Try the model
TEM

Temple 24 at Navy 17

NAVY
2018 · Week 7 · Oct 13, 2018 · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · NAVY
modelNAVY aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playNAVY scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:45 · Garret Lewis pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Pregame prior−3.8Home team on offense+2.2Garbage-time factor−1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6Score differential−1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:45: Garret Lewis run for 1 yd for a TD (Bennett Moehring KICK) — NAVY win probability +9.0 pts (now 50%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:13: Nelson Smith run for 12 yds for a TD (Bennett Moehring KICK) — NAVY win probability +13.6 pts (now 67%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:53: Rob Ritrovato run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Mobley KICK) — TEM win probability +14.7 pts (now 56%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:14: Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 62 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK) — TEM win probability +35.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:42: RITROVATO,Rob rush for 1 yard to the NAVY19 (SPRINGER, Jacob), PENALTY TEM holding (MYARICK,Chris) 10 yards to the NAVY30, NO PLAY. — TEM win probability +9.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NAVY made the numbers' call on 6 of 8TEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:16TEM 4th & 8 at NAVY 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    63.4%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:56NAVY 4th & 1 at TEM 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    36.6%−0.4
    23% to make
    Punt
    36.8%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:55NAVY 4th & 2 at TEM 7, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.0%−0.4
    91% to make
    Punt
    38.7%−2.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:07TEM 4th & 14 at NAVY 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    49.4%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  5. Q3 10:47TEM 4th & 2 at NAVY 14, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.8%−1.3
    84% to make
    Punt
    21.6%−11.6
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:47NAVY 4th & 2 at NAVY 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:53TEM 4th & 1 at NAVY 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    31.6%−4.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    19.6%−16.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:24NAVY 4th & 8 at TEM 30, tied
    Close callWent for it · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.7%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    52.3%
    56% to make
    Punt
    49.6%−2.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:24NAVY 4th & 18 at TEM 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−2.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    49.5%−0.5
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00TEM 4th & 20 at TEM 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%−8.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:45NAVY 4th & 8 at TEM 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.6%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    52.5%−1.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    52.5%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:14NAVY 4th & 9 at NAVY 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−1.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:06NAVY 4th & 10 at NAVY 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.0%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.6%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NAVY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 11:31TEM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:45NAVY Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:13NAVY Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:53TEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:14TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.0%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1MISSED FG
13 plays · 81 yds · 3:4466% → 65%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
33.6%
Rob Ritrovato run for 2 yds to the Temp 13Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+20
33.6%
Anthony Russo run for 5 yds to the Temp 18 for a 1ST down NAVY Penalty, personal foul (Sean Williams) to the Temp 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
33.6%
Anthony Russo run for 9 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+7
33.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Rob Ritrovato for 7 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
33.6%
Jager Gardner run for 12 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+38
33.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jager Gardner for 38 yds to the Navy 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
33.6%
NAVY Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) to the Navy 1Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
33.6%
Anthony Russo run for no gain to the Navy 1Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
33.6%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (Dan Archibong) to the Navy 6Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
33.6%
Todd Centeio run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 8Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
33.6%
Anthony Russo pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
35.0%
Will Mobley 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 2FUMBLE
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-6
35.2%
Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 6 yards to the Navy 14 Malcolm Perry fumbled, recovered by Navy Nelson SmithSimilar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 16
OWN 14
+3
35.1%
Tre Walker run for 3 yds to the Navy 19 Tre Walker fumbled, forced by Delvon Randall, recovered by Temp Chapelle RussellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3FUMBLE
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
34.8%
Jager Gardner run for 3 yds to the Navy 16Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+3
34.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 3 yds Isaiah Wright fumbled, forced by Jarid Ryan, recovered by Navy Josh WebbSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 4FG
19 plays · 71 yds · 10:0136% → 41%
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
35.8%
Nelson Smith run for 10 yds to the Navy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
35.8%
Nelson Smith run for 4 yds to the Navy 36Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+9
36.0%
Garret Lewis run for 9 yds to the Navy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
36.2%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 3 yds to the Navy 48Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+5
36.2%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 5 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+1
36.2%
Garret Lewis run for 1 yd to the Temp 46Similar
Q1 9:56
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+2
36.0%
Garret Lewis run for 2 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-4
36.3%
Garret Lewis pass complete to Tazh Maloy for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 48Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 14
OPP 48
+5
38.0%
Malcolm Perry run for 5 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+14
38.1%
Garret Lewis pass complete to Taylor Jackson for 14 yds to the Temp 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
38.8%
Garret Lewis run for 1 yd to the Temp 28Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+7
