 at MEM 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−0.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:21ECU 4th & 9 at ECU 7, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:07MEM 4th & 5 at MEM 45, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:02ECU 4th & 22 at MEM 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−1.1
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.7%
    45% to make
    Punt
    21.9%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:51MEM 4th & 7 at MEM 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%−1.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:26ECU 4th & 17 at MEM 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−2.9
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.3%
    56% to make
    Punt
    24.1%−2.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00MEM 4th & 1 at ECU 22, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    67.5%−3.5
    72% to make
    Punt
    56.9%−14.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:43ECU 4th & 6 at ECU 29, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:54ECU 4th & 13 at MEM 13, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    3.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−2.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:02MEM 4th & 1 at ECU 1, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    92.2%−1.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    89.5%−3.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:53ECU 4th & 1 at MEM 7, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%−<0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ECU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 12:02ECU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:19MEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:38ECU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:55MEM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:21MEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:49MEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:51ECU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 8:45ECU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 4:42MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 11:43MEM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 7:31MEM Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 4:54ECU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.1%−0.5
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 3:02MEM Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ECUDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 2:5822% → 24%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
21.6%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
21.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Leroy Henley for 13 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
21.6%
Hussein Howe run for 14 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+39
21.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Darius Pinnix for 39 yds to the Memph 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
21.6%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
21.6%
Hussein Howe run for 4 yds to the Memph 5Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
21.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Hussein Howe for 3 yds to the Memph 2Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
21.6%
BROWN, Trevon sideline pass incomplete to AHLERS, Holton (FRANCIS, Jacobi), PENALTY MEM pass interference (FRANCIS, Jacobi) 1 yards to the MEM1, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
21.6%
Holton Ahlers run for no gain to the Memph 1Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
21.6%
MEMPHIS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) to the Memph 1Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
24.1%
Darius Pinnix run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4376% → 77%
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
23.8%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 4 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+71
23.3%
Brady White pass complete to Darrell Henderson for 71 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
23.4%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Terrell GreenSimilar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
23.4%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Trevon Brown for 6 yds to the ECaro 31Similar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
23.3%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:19
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
23.3%
Jonn Young punt for 41 yds, fair catch by John Pop Williams at the Memph 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 3:1776% → 76%
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
23.6%
Darrell Henderson run for 3 yds to the Memph 31Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+6
23.6%
Darrell Henderson run for 6 yds to the Memph 37Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+4
23.5%
Darrell Henderson run for 4 yds to the Memph 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
23.4%
Brady White pass complete to John Pop Williams for 17 yds to the ECaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
23.3%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 7 yds to the ECaro 35Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+7
23.2%
Darrell Henderson run for 7 yds to the ECaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+17
23.2%
Tony Pollard run for 17 yds to the ECaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
23.2%
Tony Pollard run for no gain to the ECaro 11Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+6
23.2%
Tony Pollard run for 6 yds to the ECaro 5Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 4
OPP 5
0
23.3%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tony PollardSimilar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+22
24.4%
Riley Patterson 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
24.5%
Holton Ahlers run for 15 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
25.1%
Hussein Howe run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 39Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
24.7%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 11
OWN 39
0
24.4%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Leroy HenleySimilar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 11
OWN 39
+13
24.2%
Jonn Young punt for 46 yds , John Pop Williams returns for 13 yds to the Memph 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0875% → 74%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
25.2%
Darrell Henderson run for 1 yd to the Memph 29Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 9
OWN 29
-1
25.3%
Brady White pass complete to Darrell Henderson for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 28Similar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
26.0%
Brady White pass incomplete to John Pop WilliamsSimilar
Q1 4:52
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
26.3%
Adam Williams punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the ECaro 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 2:0325% → 31%
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
25.4%
Hussein Howe run for 12 yds to the ECaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
