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AAMU

Alabama A&M 7 at Cincinnati 63

CIN
2018 · Week 3 · Sep 15, 2018 · Nippert Stadium
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Win probability · CIN
modelCIN aheadAAMU aheadconfidence bandkey playCIN scoreAAMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:09 · Spencer Corey punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Aulden Knight at the CINCINNATI 35 CINCINNATI Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Cincy 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 89Home team on offense+26.7Score differential+20.6Pregame prior+14.6Blowout margin+11.3Garbage-time factor+3.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:54: Desmond Ridder pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 29 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK) — CIN win probability +0.9 pts (now 77%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 7:46: Desmond Ridder run for 22 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK) — CIN win probability +2.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 5:31: Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 61 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK) — CIN win probability +4.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q1 1:01: Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 22 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK) — CIN win probability +7.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 6:01: Tavion Thomas run for 11 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK) — CIN win probability +2.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CIN made the numbers' call on 1 of 2AAMU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00AAMU 4th & 5 at AAMU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:54AAMU 4th & 8 at AAMU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:41AAMU 4th & 7 at AAMU 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:31AAMU 4th & 7 at AAMU 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00AAMU 4th & 9 at AAMU 26, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−1.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:50AAMU 4th & 20 at AAMU 32, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−4.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:01AAMU 4th & 6 at AAMU 29, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:59CIN 4th & 17 at CIN 43, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:09AAMU 4th & 3 at AAMU 27, down 42
    Close callPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:07AAMU 4th & 1 at CIN 18, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:02AAMU 4th & 7 at AAMU 28, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:01AAMU 4th & 3 at AAMU 32, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:48CIN 4th & 6 at AAMU 46, up 56
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:52AAMU 4th & 4 at AAMU 37, down 56
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CIN made the numbers' call on 8 of 8AAMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:54CIN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:46CIN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:31CIN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:01CIN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:50CIN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:01CIN Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:17CIN Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:57AAMU Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 1:02CIN Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AAMUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
76.5%
Jordan Bentley run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
76.5%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Isaiah Bailey for 7 yds to the AlaAM 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
76.5%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Isaiah Bailey for 3 yds to the AlaAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
76.5%
Aqeel Glass pass incomplete to Isaiah Bailey, broken up by James WigginsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-5
76.5%
ALABAMA A&M Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AlaAM 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 31
0
76.5%
Aqeel Glass pass incomplete, broken up by James WigginsSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 31
+10
76.5%
Jordan Bentley run for 10 yds to the AlaAM 41Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
76.5%
Aqeel Glass punt for 38 yds, downed at the Cincy 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 2TD
5 plays · 79 yds · 1:4176% → 77%
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+18
76.0%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 18 yds to the Cincy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
76.0%
Michael Warren II run for 6 yds to the Cincy 45Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+10
76.2%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 10 yds to the AlaAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
76.2%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 16 yds to the AlaAM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
77.1%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 29 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
76.6%
Jordan Bentley run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 27Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
76.6%
Aqeel Glass pass incomplete to Trevon WaltersSimilar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
76.7%
Aqeel Glass pass incomplete to Trevon WaltersSimilar
Q1 10:54
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
76.8%
Spencer Corey punt for 50 yds, downed at the Cincy 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 4TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:0977% → 80%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
76.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 3 yds to the Cincy 26Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+22
76.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 22 yds to the Cincy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
77.1%
Michael Warren II run for 15 yds to the AlaAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
77.2%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Thomas GeddisSimilar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+11
77.2%
Tavion Thomas run for 11 yds to the AlaAM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
77.2%
Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the AlaAM 22Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+22
79.6%
Desmond Ridder run for 22 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+18
78.8%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Brian Jenkins Jr. for 18 yds to the AlaAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
78.7%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Zabrian Moore for 4 yds to the AlaAM 34Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+4
78.7%
Trevon Walters run for 4 yds to the AlaAM 38Similar
Q1 7:41
3RD & 2
OWN 38
-5
78.6%
ALABAMA A&M Penalty, false start (Anthony Jackson) to the AlaAM 33Similar
Q1 7:41
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
78.8%
Aqeel Glass pass incomplete to Trevon WaltersSimilar
Q1 7:41
4TH & 7
OWN 33
+6
78.9%
Spencer Corey punt for 34 yds , Aulden Knight returns for 6 yds to the Cincy 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 6TD
1 play · 61 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
83.1%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 61 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
82.7%
Teon Dollard run for 4 yds to the AlaAM 29Similar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
82.5%
Aqeel Glass pass incomplete to Marceles ClashSimilar
Q1 5:31
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-1
82.6%
Teon Dollard run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlaAM 28Similar
Q1 5:31
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+50
82.8%
