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TULN

Tulane 24 at Tulsa 17

TLSA
2018 · Week 9 · Oct 27, 2018 · Chapman Stadium
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Win probability · TLSA
modelTLSA aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playTLSA scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:31 · Seth Boomer pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 12 yds to the Tulan 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 169Home team on offense−25.4Pregame prior+0.1Garbage-time factor−13.8Score differential−2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:47: Darius Bradwell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +11.4 pts (now 46%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:47: Keylon Stokes run for 14 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK) — TLSA win probability +13.5 pts (now 80%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:16: Justin McMillan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +16.3 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:15: Corey Dauphine run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 49 — TULN win probability +13.6 pts (now 55%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:46: Justin McMillan run for 39 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +32.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TLSA made the numbers' call on 5 of 9TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00TLSA 4th & 4 at TLSA 19, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:44TULN 4th & 3 at TLSA 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    41.8%−<0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    41.4%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:26TLSA 4th & 1 at TLSA 26, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:51TULN 4th & 13 at TULN 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:25TLSA 4th & 8 at TULN 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    57.2%−1.5
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:39TLSA 4th & 8 at TULN 30, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    59.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    59.1%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:27TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 47, down 3
    Close callPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:53TLSA 4th & 17 at TULN 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.9%−1.3
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    55.8%−3.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:53TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−1.0
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:10TLSA 4th & 9 at TLSA 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−1.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:06TULN 4th & 3 at TLSA 3, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.5%−2.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    21.1%−16.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:59TLSA 4th & 12 at TULN 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%−4.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:45TULN 4th & 4 at TLSA 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    46.0%−2.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    30.6%−17.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:52TLSA 4th & 1 at TULN 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    50.2%−10.7
    30% to make
    Punt
    51.9%−8.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:31TLSA 4th & 18 at TLSA 43, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.3%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TLSA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TULN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 9:58TLSA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:47TULN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:47TLSA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:16TULN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:46TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.5%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TLSADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
55.8%
Shamari Brooks run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+3
55.8%
Shamari Brooks run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 19Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 19
0
55.8%
Seth Boomer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 19
+10
55.8%
Thomas Bennett punt for 47 yds , Amare Jones returns for 10 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2DOWNS
10 plays · 39 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
55.8%
Stephon Huderson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+3
55.8%
Corey Dauphine run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 49Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+12
55.8%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Jabril Clewis for 12 yds to the Tulsa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
55.7%
Justin McMillan run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+2
55.7%
Darius Bradwell run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 32Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+6
55.7%
Darius Bradwell run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
55.7%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Terren Encalade for 2 yds to the Tulsa 24Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+2
55.7%
Corey Dauphine run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 22Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+3
55.7%
Corey Dauphine run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 19Similar
Q1 13:44
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+2
55.8%
Corey Dauphine run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
56.2%
Shamari Brooks run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 23Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+3
56.3%
Shamari Brooks run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 26Similar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 1
OWN 26
0
56.0%
Shamari Brooks run for no gain to the Tulsa 26Similar
Q1 8:26
4TH & 1
OWN 26
+7
55.8%
Thomas Bennett punt for 48 yds , Amare Jones returns for 7 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0044% → 43%
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
55.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 30Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 13
OWN 30
0
56.1%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 13
OWN 30
0
56.4%
Justin McMillan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:51
4TH & 13
OWN 30
+55
56.7%
Ryan Wright punt for 45 yds , Jarion Anderson returns for 55 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 5FG
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:3558% → 58%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
57.5%
Corey Taylor II run for 7 yds to the Tulan 13Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 3
OPP 13
0
57.5%
Seth Boomer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 3
OPP 13
-5
57.2%
TULSA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 18Similar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
57.1%
Seth Boomer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:25
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+35
57.5%
Nathan Walker 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
57.5%
Darius Bradwell run for 9 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+1
56.9%
Amare Jones run for 1 yd to the Tulan 32 Amare Jones fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by Tulsa Cooper EdmistonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 7DOWNS
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
58.7%
Seth Boomer run for 5 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 5
OPP 27
-3
58.7%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Justin Hobbs for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 30Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 8
OPP 30
0
