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HOU

Houston 42 at East Carolina 20

ECU
2018 · Week 7 · Oct 13, 2018 · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
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Win probability · ECU
modelECU aheadHOU aheadconfidence bandkey playECU scoreHOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+1ECU 1.1%Holton Ahlers run for 1 yd for a TD(Jake Verity KICK)AWAY 42 - HOME 20 · Q4 1:27
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:27 · Holton Ahlers run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Verity KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 208Home team on offense−46.1Pregame prior−1.0Score differential−30.2Garbage-time factor−16.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−8.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−7.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:06: D'Eriq King run for 8 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) — HOU win probability +0.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:08: D'Eriq King pass complete to Romello Brooker for 6 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) — HOU win probability +8.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 10:13: Jake Verity 33 yd FG GOOD — ECU win probability +1.9 pts (now 13%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:03: Mulbah Car run for 8 yds for a TD WITHERSPOON, Da kick attempt good, PENALTY HOU false start (VAUGHAN, Zach) 5 yards to the ECU8, NO PLAY. (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) — HOU win probability +1.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:27: Holton Ahlers run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Verity KICK) — ECU win probability +1.0 pts (now 1%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ECU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11HOU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00ECU 4th & 8 at ECU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:10ECU 4th & 7 at ECU 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:35HOU 4th & 9 at HOU 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:53ECU 4th & 2 at ECU 18, down 14
    Close callPunted · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00HOU 4th & 6 at HOU 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:06ECU 4th & 12 at HOU 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.5
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    14.1%−1.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:06HOU 4th & 6 at HOU 34, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:02ECU 4th & 4 at HOU 32, down 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.4%−0.6
    51% to make
    Punt
    11.0%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00HOU 4th & 14 at HOU 21, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%−2.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:13ECU 4th & 6 at HOU 16, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−4.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:13HOU 4th & 13 at HOU 36, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−1.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:25ECU 4th & 7 at ECU 22, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−1.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:57HOU 4th & 12 at HOU 35, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%−1.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:36HOU 4th & 13 at HOU 19, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:21ECU 4th & 25 at ECU 29, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−2.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:03ECU 4th & 10 at ECU 22, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:24ECU 4th & 6 at ECU 29, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:07HOU 4th & 10 at ECU 41, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:15ECU 4th & 3 at HOU 13, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:15HOU 4th & 5 at HOU 30, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:40HOU 4th & 1 at HOU 34, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ECU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2HOU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:10HOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:06HOU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:08HOU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:03HOU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:24HOU Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:15ECU Touchdown, down 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:27ECU Touchdown, down 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ECUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
14.3%
Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 2 yds to the ECaro 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
14.3%
Reid Herring pass incomplete, broken up by Austin RobinsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
14.3%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Tahj DeansSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
14.3%
Jonn Young punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 1:5485% → 85%
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
14.7%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 8 yds to the Houst 41Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+7
14.6%
Patrick Carr run for 7 yds to the Houst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
14.6%
D'Eriq King run for 5 yds to the ECaro 47Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+3
14.6%
Patrick Carr run for 3 yds to the ECaro 44Similar
Q1 14:04
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+6
14.6%
Patrick Carr run for 6 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
14.6%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Marquez StevensonSimilar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+38
14.9%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Courtney Lark for 38 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
15.1%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
15.1%
Anthony Scott run for 3 yds to the ECaro 36Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
15.0%
Reid Herring pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:10
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
15.0%
Jonn Young punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 4TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 3:0385% → 86%
