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CIN

Cincinnati 17 at Temple 24

TEM
2018 · Week 8 · Oct 20, 2018 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadCIN aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreCIN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:26 · Connor Bowler punt for 54 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 72Home team on offense+0.8Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3Pregame prior+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 9:31: Cole Smith 44 yd FG GOOD — CIN win probability +2.7 pts (now 48%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:09: Charles McClelland run for 42 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK) — CIN win probability +18.2 pts (now 68%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:12: Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Cincy 10 — CIN win probability +16.6 pts (now 81%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:49: Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 20 yds for a TD, (Will Mobley KICK) — TEM win probability +35.6 pts (now 65%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 25 yds for a TD, (Will Mobley KICK) — TEM win probability +20.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 10CIN made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:27TEM 4th & 11 at CIN 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    57.9%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:03CIN 4th & 16 at CIN 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:34TEM 4th & 11 at CIN 33, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.9%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    59.1%
    49% to make
    Punt
    58.7%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00CIN 4th & 3 at CIN 40, down 3
    Close callPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:05TEM 4th & 9 at TEM 17, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:31CIN 4th & 10 at TEM 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    36.3%−3.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:26TEM 4th & 2 at TEM 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.8%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:43CIN 4th & 10 at TEM 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    39.5%−5.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:04TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−1.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:06CIN 4th & 10 at TEM 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    36.8%−8.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:06TEM 4th & 2 at TEM 30, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%−1.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:02TEM 4th & 8 at TEM 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−2.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:09CIN 4th & 2 at TEM 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    64.5%−1.7
    62% to make
    Punt
    56.3%−9.9
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:08TEM 4th & 7 at TEM 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−1.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:53CIN 4th & 4 at CIN 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%−1.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00TEM 4th & 11 at TEM 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−3.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:24CIN 4th & 4 at CIN 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%−0.4
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:12CIN 4th & 6 at CIN 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%−2.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:12CIN 4th & 6 at CIN 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%−1.0
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2CIN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:03TEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:52CIN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:09CIN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:49TEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.8%−6.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
52.2%
Jager Gardner run for 13 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
52.2%
Jager Gardner run for 4 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
52.2%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jager Gardner for no gain to the Temp 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
52.2%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Chris Myarick, broken up by Darrick ForrestSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
52.2%
Connor Bowler punt for 41 yds, downed at the Cincy 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 2FUMBLE
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
52.4%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Warren II for 3 yds to the Cincy 20Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+10
52.4%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 10 yds to the Cincy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
52.4%
Desmond Ridder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
52.4%
Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the Cincy 31Similar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 9
OWN 31
-3
52.4%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Michael Dogbe for a loss of 15 yards to the Cincy 4 Desmond Ridder fumbled, recovered by Temp Jimmy Hogan , return for 0 yards , return for 2 yds to the Cincy 33 CINCINNATI Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Chris Ferguson) to the Cincy 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3FG
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:0853% → 53%
Q1 11:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
53.2%
Rob Ritrovato run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 5Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
53.2%
Rob Ritrovato run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 6Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
53.1%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ventell Bryant, broken up by Coby BryantSimilar
Q1 10:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
53.0%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (Michael Dogbe) to the Cincy 11Similar
Q1 10:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
53.3%
Will Mobley 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5TD
3 plays · 16 yds · 1:1754% → 56%
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
53.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 3 yds to the Cincy 13Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 7
OPP 13
-3
53.8%
Isaiah Wright run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 16Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+16
56.2%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 16 yds for a TD, (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
55.0%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Isaiah Graham-Mobley for a loss of 6 yards to the Cincy 19Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
55.1%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Josiah DeguaraSimilar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
