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NAVY

Navy 0 at Cincinnati 42

CIN
2018 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2018 · Nippert Stadium
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Win probability · CIN
modelCIN aheadNAVY aheadconfidence bandkey playCIN scoreNAVY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:10 · Nelson Smith run for 1 yd to the Cincy 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 109Home team on offense+32.6Pregame prior+11.8Score differential+25.3Blowout margin+13.9Garbage-time factor+9.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:00: Desmond Ridder run for 7 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK) — CIN win probability +4.3 pts (now 86%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:00: NAVY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Hudson Sullivan) to the 50 yard line — NAVY win probability +0.7 pts (now 14%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:12: Michael Warren II run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK) — CIN win probability +7.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:48: Desmond Ridder pass complete to Charles McClelland for 9 yds to the Navy 38 — CIN win probability +2.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:32: Hayden Moore pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 11 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK) — CIN win probability +2.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CIN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4NAVY made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00NAVY 4th & 10 at NAVY 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:56NAVY 4th & 20 at CIN 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00CIN 4th & 1 at NAVY 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    78.1%−1.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    78.5%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:00NAVY 4th & 9 at NAVY 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:12NAVY 4th & 1 at NAVY 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.1%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:17NAVY 4th & 2 at CIN 26, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.2
    64% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:13CIN 4th & 8 at CIN 43, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:10NAVY 4th & 2 at CIN 35, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:11CIN 4th & 21 at CIN 36, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:57NAVY 4th & 6 at NAVY 29, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:27CIN 4th & 5 at CIN 43, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:11NAVY 4th & 21 at NAVY 10, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CIN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 9:56CIN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:00CIN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:12CIN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:32CIN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:28CIN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:02CIN Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NAVYDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
82.1%
Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Navy 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
82.1%
Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 7 yards to the Navy 22 Malcolm Perry fumbled, recovered by Navy Malcolm Perry , return for 2 yds to the Navy 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+8
82.1%
Zach Abey run for 8 yds to the Navy 30Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-5
82.1%
NAVY Penalty, false start (Elan Nash) to the Navy 25Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
82.1%
Owen White punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 2TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 2:4582% → 82%
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
81.6%
Michael Warren II run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
50
+9
81.7%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jerron Rollins for 9 yds to the Navy 41Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+4
81.7%
Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+28
81.7%
Desmond Ridder run for 28 yds to the Navy 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
81.7%
Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the Navy 8Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
82.3%
Michael Warren II run for 8 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 3PUNT
13 plays · 26 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
81.8%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 14 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
81.6%
Zach Abey run for 5 yds to the Navy 44Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+2
81.5%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 2 yds to the Navy 46Similar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 3
OWN 46
-1
81.6%
Zach Abey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 45Similar
Q1 9:56
4TH & 4
OWN 45
+5
81.8%
CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive offside (Cortez Broughton) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
50
+1
81.5%
Mike Martin run for 1 yd to the Cincy 49Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+5
81.5%
Malcolm Perry run for 5 yds to the Cincy 44Similar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+5
81.5%
Zach Abey run for 5 yds to the Cincy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
81.5%
Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the Cincy 38Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 9
OPP 38
-5
81.5%
Zach Abey run for a loss of 5 yards to the Cincy 43Similar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 14
OPP 43
-6
81.8%
Zach Abey sacked by Kimoni Fitz and Michael Pitts for a loss of 6 yards to the Cincy 49Similar
Q1 9:56
4TH & 20
OPP 49
0
81.9%
Owen White punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 4TD
15 plays · 89 yds · 6:2682% → 86%
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
81.5%
Desmond Ridder run for 7 yds to the Cincy 18Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+1
81.6%
Charles McClelland run for 1 yd to the Cincy 19Similar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+13
81.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 13 yds to the Cincy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
81.7%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Michael Warren IISimilar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+14
