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TEM

Temple 40 at UCF 52

UCF
2018 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2018 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
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Win probability · UCF
modelUCF aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playUCF scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:40 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:43: Taj McGowan 1 Yd Run (Matthew Wright Kick) — UCF win probability +12.7 pts (now 77%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:18: Ventell Bryant 15 Yd pass from Anthony Russo (Will Mobley Kick) — TEM win probability +14.8 pts (now 48%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:52: Michael Colubiale 19 Yd pass from McKenzie Milton (Matthew Wright Kick) — UCF win probability +13.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:44: Ventell Bryant 8 Yd pass from Anthony Russo (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — TEM win probability +22.4 pts (now 41%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:16: Taj McGowan 10 Yd Run (Matthew Wright Kick) — UCF win probability +14.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCF made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 12:45TEM 4th & 9 at UCF 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.0%
    68% to make
    Punt
    23.6%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:03UCF 4th & 6 at TEM 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    75.1%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:49TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 32, up 3
    Close callPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:49UCF 4th & 6 at UCF 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:52TEM 4th & 4 at UCF 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    30.0%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    26.7%−3.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:22UCF 4th & 1 at TEM 1, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    60.2%−1.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    56.6%−5.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:16TEM 4th & 1 at UCF 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    31.4%−1.9
    54% to make
    Punt
    30.5%−2.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:12TEM 4th & 10 at UCF 10, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−0.8
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    28.8%−5.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:35UCF 4th & 10 at UCF 37, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:49TEM 4th & 3 at TEM 18, up 6
    Close callPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.8%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:58UCF 4th & 10 at TEM 44, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.5%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    68.8%−1.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:50TEM 4th & 11 at UCF 44, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−1.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    29.7%−2.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:52TEM 4th & 14 at UCF 22, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−3.3
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−9.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:55TEM 4th & 3 at UCF 20, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    15.7%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−11.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:57TEM 4th & 20 at UCF 30, down 9
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.9 ptsWent for it · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.2%−1.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    9.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    7.4%−1.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:36UCF 4th & 4 at TEM 15, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−<0.1
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    92.8%−1.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:45TEM 4th & 17 at TEM 33, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCF made the numbers' call on 6 of 7TEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 8:54UCF Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:10TEM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:12UCF Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:52TEM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 13:52TEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 11:22UCF Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:43UCF Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:18TEM Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 14:10UCF Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 3:52UCF Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 9:44TEM Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    34.1%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    34.3%
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 8:16UCF Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:0021% → 21%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+33
79.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 33 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
79.3%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the UCF 34Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+9
79.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 9 yds to the UCF 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
79.0%
Anthony Russo pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
78.9%
Anthony Russo run for 1 yd to the UCF 24Similar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 9
OPP 24
0
78.8%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q1 12:45
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+41
78.8%
Will Mobley 41 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 2MISSED FG
7 plays · 36 yds · 1:2879% → 78%
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
78.9%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 4 yds to the UCF 45Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+28
78.8%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Adrian Killins Jr. for 28 yds to the Temp 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
78.9%
McKenzie Milton run for 2 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+2
78.8%
Greg McCrae run for 2 yds to the Temp 23Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 6
OPP 23
0
78.6%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Tre NixonSimilar
Q1 11:03
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+40
78.4%
Matthew Wright 40 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Dan ArchibongSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:0122% → 22%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
78.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for 5 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 5
OWN 28
0
78.0%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+4
78.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 4 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q1 9:49
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+2
78.0%
Connor Bowler punt for 56 yds , Otis Anderson returns for 2 yds to the UCF 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 4TD
4 plays · 86 yds · 0:4878% → 79%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
77.8%
Greg McCrae run for 4 yds to the UCF 18Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+34
77.7%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 34 yds to the Temp 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+29
78.1%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 29 yds to the Temp 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
78.9%
Dredrick Snelson 19 Yd pass from McKenzie Milton (Matthew Wright Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:3722% → 24%
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
78.5%
Anthony Russo run for 6 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+16
78.3%
Ventell Bryant run for 16 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+24
77.9%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Chris Myarick for 24 yds to the UCF 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
