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SMU

SMU 27 at Tulane 23

TULN
2018 · Week 8 · Oct 20, 2018 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadSMU aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreSMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4SAFETYTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:33 · Ryan Wright punt for 44 yds , James Proche returns for 4 yds to the SMU 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differential
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 67Pregame prior+12.6Home team on offense+1.1Garbage-time factor+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2Score differential+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:05: Ben Hicks pass intercepted for a TD Donnie Lewis Jr. return for 49 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +10.4 pts (now 76%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:08: Ben Hicks pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 16 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK) — SMU win probability +12.6 pts (now 39%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:58: Jonathan Banks run for 3 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +14.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:29: Braeden West run for 29 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK) — SMU win probability +25.6 pts (now 42%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:15: Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 67 yds for a TD Timeout SMU, clock 01:15 TULANE Penalty, substitution infraction (2 Yards) to the Tulan 1 (Ben Hicks PAT MISSED) (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — SMU win probability +58.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 8 of 11SMU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00TULN 4th & 4 at SMU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    70.3%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    70.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 15:00TULN 4th & 26 at SMU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    70.4%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:54SMU 4th & 8 at SMU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:41TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:38SMU 4th & 1 at SMU 45, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.3%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:34TULN 4th & 14 at TULN 40, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−0.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:37SMU 4th & 14 at SMU 27, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:14TULN 4th & 9 at TULN 25, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:49SMU 4th & 14 at SMU 23, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%−2.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:33TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 23, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%−1.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:10SMU 4th & 16 at SMU 31, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−2.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:32TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 31, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:37SMU 4th & 2 at SMU 33, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−0.7
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:56SMU 4th & 13 at SMU 47, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−2.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:58TULN 4th & 1 at SMU 3, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.0%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    63.1%−5.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    48.3%−20.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:23TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 35, up 2
    Close callPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:09SMU 4th & 5 at SMU 21, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−2.0
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:38SMU 4th & 14 at TULN 44, down 2
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.0 ptsPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−2.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    31.0%
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.0%−1.0
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:40TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 18, up 2
    Close callPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%−0.8
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:17SMU 4th & 15 at SMU 48, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−2.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:44TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 20, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%−1.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 14:55TULN Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:38SMU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:05TULN Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:08SMU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:58TULN Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:29SMU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.0%−0.4
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:15SMU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 2.0 ptsWent for two · failed
    Kick
    79.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    77.9%−2.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1PUNT
15 plays · 41 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+23
71.1%
Darius Bradwell run for 23 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
71.1%
Jonathan Banks run for 8 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+2
71.1%
Stephon Huderson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+4
71.1%
Stephon Huderson run for 4 yds to the SMU 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+7
71.1%
Amare Jones run for 7 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
71.1%
Amare Jones run for no gain to the SMU 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
71.1%
Darius Bradwell run for 3 yds to the SMU 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+3
71.1%
Corey Dauphine run for 3 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+7
71.1%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Stephon Huderson for 7 yds to the SMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
71.1%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-5
71.1%
[Shotgun], BANKS,J. slant pass complete to ROBERTSON,J. for 5 yards to the SMU21 (WYATT, Jordan), PENALTY TLN ineligible downfield on pass (THOMPSON,R.) 5 yards to the SMU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 31
-1
71.1%
Jonathan Banks run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 16
OPP 32
-10
71.1%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Gary Wiley for a loss of 10 yards to the SMU 42Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 26
OPP 42
0
71.1%
Zachary Block punt for 30 yds, fair catch by James Proche at the SMU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
69.8%