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
15.3%
Mulbah Car run for 5 yds to the Houst 31Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+2
15.2%
Mulbah Car run for 2 yds to the Houst 33Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+4
15.2%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Terry Mark for 4 yds to the Houst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
15.2%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Courtney Lark, broken up by Colby GoreSimilar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-2
15.2%
D'Eriq King run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 35Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+18
15.3%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 18 yds to the ECaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
15.1%
Mulbah Car run for 2 yds to the ECaro 45Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+32
15.1%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Courtney Lark for 32 yds to the ECaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
15.1%
Mulbah Car run for 5 yds to the ECaro 8Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+8
14.3%
D'Eriq King run for 8 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 5INT
12 plays · 37 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
14.8%
Reid Herring pass complete to Hussein Howe for 6 yds to the ECaro 24Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 4
OWN 24
-1
14.8%
Darius Pinnix run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 23Similar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+7
14.7%
Reid Herring pass complete to Anthony Scott for 7 yds to the ECaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
14.8%
Anthony Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 29Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+7
14.8%
Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 7 yds to the ECaro 36Similar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+9
14.9%
Reid Herring pass complete to Tahj Deans for 9 yds to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
15.1%
HOWE, Hussein rush over right end for 4 yards to the ECU49 (ROBINSON, Austi), PENALTY ECU holding 10 yards to the ECU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 20
OWN 35
+4
14.8%
Darius Pinnix run for 4 yds to the ECaro 39Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 16
OWN 39
0
14.8%
Reid Herring pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 16
OWN 39
+16
14.8%
Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 16 yds to the Houst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
15.1%
Reid Herring pass intercepted Alexander Myres return for 9 yds to the Houst 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
14.6%
Patrick Carr run for 1 yd to the Houst 26Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
14.6%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+15
14.7%
KING, D'Eriq deep pass incomplete to STEVENSON, Marq, QB hurry by HARVEY, Nate, PENALTY ECU pass interference (SUTTON, Devon) 15 yards to the HOU41, 1ST DOWN HOU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-7
14.3%
D'Eriq King sacked by Nate Harvey for a loss of 7 yards to the Houst 34Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 17
OWN 34
+8
14.6%
Patrick Carr run for 8 yds to the Houst 42Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
14.4%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Marquez StevensonSimilar
Q1 3:35
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
14.7%
Dane Roy punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the ECaro 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
14.9%
Anthony Scott run for 1 yd to the ECaro 11Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+7
14.9%
Reid Herring pass complete to Anthony Watley for 7 yds to the ECaro 18Similar
Q1 1:53
3RD & 2
OWN 18
0
14.8%
Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for no gain to the ECaro 18Similar
Q1 1:53
4TH & 2
OWN 18
0
14.8%
Jonn Young punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:1386% → 86%
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
14.2%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Marquez Stevenson, broken up by Marcus Holton Jr.Similar
Q1 0:13
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-1
14.3%
Mulbah Car run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+5
14.4%
D'Eriq King run for 5 yds to the Houst 44Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
14.5%
Dane Roy punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the ECaro 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 9FG
15 plays · 71 yds · 6:0515% → 17%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
15.1%
Holton Ahlers run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 13Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 11
OWN 13
+9
15.1%
Reid Herring pass complete to Tahj Deans for 9 yds to the ECaro 22Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+5
15.2%
Reid Herring pass complete to Hussein Howe for 5 yds to the ECaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
15.3%
Darius Pinnix run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 26Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+13
15.2%
Reid Herring pass complete to Darius Pinnix for 13 yds to the ECaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
15.7%
Darius Pinnix run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 37Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+4
15.2%
Anthony Scott run for 4 yds to the ECaro 41Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+10
15.5%
HERRING, Reid sideline pass intercepted by JOHNSON, Isaiah at the HOU49, SINGLETON, Rael return to the ECU37, out-of-bounds, PENALTY HOU holding 10 yards to the HOU49, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
16.0%
Anthony Scott run for 3 yds to the Houst 46Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
16.0%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Anthony ScottSimilar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+33
15.9%
Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 33 yds to the Houst 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
16.2%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-2
16.2%
Hussein Howe run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 15Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 12
OPP 15
0
15.9%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Tahj DeansSimilar
