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TLSA

Tulsa 17 at Temple 31

TEM
2018 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2018 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadTLSA aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreTLSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:25 · Luke Skipper run for 3 yds to the Temp 15 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 155Home team on offense+23.8Pregame prior+2.9Score differential+10.0Garbage-time factor+6.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:45: Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds for a TD (Nathan Walker KICK) — TLSA win probability +6.2 pts (now 39%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:59: Anthony Russo run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Mobley KICK) — TEM win probability +4.3 pts (now 71%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:19: Ryquell Armstead run for 22 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK) — TEM win probability +6.7 pts (now 81%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. SACK · Q3 11:33: Luke Skipper sacked by Quincy Roche for a loss of 10 yards Luke Skipper fumbled, forced by Quincy Roche, recovered by Temp Karamo Dioubate , return for 0 yards , return for 50 yds — TEM win probability +11.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:07: Corey Taylor II run for 5 yds for a TD (Nathan Walker KICK) — TLSA win probability +10.1 pts (now 14%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 7TLSA made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 9:30TLSA 4th & 1 at TLSA 25, tied
    Close callPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:58TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:07TLSA 4th & 1 at TEM 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.4%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    29.2%−1.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    26.3%−4.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:46TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.5%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:57TLSA 4th & 13 at TLSA 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−2.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:51TLSA 4th & 2 at TEM 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    18.9%−0.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    17.7%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:52TLSA 4th & 4 at TEM 30, down 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.2%−0.7
    56% to make
    Punt
    7.8%−2.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:10TEM 4th & 7 at TLSA 7, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    90.8%−3.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:31TLSA 4th & 18 at TLSA 22, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−2.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:25TLSA 4th & 2 at TEM 18, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    3.7%−0.5
    79% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−4.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:23TEM 4th & 11 at TEM 6, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%−1.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:15TLSA 4th & 8 at TEM 34, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    8.5%−0.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:48TEM 4th & 2 at TLSA 43, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    92.6%−0.9
    28% to make
    Punt
    92.8%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:24TEM 4th & 11 at TLSA 16, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    90.9%−2.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:23TEM 4th & 22 at TEM 11, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−1.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TLSA made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 6:23TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:45TLSA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:59TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:19TEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:07TLSA Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.7%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1INT
8 plays · 70 yds · 2:3566% → 66%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
65.7%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+9
65.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 9 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q1 14:09
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+3
65.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Temp 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
65.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ryquell Armstead for 15 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+40
65.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 25 yds to the TEMPLE 29 for a 1ST down TULSA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Tulsa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
65.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 11Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
65.9%
Anthony Russo pass intercepted Cooper Edmiston return for no gain to the Tulsa 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:3035% → 35%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+9
65.5%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 9 yds to the Tulsa 14Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 1
OWN 14
+2
65.4%
Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
65.3%
Shamari Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 14Similar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 12
OWN 14
+4
65.3%
Shamari Brooks run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 18Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+7
65.4%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 7 yds to the Tulsa 25Similar
Q1 9:30
4TH & 1
OWN 25
+10
65.5%
Thomas Bennett punt for 47 yds , Isaiah Wright returns for 10 yds to the Temp 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3266% → 65%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
65.5%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Temp 33Similar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+3
65.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Temp 36Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+9
65.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 9 yds to the Temp 45Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+2
65.4%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q1 7:58
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
65.2%
Connor Bowler punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jarion Anderson at the Tulsa 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 4INT TD
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:0535% → 33%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
64.8%
Corey Taylor II run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 17Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+9