Braeden West run for 8 yds to the SMU 20Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+10
69.7%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 10 yds to the SMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
69.7%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for no gain to the SMU 30Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
69.8%
CJ Sanders run for 2 yds to the SMU 32Similar
Q1 7:54
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
70.0%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q1 7:54
4TH & 8
OWN 32
+3
70.1%
Jamie Sackville punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 21 , Jacob Robertson Jr. returns for 3 yds to the Tulan 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0469% → 69%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
69.4%
Jonathan Banks run for 9 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 1
OWN 30
0
69.9%
Darius Bradwell run for no gain to the Tulan 30Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 1
OWN 30
0
69.0%
Corey Dauphine run for no gain to the Tulan 30Similar
Q1 4:41
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
68.6%
Ryan Wright punt for 56 yds, downed at the SMU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 4SF
1 play · -14 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-14
70.0%
TEAM run for -14 yds for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 3:4770% → 74%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
69.9%
[Shotgun], BANKS,J. slant pass complete to CLEWIS,J. for 2 yards to the TLN23 (WYATT, Jordan), PENALTY SMU pass interference (WYATT, Jordan) 8 yards to the TLN29, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
70.0%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 6 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 4
OWN 35
-1
70.4%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Amare Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 34Similar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+26
69.7%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Amare Jones for 26 yds to the SMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+21
71.0%
Darius Bradwell run for 21 yds to the SMU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
71.2%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jabril Clewis for 6 yds to the SMU 13Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+5
71.2%
Darius Bradwell run for 5 yds to the SMU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
71.2%
Jonathan Banks run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 10Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
74.0%
Darius Bradwell run for 10 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:1726% → 32%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
73.6%
Xavier Jones run for 5 yds to the SMU 30Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
73.1%
Xavier Jones run for 4 yds to the SMU 34Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
73.2%
Xavier Jones run for 2 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
73.0%
Xavier Jones run for 1 yd to the SMU 37Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
73.1%
Braeden West run for no gain to the SMU 37Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+8
73.6%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Braeden West for 8 yds to the SMU 45Similar
Q2 11:38
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+55
67.7%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Xavier Jones for 55 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0070% → 68%
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
70.1%
Corey Dauphine run for no gain to the Tulan 44Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
69.5%
Amare Jones run for 1 yd to the Tulan 45Similar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 9
OWN 45
-5
68.7%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Delontae Scott and Kyran Mitchell for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 40Similar
Q2 11:34
4TH & 14
OWN 40
0
67.5%
Ryan Wright punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
67.9%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 11 yds to the SMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
67.4%
Braeden West run for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 27Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 14
OWN 27
0
68.3%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to James Proche, broken up by Chase KuerschenSimilar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 14
OWN 27
0
68.8%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to James Proche, broken up by TEAMER,R.Similar
Q2 9:37
4TH & 14
OWN 27
0
69.4%
Jamie Sackville punt for 49 yds, downed at the Tulan 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0069% → 67%
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
69.1%
Darius Bradwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 23Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+2
68.8%
Jonathan Banks run for 2 yds to the Tulan 25Similar
Q2 8:14
3RD & 9
OWN 25
0
68.0%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q2 8:14
4TH & 9
OWN 25
+48
67.4%
Ryan Wright punt for 48 yds, fair catch by James Proche at the TULANE 27 TULANE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the SMU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0032% → 30%
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
67.6%
Braeden West run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 25Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 12
OWN 25
-2
68.1%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 23Similar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 14
OWN 23
0
68.9%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr., broken up by Thakarius KeyesSimilar
Q2 6:49
4TH & 14
OWN 23
+54
69.6%
Jamie Sackville punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TULANE 38 TULANE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Tulan 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0069% → 67%
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
68.8%
Stephon Huderson run for 2 yds to the Tulan 25Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
68.6%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Terren Encalade, broken up by Jordan WyattSimilar
Q2 5:33
3RD & 8
OWN 25
-2
67.6%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Trevor Denbow for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 23Similar
Q2 5:33
4TH & 10
OWN 23
+4
67.0%
Ryan Wright punt for 44 yds , James Proche returns for 4 yds to the SMU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0034% → 31%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
66.5%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Xavier Jones for 1 yd to the SMU 38Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+1
66.3%
Xavier Jones run for 1 yd to the SMU 39Similar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-8
66.7%
Ben Hicks sacked by Lawrence Graham for a loss of 8 yards to the SMU 31Similar
Q2 4:10
4TH & 16
OWN 31
0
69.2%
Jamie Sackville punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jacob Robertson Jr. at the Tulan 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0069% → 67%