Q2 8:06
4TH & 12
OPP 15
+32
16.5%
Jake Verity 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
17.6%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Bryson Smith for 6 yds to the Houst 11Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+5
17.5%
Patrick Carr run for 5 yds to the Houst 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
17.4%
KING, D'Eriq sideline pass complete to CORBIN, Keith for 9 yards to the HOU25 (STRINGER, G), PENALTY HOU ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the HOU11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 15
OWN 11
+1
17.4%
Kevrin Justice run for 1 yd to the Houst 12Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 14
OWN 12
+18
17.5%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Bryson Smith for 18 yds to the Houst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
17.2%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Romello Brooker for 3 yds to the Houst 33Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+4
17.0%
Kevrin Justice run for 4 yds to the Houst 37Similar
Q2 8:06
3RD & 3
OWN 37
-3
17.1%
D'Eriq King run for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 34Similar
Q2 8:06
4TH & 6
OWN 34
+58
17.7%
Dane Roy punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the EASTCRLINA 17 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (9 Yards) to the ECaro 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 11INT
11 plays · 40 yds · 0:4816% → 18%
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
16.4%
Darius Pinnix run for 2 yds to the ECaro 10Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 8
OWN 10
-4
16.5%
Darius Pinnix run for 1 yd to the ECaro 11 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (D'Ante Smith) to the ECaro 6Similar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 12
OWN 6
+13
15.2%
Reid Herring pass complete to Terrell Green for 13 yds to the ECaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
16.1%
Darius Pinnix run for 1 yd to the ECaro 20Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+10
16.1%
Reid Herring pass complete to Terrell Green for 10 yds to the ECaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
16.4%
Reid Herring pass complete to Darius Pinnix for 9 yds to the ECaro 39Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
17.2%
Reid Herring pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
16.9%
Hussein Howe run for 2 yds to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
17.1%
Reid Herring pass complete to Tahj Deans for 7 yds to the ECaro 48Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 3
OWN 48
0
17.5%
Reid Herring pass intercepted Emeke Egbule return for no gain to the ECaro 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 41 yds · 2:4884% → 92%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+33
15.8%
Bryson Smith run for 33 yds to the ECaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
15.6%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Bryson Smith for 2 yds to the ECaro 6Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
15.6%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Keith CorbinSimilar
Q2 1:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
7.7%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Romello Brooker for 6 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 13MISSED FG
14 plays · 43 yds · 1:0611% → 12%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
10.7%
Reid Herring pass complete to Tahj Deans for 7 yds to the ECaro 32Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+15
11.1%
HERRING, Reid deep pass incomplete to DEANS, Tahj, PENALTY HOU pass interference (ANDERSON, Deont) 15 yards to the ECU47, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
11.6%
HERRING, Reid sideline pass incomplete to HENLEY, Leroy, dropped pass, PENALTY ECU holding (HERRIN, Cortez) 10 yards to the ECU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 20
OWN 37
+9
10.7%
Reid Herring pass complete to Leroy Henley for 9 yds to the ECaro 46Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+5
10.7%
Reid Herring run for 5 yds to the Houst 49Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+11
11.0%
Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 11 yds to the Houst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
11.3%
Reid Herring run for no gain to the Houst 38Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+6
15.4%
Reid Herring pass complete to Leroy Henley for 6 yds to the Houst 32Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 4
OPP 32
0
11.9%
Reid Herring pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+49
12.1%
Jake Verity 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
7.6%
D'Eriq King run for no gain to the Houst 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
9.0%
Patrick Carr run for no gain to the Houst 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
9.0%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Marquez StevensonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-4
9.2%
D'Eriq King run for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 21Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
9.4%
Dane Roy punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the ECaro 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 16FG
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:4411% → 13%
Q3 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-4
11.0%
Anthony Scott run for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 41Similar
Q3 13:57
2ND & 14
OWN 41
+3
10.4%
Reid Herring pass complete to Leroy Henley for 3 yds to the ECaro 44Similar
Q3 13:57
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+25
10.3%
Reid Herring pass complete to Leroy Henley for 25 yds to the Houst 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
11.5%
Reid Herring pass complete to Tahj Deans for no gain to the Houst 31Similar
Q3 13:57
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+11
11.4%
Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 11 yds to the Houst 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
11.6%
Reid Herring pass complete to Leroy Henley for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 21Similar
Q3 13:57
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+5
11.4%
Reid Herring pass complete to Anthony Scott for 5 yds to the Houst 16Similar
Q3 13:57
3RD & 6
OPP 16
0
11.4%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q3 10:13
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+33
