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LEH

Lehigh 21 at Navy 51

NAVY
2018 · Week 3 · Sep 15, 2018 · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · NAVY
modelNAVY aheadLEH aheadconfidence bandkey playNAVY scoreLEH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:43 · Brad Mayes pass incomplete, broken up by Jarvis Polu
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 35Pregame prior+43.7Home team on offense+1.6Score differential+0.4Blowout margin+0.2Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:23: Malcolm Perry run for 5 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK) — LEH win probability +0.3 pts (now 3%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 11:10: Rashawn Allen run for 75 yds for a TD, (Ed Mish KICK) — LEH win probability +0.2 pts (now 3%) (top driver: LEH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 1:00: Zach Abey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK) — NAVY win probability +0.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:39: Myles Fells run for 52 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK) — NAVY win probability +1.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 0:03: Bennett Moehring 37 yd FG GOOD — NAVY win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NAVY made the numbers' call on 6 of 7LEH made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 11:10NAVY 4th & 13 at NAVY 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:43LEH 4th & 5 at NAVY 27, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    4.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00LEH 4th & 4 at LEH 27, down 14
    Close callPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:59NAVY 4th & 2 at LEH 36, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:46NAVY 4th & 4 at LEH 12, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.8%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    96.7%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:46LEH 4th & 1 at LEH 34, down 24
    Close callPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:57LEH 4th & 1 at LEH 38, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.0%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:55NAVY 4th & 3 at LEH 22, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:45LEH 4th & 4 at LEH 41, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:27NAVY 4th & 2 at LEH 30, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:19NAVY 4th & 6 at NAVY 25, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:12LEH 4th & 6 at LEH 46, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:59NAVY 4th & 7 at LEH 27, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:59LEH 4th & 8 at LEH 27, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:20LEH 4th & 5 at NAVY 27, down 37
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NAVY made the numbers' call on 6 of 6LEH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 11:23NAVY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:10LEH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:55NAVY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:00NAVY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:39NAVY Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:27NAVY Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:44NAVY Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:26LEH Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:13LEH Touchdown, down 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NAVYDrive 1TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 3:3798% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
97.8%
Anthony Gargiulo run for no gain to the Navy 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+8
97.8%
Malcolm Perry run for 8 yds to the Navy 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+4
97.8%
Zach Abey run for 4 yds to the Navy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
97.8%
Tre Walker run for 6 yds to the Lehgh 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+9
97.8%
Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 9 yds to the Lehgh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+35
97.8%
Malcolm Perry run for 35 yds to the Lehgh 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.5%
Malcolm Perry run for 5 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LEHDrive 2TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
97.3%
Rashawn Allen run for 75 yds for a TD, (Ed Mish KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
97.3%
Malcolm Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
97.3%
Malcolm Perry run for 6 yds to the Navy 43Similar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+6
97.3%
Nelson Smith run for 6 yds to the Navy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-4
97.3%
CJ Williams run for 6 yds to the NAVY 45 NAVY Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Navy 45Similar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 14
OWN 45
+3
97.3%
Malcolm Perry run for 3 yds to the Navy 48Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 11
OWN 48
-2
97.3%
Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 46Similar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 13
OWN 46
0
97.3%
Malcolm Perry pass incomplete to Taylor JacksonSimilar
Q1 11:10
4TH & 13
OWN 46
+5
97.2%
Owen White punt for 46 yds , Jaylen Floyd returns for 5 yds to the Lehgh 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LEHDrive 4INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
96.7%
Brad Mayes pass intercepted Jacob Springer return for no gain to the Lehgh 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 5TD
2 plays · 28 yds · 0:4697% → 97%
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
96.8%
Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the Lehgh 24Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+24
97.0%
Malcolm Perry run for 24 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LEHDrive 6DOWNS
13 plays · 48 yds · 3:123% → 4%
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
96.9%
Rashawn Allen run for 15 yds to the Lehgh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