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
68.5%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 4 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 6
OWN 32
-1
68.6%
Amare Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 7
OWN 31
0
67.6%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Jabril ClewisSimilar
Q2 2:32
4TH & 7
OWN 31
0
66.5%
Ryan Wright punt for 58 yds, fair catch by James Proche at the SMU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 0:3633% → 33%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
67.1%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Judah Bell, broken up by P.J. HallSimilar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+1
67.4%
Braeden West run for 1 yd to the SMU 12Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 9
OWN 12
+13
68.3%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Judah Bell for 13 yds to the SMU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.9%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
67.2%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr., broken up by Chris JoyceSimilar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+8
68.1%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 8 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
67.1%
Jamie Sackville punt for 30 yds , Jacob Robertson Jr. returns for no gain to the Tulan 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15MISSED FG
5 plays · 38 yds · 0:2868% → 72%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+25
68.4%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 25 yds to the SMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
70.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+13
70.3%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 13 yds Jonathan Banks fumbled, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+42
72.2%
Merek Glover 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
66.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 17INT TD
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:5533% → 24%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.4%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
67.5%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 5 yds to the SMU 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+13
67.6%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 13 yds to the SMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
65.2%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr. SMU Penalty, IT (Reggie Roberson Jr.) to the SMU 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
65.8%
Braeden West run for 3 yds to the SMU 46Similar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+49
76.2%
Ben Hicks pass intercepted for a TD Donnie Lewis Jr. return for 49 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 18TD
11 plays · 58 yds · 4:4824% → 39%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
76.0%
Xavier Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 41Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 11
OWN 41
-8
76.5%
Ben Hicks sacked by Davon Wright for a loss of 8 yards to the SMU 33Similar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
75.5%
Xavier Jones run for 3 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
75.1%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+7
75.6%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 7 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
75.1%
Braeden West run for 1 yd to the Tulan 41Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+9
75.1%
[Shotgun], HICKS, Ben sideline pass incomplete to GAILLIARD, M., PENALTY TLN holding (MONROE,J.) 9 yards to the TLN32, 1ST DOWN SMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+16
74.1%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 16 yds to the Tulan 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
73.7%
Braeden West run for no gain to the Tulan 16Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
61.1%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 16 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
67.5%
Jonathan Banks pass intercepted Christian Davis return for no gain to the SMU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 0:0035% → 32%
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
65.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Xavier Jones for 4 yds to the SMU 41Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-5
63.3%
Ben Hicks run for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 36Similar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+14
67.3%
Ben Hicks pass complete to CJ Sanders for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
50
+2
62.7%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Ke'Mon Freeman for 2 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+5
62.7%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 5 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 3
OPP 43
-5
63.1%
SMU Penalty, false start (Chad Pursley) to the Tulan 48Similar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 8
OPP 48
-5
63.6%
SMU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SMU 47Similar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 13
OWN 47
0
66.1%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.Similar
Q3 7:56
4TH & 13
OWN 47
0
67.6%
Jamie Sackville punt for 42 yds , Jacob Robertson Jr. returns for no gain to the Tulan 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21TD
12 plays · 89 yds · 6:2066% → 85%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-3
66.3%
Darius Bradwell run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 8Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 13
OWN 8
+6
65.6%
Darius Bradwell run for 6 yds to the Tulan 14Similar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 7
OWN 14
+8
64.6%
Jonathan Banks run for 8 yds to the Tulan 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+30
66.5%
Stephon Huderson run for 30 yds to the SMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+24
70.4%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jacob Robertson Jr. for 24 yds to the SMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
71.5%
Stephon Huderson run for no gain to the SMU 24Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
71.4%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 4 yds to the SMU 20Similar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+8
70.1%
Amare Jones run for 8 yds to the SMU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
72.0%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Amare Jones for 4 yds to the SMU 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+2
72.0%
Amare Jones run for 2 yds to the SMU 6Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+3
70.5%
Darius Bradwell run for 3 yds to the SMU 3Similar
Q4 12:58
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+3
84.8%
Jonathan Banks run for 3 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 22TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:2916% → 42%
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.4%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