13.2%
Jake Verity 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
10.1%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 14 yds to the Houst 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-15
9.5%
KING, D'Eriq sideline pass complete to STEVENSON, Marq for 11 yards to the 50 yardline, out-of-bounds (2A), PENALTY HOU pass interference (CORBIN, Keith) 15 yards to the HOU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 25
OWN 24
0
10.2%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Marquez StevensonSimilar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 25
OWN 24
+3
10.2%
Mulbah Car run for 3 yds to the Houst 27Similar
Q3 10:13
3RD & 22
OWN 27
+9
10.4%
D'Eriq King run for 9 yds to the Houst 36Similar
Q3 10:13
4TH & 13
OWN 36
0
10.4%
Dane Roy punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the ECaro 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
11.7%
Anthony Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 18Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 11
OWN 18
0
11.6%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Tahj DeansSimilar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 11
OWN 18
+4
11.4%
Reid Herring run for 4 yds to the ECaro 22Similar
Q3 8:25
4TH & 7
OWN 22
0
11.4%
Jonn Young punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Bryson Smith at the Houst 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
9.3%
Patrick Carr run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 36Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 11
OWN 36
-10
9.4%
KING, D'Eriq sideline pass complete to LARK, Courtney for 5 yards to the HOU41 (HOLTON, Marcus), PENALTY HOU holding 10 yards to the HOU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 21
OWN 26
0
9.8%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Romello BrookerSimilar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 21
OWN 26
+9
10.1%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Courtney Lark for 9 yds to the Houst 35Similar
Q3 6:57
4TH & 12
OWN 35
0
10.1%
Dane Roy punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the ECaro 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 20FUMBLE TD
3 plays · -18 yds · 0:2111% → 4%
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
11.3%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
11.1%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Tahj DeansSimilar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+5
3.6%
Reid Herring sacked by Ed Oliver for a loss of 16 yards Reid Herring fumbled, recovered by Houst Emeke Egbule , return for 0 yards , return for 5 yds (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 21INT
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
3.6%
Kingsley Ifedi pass complete to Tahj Deans for 8 yds to the ECaro 33 for a 1ST down HOUSTON Penalty, personal foul (Gleson Sprewell) to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
3.8%
Kingsley Ifedi pass intercepted Isaiah Johnson return for 4 yds to the Houst 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
2.7%
D'Eriq King run for 1 yd to the Houst 23Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
2.8%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Marquez StevensonSimilar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 9
OWN 23
-4
2.8%
D'Eriq King sacked by Ray Tillman for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 19Similar
Q3 4:36
4TH & 13
OWN 19
+37
2.9%
Dane Roy punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the EASTCRLINA 34 HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive holding (-10 Yards) to the ECaro 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -15 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-11
3.5%
Kingsley Ifedi sacked by Ed Oliver for a loss of 11 yards to the ECaro 33Similar
Q3 3:21
2ND & 21
OWN 33
0
3.3%
Kingsley Ifedi pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:21
3RD & 21
OWN 33
-4
3.3%
Kingsley Ifedi run for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 29Similar
Q3 3:21
4TH & 25
OWN 29
+22
3.3%
Jonn Young punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Houst 49 , Bryson Smith returns for 22 yds to the Houst 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 24TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:4998% → 100%
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
2.0%
Patrick Carr run for 2 yds to the ECaro 49Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+14
2.0%
Patrick Carr run for 14 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+22
2.0%
Patrick Carr run for 22 yds to the ECaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
2.0%
Patrick Carr run for 1 yd to the ECaro 12Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 9
OPP 12
-5
2.0%
HOUSTON Penalty, false start (Courtney Lark) to the ECaro 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 17
-6
1.8%
D'Eriq King sacked by Kendall Futrell for a loss of 6 yards to the ECaro 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 20
OPP 23
+15
1.8%
KING, D'Eriq deep out pass incomplete to CORBIN, Keith (GORE, Colby), PENALTY ECU pass interference (GORE, Colby) 15 yards to the ECU8, 1ST DOWN HOU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
0.5%
Mulbah Car run for 8 yds for a TD WITHERSPOON, Da kick attempt good, PENALTY HOU false start (VAUGHAN, Zach) 5 yards to the ECU8, NO PLAY. (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
0.6%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Leroy HenleySimilar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
0.6%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
0.6%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:03
4TH & 10
OWN 22
0
0.6%
Jonn Young punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Bryson Smith at the Houst 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 26TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 2:0799% → 100%
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
0.6%
CARR, Patrick rush over right end for 7 yards to the HOU40 (CHARLES, Daniel), PENALTY HOU holding (BROOKER, R.) 10 yards to the HOU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 20
OWN 23
+2
0.6%
Patrick Carr run for 2 yds to the Houst 25Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 18
OWN 25
+51
0.6%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Keith Corbin for 51 yds to the ECaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
0.5%