64.7%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 9 yds to the Tulsa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
64.6%
Luke Skipper pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+11
64.7%
Luke Skipper run for 11 yds to the Tulsa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+36
67.5%
Luke Skipper pass intercepted for a TD Ty Mason return for 36 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 5TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 5:2532% → 39%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
67.8%
Luke Skipper run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 33Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
67.3%
Shamari Brooks run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
67.7%
Shamari Brooks run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+3
67.4%
Shamari Brooks run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 43Similar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+5
67.5%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 5 yds to the Tulsa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
67.4%
Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 8
50
-5
67.2%
TULSA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 13
OWN 45
0
68.0%
Luke Skipper pass incomplete to Josh StewartSimilar
Q1 3:28
3RD & 13
OWN 45
+15
68.5%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 15 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
67.3%
Corey Taylor II run for 1 yd to the Temp 39Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+11
67.4%
Corey Taylor II run for 11 yds to the Temp 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
66.6%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 14 yds to the Temp 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
66.4%
Luke Skipper run for 1 yd to the Temp 13Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+7
66.5%
Shamari Brooks run for 7 yds to the Temp 6Similar
Q1 1:31
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+1
67.1%
Shamari Brooks run for 1 yd to the Temp 5Similar
Q1 1:07
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+2
67.7%
Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds to the Temp 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
61.5%
Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds for a TD (Nathan Walker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6TD
9 plays · 55 yds · 2:2666% → 71%
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
65.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 8 yds to the Tulsa 47Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+5
65.9%
Jager Gardner run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
65.8%
Jager Gardner run for no gain to the Tulsa 42Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+41
65.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 41 yds to the Tulsa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
66.2%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 6Similar
Q2 13:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
66.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 5Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
66.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 1Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
70.5%
Anthony Russo run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 7INT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:4231% → 32%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
69.1%
Shamari Brooks run for 14 yds to the Tulsa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
68.4%
TULSA Penalty, False Start (Chandler Miller) to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 15
OWN 34
-1
69.3%
Shamari Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 33Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 16
OWN 33
+3
69.5%
Luke Skipper run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 36Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 13
OWN 36
+13
70.0%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 13 yds to the Tulsa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
68.0%
Shamari Brooks run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 9
50
-1
68.0%
Luke Skipper pass intercepted Rock Ya-Sin return for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:1670% → 70%
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+21
70.3%
Ryquell Armstead run for 21 yds to the Temp 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
71.7%
Anthony Russo pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
71.2%
Jager Gardner run for no gain to the Temp 42Similar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
70.6%
Anthony Russo pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:46
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
69.5%
Connor Bowler punt for 44 yds, downed at the Tulsa 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 2:2830% → 27%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
70.4%
Shamari Brooks run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 17Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 7
OWN 17
-8
70.4%
TULSA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-8 Yards) to the Tulsa 9Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 15
OWN 9
+3
71.3%
Shamari Brooks run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 12Similar
Q2 7:24
3RD & 12
OWN 12
+14
71.9%
Luke Skipper run for 14 yds to the Tulsa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
70.9%
Shamari Brooks run for no gain to the Tulsa 26Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+2
71.2%
Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 28Similar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 8
OWN 28
0
71.9%
Luke Skipper pass incomplete to Keenen JohnsonSimilar
Q2 6:03
4TH & 8
OWN 28
-5
72.5%
TULSA Penalty, False Start (Jarion Anderson) to the Tulsa 23Similar
Q2 5:57
4TH & 13
OWN 23
0
72.6%
Thomas Bennett punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:2172% → 81%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
72.3%
Jadan Blue run for 7 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+5
73.8%
Isaiah Wright run for 5 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
73.9%
Isaiah Wright run for 11 yds to the Tulsa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
74.3%
Anthony Russo pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+16
74.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for 16 yds to the Tulsa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
74.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 22Similar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+22
81.3%
Ryquell Armstead run for 22 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 11END OF HALF
21 plays · 74 yds · 3:0021% → 21%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
79.4%
Corey Taylor II run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
78.8%
Corey Taylor II run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
79.3%
Luke Skipper run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 42Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+2
