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CIN

Cincinnati 49 at UConn 7

CONN
2018 · Week 5 · Sep 29, 2018 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadCIN aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreCIN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:27 · Luke Magliozzi punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Aulden Knight at the Cincy 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.5+29.80−29.8−59.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 98Home team on offense−22.3Pregame prior−24.3Score differential−11.4Garbage-time factor−4.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:16: Michael Warren II run for 2 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK) — CIN win probability +2.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:23: Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 15 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK) — CIN win probability +4.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:27: Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 38 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK) — CIN win probability +6.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:27: Michael Warren II run for 14 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK) — CIN win probability +2.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:18: Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD (Cole Smith KICK) — CIN win probability +1.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 8 of 10CIN made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 7:28CONN 4th & 8 at CIN 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    19.4%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:13CIN 4th & 1 at CONN 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    77.4%−0.6
    54% to make
    Punt
    77.1%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:16CONN 4th & 2 at CONN 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:15CONN 4th & 16 at CONN 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%−1.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:36CIN 4th & 19 at CIN 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−2.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:12CONN 4th & 1 at CIN 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    21.6%−1.4
    72% to make
    Punt
    17.2%−5.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:01CONN 4th & 10 at CIN 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.5%
    74% to make
    Punt
    17.4%−5.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:27CONN 4th & 3 at CONN 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:06CIN 4th & 3 at CONN 30, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    94.3%−0.5
    56% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:27CONN 4th & 7 at CIN 38, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:20CIN 4th & 1 at CONN 10, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%−0.2
    88% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 33, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:26CIN 4th & 9 at CONN 42, up 42
    Close callWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    99.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:09CONN 4th & 16 at CONN 40, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:56CIN 4th & 1 at CIN 28, up 42
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:30CONN 4th & 15 at CIN 22, down 42
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1CIN made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 13:06CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:28CIN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:16CIN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:23CIN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:27CIN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:27CIN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:18CIN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:11CIN Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5411% → 13%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
11.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 11 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+41
11.3%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 41 yds to the Cincy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+17
11.3%
David Pindell run for 17 yds to the Cincy 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
11.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the Cincy 5Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
12.5%
David Pindell pass complete to Kyle Buss for 5 yds for a TD (Michael Tarbutt KICK) CINCINNATI Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 2TD
13 plays · 74 yds · 5:3888% → 86%
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
12.4%
Michael Warren II run for 6 yds to the Cincy 32Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+11
12.4%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 11 yds to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
12.4%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 13 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
12.3%
Charles McClelland run for 1 yd to the UConn 43Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+8
12.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Warren II for 8 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+21
13.8%
Michael Warren II run for 21 yds to the UConn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
13.7%
Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the UConn 10Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+5
13.7%
Michael Warren II run for 5 yds to the UConn 5Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+2
13.8%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the UConn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
13.7%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the UConn 1Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
14.0%
Desmond Ridder run for 1 yd for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
14.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 26Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
14.6%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 1 yd to the UConn 27Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+26
14.5%
David Pindell pass complete to Kyle Buss for 26 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
15.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the Cincy 43Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 6
OPP 43
-2
15.2%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 45Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
15.0%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Kyle BussSimilar
Q1 7:28
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
14.7%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 4TD
15 plays · 88 yds · 5:1584% → 85%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+22
16.2%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 22 yds to the Cincy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
15.9%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 8 yds to the Cincy 42Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+6
15.6%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 6 yds to the Cincy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
15.6%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 12 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
15.5%
Michael Warren II run for 9 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 1
OPP 31
0
15.2%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Josiah DeguaraSimilar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 1
OPP 31
0
15.4%
Michael Warren II run for no gain to the UConn 31Similar
Q1 1:13
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+5
17.2%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Warren II for 5 yds to the UConn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
16.5%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Kahlil LewisSimilar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+13
16.6%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 13 yds to the UConn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
16.5%
Desmond Ridder run for 10 yds to the UConn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
17.0%
Desmond Ridder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
17.0%
Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the UConn 2Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
14.7%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-8
15.5%
David Pindell pass incomplete CONNECTICUT Penalty, intentional grounding (David Pindell) to the UConn 19Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 18
OWN 19
+18
15.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 22 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
15.6%
David Pindell run for 5 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+2
16.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+1
16.0%
David Pindell pass complete to Zavier Scott for 1 yd to the UConn 45Similar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+14
15.6%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 49 yds , Aulden Knight returns for 14 yds to the Cincy 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 6FUMBLE
9 plays · 65 yds · 0:0084% → 85%
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
16.3%
Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the Cincy 23Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+4
16.2%
Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Cincy 27Similar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+6
16.1%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 6 yds to the Cincy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
15.9%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Warren II for 12 yds to the Cincy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
15.5%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Darrian Beavers for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 42Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 13
OWN 42
+41
16.0%
Desmond Ridder run for 41 yds to the UConn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
15.1%
Desmond Ridder run for 3 yds to the UConn 14Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+4
15.1%
Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the UConn 10Similar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 3
OPP 10
-4
15.3%
Desmond Ridder run for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 15 Desmond Ridder fumbled, recovered by UConn Lwal UguakSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+36
16.5%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 36 yds to the UCONN 49 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
18.2%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 48Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 13
OWN 48
-3
17.3%
David Pindell run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 45Similar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 16
OWN 45
0
16.5%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Tyraiq BealsSimilar
Q2 7:15
4TH & 16
OWN 45
0
16.1%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
17.2%
Charles McClelland run for 2 yds to the Cincy 20Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 8
OWN 20
-6
17.4%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Kevon Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the Cincy 14Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 14
OWN 14
-5
17.9%
CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (Jakari Robinson) to the Cincy 9Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 19
OWN 9
0
18.1%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Kahlil LewisSimilar
Q2 5:36
4TH & 19
OWN 9
+5
18.5%
James Smith punt for 46 yds , Kyle Buss returns for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9MISSED FG
13 plays · 29 yds · 3:1119% → 19%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
50
+3
19.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the Cincy 47Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+3
19.4%
PINDELL, David pass incomplete to MCLEAN, Aaron, PENALTY CIN pass interference (YOUNG, Perry) 3 yards to the CIN44, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
19.5%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Aaron McLeanSimilar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-2
19.2%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 46Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 12
OPP 46
+15
18.1%
PINDELL, David pass incomplete to BEALS, Tyraiq, PENALTY CIN pass interference (HAMLIN, Noah) 15 yards to the CIN31, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
20.2%
David Pindell pass complete to Zavier Scott for 8 yds to the Cincy 23Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 2
OPP 23
0
20.2%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Aaron McLeanSimilar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+1
19.4%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 1 yd to the Cincy 22Similar
Q2 4:12
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+1
18.7%
David Pindell run for 1 yd to the Cincy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
20.2%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Tyler DavisSimilar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
20.2%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Aaron McLeanSimilar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
19.3%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Tyraiq BealsSimilar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+37
18.7%
Michael Tarbutt 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 10TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 0:3883% → 90%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
17.5%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 12 yds to the Cincy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
16.9%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 12 yds to the Cincy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
16.1%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 8 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+32
15.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 32 yds to the UConn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
15.3%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Josiah DeguaraSimilar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
10.4%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 15 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-4
12.5%
Team run for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 12TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3388% → 94%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+37
11.7%
Michael Warren II run for 37 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
5.7%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 38 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
7.5%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 26Similar
Q3 14:27
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
7.4%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 6 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q3 14:27
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
7.8%
David Pindell pass incomplete to David PindellSimilar
Q3 14:27
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
7.5%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Aulden Knight at the Cincy 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 14TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:3394% → 98%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
5.9%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 2 yds to the Cincy 31Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+19
5.9%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
50
+13
5.6%
Tavion Thomas run for 13 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
5.6%
Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the UConn 36Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 9
OPP 36
0
5.6%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Kahlil LewisSimilar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+6
5.8%
Desmond Ridder run for 6 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q3 10:06
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+16
4.7%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Warren II for 16 yds to the UConn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
2.1%
Michael Warren II run for 14 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15DOWNS
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
1.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, illegal use of hands (Marcus Brown) to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
1.7%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Aaron McLeanSimilar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