Spencer Corey punt for 50 yds , Aulden Knight returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 8TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 3:0383% → 91%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+32
83.4%
Michael Warren II run for 32 yds to the AlaAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
84.2%
Michael Warren II run for 13 yds to the AlaAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
84.2%
Charles McClelland run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 32Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+12
84.2%
Charles McClelland run for 12 yds to the AlaAM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-10
84.2%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Mason Ellis for a loss of 10 yards to the AlaAM 30Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 20
OPP 30
+8
83.5%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Warren II for 18 yds to the AlaAM 12 CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive holding (Chris Ferguson) to the AlaAM 22Similar
Q1 1:01
2ND & 12
OPP 22
+22
91.0%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 22 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:019% → 8%
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
91.5%
Jordan Bentley run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 26Similar
Q1 1:01
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
91.5%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Kendric Johnson for no gain to the AlaAM 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
92.3%
Aqeel Glass pass incomplete to Brian Jenkins Jr., broken up by Cortez BroughtonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
92.3%
Spencer Corey punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Aulden Knight at the Cincy 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 10TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 2:5793% → 93%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+33
92.7%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 33 yds to the AlaAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
92.8%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 3 yds to the AlaAM 27Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 7
OPP 27
-3
92.8%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for a loss of 3 yards to the AlaAM 30Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+15
92.8%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 15 yds to the AlaAM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
92.8%
Michael Warren II run for 6 yds to the AlaAM 9Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+3
92.7%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Bruno Labelle for 3 yds to the AlaAM 6Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+6
92.6%
Michael Warren II run for 6 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
94.9%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Isaiah Bailey for 17 yds to the AlaAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
94.7%
ALABAMA A&M Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AlaAM 37Similar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 15
OWN 37
0
95.0%
Aqeel Glass pass incomplete to Isaiah BaileySimilar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 15
OWN 37
-14
95.0%
Aqeel Glass sacked by Michael Pitts for a loss of 14 yards to the AlaAM 23Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 29
OWN 23
-5
95.0%
ALABAMA A&M Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the AlaAM 18Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 34
OWN 18
+14
95.0%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Isaiah Bailey for 14 yds to the AlaAM 32Similar
Q2 11:50
4TH & 20
OWN 32
+1
95.0%
Spencer Corey punt for 37 yds , Aulden Knight returns for 1 yd to the Cincy 33 CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Cincy 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 12TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 3:2695% → 98%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+19
94.8%
Charles McClelland run for 19 yds to the Cincy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
94.9%
Charles McClelland run for 4 yds to the Cincy 45Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+13
95.0%
Hayden Moore run for 13 yds to the AlaAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+22
95.0%
Charles McClelland run for 22 yds to the AlaAM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
95.0%
Hayden Moore run for 9 yds to the AlaAM 11Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 1
OPP 11
0
94.9%
Charles McClelland run for no gain to the AlaAM 11Similar
Q2 6:01
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+11
97.5%
Tavion Thomas run for 11 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.6%
Aqeel Glass pass incomplete to Brian Jenkins Jr.Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
97.6%
Aqeel Glass pass incomplete to Zabrian MooreSimilar
Q2 6:01
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.6%
Teon Dollard run for 4 yds to the AlaAM 29Similar
Q2 6:01
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
97.6%
Spencer Corey punt for 44 yds, downed at the Cincy 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
97.7%
Charles McClelland run for 12 yds to the Cincy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
97.7%
Charles McClelland run for 5 yds to the Cincy 44Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+6
97.7%
Charles McClelland run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
50
+1
97.8%
Charles McClelland run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 49Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 17
OWN 43
0
97.7%
Hayden Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 17
OWN 43
0
97.5%
James Smith punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-8
97.7%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 7 yds to the Cincy 42 CINCINNATI Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Cincy 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.4%
Aqeel Glass pass incomplete to Isaiah BaileySimilar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
98.4%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Marceles Clash for 7 yds to the AlaAM 27Similar
Q2 2:09
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
98.3%
Aqeel Glass pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:09
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+48
98.4%
Spencer Corey punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Aulden Knight at the CINCINNATI 35 CINCINNATI Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Cincy 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 16END OF HALF
4 plays · 51 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
98.6%
Tavion Thomas run for 18 yds to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
98.7%
Tavion Thomas run for 11 yds to the AlaAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
98.7%
Tavion Thomas run for 8 yds to the AlaAM 38Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+14
98.7%
Tavion Thomas run for 14 yds to the AlaAM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 17TD
15 plays · 72 yds · 6:3899% → 100%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
98.9%
Charles McClelland run for 5 yds to the Cincy 33Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+10
98.9%
Charles McClelland run for 10 yds to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
98.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 15 yds to the AlaAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
98.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Trent Cloud for 8 yds to the AlaAM 34Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+3
98.9%
Charles McClelland run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
98.9%
Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 28Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OPP 28
0
98.9%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+11
98.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Javan Hawes for 11 yds to the AlaAM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-8
98.9%
Ben Bryant sacked by Yurik Bethune for a loss of 8 yards to the AlaAM 25Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 18
OPP 25
+17