79.5%
Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 44Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+15
79.9%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Jarion Anderson for 15 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
79.0%
Luke Skipper run for 7 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+1
77.7%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Jarion Anderson for 1 yd to the Temp 33Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 2
OPP 33
0
78.8%
Shamari Brooks run for no gain to the Temp 33Similar
Q2 0:51
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+2
80.4%
Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds to the Temp 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
80.4%
Luke Skipper pass incomplete to Keylon StokesSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+15
80.4%
Skipper, Luke pass incomplete to Johnson, Keenen, PENALTY TEMPLE pass interference 15 yards to the TEMPLE16, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULSA.Similar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
79.8%
Luke Skipper pass incomplete to Cole NephSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+12
79.8%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Jarion Anderson for 12 yds to the Temp 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
79.9%
Luke Skipper run for 3 yds to the Temp 1Similar
Q2 0:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
79.1%
Corey Taylor II run for no gain to the Temp 1Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+18
78.7%
Nathan Walker 18 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 12FUMBLE TD
10 plays · 16 yds · 3:0722% → 12%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
78.0%
Shamari Brooks run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 38Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+2
77.5%
Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+6
77.9%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Shamari Brooks for 6 yds to the Tulsa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
77.4%
Shamari Brooks run for 7 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+5
76.5%
Corey Taylor II run for 5 yds to the Temp 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
76.9%
Skipper, Luke pass incomplete to Hobbs, Justin, PENALTY TEMPLE holding (Ya-Sin, Rock) 10 yards to the TEMPLE32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULSA.Similar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
76.1%
Corey Taylor II run for no gain to the Temp 32Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-8
76.4%
Luke Skipper sacked by Quincy Roche for a loss of 8 yards to the Temp 40 Luke Skipper fumbled, recovered by TulsaSimilar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 18
OPP 40
+50
87.9%
Luke Skipper sacked by Quincy Roche for a loss of 10 yards Luke Skipper fumbled, forced by Quincy Roche, recovered by Temp Karamo Dioubate , return for 0 yards , return for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 13MISSED FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 2:2812% → 10%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
88.0%
Corey Taylor II run for 29 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
86.7%
Luke Skipper run for no gain to the Temp 46Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+8
87.4%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 8 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+2
88.7%
Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
89.1%
Shamari Brooks run for 4 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+2
88.4%
Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 4
OPP 30
0
89.2%
Luke Skipper pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+47
89.8%
Nathan Walker 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14MISSED FG
14 plays · 63 yds · 5:3493% → 94%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
92.6%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
92.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+17
92.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Freddie Johnson for 17 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
93.3%
Isaiah Wright run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 47Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+13
93.5%
Isaiah Wright run for 13 yds to the Tulsa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
93.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 31Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+12
93.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for 12 yds to the Tulsa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
93.9%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Brodrick YancySimilar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+6
93.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 13Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+7
94.1%
Jager Gardner run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
94.4%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 4Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
94.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulsa 7Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
94.7%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Randle JonesSimilar
Q3 3:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
94.0%
Will Mobley 24 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 2:297% → 5%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
93.3%
Corey Taylor II run for no gain to the Tulsa 20Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
93.5%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Corey Taylor II for 7 yds to the Tulsa 27Similar
Q3 2:02
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+3
93.5%
Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
93.5%
Luke Skipper pass incomplete to Justin HobbsSimilar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-5
93.7%
TULSA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 25Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+1
94.0%
Luke Skipper run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 26Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 14
OWN 26
-4
94.4%
Luke Skipper sacked by Ryquell Armstead for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulsa 22Similar
Q3 0:31
4TH & 18
OWN 22
0
94.7%
Thomas Bennett punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16INT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:4696% → 96%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
95.9%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Jager Gardner for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 32Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+2
95.8%
Todd Centeio run for 2 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
96.2%
Anthony Russo pass intercepted Cooper Edmiston return for no gain to the Tulsa 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 17TD
14 plays · 53 yds · 4:015% → 14%
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
94.9%