77.4%
Jager Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 30Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 11
OPP 30
0
77.4%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ryquell ArmsteadSimilar
Q1 6:46
3RD & 11
OPP 30
-5
77.7%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (Adam Klein) to the UCF 35Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 16
OPP 35
+17
77.9%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 17 yds to the UCF 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
75.6%
Branden Mack 18 Yd pass from Anthony Russo (Will Mobley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 6TD
13 plays · 70 yds · 1:4976% → 79%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
76.1%
Otis Anderson run for 8 yds to the UCF 38Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+1
76.6%
McKenzie Milton run for 1 yd to the UCF 39Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+17
76.4%
Greg McCrae run for 2 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Deandre Kelly) to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
76.6%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre Nixon for 9 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+2
76.9%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 2 yds to the Temp 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
76.8%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Dredrick Snelson, broken up by Quincy RocheSimilar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+14
76.8%
Taj McGowan run for 14 yds to the Temp 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
76.7%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Taj McGowanSimilar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-5
76.7%
UCF Penalty, False Start (Dredrick Snelson) to the Temp 24Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 15
OPP 24
+15
76.2%
Milton, McKenzie pass incomplete to Davis, Gabriel, PENALTY TEMPLE pass interference (Braswell, Christian) 15 yards to the TEMPLE9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCF.Similar
Q1 4:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
76.7%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Michael ColubialeSimilar
Q1 4:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
78.6%
Michael Colubiale 9 Yd pass from McKenzie Milton (Matthew Wright Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7TD
4 plays · 82 yds · 1:1122% → 25%
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
77.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 12 yds to the Temp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
77.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for no gain to the Temp 30Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+70
75.1%
Randle Jones 70 Yd pass from Anthony Russo (Will Mobley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5775% → 74%
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.8%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Tre NixonSimilar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
74.6%
Otis Anderson run for 4 yds to the UCF 29Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
74.1%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Tre NixonSimilar
Q1 1:49
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
73.6%
Mac Loudermilk punt for 50 yds, downed at the Temp 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9TD
14 plays · 79 yds · 2:4326% → 32%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
74.2%
Isaiah Wright run for 1 yd to the Temp 22Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
74.1%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Kenny YeboahSimilar
Q1 1:03
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+32
74.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 32 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+25
73.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 25 yds to the UCF 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
72.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the UCF 20Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+4
71.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for 4 yds to the UCF 16Similar
Q2 14:28
3RD & 5
OPP 16
0
72.2%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q2 14:21
4TH & 5
OPP 16
+5
73.0%
UCF Penalty, Running Into Kicker (Nevelle Clarke) to the UCF 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
71.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 6 yds to the UCF 5Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 4
OPP 5
0
70.7%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q2 13:57
3RD & 4
OPP 5
0
71.3%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q2 13:52
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+5
67.6%
Anthony Russo 5 Yd Run (Will Mobley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 10TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2567% → 72%
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.7%
McKenzie Milton run for no gain to the UCF 25Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+57
66.3%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Otis Anderson for 57 yds to the Temp 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+13
68.3%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre Nixon for 13 yds to the Temp 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
67.9%
Taj McGowan run for 3 yds to the Temp 2Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
67.6%
Taj McGowan run for 1 yd to the Temp 1Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
66.4%
Trysten Hill run for no gain to the Temp 1Similar
Q2 11:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.4%
McKenzie Milton 1 Yd Run (Matthew Wright Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11FG
16 plays · 55 yds · 5:0329% → 38%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
70.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ryquell Armstead for 3 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+11
69.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for 11 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
69.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 4 yds to the UCF 47Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+7
68.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 7 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
68.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Rob Ritrovato for 2 yds to the UCF 38Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+4
68.3%
Rob Ritrovato run for 4 yds to the UCF 34Similar
Q2 8:34
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+3
67.9%
Rob Ritrovato run for 3 yds to the UCF 31Similar
Q2 8:16
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+9
68.7%
Rob Ritrovato run for 9 yds to the UCF 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
65.5%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Brodrick YancySimilar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+12
65.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for 12 yds to the UCF 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
65.3%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (Adam Klein) to the UCF 15Similar
Q2 7:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+6
65.4%
Ryquell Armstead run for 6 yds to the UCF 9Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
64.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 10Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
66.0%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Zachary Ludwig, broken up by Richie GrantSimilar
Q2 6:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
61.8%
Will Mobley 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2464% → 62%
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
63.8%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Otis AndersonSimilar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
63.6%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Dredrick SnelsonSimilar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
62.4%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Michael Colubiale, broken up by Delvon RandallSimilar
Q2 5:35
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+2
61.7%
