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CONN

UConn 30 at South Florida 38

USF
2018 · Week 8 · Oct 20, 2018 · Raymond James Stadium
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Win probability · USF
modelUSF aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playUSF scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:25 · Coby Weiss 34 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Pregame prior+28.2Home team on offense+15.6Score differential+6.6Garbage-time factor+5.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:33: Kevin Mensah run for 10 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK) — CONN win probability +1.0 pts (now 5%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:43: Johnny Ford 15 Yd Run (Coby Weiss Kick) — USF win probability +4.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:34: Blake Barnett 20 Yd Run (Coby Weiss Kick) — CONN win probability +2.9 pts (now 8%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:36: Johnny Ford 15 Yd Run (Coby Weiss Kick) — USF win probability +1.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:33: David Pindell run for 12 yds for a TD (Clayton Harris KICK) — CONN win probability +0.6 pts (now 1%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USF made the numbers' call on 3 of 5CONN made the numbers' call on 3 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00CONN 4th & 4 at CONN 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:20CONN 4th & 8 at USF 33, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    5.2%
    49% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:44USF 4th & 16 at USF 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:03CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00USF 4th & 4 at USF 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:44CONN 4th & 2 at CONN 28, up 7
    Close callPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:02USF 4th & 14 at CONN 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    89.9%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:07CONN 4th & 3 at CONN 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:49CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 49, down 14
    Close callPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:25USF 4th & 3 at CONN 17, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.7%−0.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    92.2%−2.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:25CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:07USF 4th & 11 at CONN 13, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    92.1%−3.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:20CONN 4th & 4 at USF 21, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USF made the numbers' call on 1 of 1CONN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:33CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:43USF Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
96.9%
David Pindell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
96.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+3
96.9%
David Pindell run for 3 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
96.9%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 58 yds, downed at the SFla 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 2INT
8 plays · 46 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+10
96.7%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Stanley Clerveaux for 10 yds to the SFla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+36
96.7%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 36 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
50
+1
96.7%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd to the UConn 49Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+10
96.7%
Blake Barnett run for 10 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
96.7%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 4 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
96.7%
Blake Barnett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 6
OPP 35
-15
96.7%
BARNETT, Blake rush for 2 yards to the UCONN33 (BEAVERS, Darria), PENALTY USF illegal block (ATTERBURY, Bill) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 21
50
0
96.7%
Blake Barnett pass intercepted Santana Sterling return for no gain to the UConn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 2:284% → 5%
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
96.2%
David Pindell run for 11 yds to the SFla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
96.2%
David Pindell run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 48Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+34
96.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 34 yds to the SFla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
96.2%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 4 yds to the SFla 10Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+10
95.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 10 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 4INT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
95.3%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 11 yds to the SFla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
95.3%
Johnny Ford run for 9 yds to the SFla 41Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+1
95.4%
Johnny Ford run for 1 yd to the SFla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
95.4%
Blake Barnett pass intercepted Omar Fortt return for no gain to the UConn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5DOWNS
7 plays · 44 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+18
94.9%
David Pindell run for 18 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+24
94.8%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 24 yds to the SFla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
94.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the SFla 31Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 6
OPP 31
-10
94.7%
MENSAH, Kevin rush for 1 yard to the USF30, out-of-bounds (REAVES, Greg), PENALTY UCONN holding (MAYALA, Hergy) 10 yards to the USF41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 16
OPP 41
+6
94.8%
David Pindell run for 6 yds to the SFla 35Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+2
94.8%
Zavier Scott run for 2 yds to the SFla 33Similar
Q1 7:20
4TH & 8
OPP 33
0
94.9%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Keyion DixonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-4
93.7%
Jordan Cronkrite run for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 29Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 14
OWN 29
+6
93.6%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Tyre McCants for 6 yds to the SFla 35Similar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 8
OWN 35
-3
93.6%
Blake Barnett sacked by Darrian Beavers for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 32Similar
Q1 3:44
4TH & 11
OWN 32
-5
93.5%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SFla 27Similar
Q1 3:44
4TH & 16
OWN 27
0
93.5%
Trent Schneider punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Kyle Buss at the UConn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
92.8%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Aaron McLean, broken up by Ronnie HogginsSimilar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+2
92.8%
David Pindell run for 2 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q1 2:03
3RD & 8
OWN 29
0
92.9%
David Pindell pass incomplete, broken up by Juwuan BrownSimilar
Q1 2:03
4TH & 8
OWN 29
-6
93.0%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 45 yds , Tyre McCants returns for a loss of 6 yards to the SFla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:5992% → 92%
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
92.4%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Stanley Clerveaux for 4 yds to the SFla 24Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+16
92.4%
Blake Barnett run for 16 yds to the SFla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
92.6%
DeAngelo Antoine run for 6 yds to the SFla 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+1