Luke Skipper pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+6
95.0%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 6 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q4 13:28
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+11
95.1%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 11 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
95.1%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 6 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 4
OPP 30
0
94.3%
Luke Skipper pass incomplete to Justin HobbsSimilar
Q4 12:46
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+4
95.0%
Luke Skipper run for 4 yds to the Temp 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
94.7%
Corey Taylor II run for 5 yds to the Temp 21Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 5
OPP 21
0
95.2%
Luke Skipper pass incomplete to Justin HobbsSimilar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+3
95.6%
Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the Temp 18Similar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+3
95.7%
Luke Skipper run for 3 yds to the Temp 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
95.4%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Jarion Anderson for 6 yds to the Temp 9Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+3
95.5%
Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the Temp 6Similar
Q4 10:29
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+1
95.9%
Luke Skipper run for 1 yd to the Temp 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
85.8%
Corey Taylor II run for 5 yds for a TD (Nathan Walker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:0790% → 89%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-5
90.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 5 yards to the Temp 2Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 15
OWN 2
0
90.3%
Anthony Russo pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 15
OWN 2
+4
90.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 4 yds to the Temp 6Similar
Q4 8:23
4TH & 11
OWN 6
+9
89.3%
Connor Bowler punt for 39 yds , Jarion Anderson returns for 9 yds to the Temp 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 19FUMBLE
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:5111% → 11%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-3
88.6%
Corey Taylor II run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 39Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 13
OPP 39
0
89.0%
Luke Skipper pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:43
3RD & 13
OPP 39
+5
90.0%
TEMPLE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Temp 34Similar
Q4 7:36
3RD & 8
OPP 34
0
89.0%
Luke Skipper pass incomplete to Keylon StokesSimilar
Q4 7:15
4TH & 8
OPP 34
+10
90.7%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Jarion Anderson for 10 yds to the Temp 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
88.8%
Luke Skipper sacked by Sam Franklin for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 49 Luke Skipper fumbled, forced by Sam Franklin, recovered by Temp Chapelle Russell , return for 0 yards for a 1ST down , return for 14 yds to the Temp 10 for a 1ST down TULSA Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (-15 Yards) to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20FG
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:1693% → 96%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
92.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+2
93.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 43Similar
Q4 5:56
3RD & 2
OPP 43
0
93.3%
Anthony Russo pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:48
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+28
92.7%
Shaun Bradley run for 28 yds to the Tulsa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
93.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 16Similar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 11
OPP 16
0
93.9%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Randle JonesSimilar
Q4 4:34
3RD & 11
OPP 16
0
93.7%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Freddie JohnsonSimilar
Q4 4:24
4TH & 11
OPP 16
+33
96.4%
Will Mobley 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 21INT
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:015% → 5%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
95.1%
Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 37Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+5
95.0%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 5 yds to the Tulsa 42Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+2
95.2%
Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
95.2%
Luke Skipper pass intercepted Benny Walls return for no gain to the Temp 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · -12 yds · 0:2597% → 98%
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
97.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 21Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+2
97.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the Temp 23Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 10
OWN 23
-12
98.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 12 yards to the Temp 11Similar
Q4 2:23
4TH & 22
OWN 11
+13
97.9%
Connor Bowler punt for 47 yds , Jarion Anderson returns for 13 yds to the Tulsa 24 TULSA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Tulsa 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 23Uncategorized
10 plays · 36 yds · 1:591% → 2%
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
98.7%
Luke Skipper sacked by Sam Franklin for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulsa 37Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+13
98.6%
Luke Skipper run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
50
+8
98.5%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 8 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+12
98.4%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 12 yds to the Temp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
98.2%
Luke Skipper pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
98.2%
Luke Skipper pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+10
98.4%
Luke Skipper pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 10 yds to the Temp 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
98.2%
Luke Skipper pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+2
98.2%
Luke Skipper run for 2 yds to the Temp 18 Luke Skipper fumbled, recovered by TulsaSimilar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 8
OPP 18
-6
98.5%
Luke Skipper sacked by Jimmy Hogan for a loss of 6 yards to the Temp 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
SACK · Q3 11:33
Luke Skipper sacked by Quincy Roche for a loss of 10 yards Luke Skipper fumbled, forced by Quincy Roche, recovered by Temp Karamo Dioubate , return for 0 yards , return for 50 yds
+11.5
TD · Q4 10:07
Corey Taylor II run for 5 yds for a TD (Nathan Walker KICK)
-10.1
TD · Q2 3:19
Ryquell Armstead run for 22 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)
+6.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com