Mac Loudermilk punt for 54 yds , Isaiah Wright returns for 2 yds to the Temp 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3738% → 38%
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
62.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for 4 yds to the Temp 15Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+5
61.9%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 5 yds to the Temp 20Similar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 1
OWN 20
-2
61.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 18Similar
Q2 3:49
4TH & 3
OWN 18
0
62.1%
Connor Bowler punt for 55 yds, downed at the UCF 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 14TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 1:5762% → 77%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
61.5%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 10 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
61.9%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Otis AndersonSimilar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+19
61.6%
Greg McCrae run for 19 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
63.9%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre Nixon for 8 yds to the Temp 36Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+3
63.9%
McKenzie Milton run for 3 yds to the Temp 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
64.4%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Marlon WilliamsSimilar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
64.3%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Adrian Killins Jr., broken up by Chapelle RussellSimilar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+5
62.4%
Milton, McKenzie pass incomplete to Anderson, Otis (Franklin, Sam), PENALTY TEMPLE offside (Roche, Quincy) 5 yards to the TEMPLE28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:17
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+4
62.9%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 4 yds to the Temp 24Similar
Q2 2:01
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+12
61.4%
Milton, McKenzie rush for loss of 3 yards to the TEMPLE27, PENALTY TEMPLE face mask (Bradley, Shaun) 12 yards to the TEMPLE12, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCF.Similar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
64.1%
Marlon Williams run for 11 yds to the Temp 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.7%
Taj McGowan 1 Yd Run (Matthew Wright Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 1:1532% → 48%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
68.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 30 yds to the UCF 34 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ventell Bryant) to the UCF 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
69.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Sean Ryan for 6 yds to the UCF 43Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+10
68.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 10 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
67.6%
Russo, Anthony pass complete to Ritrovato, Rob for loss of 3 yards to the UCF36, PENALTY TEMPLE holding (Hennessy, Matt) 10 yards to the UCF43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 20
OPP 43
+12
69.9%
Anthony Russo run for 12 yds to the UCF 31Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+16
67.6%
Anthony Russo run for 16 yds to the UCF 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
52.1%
Ventell Bryant 15 Yd pass from Anthony Russo (Will Mobley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 16END OF HALF
6 plays · 56 yds · 0:1157% → 59%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
57.3%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 11 yds to the UCF 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+23
57.6%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 23 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
60.8%
UCF Penalty, False Start (Marlon Williams) to the UCF 48Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+27
59.4%
Taj McGowan run for 27 yds to the Temp 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 17TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 0:3460% → 76%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+17
59.9%
Greg McCrae run for 17 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
62.4%
Greg McCrae run for 17 yds to the Temp 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
63.7%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Tre Nixon, broken up by Delvon RandallSimilar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+32
76.0%
Greg McCrae 32 Yd Run (Matthew Wright Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18INT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:4928% → 28%
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
72.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 7 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+3
70.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Temp 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-15
71.4%
TEMPLE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ryquell Armstead) to the Temp 16Similar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
71.7%
Anthony Russo pass intercepted Nevelle Clarke return for no gain to the Temp 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5275% → 71%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
75.2%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 1 yd to the Temp 38Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 9
OPP 38
-1
75.0%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 39Similar
Q3 11:58
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
73.8%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Dredrick Snelson, broken up by Benny WallsSimilar
Q3 11:58
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
71.4%
Mac Loudermilk punt for 41 yds, downed at the Temp 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20PUNT
13 plays · 53 yds · 5:5128% → 30%
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
71.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for no gain to the Temp 3Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+9
71.9%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 9 yds to the Temp 12Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+2
72.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the Temp 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
71.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 8 yds to the Temp 22Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 2
OWN 22
-1
70.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 21Similar
Q3 8:28
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+6
71.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 6 yds to the Temp 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
70.0%
Anthony Russo run for 11 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
68.4%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+16
67.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 16 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-4
66.4%
Anthony Russo sacked by Trysten Hill for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 47Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 14
OPP 47
+3
67.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the UCF 44Similar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 11
OPP 44
0
68.0%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Randle JonesSimilar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
70.3%
Connor Bowler punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Otis Anderson at the UCF 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 21TD
8 plays · 88 yds · 1:4470% → 88%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
70.2%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 6 yds to the UCF 18Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+15
70.2%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Adrian Killins Jr. for 15 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
70.4%
Milton, McKenzie pass incomplete to Anderson, Otis, PENALTY TEMPLE pass interference (Thomas, Jyquis) 12 yards to the UCF45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCF.Similar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
72.6%
Greg McCrae run for 9 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+10