38.8%
Nelson Smith run for 7 yds to the Temp 21Similar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+1
38.4%
Nelson Smith run for 1 yd to the Temp 20Similar
Q1 5:05
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+5
37.9%
TEMPLE Penalty, Defensive offside (Michael Dogbe) to the Temp 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
38.8%
Malcolm Perry run for no gain to the Temp 15Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+2
38.8%
Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds to the Temp 13Similar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+6
38.4%
Malcolm Perry run for 6 yds to the Temp 7Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+24
41.3%
Bennett Moehring 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 3:2459% → 66%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
40.9%
Tyliek Raynor run for 5 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+13
40.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 13 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
39.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 6 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+5
39.4%
Tyliek Raynor run for 5 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
39.2%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Randle JonesSimilar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+11
39.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 11 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
39.2%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 15 yds to the Navy 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
38.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 7 yds to the Navy 15Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+15
34.3%
Tyliek Raynor run for 15 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 6TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:4637% → 50%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
37.3%
Garret Lewis pass incomplete to Malcolm Perry, broken up by Rodney WilliamsSimilar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
37.1%
Malcolm Perry run for 5 yds to the Navy 30Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+20
36.9%
Garret Lewis run for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
50
+1
39.5%
Nelson Smith run for 1 yd to the Temp 49Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+4
39.4%
Tyreek King-El run for 4 yds to the Temp 45Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+5
39.2%
Garret Lewis run for 5 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
39.7%
Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the Temp 37Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+25
39.6%
Myles Fells run for 12 yds to the Temp 25 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, personal foul (Shaun Bradley) to the Temp 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
40.3%
Garret Lewis run for 11 yds to the Temp 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
40.3%
Garret Lewis run for no gain to the Temp 1Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
49.9%
Garret Lewis run for 1 yd for a TD (Bennett Moehring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7PUNT
15 plays · 25 yds · 2:3855% → 52%
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
44.8%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden Mack, broken up by Jacob SpringerSimilar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+1
45.4%
Jager Gardner run for 1 yd to the Temp 32Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+5
46.2%
NAVY Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Temp 37Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+9
44.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 9 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
43.0%
Anthony Russo pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
43.7%
Rob Ritrovato run for 2 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+7
43.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 7 yds to the Navy 45Similar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+5
45.6%
NAVY Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Navy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
44.0%
Isaiah Wright run for 1 yd to the Navy 39Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
44.1%
Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Isaiah Wright, broken up by Jarid RyanSimilar
Q2 3:07
3RD & 9
OPP 39
-5
44.4%
TEMPLE Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Navy 44Similar
Q2 3:07
3RD & 14
OPP 44
0
46.7%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Rob RitrovatoSimilar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 14
OPP 44
0
48.0%
Connor Bowler punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jacob Springer at the Navy 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 8END OF HALF
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
48.6%
Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the Navy 15Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+6
48.4%
Malcolm Perry run for 6 yds to the Navy 21Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+1
47.7%
Garret Lewis run for 1 yd to the Navy 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
48.6%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 2 yds to the Navy 24Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+3
48.4%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 3 yds to the Navy 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 9TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:4750% → 67%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+45
49.7%
Nelson Smith run for 45 yds to the Temp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
53.5%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 6 yds to the Temp 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+12
53.5%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 12 yds to the Temp 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
67.1%
Nelson Smith run for 12 yds for a TD (Bennett Moehring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10FG
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:2638% → 42%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
62.2%
Jager Gardner run for 1 yd to the Navy 42Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+20
62.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jager Gardner for 20 yds to the Navy 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
60.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 8 yds to the Navy 14Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 2
OPP 14
0
60.5%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 2
OPP 14
0
62.0%
Jager Gardner run for no gain to the Navy 14Similar
Q3 10:47
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+31
58.5%
Will Mobley 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
62.1%
Nelson Smith run for 1 yd to the Navy 26Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
61.9%
Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the Navy 29Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
61.1%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 4 yds to the Navy 33Similar
Q3 10:47
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
60.7%
Owen White punt for 32 yds, downed at the Temp 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:5239% → 56%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
61.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 9 yds to the Temp 44Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+5
58.8%
Jager Gardner run for 5 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
59.2%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 3 yds to the Navy 48Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+40