26.1%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 5 yds to the ECaro 47Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+5
26.3%
Anthony Scott run for 5 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+38
26.4%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Trevon Brown for 38 yds to the Memph 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
26.7%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
30.8%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Trevon Brown for 10 yds for a TD (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 2:4371% → 75%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
28.9%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 9 yds to the Memph 32Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+12
28.2%
Darrell Henderson run for 12 yds to the Memph 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
27.9%
HENDERSON, D. rush over left end for 7 yards to the ECU49 (HICKERSON, Chnd), PENALTY MEM holding (DYKES, Sean) 10 yards to the MEM34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 20
OWN 34
+28
28.9%
Brady White pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 28 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
27.6%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd to the ECaro 37Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+19
27.7%
John Pop Williams run for 19 yds to the ECaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
27.1%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+10
27.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 10 yds to the ECaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
27.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the ECaro 6Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
25.2%
Tony Pollard run for 6 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.2%
Holton Ahlers run for no gain to the ECaro 25Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
27.0%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Anthony Scott for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 23Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+4
26.5%
Holton Ahlers run for 4 yds to the ECaro 27Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
26.3%
Jonn Young punt for 49 yds , John Pop Williams returns for no gain to the Memph 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 36 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+37
27.4%
Brady White pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 37 yds to the ECaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
26.1%
Darrell Henderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 42Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 13
OPP 42
0
26.5%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte Coxie, broken up by Michael WitherspoonSimilar
Q2 13:24
3RD & 13
OPP 42
+2
27.0%
Brady White pass complete to Darrell Henderson for 2 yds to the ECaro 40Similar
Q2 13:24
4TH & 11
OPP 40
0
27.6%
Adam Williams punt for 29 yds, downed at the ECaro 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
28.4%
Hussein Howe run for 2 yds to the ECaro 13Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+6
28.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Terrell Green for 6 yds to the ECaro 19 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 11:37
3RD & 2
OWN 19
-4
27.8%
Hussein Howe run for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 15Similar
Q2 11:37
4TH & 6
OWN 15
0
27.3%
Jonn Young punt for 50 yds, downed at the Memph 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0072% → 70%
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
28.1%
Darrell Henderson run for 6 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-6
27.4%
Brady White sacked by Cannon Gibbs for a loss of 6 yards to the Memph 35Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+1
29.1%
Darrell Henderson run for 1 yd to the Memph 36Similar
Q2 9:47
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
29.6%
Adam Williams punt for 39 yds , Trevon Brown returns for no gain to the ECaro 23 Trevon Brown fumbled, forced by Antonio Gibson, recovered by Memph Curtis AkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 13TD
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:3874% → 79%
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
25.8%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the ECaro 20Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 7
OPP 20
0
25.8%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tony PollardSimilar
Q2 7:21
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+20
20.8%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 20 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
21.1%
Holton Ahlers run for 4 yds to the ECaro 10Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 6
OWN 10
-3
21.3%
Holton Ahlers run for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 7Similar
Q2 7:21
3RD & 9
OWN 7
0
20.7%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q2 7:21
4TH & 9
OWN 7
-2
20.5%
Jonn Young punt for 51 yds , John Pop Williams returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
20.9%
Darrell Henderson run for 5 yds to the Memph 45Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
21.0%
Brady White pass incomplete to John Pop WilliamsSimilar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
21.2%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:07
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
21.7%
Adam Williams punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the ECaro 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 16FG
14 plays · 46 yds · 4:2122% → 24%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
21.5%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+15
21.4%
Holton Ahlers run for 15 yds to the ECaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
21.7%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by Curtis AkinsSimilar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+14
21.6%
Holton Ahlers run for 14 yds to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
22.8%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Trevon Brown for 8 yds to the Memph 44Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+1
23.1%
Holton Ahlers run for 1 yd to the Memph 43Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+6
23.0%
MEMPHIS Penalty, offside defense (O'Bryan Goodson) to the Memph 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
23.1%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by T.J. CarterSimilar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+14
23.0%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 14 yds to the Memph 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-15
23.9%
BROWN, Trevon sideline pass complete to FARRIER, Deondr for 21 yards to the MEM2, PENALTY ECU personal foul 15 yards to the MEM38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 25
OPP 38
0
22.8%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Hussein HoweSimilar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 25
OPP 38
+3
22.6%
Holton Ahlers run for 3 yds to the Memph 35Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 22
OPP 35
0
22.3%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Leroy HenleySimilar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 22
OPP 35
+52
24.3%
Jake Verity 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 17END OF HALF