73.5%
Greg McCrae run for 10 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
73.5%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre Nixon for 9 yds to the Temp 27Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+8
74.3%
Greg McCrae run for 8 yds to the Temp 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
87.8%
Michael Colubiale 19 Yd pass from McKenzie Milton (Matthew Wright Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22MISSED FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 3:5317% → 14%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
83.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the Temp 26Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+14
84.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 14 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
83.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+15
83.2%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 15 yds to the UCF 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
82.3%
Ryquell Armstead run for 4 yds to the UCF 38Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+5
81.9%
UCF Penalty, Defensive Offside (Randy Charlton) to the UCF 33Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+15
81.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 15 yds to the UCF 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
81.0%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+6
81.5%
Jager Gardner run for 6 yds to the UCF 12Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 12
-5
82.6%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (Adam Klein) to the UCF 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 17
-5
83.1%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (Jaelin Robinson) to the UCF 22Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 14
OPP 22
0
84.4%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Sean RyanSimilar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 14
OPP 22
+40
86.4%
Will Mobley 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 23INT
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:5187% → 89%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
87.0%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for no gain to the UCF 22Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+11
87.5%
McKenzie Milton run for 11 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
87.9%
UCF Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCF 28Similar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+15
87.7%
TEMPLE Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the UCF 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
89.0%
McKenzie Milton run for 1 yd to the UCF 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 24TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 3:3615% → 41%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+27
85.2%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 27 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
83.0%
Anthony Russo run for 13 yds to the UCF 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
81.2%
Anthony Russo run for 4 yds to the UCF 23Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+4
81.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for 4 yds to the UCF 19Similar
Q4 11:36
3RD & 2
OPP 19
-1
82.8%
Anthony Russo run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 20Similar
Q4 10:55
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+3
84.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 3 yds to the UCF 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
81.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 9 yds to the UCF 8Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+8
59.2%
Ventell Bryant 8 Yd pass from Anthony Russo (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 25TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:1569% → 90%
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
69.4%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Marlon Williams for 19 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
72.4%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Marlon Williams for 5 yds to the UCF 49Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+14
72.8%
Greg McCrae run for 14 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
73.6%
McKenzie Milton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+12
73.3%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Adrian Killins Jr. for 12 yds to the Temp 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
74.7%
Milton, McKenzie pass incomplete to Snelson, Dredrick, PENALTY TEMPLE pass interference (Williams, Rodney) 15 yards to the TEMPLE10, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCF.Similar
Q4 8:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
89.5%
Taj McGowan 10 Yd Run (Matthew Wright Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 26DOWNS
15 plays · 54 yds · 3:0312% → 8%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
88.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jager Gardner for 9 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+6
87.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Chris Myarick for 6 yds to the Temp 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
88.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 5 yds to the Temp 36Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+10
87.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 10 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
88.0%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Brodrick Yancy, broken up by Joey ConnorsSimilar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+24
89.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 24 yds to the UCF 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
88.1%
Russo, Anthony pass incomplete to Bryant, Ventell, PENALTY UCF holding (Robinson, Aaron) 10 yards to the UCF20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEMPLE.Similar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
87.8%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
88.1%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jager GardnerSimilar
Q4 5:37
3RD & 10
OPP 20
-10
88.3%
Anthony Russo sacked by Trysten Hill for a loss of 10 yards to the UCF 30Similar
Q4 4:57
4TH & 20
OPP 30
0
92.3%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 27FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:1493% → 99%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
93.4%
Greg McCrae run for 12 yds to the UCF 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
94.2%
Greg McCrae run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 39Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 13
OWN 39
+40
94.7%
Greg McCrae run for 40 yds to the Temp 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
95.5%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 1 yd to the Temp 20Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+6
95.7%
Greg McCrae run for 6 yds to the Temp 14Similar
Q4 2:21
3RD & 3
OPP 14
-1
96.4%
Greg McCrae run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 15Similar
Q4 1:36
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+32
98.5%
Matthew Wright 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 28INT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:302% → 2%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-7
98.1%
Anthony Russo sacked by Titus Davis for a loss of 7 yards to the Temp 33Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 17
OWN 33
0
98.3%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Rob RitrovatoSimilar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 17
OWN 33
0
98.3%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q4 0:45
4TH & 17
OWN 33
+9
98.4%
Anthony Russo pass intercepted Richie Grant return for 9 yds to the Temp 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 29Uncategorized
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
98.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:44
Ventell Bryant 8 Yd pass from Anthony Russo (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-22.4
TD · Q2 0:18
Ventell Bryant 15 Yd pass from Anthony Russo (Will Mobley Kick)
-14.8
TD · Q4 8:16
Taj McGowan 10 Yd Run (Matthew Wright Kick)
+14.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com