58.3%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to Jarion AndersonSimilar
Q1 4:39
4TH & 8
OPP 30
0
57.5%
Seth Boomer pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
57.5%
Corey Dauphine run for 2 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+3
57.4%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 3 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+5
57.7%
TULSA Penalty, OF (5 Yards) to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
56.9%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+6
57.2%
Amare Jones run for 6 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 4
OWN 46
-5
56.8%
TULANE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 41Similar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+6
57.4%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Amare Jones for 6 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q1 3:27
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
57.3%
Ryan Wright punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 9MISSED FG
8 plays · 60 yds · 2:4258% → 57%
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
57.5%
Corey Taylor II run for 15 yds to the Tulsa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+39
57.7%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 39 yds to the Tulan 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
59.6%
Seth Boomer run for 8 yds to the Tulan 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+5
59.6%
Corey Taylor II run for 5 yds to the Tulan 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
59.6%
Corey Taylor II run for 1 yd to the Tulan 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 12
0
59.6%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to Keenen Johnson, broken up by Jaylon MonroeSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 12
-8
59.0%
Seth Boomer sacked by Robert Kennedy for a loss of 8 yards to the Tulan 20Similar
Q2 12:53
4TH & 17
OPP 20
+37
57.2%
Nathan Walker 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0042% → 41%
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
58.1%
Stephon Huderson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 21Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
58.3%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Terren Encalade TULANE Penalty, IR ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+3
58.9%
Justin McMillan run for 3 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q2 12:53
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
59.4%
Ryan Wright punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulsa 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 11TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:3660% → 66%
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
59.6%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 12 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
60.1%
Shamari Brooks run for 9 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+4
60.4%
Shamari Brooks run for 4 yds to the Tulan 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
60.4%
Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+28
66.4%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 28 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12TD
20 plays · 75 yds · 9:1135% → 46%
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
65.3%
Corey Dauphine run for 2 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
65.1%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 10 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
64.5%
Justin McMillan run for 8 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+1
63.7%
Darius Bradwell run for 1 yd to the Tulan 46Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+12
63.9%
Jorien Vallien run for 12 yds to the Tulsa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
63.4%
Darius Bradwell run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 8
OPP 40
-5
63.5%
TULANE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 13
OPP 45
-5
64.1%
TULANE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 18
50
+5
64.7%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Terren Encalade for 5 yds to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 13
OPP 45
+18
65.0%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Terren Encalade for 18 yds to the Tulsa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
62.2%
Amare Jones run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 25Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+4
62.2%
Amare Jones run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 21Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+6
63.2%
Darius Bradwell run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
62.2%
Darius Bradwell run for no gain to the Tulsa 15Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+4
62.2%
Corey Dauphine run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 11Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+2
63.2%
Corey Dauphine run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 9Similar
Q2 1:37
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+5
68.4%
GLOVER,M. field goal attempt from 26 GOOD, clock 01:37, PENALTY TLS roughing the kicker 5 yards to the TLS4, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
65.7%
Darius Bradwell run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 1Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
54.3%
Darius Bradwell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0060% → 63%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
60.4%
Shamari Brooks run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 36Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+10
60.6%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 10 yds to the Tulsa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
62.6%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 6
50
0
62.9%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to Keylon StokesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
60.4%
Corey Dauphine run for 3 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
60.1%
Justin McMillan run for 10 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
59.0%
Corey Dauphine run for 4 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+5
57.9%
Justin McMillan run for 5 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 47
-5
57.9%
TULANE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
58.8%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
60.7%
Ryan Wright punt for 42 yds, downed at the Tulsa 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 15TD
11 plays · 84 yds · 4:2362% → 80%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
62.1%
Shamari Brooks run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 17Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 9
OWN 17
0
61.9%
Seth Boomer run for no gain to the Tulsa 17Similar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 9
OWN 17
+15
60.5%
BOOMER, S. sacked for loss of 4 yards to the TLS13 (KENNEDY,Robert), PENALTY TLN face mask 15 yards to the TLS32, 1ST DOWN TLS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
62.5%
Seth Boomer run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+3
64.4%
Shamari Brooks run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
64.3%
Shamari Brooks run for no gain to the Tulsa 43Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
63.6%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to Keenen JohnsonSimilar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+32
62.1%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Jarion Anderson for 32 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
66.1%
Shamari Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 26Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+12
66.0%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 12 yds to the Tulan 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
79.6%
Keylon Stokes run for 14 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:3123% → 43%
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.9%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
77.1%
