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CONN

UConn 19 at Tulsa 49

TLSA
2018 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2018 · Chapman Stadium
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Win probability · TLSA
modelTLSA aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playTLSA scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:31 · Luke Magliozzi punt for 32 yds, downed at the Tulsa 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 71Pregame prior+27.4Home team on offense+0.5Score differential+0.0Blowout margin+0.4Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 8:52: Michael Tarbutt 50 yd FG GOOD — CONN win probability +5.1 pts (now 23%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:40: Seth Boomer run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK) — TLSA win probability +5.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:41: Seth Boomer pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 26 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK) — TLSA win probability +4.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:11: Corey Taylor II run for 6 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK) — TLSA win probability +4.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:47: Seth Boomer pass complete to Cole Neph for 38 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK) — TLSA win probability +5.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TLSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4CONN made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00CONN 4th & 7 at TLSA 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:01TLSA 4th & 10 at TLSA 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:16TLSA 4th & 4 at CONN 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    84.8%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    84.8%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:20CONN 4th & 5 at TLSA 27, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.3%−<0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    18.5%−1.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:52CONN 4th & 3 at TLSA 33, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.1%−0.7
    49% to make
    Punt
    20.6%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:31CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 44, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:41CONN 4th & 3 at CONN 32, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00CONN 4th & 6 at TLSA 15, down 36
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:34TLSA 4th & 8 at CONN 8, up 36
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:33TLSA 4th & 1 at CONN 37, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TLSA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7CONN made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 7:21CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:11TLSA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:40TLSA Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:41TLSA Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:11TLSA Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:47TLSA Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:59TLSA Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:15TLSA Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:44CONN Touchdown, down 30 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
90.0%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
90.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
90.0%
David Pindell pass complete to Kyle Buss for 8 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
90.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+3
90.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+6
90.0%
David Pindell run for 6 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
90.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
90.0%
David Pindell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+1
90.0%
David Pindell run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 48Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
90.0%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulsa 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
88.6%
Shamari Brooks run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 26Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 6
OWN 26
-4
88.6%
Shamari Brooks run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulsa 22Similar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
88.5%
Seth Boomer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:01
4TH & 10
OWN 22
0
88.4%
Thomas Bennett punt for 67 yds, downed at the UConn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3FUMBLE
1 play · 14 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+12
88.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 12 yds to the UConn 25 Kevin Mensah fumbled, forced by Allie Green IV, recovered by Tulsa McKinley WhitfieldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
88.4%
Shamari Brooks run for 1 yd to the UConn 24Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+1
88.4%
Shamari Brooks run for 1 yd to the UConn 23Similar
Q1 8:28
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+21
88.3%
Seth Boomer run for 21 yds Seth Boomer fumbled, recovered by UConn Tyler CoyleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
86.2%
David Pindell pass complete to Kyle Buss for 80 yds for a TD, (Michael Tarbutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 6DOWNS
12 plays · 27 yds · 0:0086% → 87%
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
86.3%
Corey Taylor II run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 36Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+5
86.5%
Corey Taylor II run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
86.5%
Seth Boomer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
86.4%
Corey Taylor II run for no gain to the Tulsa 41Similar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+16
86.3%
Shamari Brooks run for 16 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
86.7%
BOOMER, S. pass complete to JOHNSON, K. for loss of 1 yard to the UCONN44 (FORTT, Omar), PENALTY TLS IP 5 yards to the UCONN48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 15
OPP 48
0
86.5%
Seth Boomer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 15
OPP 48
-5
86.5%
TULSA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 47Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 20
OWN 47
+17
86.4%
Shamari Brooks run for 17 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 3
OPP 36
-1
86.7%
Corey Taylor II run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 37Similar
Q1 7:16
4TH & 4
OPP 37
-6
86.5%
Seth Boomer sacked by Darrian Beavers for a loss of 6 yards to the UConn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7FG
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:5016% → 19%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
83.9%
David Pindell run for 6 yds to the UConn 49Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+2
83.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 49Similar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+17
83.9%
David Pindell run for 17 yds to the Tulsa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-10
83.7%
PINDELL, David pass incomplete to MCLEAN, Aaron, PENALTY UCONN holding 10 yards to the TLS42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 20
OPP 42
0
83.9%
David Pindell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 20
OPP 42
+11
84.0%
David Pindell run for 11 yds to the Tulsa 31Similar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+4
83.9%
Zavier Scott run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 27Similar
Q1 0:20
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+44
81.2%