55.3%
Desmond Ridder run for no gain to the Cincy 19Similar
Q1 9:03
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+2
55.5%
James Smith punt for 45 yds , Isaiah Wright returns for 2 yds to the Temp 21 TEMPLE Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Temp 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7INT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
56.6%
Shaun Bradley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 27Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 11
OWN 27
0
56.5%
Shaun Bradley run for no gain to the Temp 27Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 11
OWN 27
0
56.2%
Anthony Russo pass intercepted Coby Bryant return for no gain to the Temp 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 8TD
4 plays · 41 yds · 2:3645% → 47%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
55.1%
Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the Temp 37Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+13
54.9%
Michael Warren II run for 13 yds to the Temp 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
54.6%
Desmond Ridder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
53.1%
Michael Warren II run for 24 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9DOWNS
14 plays · 42 yds · 4:1854% → 55%
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.2%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Chris MyarickSimilar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
54.1%
Jager Gardner run for 6 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
54.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 10 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
55.0%
Jager Gardner run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 1
50
+6
55.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 6 yds to the Cincy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
55.5%
Jager Gardner run for 2 yds to the Cincy 42Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+10
55.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 10 yds to the Cincy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-10
55.7%
GARDNER,Jager rush for 12 yards to the CIN20 (FORREST, D.), PENALTY TEM holding (FAIR,Jovahn) 10 yards to the CIN42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 20
OPP 42
0
55.0%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 20
OPP 42
+9
54.8%
Jager Gardner run for 9 yds to the Cincy 33Similar
Q1 0:34
3RD & 11
OPP 33
0
56.2%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ventell Bryant, broken up by Tyrell GilbertSimilar
Q1 0:34
4TH & 11
OPP 33
0
55.0%
Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Randle Jones, broken up by Coby BryantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:2246% → 45%
Q1 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
54.5%
Michael Warren II run for 5 yds to the Cincy 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+2
53.7%
Charles McClelland run for 2 yds to the Cincy 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 40
0
53.8%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Josiah DeguaraSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
55.0%
James Smith punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 0
-15
55.2%
RUSSO,Anthony pass incomplete to MACK,Branden, PENALTY CIN personal foul (PITTS, Michael) 15 yards to the TEM31, 1ST DOWN TEM, NO PLAY, PENALTY TEM unsportsmanlike conduct 15 yards to the TEM16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
55.5%
Jager Gardner run for 1 yd to the Temp 17Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 9
OWN 17
0
55.3%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah Wright, broken up by Cortez BroughtonSimilar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 9
OWN 17
0
54.7%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete, broken up by Ethan TuckySimilar
Q2 14:05
4TH & 9
OWN 17
+8
54.2%
Connor Bowler punt for 36 yds , Aulden Knight returns for 8 yds to the Temp 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 12FG
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:3447% → 48%
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
53.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 1 yd to the Temp 44Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+2
53.4%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+15
53.5%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 15 yds to the Temp 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
52.4%
Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the Temp 26Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
52.6%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jayshon JacksonSimilar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+4
53.5%
Desmond Ridder run for 4 yds to the Temp 22Similar
Q2 13:05
4TH & 5
OPP 22
-5
54.5%
CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (Morgan James) to the Temp 27Similar
Q2 9:31
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+44
51.8%
Cole Smith 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
54.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 5 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+6
55.3%
Rob Ritrovato run for 6 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
55.7%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (Matt Hennessy) to the Temp 33Similar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+3
54.5%
Rob Ritrovato run for 3 yds to the Temp 36Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+3
54.7%
Rob Ritrovato run for 3 yds to the Temp 39Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+7
54.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 7 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q2 9:26
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
54.8%
Connor Bowler punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 14MISSED FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 4:3149% → 50%
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
51.3%
Michael Warren II run for 6 yds to the Cincy 26Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+7
50.7%
Michael Warren II run for 7 yds to the Cincy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
50.6%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 9 yds to the Cincy 42Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+21
49.1%
Charles McClelland run for 21 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
48.5%
Charles McClelland run for 5 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+12
47.4%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Bruno Labelle for 12 yds to the Temp 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
47.4%
Desmond Ridder run for 2 yds to the Temp 18Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
47.4%
Desmond Ridder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:14
3RD & 8
OPP 18
-2
48.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Warren II for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 20Similar
Q2 1:43
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
49.7%
Cole Smith 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:3954% → 52%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