96.9%
Rashawn Allen run for 4 yds to the Lehgh 44Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+11
96.8%
Brad Mayes pass complete to Devon Bibbens for 11 yds to the Navy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
96.8%
Rashawn Allen run for no gain to the Navy 45Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
96.8%
Brad Mayes pass incomplete to Jorge PortorrealSimilar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+13
96.9%
Brad Mayes pass complete to Rashawn Allen for 13 yds to the Navy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
96.8%
LEHIGH Penalty, false start (Liborio Ricottilli) to the Navy 37Similar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+2
96.9%
Brad Mayes pass complete to Jorge Portorreal for 2 yds to the Navy 35Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 13
OPP 35
0
96.8%
Brad Mayes pass incomplete to Conner Bianchini, broken up by Elan NashSimilar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 13
OPP 35
+8
96.5%
Brad Mayes pass complete to Jorge Portorreal for 8 yds to the Navy 27Similar
Q1 3:43
4TH & 5
OPP 27
0
96.5%
Brad Mayes pass incomplete, broken up by Jarvis PoluSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 7TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 2:0297% → 97%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+17
96.5%
CJ Williams run for 17 yds to the Navy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
96.6%
Malcolm Perry run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 4
50
+49
96.7%
Malcolm Perry pass complete to CJ Williams for 49 yds to the Lehgh 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.2%
Zach Abey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LEHDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:003% → 3%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
96.9%
Rashawn Allen run for no gain to the Lehgh 21Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+6
96.9%
Brad Mayes pass complete to Conner Bianchini for 6 yds to the Lehgh 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
96.8%
Brad Mayes pass incomplete, broken up by Taylor HeflinSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
96.9%
Ed Mish punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Jacob Springer at the Navy 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 9TD
7 plays · 83 yds · 4:1197% → 98%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
97.0%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 1 yd to the Navy 18Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+4
97.0%
Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the Navy 22Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+11
97.0%
Tre Walker run for 11 yds to the Navy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
97.1%
CJ Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 31Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+14
97.0%
CJ Williams run for 14 yds to the Navy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
97.2%
Tre Walker run for 3 yds to the Navy 48Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+52
98.2%
Myles Fells run for 52 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LEHDrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
98.1%
Brad Mayes pass complete to Devon Bibbens for 15 yds to the Lehgh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
98.0%
Rashawn Allen run for 4 yds to the Lehgh 44 Rashawn Allen fumbled, forced by Jarvis Polu, recovered by Navy Jarvis PoluSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 11FG
9 plays · 32 yds · 4:1398% → 98%
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
98.4%
Malcolm Perry pass incomplete to CJ WilliamsSimilar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+7
98.4%
Malcolm Perry run for 7 yds to the Lehgh 37Similar
Q2 9:59
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+1
98.4%
Zach Abey run for 1 yd to the Lehgh 36Similar
Q2 9:59
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+3
98.3%
Zach Abey run for 3 yds to the Lehgh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
98.4%
PERRY, Malcolm pass incomplete to DAVIS, OJ, PENALTY LEHIGH pass interference (Harris, Donavon) 15 yards to the LEHIGH18, 1ST DOWN NAVY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
98.4%
CJ Williams run for 2 yds to the Lehgh 16Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+2
98.4%
Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds to the Lehgh 14Similar
Q2 9:59
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+2
98.4%
Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds to the Lehgh 12Similar
Q2 5:46
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+29
98.4%
Bennett Moehring 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LEHDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.1%
Brad Mayes pass complete to Jorge Portorreal for 5 yds to the Lehgh 30Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
98.0%
Rashawn Allen run for 2 yds to the Lehgh 32Similar
Q2 5:46
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
98.1%
Rashawn Allen run for 2 yds to the Lehgh 34Similar
Q2 5:46
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
98.1%
Ed Mish punt for 62 yds, downed at the Navy 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 13INT
6 plays · 74 yds · 1:2399% → 99%
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
98.5%
Malcolm Perry run for no gain to the Navy 4Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+2
98.5%
Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds to the Navy 6Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 8
OWN 6
+62
98.4%
Malcolm Perry run for 62 yds to the Lehgh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
98.7%
Tazh Maloy run for 10 yds to the Lehgh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
98.7%
Malcolm Perry pass intercepted Riley O'Neil return for 13 yds to the Lehgh 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LEHDrive 14INT
11 plays · 27 yds · 0:322% → 2%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
98.1%