58.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 40 yds to the Navy 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
56.5%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q3 8:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
56.5%
Jager Gardner run for 7 yds to the Navy 1Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
58.4%
Rob Ritrovato run for no gain to the Navy 1Similar
Q3 5:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.7%
Rob Ritrovato run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 13PUNT
12 plays · 35 yds · 4:2950% → 48%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
49.5%
Tazh Maloy run for 2 yds to the Navy 27Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+22
49.7%
Garret Lewis run for 7 yds to the Navy 34 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, personal foul (Ty Mason) to the Navy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
53.3%
Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+15
54.0%
Malcolm Perry run for 15 yds to the Temp 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
55.2%
Nelson Smith run for 1 yd to the Temp 31Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+1
55.1%
Nelson Smith run for 1 yd to the Temp 30Similar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 8
OPP 30
0
53.5%
Nelson Smith run for no gain to the Temp 30Similar
Q3 1:24
4TH & 8
OPP 30
-5
51.4%
Malcolm Perry run for 5 yds to the Temp 25 NAVY Penalty, illegal block (Ford Higgins) to the Temp 35Similar
Q3 1:24
4TH & 13
OPP 35
-5
48.5%
NAVY Penalty, DL (-5 Yards) to the Temp 40Similar
Q3 1:24
4TH & 18
OPP 40
+10
48.2%
Owen White punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 17 , Isaiah Wright returns for 10 yds to the Temp 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:1154% → 50%
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
46.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 9 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+5
43.9%
Rob Ritrovato run for 5 yds to the Temp 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-11
44.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 11 yards to the Temp 20 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Temp Anthony RussoSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 21
OWN 20
+7
47.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 7 yds to the Temp 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 27
-6
48.6%
Anthony Russo sacked by Nizaire Cromartie for a loss of 6 yards to the Temp 21Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 21
+3
50.2%
Connor Bowler punt for 43 yds , Jacob Springer returns for 3 yds to the Navy 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 15DOWNS
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:0054% → 52%
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
53.7%
Nelson Smith run for 10 yds to the Navy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
56.1%
Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+4
56.4%
Nelson Smith run for 4 yds to the Temp 45Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+5
55.8%
Malcolm Perry run for 5 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
56.9%
Nelson Smith run for no gain to the Temp 40Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-2
56.5%
Garret Lewis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 42Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 12
OPP 42
+4
53.1%
Garret Lewis pass complete to Tazh Maloy for 4 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q4 13:45
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
51.9%
Garret Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16TD
1 play · 62 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
16.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 62 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0023% → 20%
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
23.4%
Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the Navy 28Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
23.2%
Garret Lewis pass incomplete to Mychal Cooper, broken up by Shaun BradleySimilar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
21.3%
Garret Lewis pass incomplete to Mychal CooperSimilar
Q4 9:14
4TH & 9
OWN 28
0
20.3%
Owen White punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18INT
16 plays · 71 yds · 4:0682% → 91%
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
18.4%
Anthony Russo run for 1 yd to the Temp 21Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+3
18.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 3 yds to the Temp 24Similar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+14
19.2%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 14 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
16.0%
Jager Gardner run for 9 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+7
15.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Chris Myarick for 7 yds to the Navy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
15.0%
Jager Gardner run for 8 yds to the Navy 38Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 2
OPP 38
-6
14.8%
Jager Gardner run for 4 yds to the Navy 34 TEMPLE Penalty, Offensive holding (Jovahn Fair) to the Navy 44Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+7
15.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 7 yds to the Navy 37Similar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+2
14.9%
Jager Gardner run for 2 yds to the Navy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
14.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 4 yds to the Navy 31Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+5
9.3%
Rob Ritrovato run for 5 yds to the Navy 26Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+3
9.7%
Rob Ritrovato run for 3 yds to the Navy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+13
9.3%
Rob Ritrovato run for 13 yds to the Navy 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
9.3%
Rob Ritrovato run for 1 yd to the Navy 9Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
9.3%
Anthony Russo pass intercepted, touchback. Jarid Ryan return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 19DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0016% → 14%
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
15.8%
Garret Lewis pass incomplete to Malcolm PerrySimilar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
15.5%
Garret Lewis pass incomplete to Taylor Jackson, broken up by Rock Ya-SinSimilar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
14.7%
Garret Lewis pass incomplete to Anthony Gargiulo, broken up by Chapelle RussellSimilar
Q4 2:06
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
14.2%
Garret Lewis pass incomplete to Myles FellsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20END OF GAME
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:5796% → 95%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-10
4.4%
RITROVATO,Rob rush for 1 yard to the NAVY19 (SPRINGER, Jacob), PENALTY TEM holding (MYARICK,Chris) 10 yards to the NAVY30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 20
OPP 30
+4
4.5%
Rob Ritrovato run for 4 yds to the Navy 26Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 16
OPP 26
-2
4.6%
Rob Ritrovato run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 28Similar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 18
OPP 28
+1
4.7%
Rob Ritrovato run for 1 yd to the Navy 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:14
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 62 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)
-35.7
TD · Q3 5:53
Rob Ritrovato run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)
-14.7
TD · Q3 13:13
Nelson Smith run for 12 yds for a TD (Bennett Moehring KICK)
+13.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com