53.8%
Rob Ritrovato run for 4 yds to the Temp 24Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
54.0%
Rob Ritrovato run for no gain to the Temp 24Similar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
53.3%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Randle JonesSimilar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
52.4%
Connor Bowler punt for 51 yds, downed at the Cincy 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 16MISSED FG
10 plays · 43 yds · 0:4949% → 54%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
51.3%
Desmond Ridder run for 12 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
50.2%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis, broken up by Karamo DioubateSimilar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
50.6%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Rashad MedarisSimilar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+13
52.1%
Michael Warren II run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
50
0
47.9%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Rashad MedarisSimilar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 10
50
+3
48.5%
Desmond Ridder run for 3 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+15
48.4%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 15 yds to the Temp 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+49
46.3%
Cole Smith 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 17MISSED FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 3:5448% → 48%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
51.9%
Desmond Ridder run for 1 yd to the Cincy 26 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, personal foul (Delvon Randall) to the Cincy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
49.7%
Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the Cincy 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+14
50.0%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 14 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
48.7%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Bruno Labelle for 10 yds to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
47.9%
Michael Warren II run for 5 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+2
47.6%
Desmond Ridder run for 2 yds to the Temp 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+5
48.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Bruno Labelle for 5 yds to the Temp 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
47.6%
Michael Warren II run for no gain to the Temp 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
48.0%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Rashad Medaris, broken up by Delvon RandallSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
49.3%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Michael Warren IISimilar
Q3 11:06
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+39
51.8%
Cole Smith 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
55.4%
Jager Gardner run for 1 yd to the Temp 23Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
55.2%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+7
53.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Rob Ritrovato for 7 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q3 11:06
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
54.0%
Connor Bowler punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Aulden Knight at the Cincy 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 19TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4148% → 68%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
52.5%
Desmond Ridder run for 2 yds to the Cincy 27Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
52.3%
Michael Warren II run for 7 yds to the Cincy 34Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
51.4%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
51.3%
Desmond Ridder run for 4 yds to the Cincy 40Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
49.7%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Darrick ForrestSimilar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+6
51.7%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Trent Cloud for 6 yds to the Cincy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
49.9%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Cincy 48Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+10
49.8%
Michael Warren II run for 10 yds to the Temp 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
31.6%
Charles McClelland run for 42 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0038% → 36%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
37.8%
Jager Gardner run for 2 yds to the Temp 23Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
37.9%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Randle Jones, broken up by Coby BryantSimilar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 8
OWN 23
0
36.5%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ventell Bryant, broken up by Perry YoungSimilar
Q3 6:02
4TH & 8
OWN 23
+21
35.7%
Connor Bowler punt for 33 yds , Aulden Knight returns for 21 yds to the Temp 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0069% → 67%
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
30.6%
Desmond Ridder run for 4 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+2
30.5%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q3 5:09
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+2
31.3%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Temp 27Similar
Q3 5:09
4TH & 2
OPP 27
0
32.9%
Darrick Forrest run for no gain to the Temp 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0037% → 34%
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
36.9%
Jager Gardner run for 2 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+1
37.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jager Gardner for 1 yd to the Temp 30Similar
Q3 3:08
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
35.5%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ventell Bryant, broken up by Tyrell GilbertSimilar
Q3 3:08
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
34.1%
Connor Bowler punt for 45 yds , Aulden Knight returns for no gain to the Cincy 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
31.6%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Rashad MedarisSimilar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
32.3%
Michael Warren II run for no gain to the Cincy 25Similar
Q3 1:53
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
33.1%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 6 yds to the Cincy 31Similar
Q3 1:53
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
32.9%
James Smith punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 0:3133% → 30%
Q3 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
32.9%
Todd Centeio run for 4 yds to the Temp 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+3
32.8%
Isaiah Wright run for 3 yds to the Temp 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 24
0
32.4%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden Mack, broken up by James WigginsSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 24
+5
30.7%