Brad Mayes pass incomplete to Conner BianchiniSimilar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+7
98.2%
Brad Mayes pass complete to Conner Bianchini for 7 yds to the Lehgh 22Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+7
98.2%
Brad Mayes pass complete to Jorge Portorreal for 7 yds to the Lehgh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
98.1%
Brad Mayes pass complete to Jorge Portorreal for 4 yds to the Lehgh 33Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 6
OWN 33
-6
98.0%
Brad Mayes sacked by Nizaire Cromartie for a loss of 6 yards to the Lehgh 27Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 12
OWN 27
+11
98.3%
Brad Mayes pass complete to Jorge Portorreal for 11 yds to the Lehgh 38Similar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+9
98.1%
Brad Mayes run for 9 yds to the Lehgh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
98.1%
Brad Mayes pass incomplete to Devon Bibbens, broken up by Jarid RyanSimilar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-5
98.1%
LEHIGH Penalty, false start (Justin Gurth) to the Lehgh 42Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 15
OWN 42
+4
98.2%
Brad Mayes pass intercepted Jarid Ryan return for 4 yds to the Lehgh 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 15FG
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:1799% → 100%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
98.8%
Garret Lewis pass incomplete to Tazh MaloySimilar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+24
98.9%
Garret Lewis pass complete to Ryan Mitchell for 24 yds to the Lehgh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+37
99.6%
Bennett Moehring 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LEHDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lehgh 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LEHDrive 17INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Brad Mayes pass intercepted Elan Nash return for no gain to the Lehgh 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
99.6%
NAVY Penalty, false start (Myles Fells) to the Lehgh 34Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 15
OPP 34
+5
99.6%
Tazh Maloy run for 5 yds to the Lehgh 29Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
99.6%
Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the Lehgh 26Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+4
99.6%
CJ Williams run for 4 yds to the Lehgh 22Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 3
OPP 22
-2
99.5%
Tazh Maloy run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lehgh 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LEHDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.2%
Rashawn Allen run for 2 yds to the Lehgh 26Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+5
99.2%
Brad Mayes pass complete to Conner Bianchini for 5 yds to the Lehgh 31Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+4
99.1%
Brad Mayes pass complete to Jorge Portorreal for 4 yds to the Lehgh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
99.1%
Rashawn Allen run for 7 yds to the Lehgh 42Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-1
99.0%
Rashawn Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lehgh 41Similar
Q3 12:45
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
99.1%
Ed Mish punt for 44 yds, downed at the Navy 15Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
99.1%
Brad Mayes pass incomplete to Conner Bianchini, broken up by Juan HaileySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 20TD
11 plays · 85 yds · 4:09100% → 100%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
99.7%
Malcolm Perry run for 9 yds to the Navy 24Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+3
99.7%
Zach Abey run for 3 yds to the Navy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.7%
Malcolm Perry pass incomplete to Tazh MaloySimilar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
99.7%
Malcolm Perry run for 6 yds to the Navy 33Similar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+13
99.7%
Tre Walker run for 13 yds to the Navy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
99.7%
Malcolm Perry pass complete to CJ Williams for 16 yds to the Lehgh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.7%
Malcolm Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
99.7%
Malcolm Perry pass incomplete to Zach AbeySimilar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+8
99.7%
Malcolm Perry run for 8 yds to the Lehgh 30Similar
Q3 5:27
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+30
99.8%
Malcolm Perry run for 30 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LEHDrive 21FUMBLE
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Brad Mayes pass incomplete to Jorge PortorrealSimilar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
NAVY Penalty, Defensive offside (Anthony Villalobos) to the Lehgh 30Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
99.8%
Rashawn Allen run for 5 yds to the Lehgh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
99.8%
Brad Mayes pass complete to Sasha Kelsey for 17 yds Sasha Kelsey fumbled, forced by Walter Little, recovered by Navy Walter LittleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 22TD
4 plays · 52 yds · 1:54100% → 100%
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+39
99.8%
Garret Lewis pass complete to CJ Williams for 39 yds to the Lehgh 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
99.8%
Nelson Smith run for 6 yds to the Lehgh 7Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+3
99.8%
Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the Lehgh 4Similar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Garret Lewis run for 4 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LEHDrive 23TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:180% → 0%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Rashawn Allen run for 2 yds to the Lehgh 27Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
99.9%
Brad Mayes pass complete to Conner Bianchini for 7 yds to the Lehgh 34Similar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.8%