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:3977% → 76%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-11
23.0%
Brady White sacked by Nate Harvey for a loss of 11 yards to the Memph 14Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 21
OWN 14
-4
23.7%
WHITE, Brady sideline pass complete to POLLARD, Tony for 21 yards to the MEM35 (BIVENS, Bruce), PENALTY MEM personal foul (WILLIAMS, John) 4 yards to the MEM10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 25
OWN 10
+4
23.7%
Darrell Henderson run for 4 yds to the Memph 14Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+9
24.2%
Darrell Henderson run for 9 yds to the Memph 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 18TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
16.1%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 75 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 2:5817% → 30%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
17.0%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Anthony ScottSimilar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
16.9%
Anthony Scott run for 6 yds to the ECaro 37Similar
Q3 14:49
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+6
17.4%
Holton Ahlers run for 6 yds to the ECaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+25
18.1%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 25 yds to the Memph 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
18.9%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 2 yds to the Memph 30Similar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
18.9%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q3 14:49
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+15
18.3%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 15 yds to the Memph 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
18.9%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Deondre FarrierSimilar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+13
18.9%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 13 yds to the Memph 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
29.9%
Darius Pinnix run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0076% → 74%
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
24.2%
Darrell Henderson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Memph 20Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+8
24.8%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 8 yds to the Memph 28Similar
Q3 11:51
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
24.7%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q3 11:51
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
25.8%
Adam Williams punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the ECaro 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 1:5527% → 48%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
26.7%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Deondre FarrierSimilar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+15
26.5%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 15 yds to the Memph 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
28.9%
Holton Ahlers run for 6 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+6
28.9%
Darius Pinnix run for 6 yds to the Memph 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
30.1%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Hussein Howe for 3 yds to the Memph 31Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+31
47.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Trevon Brown for 31 yds for a TD (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 22TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:0361% → 79%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
39.1%
Brady White pass complete to Tony Pollard for 13 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
37.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+11
37.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 11 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
35.5%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 9 yds to the ECaro 40Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 1
OPP 40
0
35.1%
Brady White pass incomplete to John Pop Williams, broken up by Colby GoreSimilar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+5
35.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 5 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
34.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd to the ECaro 34Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+15
34.5%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 15 yds to the ECaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
34.1%
Darrell Henderson run for no gain to the ECaro 19Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+17
34.4%
Darrell Henderson run for 17 yds to the ECaro 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
34.1%
Darrell Henderson run for 1 yd to the ECaro 1Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
34.1%
Darrell Henderson run for no gain to the ECaro 1Similar
Q3 4:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
21.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 23FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 3:1626% → 30%
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
25.8%
Holton Ahlers run for 4 yds to the ECaro 21Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 6
OWN 21
0
25.8%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Deondre Farrier, broken up by Austin HallSimilar
Q3 4:42
3RD & 6
OWN 21
-10
24.6%
AHLERS, Holton middle pass complete to PROEHL, Blake for 16 yards to the ECU37, PENALTY ECU holding (HERRIN, Cortez) 10 yards to the ECU11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:42
3RD & 16
OWN 11
+19
24.4%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 19 yds to the ECaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
26.3%
Anthony Scott run for 3 yds to the ECaro 33Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
26.5%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q3 4:42
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+44
25.4%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Trevon Brown for 44 yds to the Memph 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
31.4%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-7
31.2%
Holton Ahlers sacked by Jonathan Wilson for a loss of 7 yards to the Memph 30Similar
Q3 4:42
3RD & 17
OPP 30
0
27.3%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:26
4TH & 17
OPP 30
+47
30.1%
Jake Verity 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 24TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:4371% → 88%
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
29.1%
Brady White pass complete to Tony Pollard for 5 yds to the Memph 30Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
28.1%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 10 yds to the Memph 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
26.7%
Tony Pollard run for 12 yds to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
26.0%
Tony Pollard run for 2 yds to the ECaro 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+3
25.8%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the ECaro 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+12
26.2%
Brady White pass complete to Tony Pollard for 12 yds to the ECaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