84.6%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 11 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
83.5%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
83.8%
Ben Hicks pass complete to CJ Sanders for 2 yds to the SMU 38Similar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+33
84.1%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 33 yds to the Tulan 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
58.4%
Braeden West run for 29 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0069% → 66%
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
68.5%
TULANE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 24Similar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+3
67.8%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 3 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 12
OWN 27
+7
67.8%
Jonathan Banks run for 7 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+1
67.4%
Jonathan Banks run for 1 yd to the Tulan 35Similar
Q4 11:23
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
66.4%
Ryan Wright punt for 49 yds, downed at the SMU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0035% → 32%
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
64.9%
Xavier Jones run for 6 yds to the SMU 22Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 4
OWN 22
-1
64.4%
Xavier Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 21Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 5
OWN 21
0
66.8%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q4 9:09
4TH & 5
OWN 21
0
68.4%
Jamie Sackville punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jacob Robertson Jr. at the Tulan 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25FUMBLE
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:0068% → 70%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
68.3%
Darius Bradwell run for 2 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 8
OWN 34
-2
68.1%
Jonathan Banks run for 8 yds to the Tulan 42 TULANE Penalty, illegal block (Terren Encalade) to the Tulan 32Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+11
67.8%
Jonathan Banks run for 11 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
70.9%
Stephon Huderson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
71.6%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Kendall Ardoin TULANE Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 6
OWN 47
-7
69.9%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Delontae Scott for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulan 40 Jonathan Banks fumbled, recovered by SMU Ken McLaurin , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0041% → 33%
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
58.8%
Braeden West run for 1 yd to the Tulan 39Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
58.9%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:38
3RD & 9
OPP 39
0
59.9%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.Similar
Q4 5:38
4TH & 9
OPP 39
-5
64.7%
SMU Penalty, false start (Kevin Johnson) to the Tulan 44Similar
Q4 5:38
4TH & 14
OPP 44
0
66.7%
Jamie Sackville punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jacob Robertson Jr. at the Tulan 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0073% → 69%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
72.5%
Darius Bradwell run for 3 yds to the Tulan 14Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+4
72.5%
Jonathan Banks run for 4 yds to the Tulan 18Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & 3
OWN 18
0
70.7%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q4 4:40
4TH & 3
OWN 18
0
69.2%
Ryan Wright punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0039% → 30%
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
60.7%
Braeden West run for no gain to the Tulan 47Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-5
61.9%
Ben Hicks sacked by Patrick Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 48Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 15
OWN 48
0
67.8%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr., broken up by Thakarius KeyesSimilar
Q4 3:17
4TH & 15
OWN 48
0
69.7%
Jamie Sackville punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jacob Robertson Jr. at the Tulan 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:1080% → 80%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
79.5%
Darius Bradwell run for no gain to the Tulan 16Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+4
81.8%
Jonathan Banks run for 4 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 6
OWN 20
0
81.1%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Kendall ArdoinSimilar
Q4 1:44
4TH & 6
OWN 20
0
80.1%
Ryan Wright punt for 42 yds, fair catch by James Proche at the SMU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 30TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 0:1632% → 92%
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
68.4%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete, broken up by Cameron SampleSimilar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-5
68.7%
SMU Penalty, false start (Jaylon Thomas) to the SMU 33Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+67
10.3%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 67 yds for a TD Timeout SMU, clock 01:15 TULANE Penalty, substitution infraction (2 Yards) to the Tulan 1 (Ben Hicks PAT MISSED) (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
Q4 1:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
7.6%
TULANE Penalty, substitution infraction (2 Yards) to the Tulan 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 31FUMBLE
4 plays · 28 yds · 0:0023% → 27%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
22.6%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Stephon Huderson for 15 yds to the Tulan 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+17
23.5%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Stephon Huderson for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
50
-4
27.1%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Richard Moore for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 46 Jonathan Banks fumbled, recovered by SMU Jake Hall , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 32END OF GAME
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:1192% → 95%
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
7.9%
Braeden West run for 14 yds to the Tulan 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
4.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 34Similar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 12
OPP 34
-1
4.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 35Similar
Q4 0:28
3RD & 13
OPP 35
-1
4.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:15
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 67 yds for a TD Timeout SMU, clock 01:15 TULANE Penalty, substitution infraction (2 Yards) to the Tulan 1 (Ben Hicks PAT MISSED) (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-58.4
TD · Q4 11:29
Braeden West run for 29 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK)
-25.6
TD · Q4 12:58
Jonathan Banks run for 3 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)
+14.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com