1.6%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Aaron McLeanSimilar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+15
1.5%
PINDELL, David pass incomplete to BEALS, Tyraiq (GILBERT, Tyrell), PENALTY CIN illegal use of hands (YOUNG, Perry) 15 yards to the CIN41, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
1.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the Cincy 40Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 9
OPP 40
0
1.6%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Aaron McLeanSimilar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+2
1.6%
David Pindell run for 2 yds to the Cincy 38Similar
Q3 9:27
4TH & 7
OPP 38
0
1.6%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Kyle Buss, broken up by Cameron JefferiesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 16TD
12 plays · 62 yds · 6:0298% → 100%
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
1.7%
Charles McClelland run for 2 yds to the Cincy 40Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-3
1.8%
Charles McClelland run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 38 Charles McClelland fumbled, recovered by Cincy Hayden MooreSimilar
Q3 7:20
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+14
1.8%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 14 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
1.7%
Charles McClelland run for 4 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+13
1.7%
Tavion Thomas run for 13 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
1.7%
Tavion Thomas run for 7 yds to the UConn 24Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+5
1.5%
Charles McClelland run for 5 yds to the UConn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
1.7%
Charles McClelland run for 3 yds to the UConn 16Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+4
1.7%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 4 yds to the UConn 12Similar
Q3 7:20
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+2
1.5%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the UConn 10Similar
Q3 7:20
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+9
1.8%
Tavion Thomas run for 9 yds to the UConn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.4%
Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:180% → 0%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
0.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-2
0.3%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
0.3%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Heron MaurisseauSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
0.3%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Aulden Knight at the Cincy 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 18TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:37100% → 100%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
0.5%
Hayden Moore run for 8 yds to the Cincy 28Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+5
0.5%
Hayden Moore run for 5 yds to the Cincy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
0.5%
Taylor Boose run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 32Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+6
0.5%
Taylor Boose run for 6 yds to the Cincy 38Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+51
0.4%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Malick Mbodj for 51 yds to the UConn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
0.3%
Hayden Moore run for 11 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19INT
10 plays · 64 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
0.2%
Zavier Scott run for 17 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
0.2%
Marvin Washington pass incomplete to Aaron McLeanSimilar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+7
0.2%
Zavier Scott run for 7 yds to the UConn 49Similar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 3
OWN 0
0
0.1%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the UConn 49Similar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+9
0.2%
Zavier Scott run for 9 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
0.2%
WASHINGTON, Mar pass incomplete to BUSS, Kyle, PENALTY CIN holding (GILBERT, Tyrell) 8 yards to the CIN34, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
0.2%
Marvin Washington pass complete to Kyle Buss for 6 yds to the Cincy 28Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+17
0.2%
Marvin Washington pass complete to Kyle Buss for 5 yds to the Cincy 23 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, personal foul (Curtis Brooks) to the Cincy 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
0.2%
Marvin Washington pass intercepted Hayden Moore return for no gain to the Cincy 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 52 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
0.3%
Taylor Boose run for 3 yds to the Cincy 5Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+3
0.3%
Hayden Moore run for 3 yds to the Cincy 8Similar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 4
OWN 8
+49
0.3%
Taylor Boose run for 49 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
0.2%
CINCINNATI Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the UConn 48Similar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 15
OPP 48
+2
0.2%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+2
0.2%
Hayden Moore run for 2 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+7
0.2%
Hayden Moore run for 7 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q4 9:26
4TH & 4
OPP 37
-5
0.2%
CINCINNATI Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UConn 42Similar
Q4 9:26
4TH & 9
OPP 42
-4
0.2%
Hayden Moore run for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
0.1%
Zavier Scott run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 6
50
-15
0.1%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, personal foul (Cam DeGeorge) to the UConn 35Similar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 21
OWN 35
+5
0.1%
Marvin Washington run for 5 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q4 5:09
3RD & 16
OWN 40
0
0.1%
Marvin Washington pass incomplete to Donovan WilliamsSimilar
Q4 5:09
4TH & 16
OWN 40
0
0.1%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
0.1%
Taylor Boose run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 17Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 12
OWN 17
+6
0.1%
Taylor Boose run for 6 yds to the Cincy 23Similar
Q4 3:56
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+5
0.1%
Taylor Boose run for 5 yds to the Cincy 28Similar
Q4 3:56
4TH & 1
OWN 28
+6
0.2%
James Smith punt for 45 yds , Kyle Buss returns for 6 yds to the UConn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23DOWNS
10 plays · 45 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+19
0.1%
Marvin Washington pass complete to Aaron McLean for 19 yds to the Cincy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
0.1%
Marvin Washington pass incomplete to Donovan WilliamsSimilar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
0.1%
Marvin Washington run for 5 yds to the Cincy 43Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+9
0.1%
Marvin Washington pass complete to Donovan Williams for 9 yds to the Cincy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
0.1%
Marvin Washington pass incomplete to Donovan WilliamsSimilar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+17
0.1%
Marvin Washington pass complete to Heron Maurisseau for 17 yds to the Cincy 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
0.1%
Marvin Washington pass incomplete to Aaron McLeanSimilar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
0.1%
Marvin Washington pass incomplete to Aaron McLean, broken up by Marquis SmithSimilar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 10
OPP 17
-5
0.1%
Marvin Washington sacked by Malik Vann and Cole Smith for a loss of 5 yards to the Cincy 22Similar
Q4 1:30
4TH & 15
OPP 22
0
0.1%
Marvin Washington pass incomplete to Aaron McLean, broken up by Michael Warren IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:27
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 38 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)
-6
TD · Q2 0:23
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 15 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)
-4.8
TD · Q3 9:27
Michael Warren II run for 14 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)
-2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com