Rashawn Allen run for 3 yds to the Lehgh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
99.9%
Brad Mayes pass complete to Sasha Kelsey for 11 yds to the Lehgh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
99.9%
Rashawn Allen run for 1 yd to the Lehgh 49Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+11
99.9%
Brad Mayes pass complete to Conner Bianchini for 11 yds to the Navy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
99.9%
Brad Mayes pass complete to Sasha Kelsey for 6 yds to the Navy 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Brad Mayes pass incomplete to Sasha KelseySimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+8
99.9%
Brad Mayes pass complete to Sasha Kelsey for 8 yds to the Navy 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
99.9%
Rashawn Allen run for 26 yds for a TD, (Ed Mish KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 2:07100% → 100%
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+13
99.9%
Mike Martin run for 13 yds to the Navy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
99.9%
Mike Martin run for 5 yds to the Navy 26Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+4
99.9%
Garret Lewis run for 4 yds to the Navy 30Similar
Q4 13:59
3RD & 1
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Mike Martin run for no gain to the Navy 30Similar
Q4 12:19
4TH & 1
OWN 30
-5
99.9%
NAVY Penalty, DL (Owen White) to the Navy 25Similar
Q4 12:19
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Owen White punt for 33 yds , Jaylen Floyd returns for no gain to the Lehgh 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LEHDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
99.9%
Tyler Monaco pass complete to Austin Dambach for 2 yds to the Lehgh 44Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+2
99.9%
Evan Chadbourn run for 2 yds to the Lehgh 46Similar
Q4 12:12
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Tyler Monaco pass incomplete to Alex SnyderSimilar
Q4 12:12
4TH & 6
OWN 46
+8
99.9%
Ed Mish punt for 39 yds , Jacob Springer returns for 8 yds to the Navy 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 26FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 4:50100% → 100%
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
99.9%
Garret Lewis run for 8 yds to the Navy 31Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+14
99.9%
Garret Lewis run for 14 yds to the Navy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
99.9%
Tyreek King-El run for 11 yds to the Lehgh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
99.9%
Garret Lewis run for 9 yds to the Lehgh 35Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+5
99.9%
Garret Lewis run for 5 yds to the Lehgh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-15
99.9%
LEWIS, Garret rush for 2 yards to the LEHIGH28 (Maxie, Davis;Rybka, Bartek), PENALTY NAVY personal foul (NESTROWITZ, P) 15 yards to the LEHIGH45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 25
OPP 45
+5
99.9%
Garret Lewis pass complete to Mychal Cooper for 5 yds to the Lehgh 40Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 20
OPP 40
+12
99.9%
Garret Lewis pass complete to Justin Smith for 12 yds to the Lehgh 28Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+1
99.9%
Garret Lewis run for 1 yd to the Lehgh 27Similar
Q4 5:59
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+45
99.9%
Bennett Moehring 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LEHDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Tyler Monaco pass incomplete to Matthew Gargano, broken up by Tyler RogersSimilar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Evan Chadbourn run for 2 yds to the Lehgh 27Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Tyler Monaco pass incomplete to Matthew GarganoSimilar
Q4 5:59
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+10
100.0%
Ed Mish punt for 54 yds , Jacob Springer returns for 10 yds to the Navy 37 NAVY Penalty, illegal block (Evan Fochtman) to the Navy 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 28FUMBLE
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
100.0%
Mike Martin run for 8 yds to the Navy 27Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+2
100.0%
Mike Martin run for 2 yds to the Navy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
100.0%
Dalen Morris run for 3 yds to the Navy 32Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Dalen Morris run for no gain to the Navy 32 Dalen Morris fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by Lehgh Colin NaceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LEHDrive 29TD
10 plays · 32 yds · 3:070% → 0%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
100.0%
Evan Chadbourn run for 1 yd to the Navy 31Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+4
100.0%
Evan Chadbourn run for 4 yds to the Navy 27Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 5
OPP 27
0
100.0%
Tyler Monaco pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:20
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+12
100.0%
Tyler Monaco pass complete to Austin Dambach for 12 yds to the Navy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
100.0%
Jake Buskirk run for 7 yds to the Navy 8Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 3
OPP 8
0
100.0%
Jake Buskirk run for no gain to the Navy 8Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+6
100.0%
Monaco, Tyler pass incomplete (GILLIS, John), PENALTY NAVY pass interference (GILLIS, John) 6 yards to the NAVY2, 1ST DOWN LEHIGH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
100.0%
Tyler Monaco pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
100.0%
Tyler Monaco pass incomplete to Cam Richardson, broken up by Austin Talbert-LovingSimilar
Q4 0:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Tyler Monaco pass complete to Cam Richardson for 2 yds for a TD, (Ed Mish KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:39
Myles Fells run for 52 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)
+1.1
FG · Q2 0:03
Bennett Moehring 37 yd FG GOOD
+0.7
TD · Q1 1:00
Zach Abey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com