Amare Jones run for 3 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q3 7:47
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+11
77.8%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Charles Jones II for 11 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
75.7%
Amare Jones run for 5 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+4
75.1%
Corey Dauphine run for 4 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q3 7:47
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+51
75.2%
Corey Dauphine run for 51 yds to the Tulsa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
72.9%
DAUPHINE,C. rush for no gain to the TLS1 (GIPSON, T.), PENALTY TLS OF 0 yards to the TLS1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
72.9%
Corey Dauphine run for no gain to the Tulsa 1Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
56.7%
Justin McMillan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0065% → 62%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
65.1%
Shamari Brooks run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-2
66.2%
Shamari Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 38Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
63.7%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to Keylon Stokes, broken up by Jaylon MonroeSimilar
Q3 4:10
4TH & 9
OWN 38
+12
61.7%
Thomas Bennett punt for 44 yds , Amare Jones returns for 12 yds to the 50 yard line TULSA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the Tulan 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18FG
13 plays · 52 yds · 5:3339% → 50%
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
60.9%
BRADWELL,D. rush for 5 yards to the 50 yardline (CANNON, D.;MOUTON, M.), PENALTY TLN holding 10 yards to the TLN35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 20
OWN 35
-2
64.2%
Amare Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 33Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 22
OWN 33
+19
64.6%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Terren Encalade for 19 yds to the Tulsa 48Similar
Q3 2:39
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+6
60.0%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Amare Jones for 6 yds to the Tulsa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+21
59.4%
Amare Jones run for 21 yds to the Tulsa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-10
57.5%
JONES,A. rush for 2 yards to the TLS19 (BUNCH, M.;JAMES, J.), PENALTY TLN holding 10 yards to the TLS31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 31
+6
59.5%
Justin McMillan run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 25
+6
60.4%
Corey Dauphine run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+10
59.8%
McMILLAN, J. pass incomplete to ENCALADE,T., PENALTY TLS holding 10 yards to the TLS9, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
57.4%
Stephon Huderson run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 6Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
57.4%
Stephon Huderson run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 3Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
59.2%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q4 12:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
50.4%
Merek Glover 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 2:0757% → 54%
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
57.3%
Shamari Brooks run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 31Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
59.5%
Seth Boomer run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
59.4%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to Keenen Johnson, broken up by Jaylon MonroeSimilar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
58.9%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to Justin Hobbs, broken up by Donnie Lewis Jr.Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+15
56.9%
Seth Boomer run for 15 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
62.6%
Keylon Stokes run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 48Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 12
OPP 48
0
60.2%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to Keylon Stokes, broken up by Taris ShenallSimilar
Q4 9:59
3RD & 12
OPP 48
0
57.6%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to Keenen Johnson, broken up by Willie LanghamSimilar
Q4 9:59
4TH & 12
OPP 48
0
53.9%
Thomas Bennett punt for 23 yds, downed at the Tulan 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 46 yds · 0:0049% → 51%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
51.2%
Darius Bradwell run for 40 yds to the Tulsa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
43.5%
Darius Bradwell run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 31Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+2
42.8%
Darius Bradwell run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 29Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 4
OPP 29
0
45.0%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Charles Jones II, broken up by Manny BunchSimilar
Q4 9:45
4TH & 4
OPP 29
0
49.1%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 21FUMBLE
5 plays · 29 yds · 0:0057% → 58%
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+20
56.6%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Cole Neph for 20 yds to the Tulsa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
61.5%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to Justin HobbsSimilar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
60.3%
Corey Taylor II run for 5 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+4
60.9%
Seth Boomer run for 4 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q4 7:52
4TH & 1
OPP 42
0
58.4%
Seth Boomer run for no gain to the Tulan 42 Seth Boomer fumbled, recovered by Tulan Marvin MoodySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 22TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 2:2955% → 90%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
44.8%
Corey Dauphine run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 49Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+1
42.3%
Corey Dauphine run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
43.0%
Corey Dauphine run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+1
42.3%
Corey Dauphine run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 39Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+39
10.3%
Justin McMillan run for 39 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 23DOWNS
10 plays · 30 yds · 2:1520% → 12%
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
20.4%
Shamari Brooks run for 11 yds to the Tulsa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
21.8%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Cole Neph for 15 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
25.6%
Shamari Brooks run for 5 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 5
OPP 44
-5
27.1%
TULSA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 49Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-1
24.6%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Cole Neph for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 11
50
-7
21.8%
Seth Boomer sacked by Patrick Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulsa 43Similar
Q4 1:31
4TH & 18
OWN 43
+12
12.4%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 12 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0495% → 94%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
5.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 43Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 12
OWN 43
-2
5.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 41Similar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 14
OWN 41
-2
5.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:46
Justin McMillan run for 39 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)
-32
TD · Q3 4:16
Justin McMillan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)
-16.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 6:15
Corey Dauphine run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 49
-13.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com