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TULN

Tulane 21 at Cincinnati 37

CIN
2018 · Week 6 · Oct 6, 2018 · Nippert Stadium
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Win probability · CIN
modelCIN aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playCIN scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:04 · Justin McMillan pass complete to Brian Newman for 10 yds to the Tulan 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 190Home team on offense+31.0Pregame prior+0.4Score differential+10.4Garbage-time factor+6.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+19.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+5.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:38: Michael Warren II run for 81 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK) — CIN win probability +4.1 pts (now 69%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:20: Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 25 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK) — CIN win probability +6.5 pts (now 78%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:51: Darius Bradwell run for 19 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +10.3 pts (now 36%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:41: Desmond Ridder run for 28 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK) — CIN win probability +8.1 pts (now 79%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:25: Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 15 yds for a TD (Cole Smith PAT MISSED) — CIN win probability +6.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CIN made the numbers' call on 8 of 9TULN made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:58CIN 4th & 8 at CIN 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:20TULN 4th & 13 at TULN 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:55CIN 4th & 9 at TULN 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    66.7%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:54CIN 4th & 12 at CIN 12, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%−1.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00TULN 4th & 8 at TULN 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:32TULN 4th & 5 at CIN 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    32.1%−0.5
    36% to make
    Punt
    32.2%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:41CIN 4th & 1 at midfield, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    66.7%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:34TULN 4th & 2 at CIN 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    31.8%−1.6
    30% to make
    Punt
    32.2%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00CIN 4th & 10 at CIN 25, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.1%−1.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:28TULN 4th & 13 at TULN 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−1.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:35TULN 4th & 8 at TULN 27, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:38CIN 4th & 5 at CIN 22, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:11TULN 4th & 19 at TULN 1, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−2.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:08TULN 4th & 8 at CIN 35, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    12.5%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    12.0%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q3 5:01CIN 4th & 13 at CIN 33, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−2.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:44TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 20, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 15:00CIN 4th & 2 at TULN 44, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    92.4%−1.4
    27% to make
    Punt
    93.0%−0.8
    average punt
  19. Q4 12:25TULN 4th & 12 at CIN 38, down 16
    Close callPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    6.9%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:10CIN 4th & 6 at TULN 20, up 16
    Close callWent for it · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−0.9
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:04TULN 4th & 11 at TULN 34, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CIN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5TULN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 2:01TULN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:38CIN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:20CIN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:51TULN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:41CIN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:25CIN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    86.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:15CIN Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:26TULN Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
70.5%
Darius Bradwell run for 14 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
70.5%
Jonathan Banks run for 1 yd to the Tulan 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+2
70.5%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Charles Jones II for 2 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
70.5%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Terren Encalade, broken up by Malik ClementsSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
70.5%
Ryan Wright punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
70.2%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Warren II for 3 yds to the Cincy 20Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+4
70.2%
Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the Cincy 24Similar
Q1 12:58
3RD & 3
OWN 24
-5
70.1%
CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (Jakari Robinson) to the Cincy 19Similar
Q1 12:58
3RD & 8
OWN 19
0
70.1%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Josiah DeguaraSimilar
Q1 12:58
4TH & 8
OWN 19
+6
70.0%
James Smith punt for 46 yds , Jacob Robertson Jr. returns for 6 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
69.6%
Darius Bradwell run for 3 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+8
69.6%
Jonathan Banks run for 8 yds to the Cincy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
69.5%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
69.6%
Stephon Huderson run for 2 yds to the Cincy 46Similar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
69.6%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Charles Jones II, broken up by Darrick ForrestSimilar
Q1 11:20
4TH & 8
OPP 46
-5
69.9%
TULANE Penalty, false start (Roderic TEAMER) to the Tulan 49Similar
Q1 11:20
4TH & 13
OWN 49
0
70.0%
Zachary Block punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 4FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:1670% → 70%