81.6%
Michael Warren II run for 14 yds to the Cincy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
82.2%
Desmond Ridder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
82.0%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 7 yds to the Navy 47Similar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+2
82.0%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Navy 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+7
81.3%
Michael Warren II run for 7 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
82.0%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 6 yds to the Navy 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+15
82.1%
Desmond Ridder run for 15 yds to the Navy 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+10
82.1%
Michael Warren II run for 10 yds to the Navy 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
82.1%
Michael Warren II run for no gain to the Navy 7Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
86.4%
Desmond Ridder run for 7 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
Q2 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
+15
85.7%
NAVY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Hudson Sullivan) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
84.6%
Zach Abey sacked by Cortez Broughton and Michael Pitts for a loss of 6 yards to the Navy 19Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+6
84.8%
Malcolm Perry run for 6 yds to the Navy 25Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
84.8%
Zach Abey run for 1 yd to the Navy 26Similar
Q2 12:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-4
84.9%
Owen White punt for 45 yds , Aulden Knight returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 6TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:5186% → 94%
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.1%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Cincy 27Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
86.1%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Kahlil LewisSimilar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+8
85.7%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 8 yds to the Cincy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
86.1%
Desmond Ridder run for 1 yd to the Cincy 36Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+5
86.2%
Michael Warren II run for 5 yds to the Cincy 41Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+10
86.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 10 yds to the Navy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
86.8%
Desmond Ridder run for 5 yds to the Navy 44Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+10
86.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 10 yds to the Navy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+28
86.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 28 yds to the Navy 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
86.8%
Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the Navy 3Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
86.8%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Navy 1Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.2%
Michael Warren II run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 7DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
93.2%
Zach Abey run for 9 yds to the Navy 34Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
92.7%
Zach Abey run for 4 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
92.9%
Zach Abey run for 5 yds to the Navy 43Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+4
92.7%
Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the Navy 47Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 1
OWN 47
0
92.7%
Zach Abey run for no gain to the Navy 47Similar
Q2 4:12
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
92.8%
Malcolm Perry run for no gain to the Navy 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 8TD
6 plays · 47 yds · 1:1695% → 99%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
95.4%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Charles McClelland for 9 yds to the Navy 38Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+3
95.4%
Desmond Ridder run for 3 yds to the Navy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+26
95.4%
Charles McClelland run for 26 yds to the Navy 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
95.4%
Michael Warren II run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 11Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
98.6%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 11 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 9END OF HALF
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:202% → 1%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.0%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 6 yds to the Navy 31Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
98.3%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 7 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-6
98.7%
Zach Abey sacked by Kimoni Fitz for a loss of 6 yards to the Navy 32Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 16
OWN 32
+1
98.9%
Mike Martin run for 1 yd to the Navy 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 10TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 2:2899% → 99%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
98.7%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 8 yds to the Cincy 32Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+4
98.6%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 4 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
98.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Javan Hawes for 11 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
98.8%
Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 7
50
0
98.8%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jerron RollinsSimilar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 7
50
-5
98.8%
CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (Kahlil Lewis) to the Cincy 45Similar
Q3 12:28
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+55
99.2%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 55 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 11DOWNS
12 plays · 50 yds · 5:111% → 1%
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.1%
ABEY, Zach sacked for loss of 5 yards to the NAVY20 (BROUGHTON, C.;COPELAND, M.), PENALTY CIN face mask (PITTS, Michael) 15 yards to the NAVY40, 1ST DOWN NAVY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.1%