24.6%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the ECaro 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+1
24.3%
Brady White pass complete to Patrick Taylor Jr. for 1 yd to the ECaro 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+4
25.7%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the ECaro 22Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+2
27.6%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the ECaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
24.3%
Darrell Henderson run for no gain to the ECaro 20Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
12.2%
Darrell Henderson run for 20 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0015% → 13%
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
14.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Hussein Howe for 2 yds to the ECaro 27Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
14.6%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Leroy HenleySimilar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+2
13.6%
Holton Ahlers run for 2 yds to the ECaro 29Similar
Q4 11:43
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
12.9%
Jonn Young punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 26TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:5988% → 97%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
11.8%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 5 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-5
11.1%
MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Memph 35Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
11.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the Memph 37Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+15
11.8%
WHITE, Brady middle pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, John (STRINGER, G.), PENALTY ECU personal foul (TILLMAN, Ray) 15 yards to the ECU48, 1ST DOWN MEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
10.8%
Darrell Henderson run for 5 yds to the ECaro 43Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+19
10.4%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 19 yds to the ECaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
10.5%
MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (Roger Joseph) to the ECaro 29Similar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 15
OPP 29
-10
10.8%
HENDERSON, D. rush over left end for 19 yards to the ECU10 (STRINGER, G.;WITHERSPOON, M.), PENALTY MEM holding (JOSEPH, Roger) 10 yards to the ECU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 25
OPP 39
+39
2.8%
Darrell Henderson run for 39 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 27TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:374% → 9%
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
3.8%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Trevon Brown for 13 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
3.9%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Trevon Brown for 13 yds to the Memph 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
4.3%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Deondre FarrierSimilar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
4.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Trevon Brown for 5 yds to the Memph 44Similar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+9
4.3%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Mydreon Vines for 9 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
4.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 10 yds to the Memph 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
4.8%
AHLERS, Holton deep pass incomplete to PROEHL, Blake, QB hurry by AUGUSTUS, N., PENALTY MEM pass interference (WINDHAM, Tito) 15 yards to the MEM10, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-11
4.8%
Holton Ahlers sacked by Curtis Akins for a loss of 11 yards to the Memph 21Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 21
0
4.5%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by T.J. CarterSimilar
Q4 7:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 21
+8
4.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Mydreon Vines for 8 yds to the Memph 13Similar
Q4 4:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
9.4%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 13 yds for a TD (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 28TD
10 plays · 47 yds · 1:5292% → 99%
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
7.6%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the ECaro 44Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+41
7.1%
Tony Pollard run for 41 yds to the ECaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
6.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 6 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Memph Brady WhiteSimilar
Q4 4:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
6.8%
Tony Pollard run for 4 yds to the ECaro 2Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
5.3%
Brady White pass complete to Joseph Dorceus for 1 yd to the ECaro 1Similar
Q4 3:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.3%
Tony Pollard run for 1 yd for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 29DOWNS
15 plays · 68 yds · 2:091% → 1%
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
0.8%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Mydreon Vines for 6 yds to the ECaro 31Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-5
0.8%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Mydreon Vines) to the ECaro 26Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
0.8%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 15 yds to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
0.8%
Holton Ahlers run for 4 yds to the ECaro 45Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
0.8%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Tyler Snead, broken up by Brady McBrideSimilar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+9
0.7%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Mydreon Vines for 9 yds to the Memph 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
0.7%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Mydreon Vines for 5 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+25
0.7%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Trevon Brown for 25 yds to the Memph 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
0.9%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Tyler Snead, broken up by Brady McBrideSimilar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+9
0.9%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 9 yds to the Memph 7Similar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 1
OPP 7
0
0.7%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q4 0:53
4TH & 1
OPP 7
0
0.7%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by T.J. CarterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-1
0.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 6Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 11
OWN 6
-1
0.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:45
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Trevon Brown for 31 yds for a TD (Jake Verity KICK)
+17.4
TD · Q3 4:42
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)
-12.9
TD · Q4 11:43
Darrell Henderson run for 20 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)
-12.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com