Michael Tarbutt 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 8TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0981% → 84%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
80.8%
Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+27
80.7%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 27 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-6
81.4%
Seth Boomer sacked by Kevon Jones and Travis Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulsa 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 48
+19
80.8%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Cole Neph for 19 yds to the UConn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+26
81.9%
Shamari Brooks run for 26 yds to the UConn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
81.9%
Shamari Brooks run for 4 yds to the UConn 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
81.9%
Shamari Brooks run for no gain to the UConn 3Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
84.0%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 3 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9FG
7 plays · 42 yds · 3:1918% → 23%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
82.4%
David Pindell pass complete to Kyle Buss for 11 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+24
82.1%
David Pindell run for 24 yds to the Tulsa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
81.4%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 36Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-6
81.4%
David Pindell sacked by Jacob Pugh for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulsa 42Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 12
OPP 42
+9
81.9%
David Pindell pass complete to Kyle Buss for 9 yds to the Tulsa 33Similar
Q2 8:52
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+50
76.9%
Michael Tarbutt 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 10TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:1279% → 86%
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
78.5%
Corey Taylor II run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 26Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
78.4%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to Justin Hobbs, broken up by Jeremy LucienSimilar
Q2 8:52
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+18
77.9%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Josh Stewart for 18 yds to the Tulsa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
79.5%
Corey Taylor II run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 48Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+3
79.8%
Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the UConn 49Similar
Q2 8:52
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+48
79.7%
Corey Taylor II run for 48 yds to the UConn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.6%
Seth Boomer run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+16
82.8%
David Pindell pass complete to Kyle Buss for 16 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
81.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
81.6%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Kevin MensahSimilar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
82.2%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Aaron McLeanSimilar
Q2 6:31
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
83.1%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 32 yds, downed at the Tulsa 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 12TD
4 plays · 76 yds · 1:1483% → 89%
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+32
83.3%
Shamari Brooks run for 32 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
84.7%
Corey Taylor II run for 7 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+11
84.7%
Corey Taylor II run for 11 yds to the UConn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
88.7%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 26 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.4%
David Pindell run for 4 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
87.1%
David Pindell run for 3 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q2 3:41
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
87.3%
David Pindell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:41
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
87.8%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 39 yds, downed at the Tulsa 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 14TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 1:0488% → 93%
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
88.0%
Shamari Brooks run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 5
OWN 34
0
88.2%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to Keenen JohnsonSimilar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+30
87.6%
Shamari Brooks run for 30 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
88.9%
Shamari Brooks run for 8 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+6
89.1%
Corey Taylor II run for 6 yds to the UConn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+16
89.1%
Corey Taylor II run for 16 yds to the UConn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
93.3%
Corey Taylor II run for 6 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15END OF HALF
11 plays · 74 yds · 0:598% → 10%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
91.6%
David Pindell pass complete to Zavier Scott for 9 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
90.8%
David Pindell pass complete to Zavier Scott for 5 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
91.3%
David Pindell pass complete to Kyle Buss for 5 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
90.7%
David Pindell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+13
91.2%
David Pindell run for 13 yds to the Tulsa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
90.5%
David Pindell pass complete to Zavier Scott for 3 yds to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+39
90.5%
David Pindell pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 39 yds to the Tulsa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
89.7%
David Pindell run for no gain to the Tulsa 1Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
89.7%
David Pindell pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1392% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
92.0%
Shamari Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
91.9%
Shamari Brooks run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+5
91.5%
BOOMER, S. rush for 3 yards to the TLS27 (GARSON, AJ), PENALTY UCONN OF 5 yards to the TLS29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
91.6%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Jarion Anderson for 11 yds to the Tulsa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
92.3%
Shamari Brooks run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+15
92.4%
Seth Boomer run for 15 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-3
92.3%
Corey Taylor II run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 38Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 13
OPP 38
+38
97.3%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Cole Neph for 38 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.7%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UConn 25Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
96.7%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Keyion DixonSimilar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
96.7%
David Pindell pass intercepted Keanu Hill return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 18TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 2:0197% → 100%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
50
+15
97.4%
Corey Taylor II run for 15 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