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
69.6%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Cincy 26Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
69.6%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Thomas GeddisSimilar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+28
69.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 28 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
70.2%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+10
70.2%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Warren II for 10 yds to the Tulan 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+22
70.3%
Desmond Ridder run for 8 yds to the Tulan 26 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, personal foul (Lawrence Graham) to the Tulan 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
70.4%
Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the Tulan 11Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
70.4%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Thomas Geddis, broken up by Thakarius KeyesSimilar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
70.2%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Rashad MedarisSimilar
Q1 5:55
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+28
70.0%
Cole Smith 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:5430% → 35%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
70.0%
Corey Dauphine run for 17 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
69.4%
TULANE Penalty, false start (Keyshawn McLeod) to the Tulan 37Similar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+3
69.9%
Corey Dauphine run for 3 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+6
69.8%
Justin McMillan run for 6 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+33
69.5%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 33 yds to the Cincy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
68.8%
Darius Bradwell run for 1 yd to the Cincy 20Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+3
68.8%
Darius Bradwell run for 3 yds to the Cincy 17Similar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+17
65.0%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 17 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
65.8%
Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the Cincy 17Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 7
OWN 17
0
65.8%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Rashad MedarisSimilar
Q1 1:54
3RD & 7
OWN 17
0
65.3%
Desmond Ridder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:54
4TH & 7
OWN 17
-5
65.0%
CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 12Similar
Q1 1:54
4TH & 12
OWN 12
0
65.0%
James Smith punt for 63 yds, downed at the Tulan 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5834% → 34%
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
65.6%
Amare Jones run for 3 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
65.5%
Amare Jones run for no gain to the Tulan 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-1
65.7%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Charles Jones II for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 27Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
66.2%
Ryan Wright punt for 64 yds, downed at the Cincy 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 8TD
2 plays · 91 yds · 0:3765% → 69%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+10
64.7%
Desmond Ridder run for 10 yds to the Cincy 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+81
68.7%
Michael Warren II run for 81 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:0031% → 32%
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
68.8%
BANKS,J. sacked for loss of 3 yards to the TLN27 (WRIGHT, Bryan), PENALTY CIN face mask (WRIGHT, Bryan) 15 yards to the TLN45, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
67.8%
Darius Bradwell run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 5
50
+6
67.5%
Darius Bradwell run for 6 yds to the Cincy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
67.5%
Darius Bradwell run for 1 yd to the Cincy 43Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
67.5%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Charles Jones IISimilar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+4
67.9%
Jonathan Banks run for 4 yds to the Cincy 39Similar
Q2 13:32
4TH & 5
OPP 39
-2
68.4%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Kimoni Fitz for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 10DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0370% → 69%
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
69.5%
Charles McClelland run for 4 yds to the Cincy 45Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+4
69.8%
Desmond Ridder run for 4 yds to the Cincy 49Similar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+1
69.4%
Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:41
4TH & 1
50
0
68.5%
Michael Warren II run for no gain to the 50 yard line CINCINNATI Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11DOWNS
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
50
0
65.6%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Charles Jones IISimilar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 10
50
+7
66.0%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 7 yds to the Cincy 43Similar
Q2 8:34
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+1
65.8%
Corey Dauphine run for 1 yd to the Cincy 42Similar
Q2 8:34
4TH & 2
OPP 42
-6
66.8%
Justin McMillan run for a loss of 6 yards to the Cincy 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 12TD
8 plays · 52 yds · 2:4670% → 78%
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
70.4%
Desmond Ridder run for 9 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+5
70.8%
Michael Warren II run for 5 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
70.8%
Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the Tulan 37Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+1
70.7%
Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the Tulan 36Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+6
70.1%
Desmond Ridder run for 6 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q2 7:06
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+5
69.3%
TULANE Penalty, (5 Yards) to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
78.0%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 25 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13TD
4 plays · 30 yds · 1:1625% → 36%
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
74.8%
Darius Bradwell run for 9 yds to the Cincy 21Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+2
74.5%
Darius Bradwell run for 2 yds to the Cincy 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
64.2%