BOWLER,Connor punt 35 yards to the CIN41, downed, PENALTY CIN roughing the kicker (COPELAND, M.) 5 yards to the TEM29, 1ST DOWN TEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
33.6%
Jager Gardner run for 2 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
33.5%
Jager Gardner run for no gain to the Temp 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 31
-3
32.2%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 28Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 28
0
30.4%
Connor Bowler punt for 62 yds, downed at the Cincy 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0072% → 70%
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
27.6%
Desmond Ridder run for 4 yds to the Cincy 14Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 6
OWN 14
0
27.6%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jayshon JacksonSimilar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+2
28.6%
Desmond Ridder run for 2 yds to the Cincy 16Similar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 4
OWN 16
0
29.8%
James Smith punt for 72 yds, downed at the Temp 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 26INT
10 plays · 79 yds · 0:0030% → 36%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
30.0%
Jager Gardner run for 3 yds to the Temp 15Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+7
30.2%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 7 yds to the Temp 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-6
30.2%
Jager Gardner run for a loss of 6 yards to the Temp 16Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 16
OWN 16
+19
29.9%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 19 yds to the Temp 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
31.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Sean Ryan for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
50
0
35.1%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 10
50
+43
34.2%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 43 yds to the Cincy 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
38.6%
Ventell Bryant run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 10Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
38.6%
Isaiah Wright run for 1 yd to the Cincy 9Similar
Q4 10:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
36.1%
Anthony Russo pass intercepted Tyrell Gilbert return for 3 yds to the Cincy 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
19.4%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Cincy 10Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+2
18.4%
Desmond Ridder run for 2 yds to the Cincy 12Similar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 6
OWN 12
0
19.1%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Josiah DeguaraSimilar
Q4 6:12
4TH & 6
OWN 12
0
20.0%
James Smith punt for 54 yds, downed at the Temp 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 28INT
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:0023% → 26%
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
22.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 8 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+15
25.8%
Anthony Russo pass intercepted Coby Bryant return for no gain to the Cincy 42 CINCINNATI Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Bryan Wright) to the Cincy 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
14.7%
Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the Cincy 28Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
14.5%
Michael Warren II run for no gain to the Cincy 28Similar
Q4 4:12
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
15.5%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Rashad MedarisSimilar
Q4 4:12
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
16.4%
James Smith punt for 47 yds , Isaiah Wright returns for no gain to the Temp 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 30TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4819% → 65%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
19.2%
Jager Gardner run for 8 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+29
22.2%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 29 yds to the Cincy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
25.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 9 yds to the Cincy 29Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+9
29.5%
Anthony Russo run for 9 yds to the Cincy 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
29.5%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ventell Bryant, broken up by Noah HamlinSimilar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
29.0%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q4 0:49
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+20
64.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 20 yds for a TD, (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 31END OF GAME
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:0049% → 50%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
51.1%
CINCINNATI Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 22Similar
Q4 0:46
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+7
51.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 7 yds to the Cincy 29Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
51.0%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis, broken up by Dan ArchibongSimilar
Q4 0:46
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+8
52.6%
Michael Warren II run for 8 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
49.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-7
50.3%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Dan Archibong and Michael Dogbe for a loss of 7 yards to the Cincy 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 32TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 85%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
64.7%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Kenny YeboahSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
64.5%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+25
85.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 25 yds for a TD, (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 33INT
4 plays · -15 yds · 0:0020% → 11%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
80.4%
Michael Warren II run for 11 yds to the Temp 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
80.4%
TEAM run for no gain to the Temp 25 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Cincy Desmond Ridder , return for no gain to the Temp 25Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 21
OPP 25
-15
84.2%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis CINCINNATI Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Dino Boyd) to the Temp 40Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 36
OPP 40
+16
88.8%
Desmond Ridder pass intercepted Shaun Bradley return for 16 yds to the Temp 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:49
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 20 yds for a TD, (Will Mobley KICK)
+35.6
TD · OT 0:00
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 25 yds for a TD, (Will Mobley KICK)
+20.5
TD · Q3 6:09
Charles McClelland run for 42 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK)
-18.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com