Zach Abey run for 5 yds to the Navy 45Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+4
99.1%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 4 yds to the Navy 49Similar
Q3 12:28
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
99.1%
Zach Abey run for 2 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
99.1%
Malcolm Perry run for 8 yds to the Cincy 41Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+7
99.0%
Zach Abey run for 7 yds to the Cincy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
99.0%
Zach Abey run for 4 yds to the Cincy 30Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+4
99.0%
Zach Abey run for 4 yds to the Cincy 26Similar
Q3 12:28
3RD & 2
OPP 26
0
99.0%
Zach Abey run for no gain to the Cincy 26Similar
Q3 7:17
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+1
99.5%
Zach Abey run for 1 yd to the Cincy 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.6%
Charles McClelland run for 16 yds to the Cincy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.6%
Charles McClelland run for 2 yds to the Cincy 43Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
99.6%
Charles McClelland run for no gain to the Cincy 43Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
99.6%
Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Rashad MedarisSimilar
Q3 7:13
4TH & 8
OWN 43
+47
99.6%
James Smith punt for 47 yds , CJ Williams returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 13DOWNS
6 plays · 57 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+32
99.7%
Zach Abey pass complete to Malcolm Perry for 32 yds to the Navy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
99.7%
Tazh Maloy run for 16 yds to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
99.7%
Tre Walker run for 6 yds to the Cincy 37Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
99.7%
Zach Abey run for no gain to the Cincy 37Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+2
99.7%
Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Cincy 35Similar
Q3 5:10
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+1
99.6%
Nelson Smith run for 1 yd to the Cincy 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
99.8%
Hayden Moore run for 13 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.8%
Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the Navy 48Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 5
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Hayden Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:11
3RD & 5
OPP 48
-16
99.8%
Hayden Moore sacked by Anthony Villalobos for a loss of 16 yards to the Cincy 36Similar
Q3 2:11
4TH & 21
OWN 36
+9
99.7%
James Smith punt for 51 yds , CJ Williams returns for 9 yds to the Navy 45 NAVY Penalty, personal foul (11 Yards) to the Navy 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 15FUMBLE
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
99.9%
Zach Abey run for 7 yds to the Navy 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Zach Abey run for no gain to the Navy 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+4
99.9%
Zach Abey run for 4 yds to the Navy 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
99.9%
Zach Abey pass complete to Ryan Mitchell for 10 yds to the Navy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
99.8%
Zach Abey run for 5 yds to the Navy 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+5
99.8%
Tre Walker run for 5 yds to the Navy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
99.8%
Zach Abey pass complete to Tazh Maloy for 5 yds to the Navy 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+1
99.8%
Tazh Maloy run for 1 yd to the Navy 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 48
-9
99.8%
Zach Abey sacked by Malik Clements for a loss of 9 yards to the Navy 40 Zach Abey fumbled, recovered by Cincy Ethan Tucky , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 16TD
1 play · 40 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
99.9%
Charles McClelland run for 40 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Zach Abey pass incomplete to Mike Martin, broken up by Ethan TuckySimilar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the Navy 26Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+3
99.9%
Tre Walker run for 3 yds to the Navy 29Similar
Q4 9:57
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+2
99.9%
Owen White punt for 35 yds , Aulden Knight returns for 2 yds to the Cincy 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.9%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Cincy 40Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the Cincy 43Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the Cincy 43Similar
Q4 8:27
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
99.9%
James Smith punt for 36 yds, downed at the Navy 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
100.0%
Zach Abey run for 3 yds to the Navy 24Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 7
OWN 24
-4
100.0%
Tazh Maloy run for a loss of 4 yards to the Navy 20Similar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 11
OWN 20
-10
100.0%
Zach Abey sacked by Malik Vann and Ty Sponseller for a loss of 10 yards to the Navy 10Similar
Q4 6:11
4TH & 21
OWN 10
0
100.0%
Owen White punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Aulden Knight at the Navy 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 20Uncategorized
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
100.0%
Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the Navy 42Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+2
100.0%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Navy 40Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+4
100.0%
Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
100.0%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Navy 34Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 8
OPP 34
-5
100.0%
CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 39Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 13
OPP 39
+16
100.0%
Tavion Thomas run for 16 yds to the Navy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
100.0%
Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Navy 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:12
Michael Warren II run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK)
+7.4
TD · Q2 12:00
Desmond Ridder run for 7 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK)
+4.3
TD · Q2 0:32
Hayden Moore pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 11 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK)
+2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com