D'Eriq King run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 25Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+25
0.3%
Bryson Smith pass complete to Keith Corbin for 25 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.2%
Darius Pinnix run for 3 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
0.2%
Darius Pinnix run for 1 yd to the ECaro 29Similar
Q4 11:24
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
0.2%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q4 11:24
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
0.2%
Jonn Young punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Bryson Smith at the Houst 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
0.3%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Kinte Hatton for 6 yds to the Houst 45Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+14
0.3%
Chandler Smith run for 14 yds to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
0.2%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Chandler Smith, broken up by Chandon HickersonSimilar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
0.3%
Chandler Smith run for no gain to the ECaro 41Similar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
0.3%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q4 10:07
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
0.3%
Dane Roy punt for 37 yds, downed at the ECaro 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 29TD
10 plays · 96 yds · 3:150% → 0%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
0.2%
Darius Pinnix run for 4 yds to the ECaro 8Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+15
0.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Leroy Henley for 15 yds to the ECaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
0.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Trevon Brown for 13 yds to the ECaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
0.2%
Holton Ahlers run for 19 yds to the Houst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
0.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Mydreon Vines for 11 yds to the Houst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
0.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Trevon Brown for 14 yds to the Houst 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
0.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Trevon Brown for 7 yds to the Houst 13Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 3
OPP 13
0
0.2%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Leroy HenleySimilar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 3
OPP 13
0
0.2%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:15
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+13
0.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Trevon Brown for 13 yds for a TD (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 30PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
0.2%
HOUSTON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Houst 20Similar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+9
0.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 9 yds to the Houst 29Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
0.2%
Chandler Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 28Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+2
0.2%
Chandler Smith run for 2 yds to the Houst 30Similar
Q4 5:15
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
0.2%
Dane Roy punt for 42 yds , Trevon Brown returns for no gain to the ECaro 30 HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive holding (-10 Yards) to the ECaro 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 31TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 1:530% → 1%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
0.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Mydreon Vines for 14 yds to the Houst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
0.2%
AHLERS, Holton sideline pass incomplete to VINES, Mydreon, dropped pass, QB hurry by VAUGHAN, Zach, PENALTY ECU illegal touching (VINES, Mydreon) 0 yards to the HOU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+13
0.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Trevon Brown for 13 yds to the Houst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
0.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Mydreon Vines for 6 yds to the Houst 29Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+13
0.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Trevon Brown for 13 yds to the Houst 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
0.2%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+12
0.2%
Holton Ahlers run for 12 yds to the Houst 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
0.2%
Darius Pinnix run for 3 yds to the Houst 1Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.1%
Holton Ahlers run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 32PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:47100% → 100%
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.4%
Chandler Smith run for 3 yds to the Houst 28Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
0.4%
Chandler Smith run for 3 yds to the Houst 31Similar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
0.4%
Clayton Tune run for 3 yds to the Houst 34Similar
Q4 0:40
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
0.4%
Dane Roy punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the ECaro 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 33END OF GAME
4 plays · 27 yds · 0:101% → 0%
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+14
0.6%
Holton Ahlers run for 14 yds to the ECaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
0.3%
AHLERS, Holton sideline pass complete to PROEHL, Blake for 29 yards to the HOU35, out-of-bounds (ANENIH, David), PENALTY ECU ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the ECU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:14
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+18
0.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Terrell Green for 18 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:08
D'Eriq King pass complete to Romello Brooker for 6 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)
-8
FG · Q3 10:13
Jake Verity 33 yd FG GOOD
+1.9
TD · Q4 14:03
Mulbah Car run for 8 yds for a TD WITHERSPOON, Da kick attempt good, PENALTY HOU false start (VAUGHAN, Zach) 5 yards to the ECU8, NO PLAY. (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)
-1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com