92.3%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Tyre McCants for 1 yd to the SFla 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 47
-1
92.2%
Blake Barnett run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 46Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
91.9%
Trent Schneider punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
91.1%
David Pindell run for 2 yds to the UConn 22Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+2
91.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 24Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+4
91.2%
David Pindell run for 4 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q2 13:44
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
91.3%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 52 yds, downed at the SFla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 10PUNT
14 plays · 41 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
90.2%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Tyre McCants for 4 yds to the SFla 24Similar
Q2 12:02
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+14
90.3%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Tyre McCants for 14 yds to the SFla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
90.5%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Blake Barnett for 1 yd to the SFla 39Similar
Q2 12:02
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+7
90.5%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Jernard Phillips for 7 yds to the SFla 46Similar
Q2 12:02
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+3
90.7%
Johnny Ford run for 3 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
90.8%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Ryeshene BronsonSimilar
Q2 12:02
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
90.7%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Ryeshene Bronson for 4 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q2 12:02
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+12
90.8%
Blake Barnett run for 12 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
91.2%
BARNETT, Blake pass incomplete to ST. FELIX, R, PENALTY USF holding (NORMAN, Marcus) 10 yards to the UCONN45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 20
OPP 45
-5
90.6%
BARNETT, Blake pass complete to CRONKRITE, J for 6 yards to the UCONN39 (FORTT, Omar), PENALTY USF ineligible downfield on pass (CECIL, Brad) 5 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 25
50
+2
90.5%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 2 yds to the UConn 48Similar
Q2 12:02
2ND & 23
OPP 48
+4
90.6%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Tyre McCants for 4 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q2 12:02
3RD & 19
OPP 44
+5
90.4%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for 5 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q2 12:02
4TH & 14
OPP 39
0
90.0%
Trent Schneider punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Kyle Buss at the UConn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 3:1515% → 18%
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+10
85.4%
Kevin Mensah run for 10 yds to the UConn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
85.2%
David Pindell run for 5 yds to the UConn 23Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+8
84.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 8 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
84.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+1
84.4%
Zavier Scott run for 1 yd to the UConn 38Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 3
OWN 38
0
84.4%
Zavier Scott run for no gain to the UConn 38Similar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
81.8%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Johnny Ford at the SFla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 12TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:1783% → 90%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
82.8%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Mitchell Wilcox for 13 yds to the SFla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
83.2%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 15 yds to the SFla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
84.2%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 14 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
84.1%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Mitchell Wilcox for 7 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+8
85.0%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Darnell Salomon for 8 yds to the UConn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
85.0%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Mitchell Wilcox for 8 yds to the UConn 15Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+15
89.8%
Johnny Ford 15 Yd Run (Coby Weiss Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
92.6%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UConn 14Similar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+4
92.7%
David Pindell run for 4 yds to the UConn 18Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+8
92.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 8 yds to the UConn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 14TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
91.7%
Randall St. Felix 75 Yd pass from Blake Barnett (Coby Weiss Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
95.0%
David Pindell run for 20 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
94.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+2
94.5%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 49Similar
Q3 14:49
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
94.5%
David Pindell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:49
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
94.8%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tyre McCants at the SFla 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 16MISSED FG
8 plays · 73 yds · 2:2195% → 95%
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
95.1%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Mitchell WilcoxSimilar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+20
95.1%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Tyre McCants for 20 yds to the SFla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
95.1%
Jordan Cronkrite run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 28Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+48
95.1%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 48 yds to the UConn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
95.4%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Tyre McCantsSimilar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
95.4%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Tyre McCantsSimilar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+7
95.2%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 7 yds to the UConn 17Similar
Q3 10:25
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+34
94.8%
Coby Weiss 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
94.6%
David Pindell pass complete to Kevin Mensah for 3 yds to the UConn 23Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+22
94.7%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 22 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
94.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 8 yds to the SFla 47Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 2
OPP 47
-8
93.7%
David Pindell sacked by Juwuan Brown for a loss of 8 yards to the UConn 45Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
94.4%
David Pindell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:25
4TH & 10
OWN 45
-2
94.8%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 43 yds , Tyre McCants returns for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 18FG
7 plays · 77 yds · 1:4295% → 94%
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+78
95.1%
Johnny Ford run for 78 yds to the UConn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
95.4%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 4 yds to the UConn 8Similar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 6