Darius Bradwell run for 19 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 14TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:1068% → 79%
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
68.2%
Michael Warren II run for 6 yds to the Cincy 31Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
69.2%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Cincy 33Similar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
68.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 4 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
69.0%
RIDDER, Desmond pass incomplete to MEDARIS, Rashad, PENALTY TLN pass interference (HALL,P.J.) 15 yards to the TLN48, 1ST DOWN CIN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
70.7%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Kahlil LewisSimilar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+18
70.4%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 18 yds to the Tulan 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
71.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Javan Hawes for 5 yds to the Tulan 25Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+6
71.3%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Patrick Johnson for a loss of 9 yards to the Tulan 28 Desmond Ridder fumbled, recovered by Cincy Chris Ferguson , return for 0 yards , return for 6 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+28
78.8%
Desmond Ridder run for 28 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15END OF HALF
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
79.8%
Corey Dauphine run for 2 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
79.8%
Stephon Huderson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0079% → 77%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
78.8%
Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the Cincy 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-3
78.8%
Desmond Ridder run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
77.9%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Rashad MedarisSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+4
77.0%
James Smith punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 31 , Jacob Robertson Jr. returns for 4 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0021% → 19%
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
78.8%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-3
79.2%
Darius Bradwell run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 28Similar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 13
OWN 28
0
80.3%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q3 13:28
4TH & 13
OWN 28
0
80.7%
TEAM punt blocked by Ethan Tucky blocked by Ethan TuckySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 18TD
1 play · 15 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
87.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 15 yds for a TD (Cole Smith PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
85.1%
Corey Dauphine run for 4 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+14
84.7%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Terren Encalade for 14 yds Terren Encalade fumbled, forced by Coby Bryant, recovered by Cincy Cameron JefferiesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 20FUMBLE
1 play · 21 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+16
87.7%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Warren II for 16 yds Michael Warren II fumbled, forced by Roderic TEAMER, recovered by Tulan Patrick JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.7%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
85.9%
Justin McMillan run for 7 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q3 11:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
85.3%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Terren Encalade, broken up by Cameron JefferiesSimilar
Q3 11:35
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
85.8%
TULANE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 27Similar
Q3 11:35
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
86.3%
Ryan Wright punt for 46 yds , Aulden Knight returns for no gain to the Cincy 27 CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Cincy 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
88.0%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Charles McClelland for 4 yds to the Cincy 21Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+1
87.9%
Charles McClelland run for 1 yd to the Cincy 22Similar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 5
OWN 22
0
87.5%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Josiah DeguaraSimilar
Q3 10:38
4TH & 5
OWN 22
0
87.1%
James Smith punt for 53 yds , Jacob Robertson Jr. returns for no gain to the Tulan 10 Jacob Robertson Jr. fumbled, recovered by Tulan Jaylon MonroeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
87.6%
Darius Bradwell run for 1 yd to the Tulan 11 TULANE Penalty, Offensive holding (Dominique Briggs) to the Tulan 5Similar
Q3 9:11
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+5
88.1%
Darius Bradwell run for 5 yds to the Tulan 10Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
87.9%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 10
OWN 10
-9
88.0%
Justin McMillan sacked by Cortez Broughton and Marquise Copeland for a loss of 9 yards to the Tulan 1Similar
Q3 9:11
4TH & 19
OWN 1
0
88.6%
TULANE Penalty, delay of game ( Yards) to the Tulan 1Similar
Q3 9:11
4TH & 19
OWN 1
+3
88.6%
Zachary Block punt for 52 yds , Aulden Knight returns for 3 yds to the 50 yard line Aulden Knight fumbled, forced by Larry Bryant, recovered by Tulan Geron Eatherly CINCINNATI Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
50
+5
86.6%
Amare Jones run for 5 yds to the Cincy 45Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+8
86.6%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 8 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
86.6%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
86.8%
Amare Jones run for 2 yds to the Cincy 35Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 8
OPP 35
0
86.9%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Amare JonesSimilar
Q3 7:08
4TH & 8
OPP 35
-1
87.7%
Justin McMillan sacked by Perry Young and Michael Pitts for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
92.5%
Kahlil Lewis run for 3 yds to the Cincy 39Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
92.7%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for no gain to the Cincy 39Similar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 7
OWN 39
-6
92.4%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Davon Wright and Carlos Hatcher for a loss of 6 yards to the Cincy 33Similar
Q3 5:01
4TH & 13
OWN 33
+47
91.5%
James Smith punt for 37 yds, downed at the CINCINNATI 30 TULANE Penalty, Offensive holding (Jaylon Monroe) to the Tulan 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:159% → 9%