97.4%
Corey Taylor II run for no gain to the UConn 35Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+8
97.4%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 8 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+6
97.4%
Corey Taylor II run for 6 yds to the UConn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
97.4%
Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the UConn 18Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+18
99.6%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 18 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 29 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+29
99.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 14 yds to the Tulsa 28 for a 1ST down TULSA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Tulsa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
99.5%
David Pindell run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+7
99.4%
Kevin Mensah run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-10
99.4%
MENSAH, Kevin rush for 6 yards to the TLS21, out-of-bounds (MITCHELL, J.), PENALTY UCONN holding 10 yards to the TLS37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 27
OPP 44
-1
99.5%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 28
OPP 45
-10
99.5%
PINDELL, David pass complete to SCOTT, Zavier for 8 yards to the TLS37 (PLAYER, J.;COLLINS, Z.), PENALTY UCONN holding 10 yards to the UCONN45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 38
OWN 45
0
99.5%
Zavier Scott run for no gain to the UConn 45Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 38
OWN 45
-2
99.5%
David Pindell sacked by Trevis Gipson for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 43Similar
Q3 8:53
4TH & 40
OWN 43
0
99.5%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulsa 30Similar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 20
OPP 37
-7
99.5%
David Pindell run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 34 CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Tulsa 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 20TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 2:27100% → 100%
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.7%
Javon Thomas run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 32Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+13
99.7%
Javon Thomas run for 13 yds to the Tulsa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+31
99.8%
Javon Thomas run for 31 yds to the UConn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
99.8%
Javon Thomas run for 8 yds to the UConn 16Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+5
99.7%
Reed Martin run for 5 yds to the UConn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.8%
Reed Martin run for 11 yds for a TD, (Tristan Lacey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 50 yds · 2:100% → 0%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+5
99.8%
David Pindell run for 5 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
99.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 48Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
99.8%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Keyion DixonSimilar
Q3 2:10
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+33
99.8%
David Pindell pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 33 yds to the Tulsa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
99.8%
Zavier Scott run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 14
-1
99.8%
David Pindell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 15Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
99.8%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 15
0
99.8%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Tyraiq BealsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 82 yds · 2:40100% → 100%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+79
99.8%
T.K. Wilkerson run for 79 yds to the UConn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
99.8%
Chad President run for 1 yd to the UConn 5Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
99.8%
TULSA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 10Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.8%
Chad President run for no gain to the UConn 10Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
99.8%
T.K. Wilkerson run for 2 yds to the UConn 8Similar
Q4 11:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
99.9%
T.K. Wilkerson run for 5 yds to the UConn 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23FUMBLE
8 plays · 43 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
99.9%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 2Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 11
OWN 2
+6
99.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the UConn 8Similar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 5
OWN 8
+6
99.9%
David Pindell run for 6 yds to the UConn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
99.9%
Zavier Scott run for 3 yds to the UConn 17Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+19
99.9%
David Pindell run for 19 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
99.9%
Zavier Scott run for 8 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+5
99.9%
David Pindell pass complete to Zavier Scott for 5 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
99.9%
Zavier Scott run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 46 Zavier Scott fumbled, forced by Trevis Gipson, recovered by Tulsa Grant SawyerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 24DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
99.9%
T.K. Wilkerson run for 7 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+2
99.9%
T.K. Wilkerson run for 2 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 1
OPP 37
0
99.9%
T.K. Wilkerson run for no gain to the UConn 37Similar
Q4 7:33
4TH & 1
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Davis Brin run for no gain to the UConn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 25TD
15 plays · 63 yds · 4:320% → 0%
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.9%
Zavier Scott run for 6 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
99.9%
David Pindell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+15
99.9%
David Pindell run for 15 yds to the Tulsa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
99.9%
David Pindell run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+8
99.9%
Zavier Scott run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
99.9%
Zavier Scott run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 28Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+3
99.9%
Dante Black run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 25Similar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+3
99.9%
David Pindell run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.9%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Tyraiq Beals, broken up by Samuel GottschSimilar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+8
99.9%
David Pindell run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 14Similar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+5
99.9%
David Pindell run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
100.0%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 6 yds to the Tulsa 3Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
100.0%
David Pindell pass complete to Tyler Davis for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulsa 20Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:40
Seth Boomer run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK)
+5.8
FG · Q2 8:52
Michael Tarbutt 50 yd FG GOOD
-5.1
TD · Q3 11:47
Seth Boomer pass complete to Cole Neph for 38 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK)
+5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com