OPP 8
-5
95.4%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 13Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 11
OPP 13
0
95.1%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Tyre McCantsSimilar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 11
OPP 13
0
94.9%
Jordan Cronkrite run for no gain to the UConn 13 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 6:07
4TH & 11
OPP 13
+30
94.4%
Coby Weiss 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:536% → 8%
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
93.8%
David Pindell run for 1 yd to the UConn 21Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
94.0%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+28
94.1%
David Pindell run for 28 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
92.7%
Zavier Scott run for 2 yds to the SFla 49Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+36
92.7%
David Pindell pass complete to Kyle Buss for 36 yds to the SFla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
91.9%
David Pindell run for 3 yds to the SFla 10Similar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+10
92.2%
David Pindell 10 Yd Run (Clayton Harris Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 20TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:4095% → 92%
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
95.1%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 5 yds to the UConn 20Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+20
92.2%
Blake Barnett 20 Yd Run (Coby Weiss Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21INT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:344% → 4%
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
96.5%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 16Similar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 15
OWN 16
+14
96.5%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 14 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+1
96.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
96.2%
David Pindell run for 8 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+6
96.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
96.2%
David Pindell run for 1 yd to the UConn 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+61
96.4%
David Pindell pass intercepted Nick Roberts return for 61 yds to the UConn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 22TD
1 play · 15 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
97.5%
Johnny Ford 15 Yd Run (Coby Weiss Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:401% → 1%
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.0%
David Pindell run for 8 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q4 14:36
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
98.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
98.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q4 14:36
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+11
98.9%
David Pindell run for 11 yds to the SFla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
98.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the SFla 46 for a 1ST down SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the SFla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-7
98.7%
David Pindell sacked by Mike Hampton for a loss of 7 yards to the SFla 38Similar
Q4 14:36
2ND & 17
OPP 38
+23
98.9%
David Pindell run for 23 yds to the SFla 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
98.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the SFla 13Similar
Q4 14:36
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+4
98.7%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 4 yds to the SFla 9Similar
Q4 14:36
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+5
98.8%
David Pindell run for 5 yds to the SFla 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.1%
Kevin Mensah 4 Yd Run (Clayton Harris PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 24FUMBLE
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
99.6%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 3 yds to the SFla 27 Jordan Cronkrite fumbled, forced by Santana Sterling, recovered by UConn Robert P. King III , return for no gain to the SFla 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 25FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:201% → 1%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
99.1%
David Pindell run for 1 yd to the SFla 26Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
99.1%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Hergy Mayala, broken up by Mike HamptonSimilar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+5
99.2%
David Pindell run for 5 yds to the SFla 21Similar
Q4 7:20
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+38
99.4%
Clayton Harris 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 26TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:34100% → 100%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
99.6%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Ryeshene Bronson for 11 yds to the SFla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+18
99.6%
Blake Barnett run for 18 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
99.7%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Mitchell Wilcox for 15 yds to the UConn 33 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive holding (Stanley Clerveaux) to the UConn 43Similar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 5
OPP 43
+1
99.7%
Blake Barnett run for 1 yd to the UConn 42Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 4
OPP 42
-1
99.7%
Blake Barnett run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 43Similar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+43
99.7%
Johnny Ford 43 Yd Run (Coby Weiss Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 27TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 6:091% → 0%
Q4 8:33
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+12
99.2%
David Pindell run for 12 yds for a TD (Clayton Harris KICK)Similar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
99.5%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 18 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
99.5%
David Pindell run for 9 yds to the SFla 48Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+5
99.4%
David Pindell pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 5 yds to the SFla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.5%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Zavier Scott, broken up by Mike HamptonSimilar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+28
99.5%
David Pindell run for 13 yds to the SFla 30 for a 1ST down SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, personal foul (Mazzi Wilkins) to the SFla 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.4%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+3
99.4%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 3 yds to the SFla 12Similar
Q4 2:24
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-5
99.6%
IDEN, Noah kickoff 11 yards to the UCONN46, on-side kick, recovered by UCONN DIXON, Keyion on UCONN46, WILKINS, Mazzi return to the UCONN46, PENALTY UCONN offside (MAYALA, Hergy) 5 yards to the UCONN30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 28END OF GAME
9 plays · 6 yds · 0:18100% → 100%
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
99.8%
Jordan Cronkrite run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 40Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+6
99.8%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 6 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+6
99.8%
Blake Barnett run for 6 yds to the UConn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 30Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 12
OPP 30
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 32Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 14
OPP 32
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:43
Johnny Ford 15 Yd Run (Coby Weiss Kick)
+4.9
TD · Q3 2:34
Blake Barnett 20 Yd Run (Coby Weiss Kick)
-2.9
TD · Q4 14:36
Johnny Ford 15 Yd Run (Coby Weiss Kick)
+1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com