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
91.1%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darius BradwellSimilar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
91.2%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell Mooney, broken up by Coby BryantSimilar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
90.9%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q3 2:44
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
91.0%
Zachary Block punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Aulden Knight at the Cincy 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 27INT
11 plays · 41 yds · 2:3393% → 94%
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
93.0%
Desmond Ridder run for 5 yds to the Cincy 40Similar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+8
93.4%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 8 yds to the Cincy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
93.5%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 8
50
+6
93.4%
Michael Warren II run for 6 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q3 2:33
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
93.3%
Desmond Ridder run for no gain to the Tulan 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+8
93.4%
Michael Warren II run for 8 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
94.3%
Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
94.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for no gain to the Tulan 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+15
94.2%
RIDDER, Desmond pass incomplete to CLOUD, Trent, PENALTY TLN pass interference (KEYES,T.) 15 yards to the TLN17, 1ST DOWN CIN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-7
94.3%
Michael Warren II run for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulan 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 17
OPP 24
+24
94.2%
Desmond Ridder pass intercepted Will Harper return for 24 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
91.2%
McMILLAN, J. pass incomplete to MOONEY, Darnell, PENALTY CIN pass interference (BRYANT, Coby) 15 yards to the CIN36, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
91.1%
Darius Bradwell run for 3 yds to the Cincy 33Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
89.7%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Kendall ArdoinSimilar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 7
OPP 33
-5
91.0%
TULANE Penalty, false start (Darius Bradwell) to the Cincy 38Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 12
OPP 38
0
91.4%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 12
OPP 38
0
91.9%
Zachary Block punt for 25 yds, downed at the Cincy 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 29TD
9 plays · 87 yds · 5:0696% → 100%
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+17
95.5%
Charles McClelland run for 17 yds to the Cincy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
95.7%
Desmond Ridder run for a loss of 5 yards to the Cincy 25Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+14
95.4%
Desmond Ridder run for 14 yds to the Cincy 39Similar
Q4 11:21
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+3
95.9%
Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
96.0%
Desmond Ridder run for 1 yd to the Cincy 43Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 9
OWN 43
-2
95.9%
Charles McClelland run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 41Similar
Q4 11:21
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+31
95.7%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 31 yds to the Tulan 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
96.1%
Desmond Ridder run for 3 yds to the Tulan 25Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+25
99.5%
Tavion Thomas run for 25 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 30TD
7 plays · 46 yds · 1:411% → 5%
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
99.2%
Corey Dauphine run for 8 yds to the Cincy 38Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 2
OPP 38
-1
99.1%
Darius Bradwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 39Similar
Q4 5:22
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+20
99.2%
Darius Bradwell run for 20 yds to the Cincy 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
99.1%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Tyrick James for 5 yds to the Cincy 14Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+14
95.3%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Terren Encalade for 14 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 31DOWNS
14 plays · 22 yds · 3:1499% → 99%
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
98.7%
Tavion Thomas run for 11 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
98.7%
Tavion Thomas run for 9 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 1
OPP 26
0
98.7%
Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the Tulan 26Similar
Q4 2:48
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+2
99.0%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Tulan 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
99.0%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+7
99.2%
Tavion Thomas run for 7 yds to the Tulan 15Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 1
OPP 15
-5
99.4%
CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (Jakari Robinson) to the Tulan 20Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
99.4%
Desmond Ridder run for no gain to the Tulan 20Similar
Q4 1:10
4TH & 6
OPP 20
-4
99.2%
Charles McClelland run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 32DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.2%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+11
99.2%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Amare Jones for 11 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.1%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Terren Encalade, broken up by Tyrell GilbertSimilar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-10
99.1%
Justin McMillan sacked by Ethan Tucky for a loss of 10 yards to the Tulan 25Similar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 20
OWN 25
+9
99.2%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Tyrick James for 9 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 11
OWN 34
+10
99.2%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Brian Newman for 10 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:51
Darius Bradwell run for 19 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)
-10.3
TD · Q2 0:41
Desmond Ridder run for 28 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)
+8.1
TD · Q3 12:25
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 15 yds for a TD (Cole Smith PAT MISSED)
+6.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com