98.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 17 yds to the AlaAM 8Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+3
98.9%
Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
98.9%
Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 4Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.0%
Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 1Similar
Q3 8:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 18TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 4:100% → 0%
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
99.6%
Aqeel Glass pass incomplete to Brian Jenkinsjr (BRYANT, Coby), PENALTY CIN pass interference (BRYANT, Coby) 15 yards to the AAMU36, 1ST DOWN AAMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.6%
Teon Dollard run for 4 yds to the AlaAM 40Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+33
99.6%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Brian Jenkins Jr. for 33 yds to the Cincy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
99.6%
Teon Dollard run for 8 yds to the Cincy 19Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+1
99.5%
Teon Dollard run for 1 yd to the Cincy 18Similar
Q3 8:07
3RD & 1
OPP 18
0
99.5%
Aqeel Glass pass incomplete to Zabrian MooreSimilar
Q3 8:07
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+1
99.4%
Teon Dollard run for 1 yd to the Cincy 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
99.6%
Aqeel Glass pass incomplete to Brian Jenkins Jr.Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+5
99.6%
Aqeel Glass run for 5 yds to the Cincy 12Similar
Q3 8:07
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+5
99.6%
CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive offside (Jabari Taylor) to the Cincy 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-4
99.6%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Isaiah Bailey for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 11Similar
Q3 3:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
99.7%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Zabrian Moore for 11 yds for a TD (Spencer Corey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 19INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
99.7%
Ben Bryant run for 4 yds to the Cincy 32Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+18
99.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Javan Hawes for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
50
-6
99.7%
Charles McClelland run for 4 yds to the CINCINNATI 46 CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive holding (Aulden Knight) to the Cincy 44Similar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 16
OWN 44
+18
99.7%
Ben Bryant pass intercepted Torron Murray return for 18 yds to the Cincy 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 20FUMBLE
1 play · -4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+27
99.7%
Aqeel Glass sacked by Elijah Ponder for a loss of 6 yards to the AlaAM 22 Aqeel Glass fumbled, recovered by Cincy Perry Young , return for 0 yards , return for 27 yds to the AlaAM 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 21TD
3 plays · 22 yds · 1:08100% → 100%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
99.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Charles McClelland for 6 yds to the AlaAM 16Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+15
99.7%
Charles McClelland run for 15 yds to the AlaAM 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Charles McClelland run for 1 yd for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Jordan Bentley run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 28Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Aqeel Glass pass incomplete to Isaiah BaileySimilar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Aqeel Glass pass incomplete to Brian Jenkins Jr.Similar
Q3 1:02
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Spencer Corey punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 23TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 5:04100% → 100%
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
99.8%
Jake Sopko run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 22 CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+2
99.8%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Cincy 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+12
99.8%
Jake Sopko run for 12 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.8%
Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Cincy 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+11
99.8%
Tavion Thomas run for 11 yds to the AlaAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+21
99.8%
Tavion Thomas run for 21 yds to the AlaAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.8%
Jake Sopko pass incomplete to Leonard TaylorSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+7
99.8%
Tavion Thomas run for 7 yds to the AlaAM 18 Tavion Thomas fumbled, forced by Antoine Felton Jr., recovered by Cincy Jake Sopko for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
99.8%
Jake Sopko run for 5 yds to the AlaAM 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+8
99.8%
Michael Kopaygorodsky run for 8 yds to the AlaAM 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds Tavion Thomas fumbled, forced by Selmar Russell, recovered by Cincy Wilson Huber for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Teon Dollard run for 5 yds to the AlaAM 30Similar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
99.9%
Teon Dollard run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 31Similar
Q4 10:01
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
99.9%
Teon Dollard run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 32Similar
Q4 10:01
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Spencer Corey punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Aulden Knight at the Cincy 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
99.9%
Michael Kopaygorodsky run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
50
-1
99.9%
Michael Kopaygorodsky run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 49Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+3
99.9%
Michael Kopaygorodsky run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 48Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+2
99.9%
Michael Kopaygorodsky run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 46Similar
Q4 7:48
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
99.9%
James Smith punt for 38 yds, downed at the AlaAM 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 26DOWNS
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
100.0%
Clarence Roberts run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 10Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+2
100.0%
Clarence Roberts run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 12Similar
Q4 4:52
3RD & 6
OWN 12
-5
100.0%
ALABAMA A&M Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the AlaAM 7Similar
Q4 4:52
3RD & 11
OWN 7
+24
100.0%
Josh Cartwright pass complete to Terrell Gardner for 24 yds to the AlaAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
100.0%
Clarence Roberts run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 32Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 9
OWN 32
-5
100.0%
ALABAMA A&M Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AlaAM 27Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+3
100.0%
Clarence Roberts run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 30Similar
Q4 4:52
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+7
100.0%
Josh Cartwright run for 7 yds to the AlaAM 37Similar
Q4 4:52
4TH & 4
OWN 37
-3
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the AlaAM 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AlaAM 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 1:01
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 22 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)
+7.5
TD · Q1 5:31
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 61 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)
+4.2
TD · Q2 6:01
Tavion Thomas run for 11 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)
+2.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com